Severe Thunderstorm Warning 235, NWS Atlanta, GA

138 
WWUS52 KFFC 020116
SVSFFC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
916 PM EDT MON SEP 1 2014

GAC009-020126-
/O.CAN.KFFC.SV.W.0235.000000T0000Z-140902T0130Z/
BALDWIN GA-
916 PM EDT MON SEP 1 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EXTREME EAST CENTRAL BALDWIN
COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

IF YOU SEE WIND DAMAGE...HAIL OR FLOODING...WAIT UNTIL THE STORM HAS
PASSED...AND THEN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT 1 8
6 6 7 6 3 4 4 6 6 OR TWEET US YOUR REPORT AT NWSATLANTA.

LAT...LON 3291 8286 3302 8286 3305 8277 3303 8268
      3297 8261 3290 8261
TIME...MOT...LOC 0116Z 278DEG 11KT 3298 8273

$$

GAC303-020130-
/O.CON.KFFC.SV.W.0235.000000T0000Z-140902T0130Z/
WASHINGTON GA-
916 PM EDT MON SEP 1 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 PM EDT
FOR CENTRAL WASHINGTON COUNTY...

AT 912 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SANDERSVILLE..MOVING
EAST AT 15 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
RIDDLEVILLE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

IF YOU SEE WIND DAMAGE...HAIL OR FLOODING...WAIT UNTIL THE STORM HAS
PASSED...AND THEN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT 1 8
6 6 7 6 3 4 4 6 6 OR TWEET US YOUR REPORT AT NWSATLANTA.

&&

LAT...LON 3291 8286 3302 8286 3305 8277 3303 8268
      3297 8261 3290 8261
TIME...MOT...LOC 0116Z 278DEG 11KT 3298 8273

$$
30

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
715 PM EDT MON SEP 1 2014

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 334 PM EDT MON SEP 1 2014/

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
THE COMBINATION OF WEAK RIDGING AND MOISTURE ACROSS THE AREA WILL
CONTINUE TO SUPPORT DIURNAL CONVECTION THROUGH THE SHORT TERM
PERIOD. HAVE GONE WITH CHANCE POPS FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND
TUESDAY...DIMINISHING AFTER 10 PM. MLCAPES CONTINUE TO BE
DECENT...WITH HIGHEST VALUES IN THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
CWA...AND ALTHOUGH SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT NECESSARILY ANTICIPATED
TODAY OR TUESDAY...AN ISOLATED STORM CANNOT BE RULED OUT. STORMS
TUESDAY WILL LIKELY FIRE ALONG OLD BOUNDARIES FROM CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY
THIS AFTERNOON.

ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY AND INTO MID
WEEK. HAVE GENERALLY GONE WITH A BLEND OF MODEL GUIDANCE WITH
VIRTUALLY THE ENTIRE AREA IN THE LOW TO MID 90S IN THE AFTERNOON.

31

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
EAST-WEST ORIENTED UPPER RIDGE SHOULD REMAIN FIRMLY IN PLACE
ACROSS SOUTHERN STATES THRU SATURDAY. EVEN BY THE WEEKEND...NO
INDICATION OF STRONG PATTERN SHIFT OR AIRMASS CHANGE IN 12Z MODEL
GUIDANCE. MED RANGE MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT HEIGHT AND MOISTURE
FIELDS WHICH GET ABOUT AS CLOSE AS YOU CAN POSSIBLY GET TO MEDIAN
CONDITIONS FOR THE FIRST OF SEPTEMBER. WARM DAYS AND NIGHTS WITH
APPROX 30PCT COVERAGE OF AFTERNOON/EVENING SHRA/TSRA...PERHAPS A
BIT HIGHER COVERAGE BASED ON MODEL MEAN RH FIELDS.

NOT SEEING ANY HIGH IMPACT...TROPICAL SYSTEMS OR PATTERN CHANGING
FEATURES IN MODEL FORECASTS. 12Z GFS DOES TAKE A TURN FOR A WARMER
PATTERN NEXT WEEK WITH UPPER HIGH BUILDING OVER THE SOUTHEAST
CONUS...BUT THIS SOLUTION NOT CONSISTENT WITH PREV RUNS OR 12Z
ECMWF. REFRESHED TEMPS BASED ON 30DAY BIAS CORRECTED GRIDDED
BLENDED GUIDANCE AND LATEST HPC GUIDANCE. MOST OTHER FIELDS IN
GOOD SHAPE WITH ACCURATE DEPICTION OF DIURNAL CONVECTION IN POP
AND WX GRIDS.

SNELSON

PREV LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
ISSUED 323 AM EDT MON SEP 1 2014...
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND AT THE SURFACE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID-
WEEK. THE SURFACE HIGH WILL CONTINUE TO HOLD ON WEDNESDAY...BUT A
WEAK BOUNDARY MAY TRY AND SNEAK THROUGH A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE.
THE BOUNDARY MAY PROVIDE SOME FOCUS FOR DIURNAL CONVECTION
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY...BUT IT SHOULD DIMINISH BY FRIDAY. A
SECOND FRONTAL BOUNDARY MAY IMPACT THE CWFA DURING THE WEEKEND.
MODELS HAVE SLOWED THE BOUNDARYS PROGRESSION DOWN.

OVERALL...NO REAL CHANGES NEEDED TO THE EXTENDED FORECAST. POPS WILL
MAINLY REMAIN DIURNAL IN NATURE. COVERAGE SHOULD INCREASE TOWARDS
THE END OF THE WEEK AS THE SURFACE HIGH MOVES OFFSHORE AND WINDS
TURN MORE SOUTHERLY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH
THE PERIOD...WITH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY BEING THE HOTTEST DAYS.

NLISTEMAA

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z UPDATE...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE THIS EVENING.
OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH PATCHY MVFR VSBYS DUE TO
FOG POSSIBLE EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. SURFACE WINDS LIGHT AND
VARIABLE OR CALM FOR THE OVERNIGHT.
POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN ON TUESDAY.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
LOW CONFIDENCE FOR FURTHER IMPACTS OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY THIS EVENING.
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FOR VSBYS DURING THE EARLY MORNING.
HIGH CONFIDENCE ALL OTHER ELEMENTS THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT.

BDL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          70  95  70  95 /  20  40  30  30
ATLANTA         73  93  73  90 /  30  40  20  30
BLAIRSVILLE     65  88  66  86 /  20  40  30  40
CARTERSVILLE    70  94  68  91 /  30  40  20  30
COLUMBUS        74  96  74  92 /  30  40  20  40
GAINESVILLE     71  92  71  91 /  20  40  30  40
MACON           71  95  71  94 /  30  40  20  40
ROME            69  94  68  91 /  30  40  20  30
PEACHTREE CITY  69  92  68  91 /  30  40  20  30
VIDALIA         74  95  74  93 /  30  40  30  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...BDL
LONG TERM....30
AVIATION...BDL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
400 PM EDT MON SEP 1 2014

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-021200-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
400 PM EDT MON SEP 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH AND
CENTRAL GEORGIA THROUGH AROUND 10PM THIS EVENING. A FEW OF THE
STORMS COULD APPROACH SEVERE LIMITS AND HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
PRODUCE STRONG AND DAMAGING WINDS...SMALL HAIL...NUMEROUS LIGHTNING
STRIKES AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY
MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE
STRONG.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
754 PM EDT MON SEP 1 2014

GAZ082-020030-
754 PM EDT MON SEP 1 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING IN BIBB
COUNTY UNTIL 830 PM EDT...

AT 753 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER PAYNE CITY...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

LIGHTNING DETECTION SYSTEMS INDICATE NUMEROUS CLOUD-TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING STRIKES ACROSS BIBB COUNTY...INCLUDING AREAS AROUND
WESLEYAN...LAKE TOBESOFKEE...ARKWRIGHT...LIZELLA...PAYNE CITY...
SKIPPERTON...MACON...FRANKLINTON...MIDDLE GEORGIA REGIONAL AIRPORT...
CROSS KEYS AND RUTLAND. RESIDENTS IN THIS AREA SHOULD STAY INDOORS.
ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES AND TELEPHONES SHOULD NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN
EMERGENCY.

&&

LAT...LON 3277 8385 3290 8381 3293 8374 3293 8370
      3289 8365 3289 8360 3287 8358 3288 8357
      3282 8349 3274 8357 3274 8360 3267 8361
TIME...MOT...LOC 2355Z 288DEG 8KT 3283 8373

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
759 PM EDT MON SEP 01 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 SE SANDY POINT        32.73N  83.89W
09/01/2014                   CRAWFORD           GA   911 CALL CENTER

            TWO TREES REPORTED DOWN BY CRAWFORD COUNTY 911.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1400855

RWILLIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
804 PM EDT MON SEP 01 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0650 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NNE GAILLARD          32.66N  84.00W
09/01/2014                   CRAWFORD           GA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            A TREE REPORTEDLY FELL ON A CAR ON AVERA ROAD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1400856

RWILLIS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
810 PM EDT MON SEP 1 2014

GAZ080>082-093-094-020100-
810 PM EDT MON SEP 1 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR STRONG WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH
AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING IN PEACH...MACON...TAYLOR...BIBB AND CRAWFORD
COUNTIES UNTIL 900 PM EDT...

AT 806 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER NAKOMIS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

&&

LAT...LON 3256 8414 3278 8385 3268 8370 3265 8372
      3261 8371 3253 8372 3253 8375 3250 8375
      3251 8379 3245 8380 3244 8382 3246 8384
      3244 8384 3241 8392
TIME...MOT...LOC 0009Z 246DEG 14KT 3254 8396

30

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
828 PM EDT MON SEP 1 2014

GAZ061-073-074-084-020115-
828 PM EDT MON SEP 1 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR PEA SIZED HAIL AND 40 MPH WINDS
IN WASHINGTON...WILKINSON...BALDWIN AND HANCOCK COUNTIES UNTIL 915 PM
EDT...

AT 830 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER HEBRON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

&&

LAT...LON 3280 8283 3276 8295 3275 8295 3273 8301
      3296 8321 3321 8304 3309 8264 3306 8263
TIME...MOT...LOC 0028Z 309DEG 12KT 3298 8296

30

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
831 PM EDT MON SEP 1 2014

GAZ072-082>084-020115-
831 PM EDT MON SEP 1 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR PEA SIZED HAIL AND 40 MPH WINDS
IN TWIGGS...JONES...WILKINSON AND BIBB COUNTIES UNTIL 915 PM EDT...

AT 830 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER DRY BRANCH...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

LIGHTNING DETECTION SYSTEMS ALSO INDICATE NUMEROUS CLOUD-TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING STRIKES ACROSS TWIGGS...JONES...WILKINSON AND BIBB
COUNTIES...INCLUDING AREAS AROUND FITZPATRICK...DRY
BRANCH...FRANKLINTON...CROSS
KEYS...POSTELL...GRISWOLDVILLE...RIPLEY...MOUNTAIN SPRINGS...MYRICKS
MILL AND GORDON. RESIDENTS IN THIS AREA SHOULD STAY INDOORS.
ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES AND TELEPHONES SHOULD NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN
EMERGENCY.

&&

LAT...LON 3272 8354 3288 8365 3298 8338 3293 8336
      3293 8334 3271 8323
TIME...MOT...LOC 0031Z 255DEG 9KT 3283 8346

30