Alert archive / Kansas / Special Weather Statements in 2014

Special Weather Statement, NWS Dodge City, KS

June 27, 2014Grant County, Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this special weather statement at Jun 27, 2014, 11:17 PM CDT for Grant County, Kansas. It was in force for 43 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 27, 2014, 11:17 PM CDT (04:17 UTC)
Expired: Jun 28, 2014, 12:00 AM CDT
In force: 43 min
Issued by: NWS Dodge City, KS

County Grant County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 109 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 4.3 hours before the alert went out and 115 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2653 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -140 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1493 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 72 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 85 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.1
Supercell composite: 5.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 27, 6:13 PM CDT, 5 hours 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 27, 6:13 PM CDT, 5 hours 4 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
613 PM CDT Fri Jun 27 2014

...Updated for the aviation discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(This afternoon through Saturday)
ISSUED AT 1128 AM CDT FRI JUN 27 2014

Later afternoon and evening thunderstorms are expected. The best
chance for storms will be near the I70 corridor where capping is
weaker and there is better moisture convergence.
Thermodynamically, the setup is impressive with 3500 J/kg of
SBCAPE, 8.5 C/KM lapse rates, and decent boundary layer dewpoints.
A few problems with today's setup though. All the models show
backing upper level winds and only about 35 kt of 0-EL shear. This
suggests that storm mode tonight will likely be on the HP side.
PWATs are forecast to be in the 1.5" range, which is well above
normal. This also suggests storms with high precipitation
efficiency. Feel the most discrete storms will be up in GLD's area,
where mean flow and boundary layer winds are more orthogonal.
There could be an isolated tornado up north, as the HRRR is
indicating some updraft helicity. In addition, low level
directional and speed shear is not that bad. Given the
aforementioned upper level shear, it won't take long through before
you get cold pools and resultant upscale growth, so that should
cut down on the tornado chances. Precip will exit the area
late tonight. Additional MCS activity is possible tomorrow
afternoon, with better moisture convergence and lift along and
east of Highway 283.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
ISSUED AT 1214 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2014

The main upper jet and storm track shifts north on Sunday then a
northern branch upper trough swings across the Northern and Central
Plains late Monday and Monday night with a chance for thunderstorms.
Unsettled weather continues in back of the upper trough into
Thursday with northwest flow aloft and more chances for showers and
thunderstorms. By Friday and upper level ridge is forecast with dry
weather for a change.

At the surface, a deepening trough of low pressure in the Rockies
will give strong southerly winds of 25 to 35 mph on Sunday, with a
cold front moving across western Kansas late Monday and winds
shifting to the north and gusty. Cooler temps will follow the
front as high pressure builds into the Plains with weaker winds
into mid next week.

Lows will be mild in the 60s and 70s, with highs in the 90s Sunday
and Monday, cooling into the 80s Tuesday into Thursday behind the cold
front, then back into the 90s by Friday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday evening)
ISSUED AT 608 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2014

VFR conditions will prevail over the 3 taf sites, with the
exception of KHYS, which will have MVFR cigs. A strong upper level
wave will bring cold air over the region, and destabilize the
atmosphere this evening. A line of strong storms will move east
through western Kansas this evening, bringing thunderstorms near
each Taf site for 2 to 3 hours. Vsbys could go down in any
downpour, but for now, doubt any one Taf site will see the
stronger storms.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  67  89  67  95 /  40  20  10  10
GCK  65  89  66  97 /  60  10  10  10
EHA  63  91  63 101 /  40  10   0   0
LBL  66  92  67  99 /  50  10  10   0
HYS  66  87  67  95 /  70  30  10  10
P28  69  88  70  94 /  20  30  20  10

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Sugden
LONG TERM...Kruse
AVIATION...Burke

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 27, 4:44 PM CDT, 6 hours 33 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
444 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2014

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-282145-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
444 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2014 /344 PM MDT FRI JUN 27 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS, WITH LARGE HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL
SIZE, DAMAGING WINDS OVER 60 MPH, VERY HEAVY RAINFALL, FREQUENT
LIGHTNING, ALONG WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES, WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP
ALONG A DRYLINE OVER FAR WESTERN KANSAS BY 5 TO 6 PM CDT. THEY
WILL THEN MOVE EAST TO NEAR A SCOTT CITY TO GARDEN CITY AND A
LIBERAL LINE BY AROUND 7 TO 9 PM CDT, THEN TO NEAR WAKEENEY, DODGE
CITY, AND ASHLAND BY AROUND 8 TO 10 PM CDT. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 10 PM CDT.

MORE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ALONG A COLD FRONT LATER
TONIGHT, FARTHER EAST INTO THE HAYS AREA AND DOWN TO MEDICINE
LODGE, AND THE TORNADO THREAT WILL BE NOT AS GREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE AGAIN POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON WITH A HAIL
THREAT. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN IN THE MONDAY
NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY TIME FRAME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY THIS EVENING.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

06

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 27, 9:43 PM CDT, 1 hour 34 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
943 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2014

KSZ043-044-280330-
LANE-SCOTT-
943 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN SCOTT AND NORTHWESTERN
LANE COUNTIES...

AT 941 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF MODOC...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
25 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3868 10055 3843 10113 3844 10114 3868 10114
      3871 10110 3871 10057
TIME...MOT...LOC 0244Z 211DEG 24KT 3856 10099

FINCH

Local storm report, Jun 27, 10:53 PM CDT, 24 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1053 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1043 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 W HEALY               38.60N 100.68W
06/27/2014  E60 MPH          LANE               KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ALSO REPORTED WAS PEA-SIZED HAIL.

&&

BURKE

Special weather statement, Jun 27, 11:17 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1117 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2014

KSZ075-076-085-280500-
GRANT-HASKELL-STEVENS-
1117 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN STEVENS...SOUTHEASTERN
GRANT AND SOUTHWESTERN HASKELL COUNTIES...

AT 1115 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF RYUS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
40 MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3766 10111 3743 10104 3733 10123 3749 10136
TIME...MOT...LOC 0417Z 244DEG 36KT 3746 10120

FINCH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 27, 9:43 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Scott	47 min
Jun 27, 9:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Scott	39 min
Jun 27, 10:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Lane, Scott	61 min
Jun 27, 10:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Grant, Haskell	46 min
Jun 27, 10:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Hamilton, Kearny	63 min
Jun 27, 11:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Lane, Scott	65 min
Jun 27, 11:40 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	DDC	Lane, Scott	12 hr
Jun 27, 11:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Hamilton, Kearny, Stanton	59 min
Jun 28, 12:06 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Gray	39 min
Jun 28, 12:21 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Ford, Gray, Haskell, Hodgeman	54 min
Jun 28, 12:34 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Hamilton, Kearny, Scott	43 min
Jun 28, 1:03 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Gray, Lane	57 min
Jun 28, 1:27 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Ford, Gray, Hodgeman, Lane, Ness	63 min
Jun 28, 1:35 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	DDC	Ness, Trego	3 hr
Jun 28, 2:18 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	DDC	Finney, Gray, Kearny	3 hr
Jun 28, 2:51 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Kearny	39 min
Jun 28, 4:04 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	DDC	Finney, Gray, Hodgeman	3 hr
Jun 28, 4:23 AM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	DDC	Ellis, Ness, Rush, Trego	12 hr
Jun 28, 4:37 AM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	DDC	Grant, Haskell	12 hr
Jun 28, 5:32 AM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	DDC	Finney, Gray, Kearny	12 hr
Jun 28, 3:46 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	DDC	Grant	8 hr
Jun 28, 3:48 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	DDC	Finney, Gray	8 hr

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Kansas, 2014 Every special weather statement in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.