Alert archive / Georgia / Special Weather Statements in 2014

Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

August 18, 2014Newton County, Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this special weather statement at Aug 18, 2014, 5:37 PM EDT for Newton County, Georgia. It was in force for 23 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Aug 18, 2014, 5:37 PM EDT (21:37 UTC)
Expired: Aug 18, 2014, 6:00 PM EDT
In force: 23 min
Issued by: NWS Atlanta, GA

County Newton County, GA

The radar

The Atlanta radar (KFFC), 69 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 9.6 hours before the alert went out and 63 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1076 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -57 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 674 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 31 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 21 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Aug 18, 3:20 PM EDT, 2 hours 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 18, 3:20 PM EDT, 2 hours 17 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
320 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2014

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY STRETCHES FROM THE TN VALLEY TO THE
SOUTHERN MID ATLANTIC STATES. A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS SITUATED
ACROSS NORTHERN FL. 500MB ANALYSIS AND WV LOOP SHOWS A POTENT
SHORTWAVE MOVING EAST ACROSS NORTHERN MS. THIS FEATURE WILL BE THE
FOCUS FOR LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING CONVECTION ACROSS THE CWFA.

THE 16Z HRRR HAS THE BEST HANDLE ON THE ONGOING CONVECTION THIS
AFTERNOON. HAVE TRIED TO ORIENT THE POPS ACCORDING TO CURRENT RADAR
TRENDS AND CLOSE TO THE HRRR SOLUTION. GOOD INSTABILITY DOES EXIST
AT THE SURFACE...BUT LAPSE RATES REMAIN POOR UNTIL THE COLD POOL
ALOFT MOVES OVERHEAD. BY THE TIME THE SHORTWAVE NEARS THE
CWFA...INSTABILITY HAS DECREASED WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING.
HOWEVER...WITH UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW...STORMS MAY MOVE REPEATEDLY OVER
THE SAME AREAS...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE. AREAS TO THE
NORTH RECEIVED ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAINFALL OVERNIGHT/EARLY THIS
MORNING...SO ANY TRAINING STORMS OR HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE SOME
LOCALIZED FLOODING.

BY EARLY TUESDAY...THE POTENT EVENING/OVERNIGHT SHORTWAVE WILL HAVE
MOVED OFF TO THE EAST. MODELS ARE PROGGING ANOTHER...WEAKER...
SHORTWAVE TO MOVE EAST IN THE FLOW TOMORROW. CONFIDENCE IS LOW ON
EXACTLY WHERE CONVECTION WILL DEVELOP TOMORROW.

NLISTEMAA

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
LONG TERM FORECAST IS ON TRACK AND HAVE NOT MADE SIGNIFICANT
ADJUSTMENTS. ONE ADDITIONAL POINT TO NOTE IS THAT HEAT INDEX VALUES
ARE CREEPING ABOVE 100 DEGREES SOUTH OF AN ATLANTA TO ATHENS
LINE...WITH PORTIONS OF CENTRAL GEORGIA APPROACHING 105 DEGREES
DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...MAY
NEED A HEAT ADVISORY FOR THESE 105-108 DEGREE VALUES ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST PART OF THE CWA.

11/ATWELL

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
00Z GFS AND ECMWF ARE IN UNCOMMONLY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE
EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD AND CONTINUE THE RECENT TREND OF BUILDING
UPPER-LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE INTO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION AND
LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY FROM MID-WEEK THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. BY THE
WEEKEND THE UPPER RIDGE IS QUITE STRONG...BUT GEORGIA REMAINS ON THE
EASTERN PERIPHERY. THIS SHOULD ALLOW VERY WARM TEMPERATURES AND
INHIBIT DIURNAL CONVECTION SOMEWHAT...BUT I DO NOT BELIEVE THE
FORECAST AREA IS CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE CENTER OF THE RIDGE TO
ELIMINATE POPS ALTOGETHER.

20

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 127 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2014/

AVIATION...
18Z UPDATE...
SCATTERED CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED IN AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED
THE BETTER HEATING THIS MORNING. NO REAL FOCUSING MECHANISM AT THE
SURFACE OR ALOFT. POTENT SHORTWAVE ACROSS NORTHERN MS WILL MOVE
EAST ACROSS AL THIS AFTERNOON. MORE ORGANIZED PRECIP IS POSSIBLE
WITH THIS FEATURE...BUT THE HI-RES MODELS DON'T HAVE A GREAT
HANDLE ON THE SITUATION. WILL LEAVE OUT ANY TEMPO/PROB GROUPS AT
THIS TIME. MODELS ALSO HAVE SOME LOW CLOUDS DEVELOPING...BUT IT
MAY BE LATER DUE TO ANY PRECIP.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ALL ELEMENTS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          73  91  72  97 /  50  40  30  10
ATLANTA         74  88  73  94 /  40  40  30  10
BLAIRSVILLE     67  84  67  90 /  50  40  30  20
CARTERSVILLE    72  89  71  94 /  50  40  30  10
COLUMBUS        75  92  73  96 /  60  40  30  10
GAINESVILLE     72  89  71  94 /  50  40  30  10
MACON           75  92  72  97 /  50  40  30  10
ROME            72  89  71  95 /  60  40  30  20
PEACHTREE CITY  73  89  71  94 /  50  40  30  10
VIDALIA         77  95  74  97 /  50  40  30  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM....ATWELL
AVIATION...NLISTEMAA

Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 18, 10:32 AM EDT, 7 hours 5 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1032 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2014

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-191445-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
1032 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

THE MAIN THREAT FROM ANY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE GUSTY
WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN...SMALL HAIL...AND OCCASIONAL TO
FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

DISCUSSION...
INSTABILITY WILL BE SUFFICIENT ACROSS THE AREA FOR A FEW STRONG
STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM
CANNOT BE RULE OUT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST INTO
TONIGHT. WILL HAVE TO CLOSELY MONITOR RAINFALL AMOUNTS FOR
LOCALIZED FLOODING GIVEN POTENTIAL FOR TRAINING AND MULTIPLE
ROUNDS OF PRECIPITATION TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE EACH DAY...MAINLY IN THE
AFTERNOONS AND EVENINGS.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

THE MAIN THREAT FROM ANY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN...
OCCASIONAL TO FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS.

DISCUSSION...

ALTHOUGH WEAK UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING WILL INHIBIT THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT SOMEWHAT BY WEDNESDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND...ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EACH DAY...MAINLY IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. INSTABILITY IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE SUFFICIENT
FOR WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT STRONG TO SEVERE WEATHER VIA THE
WEB AT WEATHER.GOV/ATLANTA.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 18, 12:19 PM EDT, 5 hours 18 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1219 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2014

GAZ038-050-181700-
1219 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR PEA SIZED HAIL AND 40 MPH WINDS
IN OGLETHORPE AND GREENE COUNTIES UNTIL 100 PM EDT...

AT 1213 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER WRAYSWOOD...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE PEA SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AS
IT MOVES ACROSS OGLETHORPE AND GREENE COUNTIES THROUGH 100 PM EDT.
SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE WRAYSWOOD...
GRESHAMVILLE...PENFIELD...STEPHENS...MAXEYS...WOODVILLE.. .UNION
POINT...JACKSONVILLE...PHILOMATH AND DANIEL SPRINGS. HEAVY DOWNPOURS
WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3369 8300 3365 8295 3362 8298 3362 8300
      3360 8299 3357 8301 3362 8336 3368 8340
      3371 8339 3374 8329 3379 8328 3382 8330
      3382 8296 3378 8299 3373 8295
TIME...MOT...LOC 1619Z 274DEG 20KT 3372 8322

Special weather statement, Aug 18, 1:35 PM EDT, 4 hours 2 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
135 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2014

GAZ102-103-181800-
135 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR PEA SIZED HAIL AND 40 MPH WINDS
IN WEBSTER AND STEWART COUNTIES UNTIL 200 PM EDT...

AT 129 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF OMAHA TO 12 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF SANFORD...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE PEA SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AS THEY MOVE
ACROSS WEBSTER AND STEWART COUNTIES THROUGH 200 PM EDT. SOME
LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE OMAHA...FLORENCE MARINA
STATE PARK...PROVIDENCE CANYON STATE PARK...SANFORD...CHARLES...
LUMPKIN...LEVERETTS...KIMBROUGH...SEMINOLE...CENTERPOINT...WESTON...
PRESTON...TROUTMAN...BROOKLYN AND LOUVALE. HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL CAUSE
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

THESE WIND GUSTS MAY PRODUCE MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOW
LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS AROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 3192 8492 3195 8497 3197 8497 3197 8504
      3200 8507 3209 8506 3213 8507 3223 8497
      3224 8492 3222 8481 3223 8462 3219 8460
      3219 8457 3203 8449 3191 8457
TIME...MOT...LOC 1735Z 276DEG 22KT 3225 8505 3207 8495
          3188 8507

Special weather statement, Aug 18, 1:59 PM EDT, 3 hours 38 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
159 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2014

GAZ102-103-181830-
159 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR PEA SIZED HAIL AND 45 MPH WINDS
IN WEBSTER AND STEWART COUNTIES UNTIL 230 PM EDT...

AT 156 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF LOUVALE TO 11 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF WESTVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE PEA SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH AS THEY MOVE
ACROSS WEBSTER AND STEWART COUNTIES THROUGH 230 PM EDT. SOME
LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE CHARLES...WESTVILLE...
LOUVALE...LUMPKIN...KIMBROUGH...TROUTMAN...BROOKLYN...RICHLAND...
RENFROE...WESTON...SEMINOLE...CENTERPOINT...LEVERETTS AND PRESTON.
HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

THESE WIND GUSTS MAY PRODUCE MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOW
LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS AROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 3193 8493 3193 8494 3205 8489 3223 8495
      3224 8492 3223 8482 3222 8481 3223 8480
      3224 8462 3219 8460 3219 8456 3215 8453
      3204 8450 3191 8455
TIME...MOT...LOC 1759Z 272DEG 29KT 3223 8487 3206 8480
          3191 8487

Special weather statement, Aug 18, 3:21 PM EDT, 2 hours 16 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Aug 18, 4:47 PM EDT, 50 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Aug 18, 5:37 PM EDT, 0 minutes before

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The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Aug 18, 6:36 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Catoosa	54 min
Aug 18, 7:23 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Catoosa, Dade, Murray, Walker, Whitfield	67 min
Aug 18, 8:30 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Fannin, Gilmer, Union	45 min
Aug 18, 9:20 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Lumpkin, Towns, White	25 min
Aug 18, 9:53 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Catoosa, Dade, Gordon, Murray, Walker, Whitfield	52 min
Aug 18, 10:03 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Gilmer, Lumpkin, White	57 min
Aug 18, 12:19 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Greene	41 min
Aug 18, 12:29 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Greene, Oglethorpe, Taliaferro, Wilkes	46 min
Aug 18, 1:35 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Stewart, Webster	25 min
Aug 18, 1:59 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Stewart, Webster	31 min
Aug 18, 3:21 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Dade, Walker	24 min
Aug 18, 4:47 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Floyd, Polk	43 min
Aug 18, 5:01 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Floyd, Polk	44 min
Aug 18, 5:41 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Paulding	34 min
Aug 18, 6:14 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Harris, Muscogee	46 min
Aug 18, 6:23 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Troup	52 min
Aug 18, 6:24 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Oglethorpe, Wilkes	36 min
Aug 18, 6:47 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Carroll, Heard	28 min
Aug 18, 6:53 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Douglas, Fulton	37 min
Aug 18, 7:00 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Floyd, Haralson, Polk	30 min
Aug 18, 7:01 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Chattahoochee, Marion, Muscogee, Stewart, Talbot, Webster	44 min
Aug 18, 7:08 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Coweta, Fayette, Meriwether, Pike, Spalding	52 min
Aug 18, 7:15 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Chattahoochee, Harris, Marion, Muscogee, Schley, Stewart and 3 more	45 min
Aug 18, 7:19 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	DeKalb, Gwinnett	26 min
Aug 18, 7:25 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	DeKalb	50 min
Aug 18, 7:26 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Coweta, Fayette, Spalding	34 min
Aug 18, 7:30 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Hall	30 min
Aug 18, 7:39 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Gwinnett	36 min
Aug 18, 7:57 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Crawford, Macon, Peach, Schley, Sumter, Taylor	33 min
Aug 18, 7:57 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Clayton, Fayette, Henry	33 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Georgia, 2014 Every special weather statement in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.