Alert archive / Kansas / Special Weather Statements in 2014

Special Weather Statement, NWS Dodge City, KS

July 14, 2014Pratt County, Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this special weather statement at Jul 14, 2014, 3:20 PM CDT for Pratt County, Kansas. It was in force for 40 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 14, 2014, 3:20 PM CDT (20:20 UTC)
Expired
Jul 14, 2014, 4:00 PM CDT
In force
40 min
Issued by
NWS Dodge City, KS

County Pratt County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 103 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2014-07-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 14 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2014-07-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -3 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
14 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-191 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1677 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-3 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
45 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 14, 1:15 PM CDT, 2 hours 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 14, 1:15 PM CDT, 2 hours 5 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
115 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2014

...UPDATE TO SHORT TERM...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday)
ISSUED AT 115 PM CDT MON JUL 14 2014

Short range models indicate the large scale closed off upper level
low dropping southeast across Wisconsin into Michigan tonight while
upper level ridging breaks down across the Intermountain West. Within
the larger scale upper level trough, an H5 vort lobe is projected to
shift southeast across the Upper Midwest through early Tuesday
morning. This will help push an attendant cold front southward out
of Kansas into northern Oklahoma and the Texas panhandle this
evening. Thunderstorms developing this afternoon along and in the
vicinity of the advancing cold front may become more numerous
through early this evening as a +80kt upper level jet moves south
out of the Dakotas into Nebraska and much of western Kansas.
Steepening low/mid level lapse rates ahead of the cold front and
CAPE values in excess of 1000 J/Kg may be enough to support strong
to marginally severe thunderstorms capable of producing quarter to
golf ball size hail and wind gusts in excess of 60 mph through
late this evening. Any thunderstorms are expected to dissipate or
move southward into Oklahoma overnight with drier conditions
likely Tuesday as the cold front moves further south into the
Texas panhandle.

Below seasonal temperatures are likely tonight and Tuesday as much
cooler air filters south-southwest into western Kansas behind a
departing cold front moving into northern Oklahoma. The NAM/GFS
show H85 temperatures dropping to around 10C across central Kansas
with the mid teens(C) closer to the Colorado border. As surface
dewpoints drop well down into the 50s(F), look for lows down into
the lower to mid 50s(F) across central Kansas to near 60F closer
to the Oklahoma border. As the cooler air mass settles into
western Kansas, highs can be expected to reach only up into the
70s(F) across much of central and southwest Kansas Tuesday
afternoon.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
ISSUED AT 425 AM CDT MON JUL 14 2014

For Tuesday, the cold upper trough will have moved into the
Mississippi Valley with northwest flow on the backside of the trough
across the Central Plains. Some disturbances in the flow will give
increasing chances for showers and isolated thunderstorms from
Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday morning. Another shortwave trough
will then dig across the Central Plains on Wednesday and Thursday
morning bringing widespread showers, isolated thunderstorms, and
some moderate rainfall potential. The storms will then end as the
upper trough moves out of Kansas by Thursday afternoon. More
thunderstorms are back in the forecast for the Weekend as a northern
branch shortwave trough moves across the Plains.

As for temperatures, on Tuesday, highs will be fairly cool and in
the mid to upper 70s. Highs on Wednesday look the coolest with only
60s expected, with thick clouds and widespread rain, except low to
mid 70s across the far southwest corner around Elkhart. Highs
rebound on Thursday with 70s, then climb into the 80s for Friday,
around 90 on Saturday, and low to mid 90s on Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
ISSUED AT 1200 PM CDT MON JUL 14 2014

A few thunderstorms may develop in the vicinity of KGCK and KDDC
through this evening as a cold front pushes southward across the
area. These storms may produce brief MVFR cigs/vsbys. Otherwise,
VFR conditions will prevail at all TAF sites through early Tuesday
morning. Winds will turn northeasterly 15 to 25kt this afternoon
as a cold front moves southward across western Kansas. Winds will
then subside tonight while becoming more easterly as surface high
pressure shifts southward out of the Northern Plains into Kansas
behind the departing front.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  57  78  56  67 /  30  30  60  70
GCK  58  78  56  68 /  30  40  70  70
EHA  60  80  60  76 /  40  40  60  60
LBL  60  78  59  71 /  40  40  70  70
HYS  55  75  56  68 /  10  20  60  60
P28  58  78  59  71 /  40  20  60  70

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...JJohnson
LONG TERM...Kruse
AVIATION...JJohnson
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 14, 4:46 AM CDT, 10 hours 34 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
446 AM CDT MON JUL 14 2014

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-151145-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
446 AM CDT MON JUL 14 2014 /346 AM MDT MON JUL 14 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON, ESPECIALLY
SOUTH OF A LINE FROM SYRACUSE TO GARDEN CITY TO LARNED. THESE STORMS
COULD BE SEVERE WITH HAIL AS LARGE AS QUARTERS AND WIND GUSTS AS HIGH
AS 60 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY AND EARLY THURSDAY. THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

A FEW STORM SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED BETWEEN 1 PM AND 7 PM.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

FINCH

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 14, 1:48 PM CDT, 1 hour 32 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
148 PM CDT MON JUL 14 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0141 PM     HAIL             16 NNW MANTER           37.74N 101.99W
07/14/2014  E1.75 INCH       HAMILTON           KS   PUBLIC

            MOST OF THE HAIL WAS NO LARGER THAN A QUARTER.

&&

LRUTHI
Local storm report, Jul 14, 2:59 PM CDT, 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
259 PM CDT MON JUL 14 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0235 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 W RICHFIELD           37.26N 101.85W
07/14/2014                   MORTON             KS   PUBLIC

            TREE LIMBS FOUR TO FIVE INCHES IN DIAMETER WERE BLOWN
            DOWN BY THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW.

&&

LRUTHI
Local storm report, Jul 14, 3:02 PM CDT, 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
302 PM CDT MON JUL 14 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0245 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 SW RICHFIELD          37.26N 101.79W
07/14/2014  E60 MPH          MORTON             KS   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

DWOLFE
Local storm report, Jul 14, 3:06 PM CDT, 14 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
306 PM CDT MON JUL 14 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0302 PM     TSTM WND GST     ELKHART                 37.00N 101.89W
07/14/2014  M63 MPH          MORTON             KS   AWOS

&&

LRUTHI
Local storm report, Jul 14, 3:17 PM CDT, 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
317 PM CDT MON JUL 14 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0308 PM     TSTM WND GST     ELKHART                 37.00N 101.89W
07/14/2014  M77.00 MPH       MORTON             KS   AWOS

            THE WIND WAS MEASURED AT THE ELKHART AMOS SITE.

&&

LRUTHI
Special weather statement, Jul 14, 3:20 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
320 PM CDT MON JUL 14 2014

KSZ066-079>081-089-090-142100-
BARBER-COMANCHE-EDWARDS-KIOWA-PRATT-STAFFORD-
320 PM CDT MON JUL 14 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN KIOWA...NORTHEASTERN
COMANCHE...NORTHWESTERN BARBER...PRATT...SOUTHEASTERN EDWARDS AND
SOUTHWESTERN STAFFORD COUNTIES...

AT 319 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR HOPEWELL...MOVING SOUTH AT 20 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

RESIDENTS IN EASTERN KIOWA...NORTHEASTERN COMANCHE...NORTHWESTERN
BARBER...PRATT...SOUTHEASTERN EDWARDS AND SOUTHWESTERN STAFFORD
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF HOPEWELL AND CULLISON...SHOULD
MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS
AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER
THREATEN.

LAT...LON 3746 9847 3738 9906 3784 9910 3789 9866
TIME...MOT...LOC 2020Z 345DEG 16KT 3777 9896

JJOHNSON

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 14, 12:09 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDDCHamilton66 min
Jul 14, 12:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCHamilton41 min
Jul 14, 1:13 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDDCStanton62 min
Jul 14, 1:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCHamilton, Stanton53 min
Jul 14, 2:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCMorton, Stanton61 min
Jul 14, 3:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCMorton, Stevens45 min
Jul 14, 4:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCBarber, Comanche, Pratt44 min
Jul 14, 4:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCClark, Ford, Gray, Meade53 min
Jul 14, 4:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCPratt44 min
Jul 14, 4:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCClark, Comanche, Kiowa61 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Kansas, 2014Every special weather statement in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.