Alert archive / New York / Special Weather Statements in 2014

Special Weather Statement, NWS Buffalo, NY

December 31, 2014Jefferson County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this special weather statement at Dec 31, 2014, 4:00 PM EST for Jefferson County, New York. It was in force for 60 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Dec 31, 2014, 4:00 PM EST (21:00 UTC)
Expired: Dec 31, 2014, 5:00 PM EST
In force: 60 min
Issued by: NWS Buffalo, NY

County Jefferson County, NY

The radar

The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 50 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 240 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 1275 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 84 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 90 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 151 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Dec 31, 3:54 PM EST, 6 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 31, 3:54 PM EST, 6 minutes before

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Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 31, 3:57 PM EST, 3 minutes before

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In the hours before

Special weather statement, Dec 31, 1:24 PM EST, 2 hours 36 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
124 PM EST WED DEC 31 2014

NYZ010>012-085-311945-
ERIE NY-GENESEE NY-WYOMING NY-
124 PM EST WED DEC 31 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE AREA...

* AT 118 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 3
  INCHES PER HOUR...AND VISIBILITY NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. THIS LAKE
  EFFECT SNOW BAND WAS LOCATED FROM STURGEON POINT TO HAMBURG TO
  SOUTH WALES. THROUGH 3PM...THE BAND WILL SHIFT NORTH ACROSS
  LACKAWANNA...WEST SENECA TO ALDEN. THE BAND IS EXPECTED
  TO STEADILY MARCH NORTHWARD INTO THE HEART OF THE BUFFALO METRO
  AREA BY LATE AFTERNOON.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND INCLUDE...
  ANGOLA ON THE LAKE AND EVANS...
  DERBY AND NORTH COLLINS...
  EDEN...
  LAKE VIEW AND LANGFORD...
  HAMBURG AND NORTH BOSTON...
  BLASDELL AND LACKAWANNA...
  ORCHARD PARK AND WEST FALLS...
  WEST SENECA AND SLOAN...
  DEPEW...

DRIVING WITHIN THIS SNOW BAND WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT WITH SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND VERY POOR VISIBILITY. IF TRAVELING ACROSS THE AREA
ALLOW FOR PLENTY OF EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...BE PREPARED BY HAVING AN EMERGENCY KIT...EXTRA
BLANKETS AND WARM CLOTHING IN THE EVENT THAT YOUR VEHICLE HAS
MECHANICAL PROBLEMS OR GETS STUCK. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE A FULLY CHARGED
CELL PHONE.

LAT...LON 4257 7914 4270 7905 4278 7886 4293 7892
      4300 7903 4303 7903 4306 7890 4302 7884
      4307 7880 4309 7873 4308 7847 4313 7847
      4313 7790 4304 7795 4302 7790 4295 7791
      4290 7796 4267 7796 4259 7801 4254 7909

Special weather statement, Dec 31, 1:56 PM EST, 2 hours 4 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
156 PM EST WED DEC 31 2014

NYZ007-008-312000-
JEFFERSON NY-LEWIS NY-
156 PM EST WED DEC 31 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE AREA...

* AT 149 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 3
  INCHES PER HOUR...AND VISIBILITY NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. THIS LAKE
  EFFECT SNOW BAND WAS LOCATED IN CENTRAL JEFFERSON AND WESTERN
  LEWIS COUNTIES MOVING NORTHEAST.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND INCLUDE...
  BARNES CORNERS...
  CALCIUM...
  FORT DRUM...
  CARTHAGE AND WEST CARTHAGE...
  LOWVILLE...
  INDIAN RIVER...
  WATERTOWN...
  COPENHAGEN...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 81 BETWEEN EXITS 39 AND 49.

DRIVING WITHIN THIS SNOW BAND WILL BE DIFFICULT AT TIMES WITH SNOW
COVERED AND SLIPPERY ROADWAYS. IF TRAVELING ACROSS THE AREA SLOW DOWN
AND BE PREPARED FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING ROAD AND WEATHER CONDITIONS.

DRIVING WITHIN THIS SNOW BAND WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT WITH SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND VERY POOR VISIBILITY. IF TRAVELING ACROSS THE AREA
ALLOW FOR PLENTY OF EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...BE PREPARED BY HAVING AN EMERGENCY KIT...EXTRA
BLANKETS AND WARM CLOTHING IN THE EVENT THAT YOUR VEHICLE HAS
MECHANICAL PROBLEMS OR GETS STUCK. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE A FULLY CHARGED
CELL PHONE.

LAT...LON 4371 7622 4380 7624 4384 7632 4389 7627
      4391 7621 4387 7621 4392 7614 4398 7622
      4395 7627 4396 7629 4405 7631 4407 7638
      4411 7638 4433 7567 4410 7516 4371 7512

SW

Special weather statement, Dec 31, 2:57 PM EST, 1 hour 3 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
257 PM EST WED DEC 31 2014

NYZ001-003-010>013-019-020-085-312045-
CATTARAUGUS NY-CHAUTAUQUA NY-ERIE NY-GENESEE NY-LIVINGSTON NY-MONROE
NY-NIAGARA NY-WYOMING NY-
257 PM EST WED DEC 31 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE AREA...

* AT 250 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2
  INCHES PER HOUR...AND VISIBILITY OF A QUARTER OF A MILE OR LESS.
  THIS LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND WAS LOCATED FROM NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA
  COUNTY...NORTHEAST THROUGH ERIE...GENESEE...AND WYOMING COUNTIES.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND INCLUDE...
  DUNKIRK...
  HAMBURG...
  WEST SENECA...
  ALDEN...
  PEMBROKE...
  BATAVIA...

THIS INCLUDES THE NEW YORK THRUWAY BETWEEN EXITS 47 AND 59.

* STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH THE COLD TEMPERATURES TO
  PRODUCE WIND CHILL VALUES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS.

DRIVING WITHIN THIS SNOW BAND WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT WITH SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND VERY POOR VISIBILITY. IF TRAVELING ACROSS THE AREA
ALLOW FOR PLENTY OF EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...BE PREPARED BY HAVING AN EMERGENCY KIT...EXTRA
BLANKETS AND WARM CLOTHING IN THE EVENT THAT YOUR VEHICLE HAS
MECHANICAL PROBLEMS OR GETS STUCK. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE A FULLY CHARGED
CELL PHONE.

LAT...LON 4250 7935 4256 7916 4271 7904 4278 7886
      4293 7891 4300 7903 4304 7902 4306 7890
      4303 7884 4309 7872 4308 7848 4313 7846
      4313 7790 4305 7795 4299 7790 4289 7796
      4269 7796 4259 7801 4243 7923 4246 7941

SW

Special weather statement, Dec 31, 3:06 PM EST, 54 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
306 PM EST WED DEC 31 2014

NYZ007-008-312100-
JEFFERSON NY-LEWIS NY-
306 PM EST WED DEC 31 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE AREA...

* AT 253 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2
  INCHES PER HOUR...AND VISIBILITY OF A QUARTER OF A MILE OR LESS.
  THIS LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND WAS LOCATED IN NORTHERN LEWIS AND
  NORTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTIES.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND INCLUDE...
  DEXTER...
  FORT DRUM...
  CHAUMONT...
  NATURAL BRIDGE...
  PHILADELPHIA...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 81 BETWEEN EXITS 41 AND 51.

* STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH THE COLD TEMPERATURES TO PRODUCE
  WIND CHILL VALUES DOWN TO THE SINGLE DIGITS.

DRIVING WITHIN THIS SNOW BAND WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT WITH SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND VERY POOR VISIBILITY. IF TRAVELING ACROSS THE AREA
ALLOW FOR PLENTY OF EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...BE PREPARED BY HAVING AN EMERGENCY KIT...EXTRA
BLANKETS AND WARM CLOTHING IN THE EVENT THAT YOUR VEHICLE HAS
MECHANICAL PROBLEMS OR GETS STUCK. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE A FULLY CHARGED
CELL PHONE.

LAT...LON 4410 7516 4396 7515 4371 7621 4380 7624
      4384 7631 4389 7627 4391 7621 4387 7621
      4392 7614 4398 7622 4395 7627 4396 7629
      4405 7631 4407 7638 4411 7638 4426 7606
      4439 7583

SW

Special weather statement, Dec 31, 3:49 PM EST, 11 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
349 PM EST WED DEC 31 2014

NYZ001-010>012-019-020-085-312145-
CATTARAUGUS NY-CHAUTAUQUA NY-ERIE NY-GENESEE NY-NIAGARA NY-WYOMING
NY-
349 PM EST WED DEC 31 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE AREA...

* AT 345 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2
  INCHES PER HOUR...AND VISIBILITY OF A QUARTER OF A MILE OR LESS.
  THIS LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND WAS LOCATED FROM NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA
  COUNTY...NORTHEAST THROUGH ERIE...GENESEE...AND WYOMING COUNTIES.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND INCLUDE...
  ORCHARD PARK...
  EDEN...
  HAMBURG...
  WEST SENECA...
  ALDEN...
  EAST PEMBROKE...
  BATAVIA...

THIS INCLUDES THE NEW YORK THRUWAY BETWEEN EXITS 48 AND 59.

* STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH THE COLD TEMPERATURES TO
  PRODUCE WIND CHILL VALUES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS.

DRIVING WITHIN THIS SNOW BAND WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT WITH SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND VERY POOR VISIBILITY. IF TRAVELING ACROSS THE AREA
ALLOW FOR PLENTY OF EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...BE PREPARED BY HAVING AN EMERGENCY KIT...EXTRA
BLANKETS AND WARM CLOTHING IN THE EVENT THAT YOUR VEHICLE HAS
MECHANICAL PROBLEMS OR GETS STUCK. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE A FULLY CHARGED
CELL PHONE.

LAT...LON 4250 7935 4256 7916 4269 7906 4276 7890
      4279 7886 4287 7888 4308 7848 4313 7846
      4312 7794 4303 7797 4289 7805 4270 7832
      4243 7923 4246 7941

SW

Special weather statement, Dec 31, 4:00 PM EST, 0 minutes before

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The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Dec 30, 9:08 PM EST	Gale Warning	BUF		52 hr
Dec 30, 10:02 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	BUF	Jefferson, Oswego	73 min
Dec 30, 11:18 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	BUF	Lewis, Oswego	72 min
Dec 31, 12:27 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	BUF	Lewis, Oswego	48 min
Dec 31, 1:43 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	BUF	Oswego	92 min
Dec 31, 3:10 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	BUF	Oswego	95 min
Dec 31, 4:44 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	BUF	Lewis, Oswego	76 min
Dec 31, 6:16 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	BUF	Oswego	89 min
Dec 31, 7:46 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	BUF	Oswego	74 min
Dec 31, 8:54 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	BUF	Oswego	66 min
Dec 31, 9:50 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	BUF	Oswego	70 min
Dec 31, 10:57 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	BUF	Lewis, Oswego	63 min
Dec 31, 11:36 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	BUF	Cattaraugus, Chautauqua	84 min
Dec 31, 12:51 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	BUF	Jefferson, Lewis	54 min
Dec 31, 12:54 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	BUF	Erie	66 min
Dec 31, 1:24 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	BUF	Erie, Genesee, Wyoming	81 min
Dec 31, 1:56 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	BUF	Jefferson, Lewis	64 min
Dec 31, 2:57 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	BUF	Erie, Genesee, Wyoming	48 min
Dec 31, 3:06 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	BUF	Jefferson	54 min
Dec 31, 3:49 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	BUF	Erie, Genesee	56 min
Dec 31, 4:37 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	BUF	Erie, Genesee	53 min
Dec 31, 5:15 PM EST	Lake Effect Snow Advisory	BUF	Monroe, Orleans	17 hr
Dec 31, 5:37 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	BUF	Erie, Genesee	83 min
Dec 31, 6:01 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	BUF	Jefferson	89 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in New York, 2014 Every special weather statement in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.