Special Weather Statement, NWS Buffalo, NY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
105 PM EST THU NOV 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE FOCUSED NORTHEAST
OF BOTH LAKES TODAY...AS A FRESH COLD AIRMASS WILL DEEPEN OVER THE
REGION. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL SETTLE TO THE SOUTH TONIGHT WHERE THEY
WILL BE CONCENTRATED OVER THE MORE TYPICAL LAKE SNOW BELTS OF THE
WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER AND SOUTH OF THE TUG HILL THROUGH FRIDAY.
NOTICEABLY MILDER AIR WILL THEN SURGE INTO OUR REGION DURING THE
UPCOMING AND LAST INTO THE EARLY PART OF THE NEW WORK WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
...RENEWED LAKE EFFECT WILL DUMP MULTIPLE FEET OF SNOW ON AREAS
NORTHEAST OF BOTH LAKES THROUGH TONIGHT...INCLUDING THE AREA THAT
WAS JUST CRIPPLED WITH 3 TO 5 FEET OF SNOW DOWNWIND OF LAKE ERIE...

WE ARE STILL ON TRACK FOR STORM TOTALS FROM THIS SECOND EVENT
REACHING 3 FEET OFF LAKE ERIE...ALTHOUGH BASED ON RECENT RADAR
TRENDS WE MOVED THE GREATEST TOTALS ABOUT ONE TOWNSHIP SOUTHWARD
FROM ANGOLA TO THE NORTHERN BOSTON HILLS...EAST AURORA...AND
NORTHERN WYOMING COUNTY. OFF LAKE ONTARIO WE ARE STILL ON TRACK FOR
STORM TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 FEET...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS APPROACHING 3 FEET
ON THE TUG HILL PLATEAU.

RADAR IMAGERY THIS AFTERNOON SHOWS THE LAKE ERIE BAND CREEPING
NORTHWARD AS EXPECTED DUE TO A SUBTLE WIND SHIFT MOVING ACROSS LAKE
ERIE AHEAD OF A MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE. BELIEVE THIS WIND SHIFT WILL BE
ENOUGH TO LIFT THE BAND BACK TO THE IMMEDIATE BUFFALO SOUTHTOWNS
FROM HAMBURG TO ORCHARD PARK...AND LANCASTER EAST TO BATAVIA FOR
SEVERAL HOURS DURING THE MID AFTERNOON. THE BAND MAY EVEN REACH
SOUTH BUFFALO AND WILL GET EXTREMELY CLOSE TO THE AIRPORT. FINALLY A
MORE SUBSTANTIAL VEERING OF LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL PUSH THE BAND SOUTH
THIS EVENING.

THE FLOW WILL VEER 300 DURING THE COURSE OF TONIGHT. THIS WILL
DIRECT THE LAKE SNOWS FURTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER
WHERE A FOOT OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED ALONG AND JUST EAST OF THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO A LAKE BAND HAS CONSOLIDATED AGAIN FROM WATERTOWN
TO FORT DRUM. EXPECT THIS BAND TO DRIFT NORTH A FEW MILES THROUGH
MID TO LATE AFTERNOON BEFORE MOVING BACK SOUTH TONIGHT TO THE TUG
HILL REGION...THEN REACHING OSWEGO COUNTY VERY LATE TONIGHT.

LAKE INDUCED INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE ARE STILL SUPPORTIVE OF
THUNDER AND LIGHTNING...ESPECIALLY ON LAKE ERIE TODAY AND LAKE
ONTARIO TONIGHT. EXPECT SNOWFALL RATES OF 3 TO 5 INCHES IN THE
HEAVIEST PORTION OF THE BAND TODAY OFF LAKE ERIE...WITH SOMEWHAT
LIGHTER 1-3 INCH PER HOUR RATES OFF ONTARIO. TONIGHT THE ROLES
REVERSE...WITH LAKE ONTARIO PICKING UP TO 3 TO 5 INCHES PER HOUR AS
FLOW BECOMES WESTERLY AND INCREASES FETCH AND BAND ORGANIZATION. THE
LAKE ERIE SNOW SHOULD WEAKEN TO 1 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR AS IT PUSHES
SOUTHWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN TIER.

A PATTERN VERY REMINISCENT OF LAST YEARS WINTER WILL BE IN PLACE
ACROSS NORTH AMERICA TODAY...AS RIDGING WILL BE FOUND OVER THE
WESTERN THIRD OF THE CONTINENT WHILE AN ANOMALOUSLY DEEP TROUGH WILL
BE CENTERED OVER THE GREAT LAKES. THIS WILL KEEP THE DOOR WIDE OPEN
FOR COLD AIR TO CONTINUE TO POUR SOUTHWARDS ACROSS THE RELATIVELY
WARM WATERS OF THE GREAT LAKES. THEREIN LIES THE FORECAST PROBLEM
FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK.

A DEEP...CYCLONIC FLOW OF -14C H85 AIR WILL CIRCULATE ACROSS LAKES
ERIE AND ONTARIO TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS WILL ESTABLISH IMPRESSIVE
INSTABILITY OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES...AND WITH A LOW SHEAR
ENVIRONMENT AND A CAPPING INVERSION RISING FROM 10K FT TO AT LEAST
15K...THE INGREDIENTS WILL BE IN PLACE FOR ANOTHER PROMINENT ROUND
OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW. WHILE THIS WILL CERTAINLY HAVE AN IMPACT ON
SITES EAST AND NORTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...A GREATER CONCERN WILL BE
NORTHEAST OF LK ERIE WHERE AT LEAST SOME OF THIS SNOW WILL FALL ON
AREAS THAT RECEIVED UP TO FIVE FEET OF SNOW JUST 30 HOURS AGO.

 OUTSIDE OF THE LAKE EFFECT AREAS...IT WILL BE COLD WITH SOME
FLURRIES. TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE GENERALLY IN THE MID TO UPPER
20S WITH GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS PRODUCING WIND CHILL VALUES IN THE
TEENS. MERCURY READINGS TONIGHT WILL SETTLE INTO THE TEENS IN MOST
AREAS...ALTHOUGH READINGS WILL REMAIN IN THE 20S WHERE LAKE
CLOUDS/PCPN WILL BE COMMON NEAR LAKE ONTARIO.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
LAKE EFFECT STORM ROUND 2 WILL COME TO AN END FRIDAY NIGHT OFF BOTH
LAKES THEN EXPECTING A WARM ADVECTION PATTERN TO SET UP THROUGH
SATURDAY. THIS WILL BRING WARMING TEMPERATURES UNDER SOUTHERLY WINDS
ALONG WITH THE CHANCE FOR SOME MIXED PRECIPITATION AS VERTICAL
TEMPERATURE PROFILES SHOW A WARM NOSE TRIES TO PUSH ABOVE FREEZING
BEFORE SURFACE TEMPERATURES DO.

FOR THE LAKE EFFECT OFF LAKE ERIE...
LAKE INDUCED EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS WILL RUN AROUND 15KFT FRIDAY MORNING
BEFORE DROPPING STEADILY DURING THE DAY FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
SHIFTS FROM THE OHIO VALLEY EAST TO THE MID-ATLANTIC WITH ASSOCIATED
RIDGING DRIVING DOWN A SUBSIDENCE INVERSION. EXPECT MOST OF THE SNOW
TO BE CONFINED TO CHAUTAUQUA AND THE WESTERN HALF OF CATTARAUGUS
COUNTIES DURING THE DAY UNDER A 290-300 DEGREE FLOW. THE LAKE SNOW
SHOULD STEADILY WEAKEN FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS INVERSION HEIGHTS LOWER.
THE STEERING WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BACK AS THE SURFACE RIDGING
BUILDS ACROSS WESTERN NY AND A WEAK BAND OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL SHIFT
BACK NORTH OVER SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY WHILE DISSIPATING.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...
LAKE INDUCED EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS WILL RUN CLOSE TO 18KFT FRIDAY
BEFORE DROPPING STEADILY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT ALSO DUE TO A
LOWERING INVERSION. FRIDAY MORNING THE BAND IS EXPECTED TO EXTEND
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST LAKE SHORE THEN IS FORECAST TO DROP SOUTH TO
BETWEEN ROCHESTER AND OSWEGO AS WINDS VEER TO AROUND 310 DEGREES.
CURRENT THINKING STILL REMAINS THAT THE TRANSITORY NATURE OF THIS
BAND SHOULD PREVENT SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OVER ANY ONE LOCATION
SO NOT ENOUGH CONFIDENCE YET ON HIGHER AMOUNTS IN THOSE AREAS BUT
THIS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.

SIMILAR TO WHAT IS EXPECTED ON LAKE ERIE BUT SEVERAL HOURS
LATER...BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW IS FORECAST TO BACK AS SURFACE RIDGING
BUILDS NORTH. THIS BACKING FLOW WILL CARRY THE LAKE EFFECT BACK
NORTH ACROSS OSWEGO COUNTY DURING THE EVENING EVENTUALLY DISSIPATING
ACROSS THE TUG HILL UNDER THE LOWERING INVERSION.

ON SATURDAY THE STRONG SURFACE HIGH OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC IS
FORECAST TO SHIFT EAST OFF THE COAST. STRENGTHENING SOUTHWEST FLOW ON
THE BACKSIDE OF THE HIGH WILL ADVECT MUCH WARMER AIR AND GULF
MOISTURE NORTHWARD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. WHILE THE MORNING SHOULD
REMAIN DRY WITH JUST INCREASING CLOUDS...CHANCES OF MIXED
PRECIPITATION INCLUDING SLEET AND POSSIBLE FREEZING RAIN WILL SHIFT
OVER WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK AS WARM AIR OVERRIDES STILL
SUB-FREEZING SURFACE TEMPS. EXACT P-TYPE WILL DEPEND ON THE SPEED AT
WHICH TEMPERATURE COLUMNS WARM AND MOISTEN. NAM FORECAST WARM LAYER
TEMPS QUICKLY RISE SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE FREEZING BY MIDDAY SATURDAY
SO ANY MIX IF IT OCCURS SHOULD BE BRIEF AND QUICKLY CHANGE OVER TO
SOME LIGHT SHOWERS OR SPRINKLES. COOLER TEMPS ALOFT WILL HOLD IN
PLACE LONGEST ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTY SO BETTER CHANCES FOR P-TYPE
TO START AS SNOW THEN TRANSITION TO A BRIEF MIX BEFORE GOING OVER TO
ALL LIQUID. QPF IS LESS THAN A TENTH SO NO SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS
OF EXPECTED.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW NORMAL FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT
WITH HIGHS AND LOWS MORE TYPICAL OF JANUARY THAN LATE NOVEMBER. THE
WARM ADVECTION WILL HELP PUSH TEMPERATURES AND EVENTUALLY DEWPOINTS
BACK ABOVE FREEZING SATURDAY AND CONTINUE RISING SATURDAY NIGHT
UNDER A BRISK SOUTHWEST FLOW. HIGHS SATURDAY WILL BE MID TO UPPER
30S PUSHING CLOSER TO 40 BY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. THESE WARMING
TEMPERATURES WILL RIPEN THE SNOWPACK WITH MELTING QUICKLY TAKING
PLACE AFTER DEWPOINTS RISE ABOVE FREEZING.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SUNDAY AND MONDAY A COMPLEX AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL LIFT THROUGH
THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES AS A MID LEVEL TROUGH DIGS INTO THE NORTHERN
PLAINS. THIS WILL FORCE STRONG HEIGHT RISES AND WARM ADVECTION
DOWNSTREAM ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES AND ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO SOAR...
WITH THE WARMEST DAY COMING MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S...WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 40S AND PLENTY OF
WIND. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL ALSO BE MILD. THIS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR
A MAJOR MELTDOWN IN AREAS POUNDED BY LAKE EFFECT SNOW. LATEST MODEL
GUIDANCE DOES NOT SHOW AN EXCESSIVE AMOUNT OF RAIN...WITH THE BEST
RAIN CHANCES COMING ON SUNDAY NIGHT AS A WARM FRONTAL SEGMENT LIFTS
NORTH ACROSS THE AREA.

THE COMBINATION OF AT LEAST SOME RAIN AND MAJOR SNOWMELT WILL BRING
THE RISK FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING TO THE LAKE EFFECT AREAS...BOTH
FOR SMALL STREAMS AS WELL AS SOME OF THE LARGER CREEKS AND RIVERS.
THIS WOULD INCLUDE THE BUFFALO AREA CREEKS...CATTARAUGUS CREEK...
AND THE CREEKS THAT DRAIN THE TUG HILL REGION. IN URBAN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH BUFFALO PONDING/FLOODING MAY ALSO OCCUR AS THE LARGE
VOLUME OF MELT WATER OVERLOADS DRAINAGE SYSTEMS.

LOOKING INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK FOR THE IMPORTANT THANKSGIVING
HOLIDAY TRAVEL TIME PERIOD...COLDER AIR WILL FILTER BACK INTO THE
GREAT LAKES. BOTH THE GFS AND ECWMF DROP 850MB TEMPS TO -8C TO -10C
BY WEDNESDAY WITH CYCLONIC SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW...SUGGESTING THE
POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER LAKE EFFECT EVENT. STAY TUNED.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
OUTSIDE OF LAKE EFFECT AREAS CONDITIONS WILL BE MAINLY VFR THROUGH
THE PERIOD WITH GUSTY WINDS TODAY AND THIS EVENING DIMINISHING
OVERNIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.

AS FOR LAKE EFFECT...THE PLUME OFF LAKE ERIE IS JUST SOUTH OF KBUF
AND WILL CONTINUE TO EDGE SLOWLY NORTHWARD THROUGH MID AFTERNOON.
CURRENT THINKING IS IT WILL REMAIN JUST SOUTH OF THE AIRPORT...BY A
MILE OR TWO...BUT IT WILL BE EXTREMELY CLOSE AND WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR. WITHIN THE BAND VISIBILITY WILL BE NIL IN VERY HEAVY SNOW.
THE BAND OF SNOW WILL MOVE SOUTH AWAY FROM KBUF THIS EVENING AND
REACH THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER AND KJHW OVERNIGHT WITH CONDITIONS
DETERIORATING TO IFR THERE. ON FRIDAY EXPECT LAKE SNOW TO CONTINUE
ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER IN A WEAKENED FORM COMPARED TO
TODAY...BUT STILL PLENTY STRONG ENOUGH TO PRODUCE LOCAL IFR.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO A PLUME OF SNOW IS JUST SOUTH OF KART. EXPECT THE
BAND TO LIFT NORTH INTO KART FOR A FEW HOURS THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE
MOVING SOUTH EARLY THIS EVENING. THIS WILL BRING SEVERAL HOURS OF
VSBY BELOW AIRFIELD MINIMUMS. TONIGHT THE BAND WILL SHIFT SOUTH
ACROSS THE TUG HILL REGION THEN TO OSWEGO COUNTY BEFORE DAYBREAK
WITH NIL VISIBILITY IN VERY HEAVY SNOW ON THE WAY. ON FRIDAY THE
BAND WILL PUSH SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO AND BREAK APART INTO MORE
OF A WEAKER MULTIPLE BAND REGIME...WITH AREAS OF IFR FROM JUST EAST
OF KROC TO NEAR KFZY.

OUTLOOK...
SATURDAY...VFR.
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...PERIODS OF IFR/MVFR IN RAIN. LLWS
POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY MORNING.
TUESDAY...MAINLY VFR WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
DEEP LOW PRESSURE PASSING BY TO THE NORTH OF THE LOWER GREAT LAKES
WILL GENERATE FAIRLY STRONG WINDS TODAY INTO TONIGHT...WITH GALE
FORCE WINDS EXPECTED ON LAKE ONTARIO AND HIGH END SMALL CRAFTS ON
THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE ERIE.

THE STRONG WINDS WILL START TO SUBSIDE TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION AND WEAKEN THE INFLUENCING SFC
PRESSURE GRADIENT. WHILE THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PASS OVER
LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO ON FRIDAY...WINDS WILL LIKELY REMAIN HIGH
ENOUGH TO WARRANT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ON LAKE ONTARIO.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY FOR NYZ010>012-
     085.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY FOR NYZ007-008-
     019-020.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY FOR NYZ006.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
     NYZ003.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY FOR NYZ013.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR LEZ020.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EST FRIDAY FOR LEZ040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
         LOZ030.
         GALE WARNING UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY FOR LOZ043>045-063>065.
         GALE WARNING UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR LOZ042-062.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
         SLZ022-024.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RSH
NEAR TERM...HITCHCOCK/RSH/ZAFF
SHORT TERM...SMITH
LONG TERM...HITCHCOCK
AVIATION...HITCHCOCK
MARINE...RSH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
558 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014

NYZ007-008-211100-
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
558 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

A WARM-UP AND SOME RAINFALL SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL RESULT IN
SIGNIFICANT SNOWMELT IN AREAS WHICH RECEIVED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT
SNOW. THIS MAY RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND
CREEKS AS WELL AS LARGER STEM RIVERS AND URBAN AREAS WILL POOR DRAINAGE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006-211100-
OSWEGO-
558 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 PM EST FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

A WARM-UP AND SOME RAINFALL SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL RESULT IN
SIGNIFICANT SNOWMELT IN AREAS WHICH RECEIVED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT
SNOW. THIS MAY RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND
CREEKS AS WELL AS LARGER STEM RIVERS AND URBAN AREAS WILL POOR DRAINAGE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001-002-004-005-014-021-211100-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-
558 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ003-211100-
MONROE-
558 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ019-020-211100-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
558 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

A WARM-UP AND SOME RAINFALL SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL RESULT IN
SIGNIFICANT SNOWMELT IN AREAS WHICH RECEIVED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT
SNOW. THIS MAY RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND
CREEKS AS WELL AS LARGER STEM RIVERS AND URBAN AREAS WILL POOR DRAINAGE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ010>012-085-211100-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
558 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

A WARM-UP AND SOME RAINFALL SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL RESULT IN
SIGNIFICANT SNOWMELT IN AREAS WHICH RECEIVED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT
SNOW. THIS MAY RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND
CREEKS AS WELL AS LARGER STEM RIVERS AND URBAN AREAS WILL POOR DRAINAGE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ013-211100-
LIVINGSTON-
558 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-SLZ022-024-211100-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
558 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE AND
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ043>045-063>065-211100-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
558 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ042-062-211100-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
558 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SMITH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1128 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014

NYZ006>008-201800-
JEFFERSON NY-LEWIS NY-OSWEGO NY-
1128 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT CENTRAL JEFFERSON COUNTY
AND FAR NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTY...

* AT 1125 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 3
  INCHES PER HOUR...AND VISIBILITY OF A QUARTER OF A MILE OR LESS.
  THIS LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND WAS LOCATED FROM ABOUT ADAMS TO
  HARRISVILLE BUT MAY OCCASIONALLY BREAK UP AND REORGANIZE
  DURING THE AFTERNOON.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND INCLUDE...
  ADAMS...
  CARTHAGE...
  DIANA...
  WATERTOWN...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 81 BETWEEN EXITS 39 AND 48.

DRIVING WITHIN THIS SNOW BAND WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT WITH SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND VERY POOR VISIBILITY. IF TRAVELING ACROSS THE AREA
ALLOW FOR PLENTY OF EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...BE PREPARED BY HAVING AN EMERGENCY KIT...EXTRA
BLANKETS AND WARM CLOTHING IN THE EVENT THAT YOUR VEHICLE HAS
MECHANICAL PROBLEMS OR GETS STUCK. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE A FULLY CHARGED
CELL PHONE.

LAT...LON 4365 7621 4380 7624 4384 7631 4387 7631
      4391 7622 4390 7620 4387 7621 4390 7614
      4394 7615 4397 7621 4422 7543 4410 7516
      4389 7513

ZAFF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1251 PM EST THU NOV 20 2014

NYZ010>012-019-020-085-201915-
CATTARAUGUS NY-CHAUTAUQUA NY-ERIE NY-GENESEE NY-WYOMING NY-
1251 PM EST THU NOV 20 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE BUFFALO SOUTHTOWNS
AND LAKE ERIE SHORELINE EAST TO THE BOSTON HILLS AND WESTERN WYOMING
COUNTY...

* AT 1250 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SNOWFALL RATES OF 3
  INCHES PER HOUR OR MORE...AND VISIBILITY NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. THIS
  LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND WAS LOCATED ALONG THE LAKE ERIE
  SHORELINE OF CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY NORTHEAST ACROSS THE BOSTON HILLS
  AND SOUTHTOWNS...INTO WESTERN WYOMING COUNTY.  THIS BAND WILL ALSO
  CLIP FAR SOUTHERN GENESEE COUNTY FOR SEVERAL HOURS THIS AFTERNOON.
  THE BAND WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THIS AFTERNOON...THEN BEGIN TO
  DRIFT BACK SOUTH AFTER DARK.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND INCLUDE...
  BOSTON AND WEST FALLS...
  COLDEN...WALES...EAST AURORA...
  LACKAWANNA...ORCHARD PARK...HAMBURG...
  ELMA...WEST SENECA...ALDEN...
  BENNINGTON AND ATTICA...
  VARYSBURG...HOLLAND AND MARILLA...

THIS INCLUDES THE NEW YORK THRUWAY BETWEEN EXITS 48 AND 59.

HERE ARE SOME IMPORTANT SAFETY REMINDERS...

* DO NOT OVEREXERT YOURSELF...SHOVELING OR EVEN WALKING IN THE
  HEAVY SNOW IS EXTREMELY TAXING. TAKE PLENTY OF BREAKS TO AVOID
  OVEREXERTING YOURSELF.

* OVERSTRESSED ROOFS CAN COLLAPSE. SNOW REMOVAL OFF STRUCTURES IS
  A DANGEROUS ACTIVITY THAT SHOULD ONLY BE DONE BY QUALIFIED
  INDIVIDUALS FOLLOWING SAFETY PROTOCOLS TO MINIMIZE RISKS. IF AT
  ANY TIME THERE IS A CONCERN THAT SNOW LOADS MAY CAUSE A
  COLLAPSE...EVACUATE THE BUILDING. SIGNS OF OVERSTRESSED ROOFS
  MAY INCLUDE SAGGING TILES OR BOARDS. POPPING...CRACKING...OR
  CREAKING SOUNDS ALSO SIGNAL SIGNIFICANT DANGER.

* TRAVEL SAFETY...MANY ROADS ARE STILL IN EXTREMELY POOR CONDITION
  OR ARE IMPASSIBLE. HEED LOCAL...REGIONAL AND OTHER EMERGENCY
  TRAVEL BANS. TAKE THE TIME NOW AND PLACE A WINTER SAFETY KIT IN
  YOUR CAR. ITEMS INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...A FULLY CHARGED
  CELL PHONE...BLANKETS...FLASHLIGHT...KNIFE...NON-PERISHABLE
  FOOD...CLOTHING...AND A SHOVEL.

LAT...LON 4246 7943 4250 7936 4256 7916 4270 7905
      4271 7899 4278 7886 4287 7889 4306 7806
      4258 7820 4243 7943

ZAFF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1256 PM EST THU NOV 20 2014

NYZ007-008-201930-
JEFFERSON NY-LEWIS NY-
1256 PM EST THU NOV 20 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT CENTRAL JEFFERSON COUNTY
AND FAR NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTY...

* AT 1255 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SNOWFALL RATES OF 3
  INCHES PER HOUR OR MORE...AND VISIBILITY NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. THIS
  LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND WAS LOCATED FROM ABOUT ADAMS TO HARRISVILLE.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND INCLUDE...
  WATERTOWN...
  FORT DRUM...
  HARRISVILLE...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 81 BETWEEN EXITS 41 AND 48.

TRAVEL ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT OR EVEN IMPOSSIBLE
DUE TO THE VERY HEAVY SNOWFALL PRODUCING NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AND
DEEP SNOW COVER ON ROADWAYS. TRAVEL IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...BE PREPARED BY HAVING AN EMERGENCY KIT...EXTRA
BLANKETS AND WARM CLOTHING IN THE EVENT THAT YOUR VEHICLE HAS
MECHANICAL PROBLEMS OR GETS STUCK. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE A FULLY CHARGED
CELL PHONE.

LAT...LON 4413 7576 4389 7558 4370 7621 4380 7624
      4384 7631 4387 7631 4389 7628 4389 7623
      4391 7622 4390 7620 4387 7621 4390 7614
      4396 7615

ZAFF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
102 PM EST THU NOV 20 2014

NYZ007-008-201930-
JEFFERSON NY-LEWIS NY-
102 PM EST THU NOV 20 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT CENTRAL JEFFERSON COUNTY
AND FAR NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTY...

* AT 100 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SNOWFALL RATES OF 3
  INCHES PER HOUR OR MORE...AND VISIBILITY NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. THIS
  LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND WAS LOCATED FROM ABOUT ADAMS TO HARRISVILLE.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND INCLUDE...
  WATERTOWN...
  FORT DRUM...
  HARRISVILLE...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 81 BETWEEN EXITS 41 AND 48.

TRAVEL ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT OR EVEN IMPOSSIBLE
DUE TO THE VERY HEAVY SNOWFALL PRODUCING NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AND
DEEP SNOW COVER ON ROADWAYS. TRAVEL IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...BE PREPARED BY HAVING AN EMERGENCY KIT...EXTRA
BLANKETS AND WARM CLOTHING IN THE EVENT THAT YOUR VEHICLE HAS
MECHANICAL PROBLEMS OR GETS STUCK. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE A FULLY CHARGED
CELL PHONE.

LAT...LON 4413 7576 4389 7558 4370 7621 4380 7624
      4384 7631 4387 7631 4389 7628 4389 7623
      4391 7622 4390 7620 4387 7621 4390 7614
      4396 7615

ZAFF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
105 PM EST THU NOV 20 2014

NYZ006>008-201900-
JEFFERSON NY-LEWIS NY-OSWEGO NY-
105 PM EST THU NOV 20 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT CENTRAL JEFFERSON COUNTY
AND FAR NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTY...

* AT 105 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SNOWFALL RATES OF 3
  INCHES PER HOUR OR MORE...AND VISIBILITY NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. THIS
  LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND WAS LOCATED FROM ABOUT ADAMS TO HARRISVILLE.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND INCLUDE...
  WATERTOWN...
  FORT DRUM...
  HARRISVILLE...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 81 BETWEEN EXITS 41 AND 48.

TRAVEL ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT OR EVEN IMPOSSIBLE
DUE TO THE VERY HEAVY SNOWFALL PRODUCING NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AND
DEEP SNOW COVER ON ROADWAYS. TRAVEL IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...BE PREPARED BY HAVING AN EMERGENCY KIT...EXTRA
BLANKETS AND WARM CLOTHING IN THE EVENT THAT YOUR VEHICLE HAS
MECHANICAL PROBLEMS OR GETS STUCK. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE A FULLY CHARGED
CELL PHONE.

LAT...LON 4365 7620 4380 7624 4384 7631 4387 7631
      4391 7638 4387 7630 4391 7622 4390 7620
      4387 7621 4390 7614 4397 7620 4423 7544
      4410 7516 4390 7513 4389 7513

ZAFF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
231 PM EST THU NOV 20 2014

NYZ010>012-019-020-085-202100-
CATTARAUGUS NY-CHAUTAUQUA NY-ERIE NY-GENESEE NY-WYOMING NY-
231 PM EST THU NOV 20 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE BUFFALO SOUTHTOWNS
AND LAKE ERIE SHORELINE EAST TO THE BOSTON HILLS AND WESTERN WYOMING
COUNTY...

* AT 230 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SNOWFALL RATES OF 4
  INCHES PER HOUR OR MORE...AND VISIBILITY NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. THIS
  LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND WAS LOCATED ALONG THE LAKE ERIE
  SHORELINE OF CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY NORTHEAST ACROSS THE BOSTON HILLS
  AND SOUTHTOWNS...INTO WESTERN WYOMING COUNTY.  THIS BAND WILL ALSO
  CLIP FAR SOUTHERN GENESEE COUNTY FOR SEVERAL HOURS THIS AFTERNOON.
  THE BAND WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THIS AFTERNOON...THEN BEGIN TO
  DRIFT BACK SOUTH AFTER DARK.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND INCLUDE...
  BOSTON AND WEST FALLS...
  COLDEN...WALES...EAST AURORA...
  LACKAWANNA...ORCHARD PARK...HAMBURG...
  ELMA...WEST SENECA...ALDEN...
  BENNINGTON AND ATTICA...
  VARYSBURG...HOLLAND AND MARILLA...

THIS INCLUDES THE NEW YORK THRUWAY BETWEEN EXITS 48 AND 59.

* LIGHTNING AND A FEW RUMBLES OF THUNDER WILL BE POSSIBLE.

HERE ARE SOME IMPORTANT SAFETY REMINDERS...

* DO NOT OVEREXERT YOURSELF...SHOVELING OR EVEN WALKING IN THE
  HEAVY SNOW IS EXTREMELY TAXING. TAKE PLENTY OF BREAKS TO AVOID
  OVEREXERTING YOURSELF.

* OVERSTRESSED ROOFS CAN COLLAPSE. SNOW REMOVAL OFF STRUCTURES IS
  A DANGEROUS ACTIVITY THAT SHOULD ONLY BE DONE BY QUALIFIED
  INDIVIDUALS FOLLOWING SAFETY PROTOCOLS TO MINIMIZE RISKS. IF AT
  ANY TIME THERE IS A CONCERN THAT SNOW LOADS MAY CAUSE A
  COLLAPSE...EVACUATE THE BUILDING. SIGNS OF OVERSTRESSED ROOFS
  MAY INCLUDE SAGGING TILES OR BOARDS. POPPING...CRACKING...OR
  CREAKING SOUNDS ALSO SIGNAL SIGNIFICANT DANGER.

* TRAVEL SAFETY...MANY ROADS ARE STILL IN EXTREMELY POOR CONDITION
  OR ARE IMPASSIBLE. HEED LOCAL...REGIONAL AND OTHER EMERGENCY
  TRAVEL BANS. TAKE THE TIME NOW AND PLACE A WINTER SAFETY KIT IN
  YOUR CAR. ITEMS INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...A FULLY CHARGED
  CELL PHONE...BLANKETS...FLASHLIGHT...KNIFE...NON-PERISHABLE
  FOOD...CLOTHING...AND A SHOVEL.

LAT...LON 4246 7943 4250 7936 4256 7916 4261 7913
      4265 7907 4270 7905 4271 7899 4278 7886
      4285 7887 4287 7889 4307 7805 4258 7819
      4242 7944

ZAFF