Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 94, NWS Dodge City, KS

June 6, 2014Hamilton County, Kearny County, Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 6, 2014, 4:44 PM MDT for Hamilton County, Kearny County, Kansas. It was in force for 46 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jun 6, 2014, 4:44 PM MDT (22:44 UTC)
Expired: Jun 6, 2014, 5:30 PM MDT
In force: 46 min
Issued by: NWS Dodge City, KS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.5 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Hamilton County, KS, Kearny County, KS

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 138 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jun 6, 4:56 PM MDT	HAIL 0.88	3 Nne Kendall, KS

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 6, 4:22 PM MDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 10.7 hours before the alert went out and 149 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 110 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -354 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1669 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 53 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -35 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: -9 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: -0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

649 
WUUS53 KDDC 062244
SVRDDC
KSC075-093-062330-
/O.NEW.KDDC.SV.W.0094.140606T2244Z-140606T2330Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
544 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN HAMILTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS...
  NORTHERN KEARNY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS...

* UNTIL 630 PM CDT/530 PM MDT/

* AT 441 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR KENDALL...
  AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

  HAZARD...UP TO PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL
           DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXPECT
           WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  KENDALL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3827 10167 3827 10139 3817 10112 3781 10157
      3802 10181
TIME...MOT...LOC 2244Z 220DEG 17KT 3795 10158

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

WAH

2 follow-up statements

708 
WWUS53 KDDC 062303
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
603 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

KSC075-093-062330-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0094.000000T0000Z-140606T2330Z/
KEARNY KS-HAMILTON KS-
603 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN
HAMILTON AND NORTHERN KEARNY COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM CDT/530 PM MDT/...

AT 559 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR KENDALL...AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...UP TO PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXPECT WIND
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHEASTERN HAMILTON AND WESTERN KEARNY
  COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3801 10165 3826 10158 3827 10139 3817 10112
      3787 10150
TIME...MOT...LOC 2303Z 220DEG 17KT 3802 10151

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

WAH

049 
WWUS53 KDDC 062324
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
624 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

KSC075-093-062334-
/O.EXP.KDDC.SV.W.0094.000000T0000Z-140606T2330Z/
KEARNY KS-HAMILTON KS-
624 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN HAMILTON AND
NORTHERN KEARNY COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 630 PM CDT/530 PM MDT/...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
 HOWEVER...SMALL HAIL IS STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN DODGE CITY.

LAT...LON 3801 10165 3826 10158 3827 10139 3817 10112
      3787 10150
TIME...MOT...LOC 2324Z 220DEG 17KT 3810 10143

$$

WAH

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 6, 1:21 PM MDT, 3 hours 23 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 6, 1:21 PM MDT, 3 hours 23 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
221 PM CDT Fri Jun 6 2014

...updated long term...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
ISSUED AT 1244 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

We are monitoring the short-fuse trends in visible satellite,
observations, and radar and are expecting numerous thunderstorms
to develop by as early as 1830 or 1900 UTC. There is little
capping in the atmosphere this afternoon, so the little bit of
insolation we have seen has allowed temperatures to rise to around
80...with ample moisture in place (dewpoints in the lower to mid
60s). 1700 UTC surface analysis revealed a weak surface boundary
just south of Dodge City which appears to be the focus for the
first storms showing up on radar as of 1745 UTC. These mid to late
afternoon thunderstorms will only be the first round of what will
appear to be multiple rounds of convection...the last of which
being the most organized coming out of eastern Colorado.
Widespread 1 to 2 inches of rain can be expected given the
moisture-laden lower-mid troposphere. This evening's MCS will most
likely clear the southwest Kansas region by 06Z or so early
Saturday morning, however additional storms may continue to thrive
near the Oklahoma border, so we will maintain chance POPs between
Highway 50 and the Oklahoma border through midday Saturday.
Saturday's organized MCS activity will likely stay to the south,
though.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
ISSUED AT 221 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

This weekend the upper jet will sag southward, moving slightly
cyclonically through the southern Rockies. To the north, a very weak
trough axis/shear zone will move toward the western Plains through
the end of the weekend.  Easterly upslope surface flow is expected
across the area with numerical model solutions supporting convective
development over southeast Colorado and northeast New Mexico,
implying decent chances for severe convection, or at least periods
of decaying MCS' over far southwest Kansas, with lower chances to
the northeast Saturday night into early Sunday.

The upper trough will intensify across Kansas Sunday night to the
point of developing a closed 700 mb low, which is fairly well agreed
upon by both the GFS and ECMWF. Strongest 850 mb moisture transport
and highest theta-e appears relegated to the Southern Plains region,
so the magnitude of any severe threat may be limited to hail storms
given a lack of strong CAPE values, unless timing becomes more of an
issue and the wave is slower than models forecast, arriving later after
a more significant diurnal destabilization.

A brief respite will is likely with respect to convective activity as
subsident flow develops into Tuesday. After Tuesday, the models hint
at another setup conducive to severe local supercell storms and MCS
development, especially by late Wednesday and Thursday with the
possibility for southeast moist surface flow and upper shortwave
energy. An uptick in temperatures is also expected through the
middle of the week toward more seasonal or slightly warmer than
normal highs in the mid and upper 80s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
ISSUED AT 1213 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

Strong to severe convection will likely develop again this
afternoon potentially affecting GCK and DDC terminals along a
quasi-stationary surface boundary. By late afternoon into this
evening, numerous thunderstorms will be likely and we will
continue with VCTS in the TAF through much of the evening. After
midnight, a large cluster of thunderstorm activity should finally
begin to shift east of the GCK/DDC/HYS terminals with northeast
winds prevailing and ceilings likely in the MVFR range.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  63  78  56  71 /  90  50  40  30
GCK  62  76  56  70 /  80  30  40  30
EHA  62  78  55  69 /  90  40  50  30
LBL  63  79  58  72 /  90  50  50  30
HYS  62  77  56  69 /  70  40  20  30
P28  66  81  61  74 /  80  60  50  30

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

SHORT TERM...Umscheid
LONG TERM...Russell
AVIATION...Umscheid

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 6, 12:53 AM MDT, 15 hours 51 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
153 AM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-071200-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
153 AM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014 /1253 AM MDT FRI JUN 6 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

EARLY MORNING THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF
HIGHWAY 83 THIS MORNING. LIGHTNING IS THE MAIN THREAT.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE MID MORNING ALONG AND SOUTH
OF THE ARKANSAS RIVER. LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN ARE THE MAIN THREATS.

A COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. HEAVY RAINFALL LEADING TO
LOCALIZED FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. THERE IS LARGE UNCERTAINTY IN WHERE
THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION AXIS WILL FALL GIVEN THE NATURE OF THE SPORADIC
THUNDERSTORMS. SECONDARY THREATS ARE OUTFLOW WINDS OF 60 MPH AND HAIL
UP TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS...BUT PROBABLY SMALLER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

BOUTS OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OCCUPY THE REST OF THE SPACE-TIME
CONTINUUM OF THE REST OF THE FORECAST OUTLOOK. IT IS TOO EARLY TO
DETERMINE IF THESE STORMS WILL BE SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

REPORTS OF HEAVY RAINFALL...ANY HAIL...OR THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WOULD BE APPRECIATED.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

SUGDEN

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 6, 3:10 PM MDT, 1 hour 34 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
410 PM CDT FRI JUN 06 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0405 PM     HAIL             10 WNW KISMET           37.27N 100.87W
06/06/2014  E1.75 INCH       SEWARD             KS   COUNTY OFFICIAL

&&

MRUSSELL

Local storm report, Jun 6, 3:17 PM MDT, 1 hour 27 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
417 PM CDT FRI JUN 06 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0412 PM     HAIL             4 NNW KISMET            37.26N 100.73W
06/06/2014  E1.00 INCH       SEWARD             KS   STORM CHASER

&&

RBURG

Local storm report, Jun 6, 3:58 PM MDT, 46 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
458 PM CDT FRI JUN 06 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0455 PM     HAIL             4 SW ENSIGN             37.62N 100.29W
06/06/2014  E1.00 INCH       GRAY               KS   PUBLIC

&&

MSCOTT

Special weather statement, Jun 6, 4:01 PM MDT, 43 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
501 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

KSZ063-064-077-078-062245-
FINNEY-FORD-GRAY-HODGEMAN-
501 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN FINNEY...GRAY...
NORTHWESTERN FORD AND SOUTHWESTERN HODGEMAN COUNTIES...

AT 458 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR THE HAGGARD ELEV...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30
MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3813 10023 3774 9967 3749 10014 3771 10062
TIME...MOT...LOC 2201Z 220DEG 24KT 3764 10026

WAH

Local storm report, Jun 6, 4:12 PM MDT, 32 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
512 PM CDT FRI JUN 06 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0505 PM     HAIL             10 SSE SYRACUSE         37.85N 101.69W
06/06/2014  E1.25 INCH       HAMILTON           KS   PUBLIC

&&

MSCOTT

Local storm report, Jun 6, 4:41 PM MDT, 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
541 PM CDT FRI JUN 06 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0535 PM     HAIL             7 ESE SYRACUSE          37.94N 101.63W
06/06/2014  E1.00 INCH       HAMILTON           KS   PUBLIC

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL WAS COVERING THE GROUND.

&&

MRUSSELL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 6, 6:37 AM MDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Barber	38 min
Jun 6, 2:31 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Lane	44 min
Jun 6, 2:47 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Seward	43 min
Jun 6, 2:50 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Haskell, Meade, Seward, Stevens	40 min
Jun 6, 3:27 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Clark, Ford, Gray, Meade, Seward	48 min
Jun 6, 4:01 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Ford, Gray	44 min
Jun 6, 4:03 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Hamilton, Kearny	42 min
Jun 6, 5:23 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Kearny	52 min
Jun 6, 5:42 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Kearny, Scott	48 min
Jun 6, 5:48 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Finney, Kearny	27 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2014 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.