River Flood Warning 41, NWS Grand Forks, ND

578 
WGUS83 KFGF 191552
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
1052 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014


...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THESE RIVER LOCATIONS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

  * WAHPETON...ON THE RED RIVER...IN WILKIN AND RICHLAND COUNTIES
  * EAST GRAND FORKS...ON THE RED RIVER...IN POLK AND GRAND FORKS 
  COUNTIES
  * SABIN...ON THE S BR BUFFALO RIVER...IN CLAY COUNTY

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THESE RIVER LOCATIONS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

  * FARGO...ON THE RED RIVER ...IN CLAY AND CASS COUNTIES
  * OSLO...ON THE RED RIVER ...IN MARSHALL...WALSH...POLK AND GRAND 
  FORKS COUNTIES
  * HAWLEY...ON THE BUFFALO RIVER ...IN CLAY COUNTY
  * DILWORTH...ON THE BUFFALO RIVER ...IN CLAY COUNTY
  * HENDRUM...ON THE WILD RICE RIVER (MN) ...IN NORMAN COUNTY
  * ABERCROMBIE...ON THE WILD RICE RIVER (ND) ...IN RICHLAND COUNTY

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSE THE MAINSTEM RED RIVER AND MINNESOTA
TRIBUTARIES TO RISE...WITH 3 LOCATIONS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE
MODERATE FLOOD STAGE. FORECASTS INCLUDE EXPECTED PRECIPITATION OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. RIVER LEVELS WILL BE MONITORED FOR ANY OTHER 
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES...AND THE APPROPRIATE STATEMENTS WILL BE ISSUED
AS REQUIRED.

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED
  MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS EVENT.

  FORECASTS ARE UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW 
  WEATHER AND RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. RIVER FORECASTS USUALLY USE 
  24 HOURS OF EXPECTED PRECIPITATION BUT DEPENDING ON THE SITUATION 
  IT MAY INCLUDE PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 72 HOURS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC167-NDC077-201552-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-140624T1630Z/
/WHNN8.1.ER.140619T1415Z.140621T0000Z.140623T1030Z.NO/
1052 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...WAHPETON...ON THE RED RIVER.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 12.1 FEET SOMETIME 
  FRIDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY 
  MORNING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 12.1 FEET ON FRIDAY EVENING DURING 
  THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 12.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE...BANKFULL 
  STAGE. BRECKENRIDGE...STORM SEWER VALVES ARE CLOSED AND INTERIOR 
  PUMPING BEGINS.

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         06/20  06/21  06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26

RED RIVER
  WAHPETON          11.8   12.1   11.9   10.9   10.1    9.9    9.8


LAT...LON 4602 9672 4603 9641 4650 9663 4650 9684


$$

MNC027-NDC017-201552-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FGON8.2.ER.140616T2015Z.140623T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1052 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...FARGO...ON THE RED RIVER.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MODERATE 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 26.5 FEET SOMETIME 
  MONDAY MID-MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 26.5 FEET ON MONDAY MID-MORNING
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 28.0 FEET, FARGO...12TH STREET TOLL BRIDGE 
  IS CLOSED. CONSTRUCTION BEGINS ON THE DIKE TO PROTECT SEWAGE 
  TREATMENT PLANT IF FORECAST IS ABOVE 34 FEET. MOORHEAD...15TH 
  AVENUE NORTH RIVER BRIDGE IS CLOSED. 

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         06/20  06/21  06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26

RED RIVER
  FARGO             23.4   24.8   25.9   26.5   26.2   25.2   24.1


LAT...LON 4715 9673 4724 9683 4724 9694 4676 9689 4677 9671


$$

MNC119-NDC035-201552-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/EGFM5.1.ER.140618T0537Z.140624T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1052 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...EAST GRAND FORKS...ON THE RED RIVER.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 32.5 FEET SOMETIME 
  EARLY TUESDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 32.5 FEET ON EARLY TUESDAY MORNING 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 33.0 FEET, AGRICULTURAL FLOODING BEGINS 
  ALONG THE RED RIVER OF THE NORTH BETWEEN GRAND FORKS (RIVER MILE 
  296) AND OSLO (RIVER MILE 271).

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         06/20  06/21  06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26

RED RIVER
  EAST GRAND FORKS  31.1   31.5   32.1   32.3   32.5   32.4   32.1


LAT...LON 4768 9674 4807 9698 4810 9719 4767 9699


$$

MNC089-119-NDC035-099-201551-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OSLM5.2.ER.140618T2049Z.140625T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1052 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...OSLO...ON THE RED RIVER.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MODERATE 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 31.0 FEET SOMETIME 
  TUESDAY EVENING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 31.0 FEET ON TUESDAY EVENING DURING 
  THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 30.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         06/20  06/21  06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26

RED RIVER
  OSLO              28.9   29.8   30.4   30.8   30.9   31.0   30.9


LAT...LON 4810 9721 4807 9698 4846 9706 4848 9725


$$

MNC027-201551-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-140627T0600Z/
/SABM5.1.ER.140618T0306Z.140621T1800Z.140626T0000Z.NO/
1052 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...SABIN...ON THE S BR BUFFALO RIVER.
* UNTIL FRIDAY JUNE 27...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 14.5 FEET SOMETIME 
  SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 14.5 FEET ON SATURDAY EARLY 
  AFTERNOON DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 14.2 FEET, ROAD TO ACCESS GAGE FLOODS.

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         06/20  06/21  06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26

S. BUFFALO RIVER
  SABIN             14.2   14.4   14.5   14.2   13.5   12.5   11.5


LAT...LON 4663 9666 4663 9650 4686 9657 4689 9670


$$

MNC027-201551-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0041.140620T0300Z-140625T1800Z/
/HWYM5.1.ER.140620T0300Z.140621T1200Z.140624T1200Z.NO/
1052 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...HAWLEY...ON THE BUFFALO RIVER.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  9:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 7.5 FEET BY SATURDAY MID-MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY MID-MORNING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 7.5 FEET ON SATURDAY MID-MORNING 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 8.0 FEET, PARTS OF HAWLEY CITY PARK BEGIN 
  TO FLOOD.

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         06/20  06/21  06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26

BUFFALO RIVER
  HAWLEY             7.2    7.5    7.4    7.2    7.0    6.8    6.6


LAT...LON 4701 9603 4692 9650 4684 9652 4680 9633 4690 9601


$$

MNC027-201551-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DILM5.1.ER.140617T2130Z.140623T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1052 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...DILWORTH...ON THE BUFFALO RIVER.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 18.0 FEET SOMETIME 
  SUNDAY EVENING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 18.0 FEET ON SUNDAY EVENING DURING 
  THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 17.0 FEET, SOME AGRICULTURAL FLOODING 
  BEGINS.

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         06/20  06/21  06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH          15.8   17.3   17.9   18.0   17.9   17.4   15.9


LAT...LON 4715 9682 4704 9681 4689 9669 4684 9652 4692 9650


$$

MNC107-201551-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0042.140621T0959Z-140626T2100Z/
/HNDM5.1.ER.140621T0959Z.140623T0600Z.140625T1500Z.NO/
1052 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...HENDRUM...ON THE WILD RICE RIVER (MN).
* FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT TO THURSDAY JUNE 26...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 21.0 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 21.0 FEET ON EARLY MONDAY MORNING 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 20.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR.

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         06/20  06/21  06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26

WILD RICE RIVER
  HENDRUM           19.0   20.1   20.7   21.0   20.7   20.1   19.1


LAT...LON 4734 9683 4724 9684 4715 9673 4722 9653 4732 9656


$$

NDC077-201551-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0040.140619T1855Z-140624T1400Z/
/ABRN8.2.ER.140619T1855Z.140621T0600Z.140623T0800Z.NO/
1052 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...ABERCROMBIE...ON THE WILD RICE RIVER (ND).
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO TUESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 10:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 13.5 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 13.5 FEET ON EARLY SATURDAY MORNING 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 15.0 FEET, SOME LOCAL FLOODING BEGINS ON 
  RURAL ROADS AND APPROACHES TO BRIDGES.

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         06/20  06/21  06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26

WILD RICE RIVER
  ABERCROMBIE       12.7   13.5   12.7    9.4    7.1    5.8    5.0


LAT...LON 4611 9712 4612 9664 4663 9679 4663 9696


$$

375 
WGUS83 KFGF 200136
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
836 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014


...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THESE RIVER LOCATIONS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

  * SABIN...ON THE S BR BUFFALO RIVER...IN CLAY COUNTY
  * HAWLEY...ON THE BUFFALO RIVER...IN CLAY COUNTY
  * HENDRUM...ON THE WILD RICE RIVER (MN)...IN NORMAN COUNTY
  * ABERCROMBIE...ON THE WILD RICE RIVER (ND)...IN RICHLAND COUNTY

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THESE RIVER LOCATIONS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

  * WAHPETON...ON THE RED RIVER ...IN WILKIN AND RICHLAND COUNTIES
  * FARGO...ON THE RED RIVER ...IN CLAY AND CASS COUNTIES
  * EAST GRAND FORKS...ON THE RED RIVER ...IN POLK AND GRAND FORKS 
  COUNTIES
  * OSLO...ON THE RED RIVER ...IN MARSHALL...WALSH...POLK AND GRAND 
  FORKS COUNTIES
  * DILWORTH...ON THE BUFFALO RIVER ...IN CLAY COUNTY

.runoff from the previous round of heavy rainfall in addition to additional
rain which fell thursday night into friday will continue to keep the mainstem
red river and some area tributaries above flood stage.  

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED
  MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS EVENT.

  FORECASTS ARE UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW 
  WEATHER AND RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. RIVER FORECASTS USUALLY USE 
  24 HOURS OF EXPECTED PRECIPITATION BUT DEPENDING ON THE SITUATION 
  IT MAY INCLUDE PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 72 HOURS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC167-NDC077-211336-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-140624T1630Z/
/WHNN8.1.ER.140619T1415Z.140621T0000Z.140623T1030Z.NO/
836 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...WAHPETON...ON THE RED RIVER.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 12.1 FEET SOMETIME 
  FRIDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY 
  MORNING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 12.1 ON FRIDAY EVENING DURING 
  THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 12.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE...BANKFULL 
  STAGE.BRECKENRIDGE...STORM SEWER VALVES ARE CLOSED AND INTERIOR 
  PUMPING BEGINS.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         06/20  06/21  06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26

RED RIVER
  WAHPETON          12.1   12.1   11.5   10.3    9.9    9.8    9.6


LAT...LON 4602 9672 4603 9641 4650 9663 4650 9684


$$

MNC027-NDC017-211336-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FGON8.2.ER.140616T2015Z.140623T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
836 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...FARGO...ON THE RED RIVER.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MODERATE 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 26.5 FEET SOMETIME 
  MONDAY MID-MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 26.5 ON MONDAY MID-MORNING DURING
  THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST BETWEEN 25.0 AND 27.0 FEET
  EARLY NEXT WEEK.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 28.0 FEET, FARGO...F-M TOLL BRIDGE OVER RRN
  CLOSED (12TH AVENUE N). CONSTRUCTION BEGINS ON THE DIKE TO PROTECT 
  SEWAGE TREATMENT PLANT IF FORECAST IS ABOVE 34 FEET. MOORHEAD...F-M
  TOLL BRIDGE OVER RRN CLOSED (15TH AVENUE NORTH). 

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         06/20  06/21  06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26

RED RIVER
  FARGO             24.5   25.6   26.3   26.5   25.7   24.6   23.3


LAT...LON 4715 9673 4724 9683 4724 9694 4676 9689 4677 9671


$$

MNC119-NDC035-211336-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/EGFM5.1.ER.140618T0537Z.140624T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
836 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...EAST GRAND FORKS...ON THE RED RIVER.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 32.5 FEET SOMETIME 
  EARLY TUESDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 32.5 ON EARLY TUESDAY MORNING 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 33.0 FEET, AGRICULTURAL FLOODING BEGINS 
  ALONG THE RED RIVER OF THE NORTH BETWEEN GRAND FORKS (RIVER MILE 
  296) AND OSLO (RIVER MILE 271).

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         06/20  06/21  06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26

RED RIVER
  EAST GRAND FORKS  31.3   31.8   32.2   32.4   32.5   32.3   31.7


LAT...LON 4768 9674 4807 9698 4810 9719 4767 9699


$$

MNC089-119-NDC035-099-211336-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OSLM5.2.ER.140618T2049Z.140625T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
836 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...OSLO...ON THE RED RIVER.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MODERATE 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 31.0 FEET SOMETIME 
  TUESDAY EVENING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 31.0 ON TUESDAY EVENING DURING 
  THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 30.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         06/20  06/21  06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26

RED RIVER
  OSLO              29.1   30.0   30.6   30.9   31.0   30.9   30.5


LAT...LON 4810 9721 4807 9698 4846 9706 4848 9725


$$

MNC027-211335-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-140627T0300Z/
/SABM5.1.ER.140618T0306Z.140622T0000Z.140625T2100Z.NO/
836 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...SABIN...ON THE S BR BUFFALO RIVER.
* UNTIL THURSDAY JUNE 26...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 14.4 FEET SOMETIME 
  SATURDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY 
  AFTERNOON.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 14.4 ON SATURDAY EVENING DURING 
  THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 14.2 FEET, ROAD TO ACCESS GAGE FLOODS.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         06/20  06/21  06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26

S. BUFFALO RIVER
  SABIN             14.1   14.4   14.3   13.7   12.8   11.9   10.9


LAT...LON 4663 9666 4663 9650 4686 9657 4689 9670


$$

MNC027-211335-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0041.140620T0600Z-140623T1200Z/
/HWYM5.1.ER.140620T0600Z.140620T1800Z.140622T0600Z.NO/
836 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...HAWLEY...ON THE BUFFALO RIVER.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO MONDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  7:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 7.2 FEET BY FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 7.2 ON FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 7.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         06/20  06/21  06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26

BUFFALO RIVER
  HAWLEY             7.2    7.0    6.7    6.5    6.2    6.0    5.8


LAT...LON 4701 9603 4692 9650 4684 9652 4680 9633 4690 9601


$$

MNC027-211335-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DILM5.1.ER.140617T2130Z.140623T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
836 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...DILWORTH...ON THE BUFFALO RIVER.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 17.9 FEET SOMETIME 
  EARLY MONDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 17.9 ON EARLY MONDAY MORNING 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 17.0 FEET, SOME AGRICULTURAL FLOODING 
  BEGINS.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         06/20  06/21  06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH          16.4   17.6   17.8   17.9   17.4   16.7   15.4


LAT...LON 4715 9682 4704 9681 4689 9669 4684 9652 4692 9650


$$

MNC107-211335-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0042.140622T0000Z-140625T1800Z/
/HNDM5.1.ER.140622T0000Z.140623T0000Z.140624T1200Z.NO/
836 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...HENDRUM...ON THE WILD RICE RIVER (MN).
* FROM SATURDAY EVENING TO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 20.5 FEET BY SUNDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY MID-MORNING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 20.5 ON SUNDAY EVENING DURING 
  THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 20.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         06/20  06/21  06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26

WILD RICE RIVER
  HENDRUM           19.2   20.0   20.5   20.3   19.7   19.1   17.8


LAT...LON 4734 9683 4724 9684 4715 9673 4722 9653 4732 9656


$$

NDC077-211335-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-140624T2200Z/
/ABRN8.2.ER.140619T1727Z.140620T1800Z.140623T1600Z.NO/
836 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...ABERCROMBIE...ON THE WILD RICE RIVER (ND).
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.4 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...
  MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 13.6 FEET SOMETIME 
  FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  MONDAY MORNING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 13.6 ON FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 15.0 FEET, SOME LOCAL FLOODING BEGINS ON 
  RURAL ROADS AND APPROACHES TO BRIDGES.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         06/20  06/21  06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26

WILD RICE RIVER
  ABERCROMBIE       13.6   12.5   10.9    9.5    8.3    7.3    6.6


LAT...LON 4611 9712 4612 9664 4663 9679 4663 9696


$$

126 
WGUS83 KFGF 201548
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
1048 AM CDT FRI JUN 20 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS NOW CANCELLED FOR THESE RIVER LOCATIONS IN 
MINNESOTA...

  * HAWLEY...ON THE BUFFALO RIVER...IN CLAY COUNTY

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THESE RIVER LOCATIONS IN 
MINNESOTA...

  * HENDRUM...ON THE WILD RICE RIVER (MN)...IN NORMAN COUNTY

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THESE RIVER LOCATIONS IN 
MINNESOTA...

  * SABIN...ON THE S BR BUFFALO RIVER ...IN CLAY COUNTY
  * DILWORTH...ON THE BUFFALO RIVER ...IN CLAY COUNTY
 
.RIVER STAGES WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN ABOVE MINOR FLOOD STAGE
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS ON THE BUFFALO AND S BR BUFFALO RIVERS NEAR 
DILWORTH AND SABIN FROM THE RECENT RAINFALL...WHILE AT HAWLEY
RIVER LEVELS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED BELOW MINOR FLOOD STAGE INTO
THE WEEKEND. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE EXPECTED INTO MINOR FLOOD STAGE
ON THE WILD RICE RIVER AT HENDRUM INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. 

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED
  MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS EVENT.

  FORECASTS ARE UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW 
  WEATHER AND RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. RIVER FORECASTS USUALLY USE 
  24 HOURS OF EXPECTED PRECIPITATION BUT DEPENDING ON THE SITUATION 
  IT MAY INCLUDE PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 72 HOURS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC027-211548-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-140627T0300Z/
/SABM5.1.ER.140618T0306Z.140622T0000Z.140625T2100Z.NO/
1048 AM CDT FRI JUN 20 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...SABIN...ON THE S BR BUFFALO RIVER.
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 14.4 FEET SOMETIME 
  SATURDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE DURING THE MIDDLE
  OF NEXT WEEK.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 14.2 FEET, ROAD TO ACCESS GAGE FLOODS.

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         06/21  06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27

S. BUFFALO RIVER
  SABIN             14.3   14.4   14.0   13.3   12.3   11.4   10.6


LAT...LON 4663 9666 4663 9650 4686 9657 4689 9670


$$

MNC027-201618-
/O.CAN.KFGF.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-140623T1200Z/
/HWYM5.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1048 AM CDT FRI JUN 20 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR...
* ...HAWLEY...ON THE BUFFALO RIVER.
* AT  9:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 6.8 FEET 
  FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL GRADUALLY DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 7.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR.

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         06/21  06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27

BUFFALO RIVER
  HAWLEY             6.7    6.5    6.3    6.2    6.0    5.9    5.7


LAT...LON 4701 9603 4692 9650 4684 9652 4680 9633 4690 9601


$$

MNC027-211548-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DILM5.1.ER.140617T2130Z.140622T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1048 AM CDT FRI JUN 20 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...DILWORTH...ON THE BUFFALO RIVER.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 18.7 FEET SOMETIME 
  LATE THIS WEEKEND THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 20.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         06/21  06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH          17.7   18.6   18.7   18.3   17.6   16.1   14.1


LAT...LON 4715 9682 4704 9681 4689 9669 4684 9652 4692 9650


$$

MNC107-211548-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0042.140622T1200Z-140625T0600Z/
/HNDM5.1.ER.140622T1200Z.140623T0000Z.140624T0000Z.NO/
1048 AM CDT FRI JUN 20 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...HENDRUM...ON THE WILD RICE RIVER (MN).
* FROM SUNDAY MORNING TO LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS
  CANCELLED.
* AT  9:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE WEEKEND AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 20.2 FEET BY SUNDAY EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         06/21  06/22  06/23  06/24  06/25  06/26  06/27

WILD RICE RIVER
  HENDRUM           19.3   20.0   20.1   19.7   19.1   18.1   16.6


LAT...LON 4734 9683 4724 9684 4715 9673 4722 9653 4732 9656


$$

JAM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
931 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 930 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

THE MAIN CHALLENGE TODAY WILL BE CONVECTION AND IF ANY SEVERE
STORMS WILL DEVELOP. A SFC LOW WILL SLOWLY LIFT FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH THROUGH THE VALLEY TODAY. THERE WILL ALSO BE A STRONG
SHORTWAVE WITH AMPLE DEEP LAYERED MOISTURE WITH PWATS FROM 1.50 TO
1.75 ALONG AND EAST OF THE VALLEY. THERE WILL ALSO BE A NARROW
AREA ALONG THE OCCLUSION FROM NEAR GFK THROUGH CKN INTO THE
SOUTHEAST WHERE THERE WILL BE SOME SFC INSTABILITY AND CAPE AROUND
1000 J/KG THIS AFTERNOON...IF WE CAN GET SOME SUNSHINE. THERE
COULD ALSO BE THE THREAT OF A TORNADO NEAR THE BEST LOW LEVEL
SHEAR AREA JUST NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY...AGAIN NEAR ANY SUNNY BREAKS.
THE BEST DEEP LAYERED SHEAR AROUND 40-45KT IS BEHIND THE BEST
INSTABILITY...BUT THERE COULD BE AN AREA WHERE THERE IS SOME
OVERLAP OF SHEAR/INSTABILITY AND A FEW STRONG TO LOCALLY SEVERE
STORMS ARE POSSIBLE. THE MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE ALSO FAIRLY
WEAK...SO THAT WOULD ALSO LIMIT THE STRENGTH OF UPDRAFTS. WILL ADD
SOME HEAVY RAIN MENTION MAINLY IN THE NORTH AND EAST LATER THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING...GIVEN THE VERY HIGH PWATS AND GOOD
FORCING WITH THE WAVE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 414 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

THE MAIN CONCERNS WILL BE FLASH FLOOD THREAT AND SEVERE THREAT.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES A COUPLE WAVES UPSTREAM THAT WILL BE
HEADED THIS WAY. THE CURRENT ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG 850MB
JET (WARM AIR ADVECTION) SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND MOVE TO THE
NORTHEAST. THE NEXT UPPER WAVE IS CURRENTLY (09Z) ABOUT TO ENTER
SOUTH DAKOTA. ANTICIPATE THAT THIS SIGNIFICANT IMPULSE WILL
PROPAGATE NORTHWARD ALONG THE VALLEY. THE NEXT UPPER WAVE WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST LATER THIS AFTERNOON...AND PUSH THE SFC
TROUGH THROUGH THE AREA FROM WEST TO EAST. THE GENERAL IDEA IS
THAT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY WITHIN THE VALLEY
THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON (ASSOCIATED WITH THE FIRST
WAVE). NOT SURE WHAT HAPPENS AFTER THAT IMPULSE MOVES INTO
CANADA...BUT THERE SHOULD BE ACTIVITY EAST OF THE VALLEY LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING (ASSOCIATED WITH THE SECOND WAVE).

THE MAIN CONCERN WILL LIKELY BE HEAVY RAIN...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN RED RIVER VALLEY (WHERE 1-3 INCHES FELL OVER THE PAST 6
HOURS). MUCAPE ACROSS THIS AREA IS 1000-2000 J/KG...WITH PWATS 1.5
TO 1.8 INCHES. THE MAIN AREA OF FORCING APPEARS TO BE HEADED RIGHT
INTO THIS AREA...AND A QUICK 2-3 INCHES WILL CAUSE PROBLEMS.
INCLUDED LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE FORECAST...AND IF THE
CURRENT STORMS START TO SLOW DOWN...WILL NEED TO CONSIDER A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH FOR THE MORNING HOURS.

THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT WILL LIKELY BE THIS MORNING WITH THE
COMPLEX HEADED NORTH ACROSS EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA. WIND IS LIKELY
THE MAIN THREAT WITH A 500MB JET STREAK OF NEAR 50 KNOTS
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS COMPLEX. THIS COMPLEX SHOULD WEAKEN AS IT
MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN VALLEY (MOVING INTO A MORE STABLE
AIRMASS)...JUST NOT SURE HOW FAR NORTH IT WILL REMAIN STRONG.

FOR THIS AFTERNOON...SEVERE POTENTIAL DEPENDS ON ACTUAL
INSTABILITY...WHICH MODELS INDICATE WILL NOT BE STRONG ENOUGH...WE
SHALL SEE. DEEP LAYER SHEAR WOULD BE SUPPORTIVE OF STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS.

FRIDAY WILL BE MUCH QUIETER.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 414 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

FRIDAY NIGHT-SATURDAY NIGHT...UPPER LOW WILL REMAIN TO THE NORTH.
THERE IS NOT ANY STRONG FORCING MECHANISMS...BUT WITH TEMPS ALOFT
COOLER AND DAYTIME HEATING SHOULD BE AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ON
SATURDAY.

SUNDAY-WEDNESDAY...WITH ONGOING CONVECTION DID NOT
SPEND MUCH TIME LOOKING AT DAYS 4 AND BEYOND. SOME MINOR
SHORTWAVES ROLLING THROUGH COULD BRING SOME SMALL CHANCES FOR
PRECIP THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK. BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD...MODELS DIVERGE WITH THE ECMWF BRINGING ANOTHER UPPER LOW
THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY WHILE THE GFS IS MUCH WEAKER AND DRIER. FOR
THIS REASON AND WITH TIME CONSTRAINTS KEPT THE LOW POPS THAT THE
BLENDED MODEL GIVES US. TEMPS SHOULD BE FAIRLY CLOSE TO SEASONAL
VALUES.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 655 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

THERE WILL BE PERIODS OF SHOWERS (MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE
VALLEY)...ALONG WITH SOME MVFR CIGS. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE
TONIGHT.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...NONE.
MN...NONE.
&&

UPDATE...DK
SHORT TERM...TG
LONG TERM...TG/JR
AVIATION...TG

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
534 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-201300-
WEST POLK-NORMAN-CLAY-KITTSON-ROSEAU-LAKE OF THE WOODS-
WEST MARSHALL-EAST MARSHALL-NORTH BELTRAMI-PENNINGTON-RED LAKE-
EAST POLK-NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN-
SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-WILKIN-
WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-TOWNER-CAVALIER-
PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY-EASTERN WALSH-EDDY-NELSON-GRAND FORKS-
GRIGGS-STEELE-TRAILL-BARNES-CASS-RANSOM-SARGENT-RICHLAND-
WESTERN WALSH-
534 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY BE
STRONG TO SEVERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE. THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE
STORMS IS RELATIVELY LOW...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

TG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
638 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1130 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 N MOORHEAD            46.91N 96.76W
06/18/2014  M1.13 INCH       CLAY               MN   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

HOPKINS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
656 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1130 PM     HEAVY RAIN       6 S COOPERSTOWN         47.36N 98.12W
06/18/2014  M1.12 INCH       GRIGGS             ND   PUBLIC

&&

HOPKINS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
657 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1130 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 SE BRECKENRIDGE       46.23N 96.54W
06/18/2014  M1.69 INCH       WILKIN             MN   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

HOPKINS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
725 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0724 AM     HEAVY RAIN       ROTHSAY                 46.47N 96.29W
06/19/2014  M1.74 INCH       WILKIN             MN   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

HOPKINS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
817 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 SSE BRECKENRIDGE      46.24N 96.57W
06/19/2014                   WILKIN             MN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WIDESPREAD STREET FLOODING OCCURRED IN BRECKENRIDGE
            PROPER. DITCHES...FIELDS AND FARM ACCESS ROADS WERE
            BRIEFLY FLOODED JUST SOUTH OF TOWN ALONG HIGHWAY 9.

&&

GGUST

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
951 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1050 PM     HAIL             2 NE FORT RANSOM        46.55N 97.90W
06/18/2014  E1.25 INCH       RANSOM             ND   TRAINED SPOTTER

            VERY HEAVY RAIN WITH NUMEROUS NICKEL TO HALF DOLLAR SIZED
            HAIL STONES. HAIL FELL OFF AND ON FOR A FEW MINUTES.

1115 PM     HAIL             2 W ENDERLIN            46.62N 97.64W
06/18/2014  E1.00 INCH       RANSOM             ND   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LOTS OF SMALL BRANCHES AND LEAVES KNOCKED DOWN BY THE
            HAIL.

1130 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 N MOORHEAD            46.91N 96.76W
06/18/2014  M1.13 INCH       CLAY               MN   CO-OP OBSERVER

            STORM TOTAL.

1130 PM     HEAVY RAIN       6 S COOPERSTOWN         47.36N 98.12W
06/18/2014  M1.12 INCH       GRIGGS             ND   PUBLIC

            STORM TOTAL.

1130 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 SE BRECKENRIDGE       46.23N 96.54W
06/18/2014  M1.69 INCH       WILKIN             MN   CO-OP OBSERVER

            STORM TOTAL.

1130 PM     HEAVY RAIN       4 S MOORETON            46.21N 96.88W
06/18/2014  E2.40 INCH       RICHLAND           ND   PUBLIC

            STORM TOTAL.

0220 AM     FLASH FLOOD      WAHPETON                46.27N 96.61W
06/19/2014                   RICHLAND           ND   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED 2.5 INCHES OF RAIN HAD FALLEN
            AND A LOT OF STREET FLOODING WAS OCCURRING. STORM TOTAL.

0300 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 SSE BRECKENRIDGE      46.24N 96.57W
06/19/2014                   WILKIN             MN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WIDESPREAD STREET FLOODING OCCURRED IN BRECKENRIDGE
            PROPER. DITCHES...FIELDS AND FARM ACCESS ROADS WERE
            BRIEFLY FLOODED JUST SOUTH OF TOWN ALONG HIGHWAY 9.

0724 AM     HEAVY RAIN       ROTHSAY                 46.47N 96.29W
06/19/2014  M1.74 INCH       WILKIN             MN   CO-OP OBSERVER

            STORM TOTAL.

&&

GGUST