Flash Flood Warning 32, NWS Fort Worth, TX

713 
WGUS74 KFWD 252120
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
420 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2014

TXC121-497-252215-
/O.CON.KFWD.FF.W.0032.000000T0000Z-140625T2215Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
DENTON TX-WISE TX-
420 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2014

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN WISE AND SOUTHERN DENTON COUNTIES...

ALTHOUGH THE HEAVY RAIN HAS COME TO AN END...EXCESSIVE RUNOFF WILL 
MAINTAIN THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING.

THE HEAVIEST RAIN HAS FALLEN IN WESTERN PORTIONS OF FLOWER MOUNT... 
WITHIN THE WATERSHED OF DENTON CREEK. OTHER SMALLER TRIBUTARIES ARE 
LIKELY SWOLLEN AND COULD OVERRUN NEARBY ROADWAYS. SOME LANES OF 
HIGHWAY 114 ARE IMPASSABLE. EVEN IF BARRICADES ARE NOT IN PLACE... 
DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. TAKE A DIFFERENT ROUTE TO REACH YOUR 
DESTINATION...OR WAIT UNTIL WATER RECEDES.

&&

LAT...LON 3313 9684 3299 9685 3299 9696 3300 9782
      3320 9768 3320 9715

$$


25

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
322 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
THE WET SUMMERTIME PATTERN CONTINUES ACROSS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
OCCURRING AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON. THE CONVECTION IS PRODUCING HEAVY
RAINFALL WHICH AGAIN WILL LEAD TO NUISANCE AND/OR FLASH FLOODING
IN SOME LOCATIONS. IN ADDITION...GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT
LIGHTING WILL CONTINUE TO BE THREATS AS WELL.

THE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON HAVE DEVELOPED UNDER TWO SEPARATE
REGIMES. MOST OF THE ACTIVITY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE CWA
TODAY HAS BEEN DRIVEN BY AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY MOVING NORTH FROM
CONVECTION IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS OVERNIGHT. STORMS ACROSS THE
NORTHWESTERN COUNTIES ARE BEING AIDED BY LIFT FROM AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE CURRENTLY APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST. THE
ATMOSPHERE ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWA...NORTH OF THE
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY...IS WEAKLY CAPPED WITH CAPE VALUES UP TO 2500
J/KG. STORMS NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY WILL HAVE A POTENTIAL TO
PRODUCE DAMAGING MICROBURST WINDS UP TO 60 MPH. EXPECT THE
CONVECTION TO CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS AND EVENTUALLY
DISSIPATE BEFORE MIDNIGHT...MORE LIKELY BY 9/10 PM.

ON THURSDAY... NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE WITH TROUGHING
ALOFT OVER MOST OF THE EASTERN HALF OF THE STATE. WITH THE
CONTINUED WEAKNESS ALOFT...RICH MOISTURE IN PLACE AND AN UNSTABLE
ATMOSPHERE...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED AGAIN TOMORROW. WEAK RIDGING MAY OCCUR OVER THE WESTERN
COUNTIES OF THE REGION SO KEPT THE HIGHEST POPS OVER THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE REGION. AGAIN...HEAVY RAINFALL CAUSING FLASH FLOODING
AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS.

ON FRIDAY...UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE AHEAD
OF A STRONGER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH COMING ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS.
HOWEVER...SOME UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING/WEAKNESS WILL REMAIN OVER THE
EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE. HAVE KEPT 20-30 POPS OVER THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA. THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL CROSS INTO
THE PLAINS ON SATURDAY RESULTING IN MORE RAIN CHANCES FOR THE
REGION. HAVE KEPT POPS ON THE LOWER END AGAIN AS THE UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH WILL PASS NORTH OF THE CWA BUT WITH THE BASE OF THE TROUGH
STILL GRAZING THE REGION...WE COULD SEE SOME ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND STORMS...ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS. SOME
ADDITIONAL ISOLATED CONVECTION COULD OCCUR SUNDAY AFTERNOON
BEFORE THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS IN EARLY NEXT WEEK. WILL ALSO
KEEP THE 20 POPS SUNDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE REGION BUT BEST
CHANCES MAY BE OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE REGION.

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST EARLY NEXT WEEK
BUT WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. THE FORECAST
FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK IS DRY FOR NOW WITH INCREASING TEMPERATURES
INTO THE MID AND UPPER 90S...POSSIBLY APPROACHING THE CENTURY MARK
IN THE FAR WESTERN COUNTIES BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.

82/JLD

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1230 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2014/
MVFR CIGS WILL LIFT TO VFR DURING THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO WITH
ADDITIONAL HEATING. OTHERWISE MAIN CONCERN IS CONVECTION DURING
THE AFTERNOON HOURS. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING IN FROM THE
WEST WILL PROVIDE LIFT WHILE AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY MOVING UP FROM
THE SOUTH SHOULD BE THE FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ON THIS
AFTERNOON. ALREADY HEATING HAS SPAWNED SOME ISOLATED STORMS IN THE
TRACON AREA...AND THUS WILL CONTINUE TO SHOW VCTS FROM 1830Z
THROUGH 22Z. AFTER 22Z...BELIEVE CONVECTIVE AFTERNOON ACTIVITY
WILL HAVE HELPED STABILIZE THE AIRMASS A BIT. CONFIDENCE IN TSRA
ON STATION IS NOT YET HIGH ENOUGH TO WARRANT AN INCLUSION OF A
TEMPO FOR LIMITED VSBY/TSRA BUT AMENDMENTS MAY BE FORTHCOMING
BASED ON RADAR TRENDS.

OTHERWISE VFR WILL PREVAIL THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BUT MVFR
STRATUS SHOULD RETURN LATE TONIGHT AROUND 9Z. AFTERNOON CONVECTION
POSSIBLE AGAIN TOMORROW...BUT CONFIDENCE NOT VERY HIGH ON TIMING
OR COVERAGE AT THIS POINT.

TR.92

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  72  87  72  89  74 /  50  30  20  20  20
WACO, TX              71  85  72  88  74 /  50  30  20  20  20
PARIS, TX             70  83  69  87  72 /  50  30  20  30  20
DENTON, TX            71  86  71  89  73 /  50  30  20  20  10
MCKINNEY, TX          71  85  71  88  73 /  50  30  20  20  20
DALLAS, TX            72  87  73  89  74 /  50  30  20  20  20
TERRELL, TX           74  84  74  88  76 /  50  30  20  30  20
CORSICANA, TX         71  84  72  88  74 /  50  40  20  30  20
TEMPLE, TX            71  84  72  88  74 /  50  40  20  20  20
MINERAL WELLS, TX     71  86  71  90  72 /  40  20  10  10  10

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

92/82

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
407 AM CDT WED JUN 25 2014

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-260915-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
407 AM CDT WED JUN 25 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
TEXAS TODAY AND TONIGHT. ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED...HOWEVER ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP DURING THE PEAK HEATING
HOURS OF THE DAY TODAY WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY
DAMAGING WINDS.

ALL THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING...AND
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY ACROSS
ALL OF NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS. THE CHANCES FOR STORMS WILL
GENERALLY BE GREATER IN THE AFTERNOON THAN IN THE OVERNIGHT OR
MORNING HOURS. NO ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THIS WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

CAVANAUGH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
320 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0310 PM     FLASH FLOOD      ARLINGTON               32.73N  97.12W
06/25/2014                   TARRANT            TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HIGH WATER RESCUES IN ARLINGTON NEAR NORTH COOPER STREET
            AND WEST RANDOL MILL ROAD