Severe Thunderstorm Warning 162, NWS Dodge City, KS

576 
WWUS53 KDDC 242059
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
359 PM CDT TUE JUN 24 2014

KSC055-069-093-242145-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0162.000000T0000Z-140624T2145Z/
KEARNY KS-GRAY KS-FINNEY KS-
359 PM CDT TUE JUN 24 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN
FINNEY...NORTHWESTERN GRAY AND NORTHEASTERN KEARNY COUNTIES UNTIL 445
PM CDT...

AT 355 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR GARDEN CITY...
AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXPECT WIND
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PIERCEVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3824 10051 3774 10070 3802 10131 3826 10115
TIME...MOT...LOC 2059Z 282DEG 13KT 3798 10083

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

JJOHNSON

316 
WWUS53 KDDC 242135
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
435 PM CDT TUE JUN 24 2014

KSC055-069-093-242145-
/O.EXP.KDDC.SV.W.0162.000000T0000Z-140624T2145Z/
KEARNY KS-GRAY KS-FINNEY KS-
435 PM CDT TUE JUN 24 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WESTERN FINNEY...NORTHWESTERN
GRAY AND NORTHEASTERN KEARNY COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 445 PM CDT/345
PM MDT/...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA.  HOWEVER...SMALL HAIL...GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL
POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

IN ADDITION...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MAY REDEVELOP...AND A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT.

LAT...LON 3824 10051 3774 10070 3802 10131 3826 10115
TIME...MOT...LOC 2135Z 282DEG 13KT 3795 10067

$$

SUGDEN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
239 PM CDT Tue Jun 24 2014

...Update to short term...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
ISSUED AT 234 PM CDT TUE JUN 24 2014

Main focus is on this afternoon and tonight. Problematic forecast because
the short term convective allowing mesoscale models aren't handling
the current situation that well. The most recent RAP is starting to
get a clue and looks reasonable. Convection is firing off an old outflow
boundary and a minor upper level pressure perturbation. Convection is
building southward with southerly winds feeding into it, so think storms
will continue to increase in coverage with this associated warm air
advection and eventually forward propagate. Large Hail Parameter (LHP)
is lower now with a value of 4. Think this is due to fairly less steep
mid level lapse rates and more marginal upper level wind shear. Anyhoo,
moderate instability and lower end shear will still support the notion
of severe weather across the forecast area. The most significant threat
is heavy rainfall with pwats up 116% above normal per blended satellite
derived products. Ramped up pops and qpf, although my pops could be
raised even higher, but did not want to be too out of coordination with
neighbors. Will monitor and tweak pops and wx as needed in the ESTF
period. Lows tonight will be in the 60s. Highs in the 80sF tomorrow
with more MCS activity likely.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday)
ISSUED AT 231 PM CDT TUE JUN 24 2014

For Wednesday night, a lee trough will be nearly stationary with
moist upslope flow. The upper level winds are very weak, but with
good instability some thunderstorms will be likely mainly north of
and east of Dodge City. Have upped thunderstorms chances to around
60 percent in the I-70 area and 30 to 40 percent elsewhere. The
chances for widespread severe weather looks only marginal at this
time with weak upper level support. Overnight lows will be mild and
in the mid to upper 60s.

For Thursday, a lee trough continues with moist upslope flow and
again the upper winds look weak to support any severe weather. Some
thunderstorms will be lingering across mainly parts of south central
Kansas. Highs will range from the low to mid 90s west towards the
Colorado border, to the upper 80s east across parts of south central
Kansas.

For the period of Friday into next Tuesday, a strong upper level
shortwave trough will be moving east into the Intermountain
West and Colorado Rockies on Friday afternoon. This system then
lifts northeast into the Northern Plains for the Weekend. The best
chances for thunderstorms looks to be along the I-70 corridor on
Saturday night into Sunday morning. The main storm track then looks
to remain north of Kansas into Tuesday. Overnight lows will be mild
in the upper 60s to lower 70s, with highs warming from around 90 on
Friday to the mid 90s on Sunday and Monday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
ISSUED AT 1200 PM CDT TUE JUN 24 2014

VFR through much of the pd. Main exception in local areas of +tsra,
mainly for KGCK this evening. -tsra will be possible too at KDDC/KHYS.
Southerly winds today becoming light and variable.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  64  87  67  89 /  70  30  40  20
GCK  64  89  67  90 /  70  20  40  20
EHA  61  89  66  93 /  50  20  30  10
LBL  63  89  68  92 /  70  20  30  20
HYS  64  87  67  88 /  70  30  60  30
P28  67  87  68  89 /  70  40  50  40

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Sugden
LONG TERM...Kruse
AVIATION...Sugden

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
519 AM CDT TUE JUN 24 2014

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-251000-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
519 AM CDT TUE JUN 24 2014 /419 AM MDT TUE JUN 24 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL REDEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON
MAINLY WEST OF HIGHWAY 283. THE GREATEST THREATS FROM SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE HAIL AS LARGE AS TENNIS BALLS AND DAMAGING
STRAIGHT LINE WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY ALSO
LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE WEDNESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS RETURN TO THE FORECAST SATURDAY
EVENING, MAINLY UP ALONG THE INTERSTATE 70 CORRIDOR.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTERS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED PARTICULARLY ALONG AND WEST
OF THE HIGHWAY 283 CORRIDOR AFTER 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON AND THROUGH
THE EVENING HOURS.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

UMSCHEID

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
231 PM CDT TUE JUN 24 2014

KSZ045-064-242015-
HODGEMAN-NESS-
231 PM CDT TUE JUN 24 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HODGEMAN AND SOUTHERN NESS
COUNTIES...

AT 226 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF JETMORE...MOVING SOUTHEAST
AT 30 MPH.

WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

RESIDENTS IN HODGEMAN AND SOUTHERN NESS COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE CITY
OF JETMORE...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR
POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD
SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

LAT...LON 3809 9958 3792 9959 3792 10003 3818 10017
      3832 10001
TIME...MOT...LOC 1931Z 312DEG 25KT 3816 9997

JJOHNSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
300 PM CDT TUE JUN 24 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0255 PM     HAIL             11 ESE KALVESTA         38.01N 100.09W
06/24/2014  E1.75 INCH       HODGEMAN           KS   PUBLIC

            THE REPORT WAS MARBLE TO GOLF BALL SIZE WITH 30 TO 40 MPH
            WINDS.

&&

06

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
325 PM CDT TUE JUN 24 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0320 PM     HAIL             10 NNW HOLCOMB          38.13N 101.04W
06/24/2014  M0.88 INCH       FINNEY             KS   PUBLIC

&&

06

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
332 PM CDT TUE JUN 24 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0325 PM     HAIL             17 NNW DEERFIELD        38.20N 101.27W
06/24/2014  M1.00 INCH       KEARNY             KS   PUBLIC

&&

06

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
338 PM CDT TUE JUN 24 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0305 PM     HAIL             3 S ST. JOHN            37.96N 98.76W
06/24/2014  M1.00 INCH       STAFFORD           KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

06

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
338 PM CDT TUE JUN 24 2014

KSZ081-090-242130-
BARBER-PRATT-
338 PM CDT TUE JUN 24 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN BARBER AND
SOUTHEASTERN PRATT COUNTIES...

AT 337 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR ISABEL...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

RESIDENTS IN NORTHEASTERN BARBER AND SOUTHEASTERN PRATT COUNTIES...
INCLUDING THE CITY OF ISABEL...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION
CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE
APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

LAT...LON 3715 9835 3740 9866 3761 9861 3759 9846
      3739 9846 3739 9835 3738 9834 3718 9834
TIME...MOT...LOC 2038Z 282DEG 13KT 3747 9853

JJOHNSON