Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Special Weather Statements in 2014

Special Weather Statement, NWS State College, PA

October 15, 2014Montour County, Northumberland County, Pennsylvania

NWS State College, PA issued this special weather statement at Oct 15, 2014, 10:00 AM EDT for Montour County, Northumberland County, Pennsylvania. It was in force for 30 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Oct 15, 2014, 10:00 AM EDT (14:00 UTC)
Expired: Oct 15, 2014, 10:30 AM EDT
In force: 30 min
Issued by: NWS State College, PA

Counties Montour County, PA, Northumberland County, PA

The radar

The State College radar (KCCX), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Phillips Aaf/Abe, MD (KAPG), launched 12:00Z, 2.0 hours before the alert went out and 157 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 8 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -74 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 636 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 265 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 274 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Oct 15, 8:00 AM EDT, 2 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 15, 8:00 AM EDT, 2 hours before

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Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 15, 4:14 AM EDT, 5 hours 46 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
414 AM EDT WED OCT 15 2014

PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-
056>059-063>066-160815-
WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD-
NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-
JUNIATA-SOMERSET-BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-
SULLIVAN-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-
NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-
ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER-
414 AM EDT WED OCT 15 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA
TODAY. PRECEDING THIS FRONT...AN EXTENSIVE PLUME OF DEEP MOISTURE
WILL BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE REGION. ACROSS THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE STATE...THE FRONT WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY AN 8
TO 12 HOUR PERIOD OF RAIN. ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AND WIND
GUSTS OVER 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE
THREAT OF ANY RIVER AND STREAM FLOODING REMAINS ON THE LOW
SIDE...BUT MINOR FLOODING PROBLEMS ARE POSSIBLE IN POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS...CONSIDERING THAT OVER 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE IN
SPOTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

LAMBERT

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 15, 7:20 AM EDT, 2 hours 40 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
720 AM EDT WED OCT 15 2014

PAZ019-026-027-151145-
MIFFLIN PA-SOUTHERN CENTRE PA-HUNTINGDON PA-
720 AM EDT WED OCT 15 2014

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

AT 719 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SHOWER WITH STRONG WIND
GUSTS NEAR BOALSBURG...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

40 MPH WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS SHOWER.

THIS SHOWER WILL BE NEAR...
  BOALSBURG...LEMONT AND SEVEN MOUNTAINS AROUND 720 AM EDT.
  BELLEFONTE...PLEASANT GAP...CENTRE HALL AND POTTERS MILLS AROUND
730 AM EDT.
  ZION...MILLHEIM...AARONSBURG...SPRING MILLS...MADISONBURG AND BALD
EAGLE STATE PARK AROUND 740 AM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS SHOWER INCLUDE HOWARD...BARRVILLE...
SNYDERTOWN...TUSSEY MOUNTAIN SKI AREA...PENNSYLVANIA MILITARY MUSEUM
AND BEECH CREEK.

FOR THOSE DRIVING ON INTERSTATE 80...THIS INCLUDES AREAS BETWEEN THE
MILESBURG AND LAMAR EXITS...SPECIFICALLY FROM MILE MARKERS 160 TO
170.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 99 FROM MILE MARKERS 78 TO 85.

LAT...LON 4070 7788 4106 7768 4109 7762 4107 7759
      4107 7757 4106 7756 4106 7757 4105 7758
      4096 7751 4097 7745 4098 7736 4061 7767
TIME...MOT...LOC 1119Z 207DEG 39KT 4073 7774

STEINBUGL

Special weather statement, Oct 15, 7:38 AM EDT, 2 hours 22 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
738 AM EDT WED OCT 15 2014

PAZ012-019-027-028-036-041-045-046-049-050-056-151215-
UNION PA-MIFFLIN PA-JUNIATA PA-SOUTHERN CENTRE PA-
SOUTHERN CLINTON PA-FRANKLIN PA-SNYDER PA-NORTHERN CLINTON PA-
NORTHERN LYCOMING PA-SOUTHERN LYCOMING PA-PERRY PA-
738 AM EDT WED OCT 15 2014

...HEAVY SHOWERS ARE AFFECTING THE AREA...

AT 735 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS
EXTENDING FROM NEAR POTTERS MILLS TO HIGHLAND PARK TO NEAR
ROXBURY...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
SHOWERS. MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS WILL BE
ALSO BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IF LEAVES ARE CLOGGING STORM DRAINS.

THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  LEWISTOWN...BURNHAM...MILROY...HIGHLAND PARK...YEAGERTOWN...
REEDSVILLE...JUNIATA TERRACE...SPRING MILLS...ALFARATA AND POTTERS
MILLS AROUND 740 AM EDT.
  LAMAR...MILLHEIM...AARONSBURG...REBERSBURG...EAST RUTHERFORD...
MADISONBURG...REEDS GAP STATE PARK AND BELLTOWN AROUND 750 AM EDT.
  MILL HALL...HONEY GROVE...COBURN...MACKEYVILLE...POE VALLEY STATE
PARK...WEIKERT AND SNYDER-MIDDLESWART STATE PARK AROUND 800 AM EDT.
  LOCK HAVEN...JERSEY SHORE...WOODWARD...AVIS...DUNNSTOWN...
FLEMINGTON...CASTANEA...SPRUCE HILL...MCELHATTAN AND MEXICO AROUND
810 AM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE WAGNER...LOCK HAVEN
UNIVERSITY...PORT ROYAL...NEW GERMANTOWN...OVAL...MIFFLINTOWN...
SALLADASBURG...THOMPSONTOWN...LOGANTON AND EAST SALEM.

FOR THOSE DRIVING ON INTERSTATE 80...THIS INCLUDES AREAS BETWEEN THE
BELLEFONTE AND MILE RUN EXITS...SPECIFICALLY FROM MILE MARKERS 172 TO
192.

THIS INCLUDES THE PENNSYLVANIA TURNPIKE FROM MILE MARKERS 199 TO 201.

LAT...LON 4005 7767 4057 7758 4084 7766 4151 7727
      4117 7717 4059 7719 4023 7751 4019 7760
      4018 7763 4014 7759
TIME...MOT...LOC 1135Z 207DEG 38KT 4082 7761 4062 7755 4017 7763

LA CORTE

Special weather statement, Oct 15, 8:14 AM EDT, 1 hour 46 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Oct 15, 8:55 AM EDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Oct 15, 9:29 AM EDT, 31 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Oct 15, 10:00 AM EDT, 0 minutes before

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The office that day

Everything else NWS State College, PA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 15, 6:36 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CTP	Franklin	54 min
Oct 15, 7:20 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CTP	Centre	25 min
Oct 15, 7:38 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CTP	Juniata	37 min
Oct 15, 8:14 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CTP	Lycoming	31 min
Oct 15, 8:55 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CTP	Snyder, Union	35 min
Oct 15, 9:29 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CTP	Lycoming, Union	31 min
Oct 15, 12:45 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	CTP	Adams	2 hr
Oct 15, 2:25 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	CTP	Cumberland, Dauphin, Lancaster, Lebanon, Perry, Schuylkill and 1 more	2 hr
Oct 15, 4:19 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	CTP	Columbia, Lancaster, Lebanon, Montour, Schuylkill, Sullivan and 1 more	6 hr
Oct 15, 4:41 PM EDT	Flood Watch	CTP	Columbia, Lancaster, Lebanon, Schuylkill, Sullivan	12 hr

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Pennsylvania, 2014 Every special weather statement in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.