Alert archive / Kansas / Areal Flood Warnings in 2014

Areal Flood Warning 13, NWS Hastings, NE

August 10, 2014Mitchell County, Kansas

NWS Hastings, NE issued this areal flood warning at Aug 10, 2014, 1:09 AM CDT for Mitchell County, Kansas. It was in force for 12 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Aug 10, 2014, 1:09 AM CDT (06:09 UTC)
Expired: Aug 10, 2014, 1:00 PM CDT
In force: 12 hr
Issued by: NWS Hastings, NE
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: None

County Mitchell County, KS

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 105 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this areal flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this areal flood warning went out at Aug 9, 6:33 PM CDT, 6 hours 36 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 9, 6:33 PM CDT, 6 hours 36 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
633 PM CDT SAT AUG 9 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 310 PM CDT SAT AUG 9 2014

SVR WX WATCH WAS COORDINATED WITH SPC AT 255 PM AND HAS POSTED.

NOT MUCH TIME FOR A FULL AFD DUE TO ON-GOING TSTMS AND PREP FOR
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT.

MULTICELL ACTIVITY HAS BEEN PREVALENT OVER VALLEY/GREELEY/NANCE
COUNTIES SINCE 8 AM. WHILE HAIL HAS BEEN THE MAIN THREAT...THE
GROWING CONCERN IS THESE STORMS BECOME SURFACE-BASED AND
THREATEN WIND DAMAGE AS WELL.

THERE ARE MULTIPLE BOUNDARIES FOR CONVECTIVE INITIATION...
INCLUDING THE OUTFLOW FROM THE ON-GOING ACTIVITY...DIFFERENTIAL
HEATING N AND E OF THE TRI-CITIES AND THE INVERTED TROF OVER THE
PANHANDLE.

THERE IS ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROF APPROACHING /CURRENTLY OVER ERN
WY-CO/. THIS TROF WILL ENHANCE TSTM DEVELOPMENT WITH NUMEROUS
CELL MERGERS AND UPSCALE GROWTH INTO ONE OR MORE LINES EXPECTED.

MLCAPE IS CURRENTLY 1000-2500 J/KG WITH HIGHEST VALUES S AND W OF
THE ON-GOING ACTIVITY. WINDS ALOFT AND SHEAR ARE MARGINALLY
FAVORABLE.

WE EXPECT ONE OR MORE TSTM CLUSTERS TO MOVE THRU OVERNIGHT AND BE
E OF THE REGION SUN MORNING. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A LITTLE
REDEVELOPMENT LATE SUN AFTERNOON. SVR THREAT SHOULD BE VERY
LIMITED AS 0-6 KM SHEAR WEAKENS TO UNDER 20 KTS OVER S-CNTRL NEB.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 310 PM CDT SAT AUG 9 2014

GUIDANCE SUGGESTS NORTHWESTERLY UPPER TROPOSPHERIC FLOW WILL
PERSIST MONDAY AND TUESDAY...ALTHOUGH THIS FLOW WILL WEAKEN
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS UPPER TROPOSPHERIC RIDGING BUILDS INTO
THE AREA. THIS FLOW IS THEN EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE ZONAL HEADING
INTO FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS AN UPPER TROPOSPHERIC SHORT WAVE
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.

AN OVERALL LACK IN OMEGA SHOULD PROMOTE DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY. INCREASING OMEGA...AHEAD OF THE
AFOREMENTIONED UPPER TROPOSPHERIC SHORT WAVE...COULD THEN PROMOTE
PRECIPITATION PRODUCTION WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. AS A
RESULT... ALLBLEND RESPONDED BY PRESENTING 20-40% POPS TO MUCH OF
THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AND THESE POPS WERE LEFT
UNCHANGED FOR THE MOST PART.

LITTLE CHANGE IN THE LOWER TROPOSPHERIC AIR MASS SHOULD PROMOTE
SIMILAR TEMPERATURE READINGS FROM DAY TO DAY DURING THE LONG TERM
FORECAST PERIOD...WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE 80S AND OVERNIGHT
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S AND 60S EXPECTED FOR THE MOST PART.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 616 PM CDT SAT AUG 9 2014

EXPECT AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO APPROACH THE LOCAL
AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...BRINGING
TEMPORARY MVFR CIGS AND VSBYS FROM AROUND 10/01Z-10/04Z. COULD
SEE BRIEFLY LOWER CATEGORIES...BUT WILL WAIT TO AMEND TAF IF
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AND FURTHER DETERIORATION OF
CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED. OTHERWISE...EXPECT SOME PATCHY FOG
FORMATION TO ONCE AGAIN BE POSSIBLE DURING THE MORNING HOURS
TOMORROW ONCE THE STORMS PASS...WITH IMPROVING CONDITIONS AND
GENERALLY NORTHERLY WINDS NEAR 10-15 KTS THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...HALBLAUB
LONG TERM...BRYANT
AVIATION...ROSSI

Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 10, 12:07 AM CDT, 1 hour 2 minutes before

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In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 9, 11:00 PM CDT, 2 hours 9 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Aug 9, 11:02 PM CDT, 2 hours 7 minutes before

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Local storm report, Aug 10, 12:05 AM CDT, 1 hour 4 minutes before

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Local storm report, Aug 10, 12:17 AM CDT, 52 minutes before

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Local storm report, Aug 10, 12:25 AM CDT, 44 minutes before

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Local storm report, Aug 10, 12:34 AM CDT, 35 minutes before

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The office that day

Everything else NWS Hastings, NE issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Aug 9, 7:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Dawson	43 min
Aug 9, 7:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Franklin, Webster	46 min
Aug 9, 7:32 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	GID	Franklin	3 hr
Aug 9, 7:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Buffalo, Dawson	46 min
Aug 9, 8:09 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Gosper, Phelps	66 min
Aug 9, 8:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Buffalo, Dawson	47 min
Aug 9, 9:09 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Kearney, Phelps	27 min
Aug 9, 9:19 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GID	Franklin	26 min
Aug 9, 9:28 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GID	Buffalo	32 min
Aug 9, 9:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Kearney, Phelps	30 min
Aug 9, 9:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Buffalo, Hall, Sherman	42 min
Aug 9, 9:50 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GID	Franklin, Furnas, Harlan	40 min
Aug 9, 10:11 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GID	Adams, Hall	49 min
Aug 9, 10:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Adams, Buffalo, Clay, Hall, Hamilton, Kearney and 1 more	42 min
Aug 9, 10:29 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	GID	Franklin	12 hr
Aug 9, 10:48 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GID	Furnas	27 min
Aug 9, 11:02 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GID	Adams, Clay, Fillmore, Nuckolls, Webster	43 min
Aug 10, 3:59 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GID	Sherman	16 min
Aug 10, 5:05 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GID	Hall	25 min
Aug 9, 7:37 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Smith	38 min
Aug 9, 8:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Jewell, Smith	47 min
Aug 9, 8:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Smith	21 min
Aug 9, 8:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Jewell	46 min
Aug 9, 9:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Mitchell	44 min
Aug 9, 9:11 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	GID	Mitchell	4 hr
Aug 9, 9:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Jewell	47 min
Aug 9, 9:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Mitchell	43 min
Aug 9, 9:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Mitchell	26 min
Aug 9, 9:51 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	GID	Mitchell	3 hr
Aug 9, 10:05 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	GID	Jewell, Smith	6 hr
Aug 9, 10:09 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Osborne, Smith	25 min
Aug 9, 10:17 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GID	Mitchell	43 min

Nearby

Areal Flood Warnings in Kansas, 2014 Every areal flood warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.