Severe Thunderstorm Warning 31, NWS Columbia, SC

567 
WWUS52 KCAE 270117
SVSCAE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
917 PM EDT MON MAY 26 2014

GAC073-245-SCC003-270128-
/O.CAN.KCAE.SV.W.0031.000000T0000Z-140527T0145Z/
RICHMOND GA-COLUMBIA GA-AIKEN SC-
917 PM EDT MON MAY 26 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR AIKEN...COLUMBIA AND RICHMOND
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

REPORT LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS OR FLOODING TO YOUR COUNTY
SHERIFF...OR USE

WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.COLUMBIA.GOV

TO RELAY SEVERE WEATHER REPORTS.

OR CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT

8...0...3...8...2...2...8...1...3...5.

LAT...LON 3357 8215 3358 8208 3357 8205 3353 8201
      3361 8192 3366 8161 3337 8158 3339 8217
TIME...MOT...LOC 0118Z 270DEG 28KT 3351 8181

$$

WRS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
852 PM EDT MON MAY 26 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST WILL CIRCULATE A MOIST
SOUTHERLY FLOW INTO THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTHWARD AND STALL NEAR THE AREA THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION THIS EVENING NEAR THE CSRA. WILL
EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO GRADUALLY DISSIPATE LATER TONIGHT.
OTHERWISE...EXPECT FAIR WEATHER OVERNIGHT. SATELLITE INDICATES
POSSIBILITY OF INCREASING THIN HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS LATER THIS
EVENING...MAINLY CSRA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /7 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL REMAIN OVER
THE REGION WITH SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW CONTINUING TO USHER
MOISTURE INTO THE REGION. TUESDAY NIGHT A WEAK SURFACE LOW WILL
FORM OFF THE DELMARVA COAST ALONG A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THIS
WILL KEEP THE AREA UNDER MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY WITH PWAT
VALUES RISING TO AROUND 1.7 INCHES DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON. WITH
WEAK SHEAR AND WET BULB ZERO HEIGHTS LIMITING THE TORNADO AND HAIL
THREATS THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS REMAINS. AREAS OF
HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE DUE TO AVAILABLE MOISTURE AND
WEAK STEERING FLOW. BEST CHANCES OF CONVECTION WILL BE DURING THE
LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS...WITH SOME SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LINGERING INTO TUESDAY NIGHT AS REMAINING OUTFLOWS
AND BOUNDARIES MERGE CREATING NEW CELLS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN
THE UPPER 80S FOR AFTERNOON HIGHS WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE UPPER
60S.

WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SITUATION WILL REMAIN STATUS QUO
FOR WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS AS THE WEAK LOW OFF DELMARVA
MOVES INTO THE ATLANTIC BASIN AND THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY MAKES
STEADY PROGRESS SOUTHWARD. WITH AN UPPER LOW OVER THE WESTERN GULF
REGION AND SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW OVER THE FORECAST AREA THE
CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST.
INSTABILITY AND AVAILABLE MOISTURE WILL BE SLIGHTLY LESS THAN
TUESDAY...HOWEVER WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES REACHING THE LOWER 90S
EXPECT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN FROM THE
MID AFTERNOON HOURS THROUGH THE EVENING. SEVERE THREAT AGAIN
APPEARS LOW...HOWEVER SOME WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE. LOW
TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 60S.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE LONG TERM WITH THE UPPER
LEVEL CUT OFF LOW REMAINS OVER THE GULF STATES AND THE WEAK
FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLOWLY DROPPING INTO THE AREA FRIDAY. THIS
COMBINATION WILL KEEP MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE FORECAST AREA
AND WITH TEMPERATURES REACHING THE UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90 EXPECT
ADDITIONAL AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS TO DEVELOP EACH DAY
THROUGH SATURDAY. THE REMAINS OF THE SURFACE FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH
OF THE FORECAST AREA SATURDAY NIGHT WITH SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR MOVING
IN SUNDAY AND BRINGING AN END TO THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY.
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE LONG TERM WILL BE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE
NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS GENERALLY EXPECTED THROUGH THE 24 HR
FORECAST PERIOD.

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED IN THE CSRA ASSOCIATED WITH
SEA BREEZE/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY MOVING INLAND. EXPECT THESE SHOWERS TO
DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET WITH LACK OF STRONG FORCING AND EXPECTED
DECREASE IN INSTABILITY. BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS
EVENING AT DNL AND AGS ASSOCIATED WITH THUNDERSTORMS. MVFR FOG IS
POSSIBLE OGB/AGS DURING THE 09Z- 12Z TIME FRAME WITH POSSIBLE
TEMPORARY IFR VSBYS AT AGS BUT LOW LEVEL JET TOWARD MORNING MAY
LIMIT FOG. LIGHT WINDS DEVELOPING AFTER SUNSET. WINDS PICK UP
AGAIN AFTER 15Z FROM THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 TO 10 MPH.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...MAINLY DIURNAL CONVECTION MAY CAUSE
BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
HOURS TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
911 AM EDT MON MAY 26 2014

GAZ040-063>065-077-SCZ015-016-018-020>022-025>031-035>038-041-271315-
LINCOLN-MCDUFFIE-COLUMBIA-RICHMOND-BURKE-LANCASTER-CHESTERFIELD-
MCCORMICK-NEWBERRY-FAIRFIELD-KERSHAW-EDGEFIELD-SALUDA-LEXINGTON-
RICHLAND-LEE-AIKEN-SUMTER-BARNWELL-ORANGEBURG-CALHOUN-CLARENDON-
BAMBERG-
911 AM EDT MON MAY 26 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA AND
CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.