Severe Thunderstorm Warning 91, NWS Dodge City, KS

288 
WWUS53 KDDC 062102
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
402 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

KSC081-119-175-189-062130-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0091.000000T0000Z-140606T2130Z/
STEVENS KS-SEWARD KS-MEADE KS-HASKELL KS-
402 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
HASKELL...NORTHWESTERN MEADE...SEWARD AND EAST CENTRAL STEVENS
COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM CDT...

AT 358 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES EAST OF
WOODS...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE... QUARTER SIZED HAIL WAS REPORTED 8 MILES NORTH 
NORTHEAST OF LIBRAL.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
KISMET...SATANTA...PLAINS CITY...SUBLETTE...TICE...MISSLER AND MEADE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3711 10117 3760 10091 3755 10065 3747 10065
      3747 10048 3728 10031 3699 10101
TIME...MOT...LOC 2102Z 224DEG 33KT 3720 10091

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

WAH

589 
WWUS53 KDDC 062108
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
408 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

KSC189-062117-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0091.000000T0000Z-140606T2130Z/
STEVENS KS-
408 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL STEVENS COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA.

LAT...LON 3714 10094 3758 10081 3757 10076 3755 10065
      3748 10065 3747 10048 3733 10037 3712 10087
TIME...MOT...LOC 2107Z 224DEG 33KT 3723 10087

$$

KSC081-119-175-062130-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0091.000000T0000Z-140606T2130Z/
SEWARD KS-MEADE KS-HASKELL KS-
408 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
HASKELL...NORTHWESTERN MEADE AND NORTHEASTERN SEWARD COUNTIES UNTIL
430 PM CDT...

AT 402 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES NORTHWEST
OF HAYNE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...GOLFBALL SIZED HAIL WAS REPORTED 13 MILES NORTH OF LIBERAL. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXPECT WIND
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
KISMET...PLAINS CITY...TICE AND MISSLER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3714 10094 3758 10081 3757 10076 3755 10065
      3748 10065 3747 10048 3733 10037 3712 10087
TIME...MOT...LOC 2107Z 224DEG 33KT 3723 10087

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

WAH

897 
WWUS53 KDDC 062118
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
418 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

KSC081-119-175-062130-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0091.000000T0000Z-140606T2130Z/
SEWARD KS-MEADE KS-HASKELL KS-
418 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
HASKELL...NORTHWESTERN MEADE AND NORTHEASTERN SEWARD COUNTIES UNTIL
430 PM CDT...

AT 416 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTHWEST
OF KISMET...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

HAZARD...UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXPECT WIND
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PLAINS CITY AND MISSLER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3721 10081 3753 10066 3747 10065 3747 10048
      3733 10037 3718 10072
TIME...MOT...LOC 2118Z 224DEG 33KT 3730 10078

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

WAH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
221 PM CDT Fri Jun 6 2014

...updated long term...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
ISSUED AT 1244 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

We are monitoring the short-fuse trends in visible satellite,
observations, and radar and are expecting numerous thunderstorms
to develop by as early as 1830 or 1900 UTC. There is little
capping in the atmosphere this afternoon, so the little bit of
insolation we have seen has allowed temperatures to rise to around
80...with ample moisture in place (dewpoints in the lower to mid
60s). 1700 UTC surface analysis revealed a weak surface boundary
just south of Dodge City which appears to be the focus for the
first storms showing up on radar as of 1745 UTC. These mid to late
afternoon thunderstorms will only be the first round of what will
appear to be multiple rounds of convection...the last of which
being the most organized coming out of eastern Colorado.
Widespread 1 to 2 inches of rain can be expected given the
moisture-laden lower-mid troposphere. This evening's MCS will most
likely clear the southwest Kansas region by 06Z or so early
Saturday morning, however additional storms may continue to thrive
near the Oklahoma border, so we will maintain chance POPs between
Highway 50 and the Oklahoma border through midday Saturday.
Saturday's organized MCS activity will likely stay to the south,
though.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
ISSUED AT 221 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

This weekend the upper jet will sag southward, moving slightly
cyclonically through the southern Rockies. To the north, a very weak
trough axis/shear zone will move toward the western Plains through
the end of the weekend.  Easterly upslope surface flow is expected
across the area with numerical model solutions supporting convective
development over southeast Colorado and northeast New Mexico,
implying decent chances for severe convection, or at least periods
of decaying MCS' over far southwest Kansas, with lower chances to
the northeast Saturday night into early Sunday.

The upper trough will intensify across Kansas Sunday night to the
point of developing a closed 700 mb low, which is fairly well agreed
upon by both the GFS and ECMWF. Strongest 850 mb moisture transport
and highest theta-e appears relegated to the Southern Plains region,
so the magnitude of any severe threat may be limited to hail storms
given a lack of strong CAPE values, unless timing becomes more of an
issue and the wave is slower than models forecast, arriving later after
a more significant diurnal destabilization.

A brief respite will is likely with respect to convective activity as
subsident flow develops into Tuesday. After Tuesday, the models hint
at another setup conducive to severe local supercell storms and MCS
development, especially by late Wednesday and Thursday with the
possibility for southeast moist surface flow and upper shortwave
energy. An uptick in temperatures is also expected through the
middle of the week toward more seasonal or slightly warmer than
normal highs in the mid and upper 80s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
ISSUED AT 1213 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

Strong to severe convection will likely develop again this
afternoon potentially affecting GCK and DDC terminals along a
quasi-stationary surface boundary. By late afternoon into this
evening, numerous thunderstorms will be likely and we will
continue with VCTS in the TAF through much of the evening. After
midnight, a large cluster of thunderstorm activity should finally
begin to shift east of the GCK/DDC/HYS terminals with northeast
winds prevailing and ceilings likely in the MVFR range.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  63  78  56  71 /  90  50  40  30
GCK  62  76  56  70 /  80  30  40  30
EHA  62  78  55  69 /  90  40  50  30
LBL  63  79  58  72 /  90  50  50  30
HYS  62  77  56  69 /  70  40  20  30
P28  66  81  61  74 /  80  60  50  30

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

SHORT TERM...Umscheid
LONG TERM...Russell
AVIATION...Umscheid

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
153 AM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-071200-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
153 AM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014 /1253 AM MDT FRI JUN 6 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

EARLY MORNING THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF
HIGHWAY 83 THIS MORNING. LIGHTNING IS THE MAIN THREAT.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE MID MORNING ALONG AND SOUTH
OF THE ARKANSAS RIVER. LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN ARE THE MAIN THREATS.

A COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. HEAVY RAINFALL LEADING TO
LOCALIZED FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. THERE IS LARGE UNCERTAINTY IN WHERE
THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION AXIS WILL FALL GIVEN THE NATURE OF THE SPORADIC
THUNDERSTORMS. SECONDARY THREATS ARE OUTFLOW WINDS OF 60 MPH AND HAIL
UP TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS...BUT PROBABLY SMALLER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

BOUTS OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OCCUPY THE REST OF THE SPACE-TIME
CONTINUUM OF THE REST OF THE FORECAST OUTLOOK. IT IS TOO EARLY TO
DETERMINE IF THESE STORMS WILL BE SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

REPORTS OF HEAVY RAINFALL...ANY HAIL...OR THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WOULD BE APPRECIATED.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

SUGDEN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
331 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

KSZ043-044-062115-
LANE-SCOTT-
331 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN SCOTT AND NORTHERN
LANE COUNTIES...

AT 329 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HEALY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
30 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3870 10031 3870 10025 3857 10025 3842 10042
      3855 10082 3870 10083 3871 10032
TIME...MOT...LOC 2031Z 225DEG 28KT 3857 10052

WAH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
347 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

KSZ075-076-085>087-062130-
GRANT-HASKELL-MEADE-SEWARD-STEVENS-
347 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN STEVENS...NORTHWESTERN
MEADE...SEWARD...SOUTHEASTERN GRANT AND SOUTHERN HASKELL COUNTIES...

AT 343 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES SOUTH OF WOODS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50
MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3709 10121 3758 10105 3752 10065 3747 10065
      3748 10036 3745 10020 3699 10100 3699 10108
TIME...MOT...LOC 2047Z 224DEG 44KT 3710 10104

WAH