Severe Thunderstorm Warning 79, NWS State College, PA

395 
WWUS51 KCTP 071937
SVSCTP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
337 PM EDT MON JUL 7 2014

PAC081-071947-
/O.CAN.KCTP.SV.W.0079.000000T0000Z-140707T2000Z/
LYCOMING PA-

337 PM EDT MON JUL 7 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WESTERN LYCOMING COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF 
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 4154 7748 4156 7784 4174 7789 4184 7750
TIME...MOT...LOC 1937Z 262DEG 34KT 4164 7776 

$$

PAC105-117-072000-
/O.CON.KCTP.SV.W.0079.000000T0000Z-140707T2000Z/
TIOGA PA-POTTER PA-
337 PM EDT MON JUL 7 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN TIOGA AND SOUTHEASTERN POTTER COUNTIES...

AT 337 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CHERRY SPRINGS STATE PARK...MOVING
EAST AT 40 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GALETON...GAINES...LYMAN RUN STATE PARK...CHERRY SPRINGS STATE PARK
AND LEETONIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...
DEADLY LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY
RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER
COVERS THE ROAD.

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM.
ALTHOUGH A TORNADO IS NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF ONE IS SPOTTED...
ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE...
SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

&&

LAT...LON 4154 7748 4156 7784 4174 7789 4184 7750
TIME...MOT...LOC 1937Z 262DEG 34KT 4164 7776 

$$

EVANEGO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
306 PM EDT MON JUL 7 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WARM FRONT LIFTING NORTH OF THE REGION TODAY WILL BRING WARMER
AND MORE HUMID CONDITIONS TO CENTRAL PA...ALONG WITH A CHANCE FOR
AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. IT WILL REMAIN UNSETTLED
THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH DAILY CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE WARM AND HUMID AIR MASS. COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS WILL
RETURN FOR THE LATER PART OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL MIDNIGHT TONIGHT/...
LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS WEAK WARM FRONT EXTENDING SWD THROUGH
WRN NY AND BECOMING DIFFUSE OVER NWRN PA. BROAD SOUTHWEST FLOW
FROM THE SURFACE TO 500 MB HAD LEAD TO MARKED INCREASE IN LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS AS SHOWN IN SFC OBS AND PW
ANALYSIS. ALONG WITH AFTERNOON HEATING...INCREASING MOISTURE WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO DEVELOPMENTOF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
CENTRL PA THIS AFTERNOON. AIDED BY SHORTWAVE TROF CROSSING THE
AREA SEEN IN LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND MID LEVEL 40KT JET
MAX MOVING ACROSS NRN PA...THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME STRONG TO
SEVERE INTO THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL PA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MIDNIGHT THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/...
MUCH BETTER SHEAR AND MOISTURE APPEARS PRIMED TO SURGE OVER PA ON
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH DEEP LAYER PW APPROACHING 2"
AND 850 MB LLJ >40 KTS PUSHING INTO THE LAUREL HIGHLANDS LATE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WARM AND MUGGY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR
ANOTHER DAY...WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM UPPER 70S NORTH TO UPPER 80S
SOUTHEAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
TSTM CHANCES CONTINUE INTO TUE NIGHT/EARLY WED AS FRONTAL SYSTEM
SLOWLY CROSSES PA. HELD MENTION OF LOW POPS IN SE INTO
THU...THOUGH MODELS PUSH THIS FURTHER SE. LOW POPS THEN RETURN
OVER THE WEEKEND...ESP LATER...THOUGH MODELS SHOWING TIMING ISSUES
WITH NEXT UPPER TROUGH.

TEMPERATURES START OFF ABOVE NORMAL WITH NOTICEABLE HUMIDITY /ESP
SE/...BUT GRADUALLY COOL BACK TO SEASONAL NORMS BY LATE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERTORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS NRN FORECAST
AREA WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.
WHILE TAF SITES WILL MAINTAIN VFR CONDS MOST OF THE TIME...MVFR
IS POSSIBLE IN TSRA THORUGH 02Z AT AIRFILES FROM KUNV NORTHWARD.

THERE APPEARS TO BE LESS OF A CHC OF TSRA IMPACTS ACROSS THE SE
HALF OF THE STATE...THOUGH EARLY TO MID EVENING SHOWERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE AS FRONT WILL BE WEAKENING BY THE TIME IT REACHES MDT AND
LNS. AFTER THE FRONT PASSES MVFR TO IFR IS POSSIBLE AT BFD
OVERNIGHT.

OUTLOOK...
TUE...EARLY LOW CIGS/FOG POSS AT KBFD. PM TSRA IMPACTS POSSIBLE.
WED...EARLY LOW CIGS/FOG POSS W MTNS. SLIGHT CHC OF PM TSRA
IMPACTS SE.
THU-SAT...NO SIG WX EXPECTED.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...GARTNER/MARTIN
NEAR TERM...GARTNER
SHORT TERM...DEVOIR
LONG TERM...RXR
AVIATION...CERU/GARTNER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
304 PM EDT MON JUL 7 2014

PAZ025>028-033>036-050-056>059-063>066-081915-
BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-SOMERSET-BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-
SNYDER-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-
LANCASTER-
304 PM EDT MON JUL 7 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...BUT THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS
LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024-037-041-042-045-046-049-051>053-
081915-
WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD-
NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-
SULLIVAN-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-MONTOUR-
NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-
304 PM EDT MON JUL 7 2014

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 397 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE
INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

RXR

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
311 PM EDT MON JUL 7 2014

PAZ006-037-072015-
TIOGA PA-POTTER PA-
311 PM EDT MON JUL 7 2014

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM IS AFFECTING THE AREA...

AT 311 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
KEATING SUMMIT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  CHERRY SPRINGS STATE PARK AROUND 320 PM EDT.
  GALETON...DENTON HILL STATE PARK AND LYMAN RUN STATE PARK AROUND
330 PM EDT.
  GAINES AND HARRISON VALLEY AROUND 340 PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE ULYSSES...SKI DENTON
SKI AREA...SWEDEN VALLEY AND AUSTIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 4171 7744 4151 7808 4153 7812 4170 7819
      4199 7761
TIME...MOT...LOC 1911Z 240DEG 49KT 4167 7804

MARTIN