Areal Flood Warning 21, NWS Buffalo, NY

573 
WGUS81 KBUF 230305
FLSBUF

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1005 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

NYC009-013-029-037-121-242115-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.W.0021.000000T0000Z-141124T2115Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CATTARAUGUS NY-GENESEE NY-WYOMING NY-CHAUTAUQUA NY-ERIE NY-
1005 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EST MONDAY FOR
ERIE...NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA...WYOMING...SOUTHERN GENESEE AND
NORTHWESTERN CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES...

AT 1001 PM EST...TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE WARNED AREA WERE WELL ABOVE 
WILL REMAIN THERE THROUGH MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL STEADILY CLIMB 
INTO THE LOWER 50S ON SUNDAY...BEFORE REACHING 60 ON MONDAY. WHILE 
RAINFALL WILL GENERALLY BE A QUARTER INCH OR LESS THROUGH SUNDAY 
NIGHT...SIGNIFICANT SNOWMELT HAS BEGUN AND WILL NOW CONTINUE THROUGH 
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND. IT IS THIS SNOWMELT THAT WILL 
ULTIMATELY CAUSE THE FLOODING CONCERNS.

CORE SAMPLES OF THE DEEP SNOWPACK AT THE START OF THE WEEKEND 
INDICATED THAT AS MUCH AS 5 TO 6 INCHES OF WATER WAS LOCKED IN 
PLACE...BUT AS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO CLIMB...THIS WATER WILL BE 
RELEASED...AND IN SOME CASES FAIRLY RAPIDLY. SINCE MANY STORM DRAINS 
ARE SNOW CLOGGED...MANY URBAN AREAS WILL LIKELY BE THE FIRST TO 
EXPERIENCE FLOODING WITH SEVERAL FEET OF WATER POSSIBLY ACCUMULATING 
ON SOME STRETCHES OF ROAD. RESIDENTIAL BASEMENTS WILL START TO FLOOD 
DURING THIS TIME AS WELL. 

AREA TRIBUTARIES...PARTICULARLY BUFFALO CREEK...CAZENOVIA CREEK... 
CAYUGA CREEK AND ELLICOTT CREEK...WILL TAKE A BIT LONGER TO 
EXPERIENCE SIGNIFICANT RISES WITH THE POTENTIAL TO REACH AT LEAST 
MINOR FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.  

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4242 7946 4250 7935 4256 7916 4271 7904
      4271 7899 4276 7889 4279 7886 4290 7891
      4301 7849 4302 7795 4253 7807 4253 7848
      4244 7877 4230 7968

$$

RSH

625 
WGUS81 KBUF 230321
FLSBUF

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1021 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

NYC009-013-029-037-121-242115-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.W.0021.000000T0000Z-141124T2115Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CATTARAUGUS NY-GENESEE NY-WYOMING NY-CHAUTAUQUA NY-ERIE NY-
1021 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EST MONDAY FOR
ERIE...NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA...WYOMING...SOUTHERN GENESEE AND
NORTHWESTERN CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES...

AT 1020 PM EST...TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE WARNED AREA WERE WELL ABOVE 
FREEZING AND WILL REMAIN THERE THROUGH MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL 
STEADILY CLIMB INTO THE LOWER 50S ON SUNDAY...BEFORE REACHING 60 ON 
MONDAY. WHILE RAINFALL WILL GENERALLY BE A QUARTER INCH OR LESS 
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...SIGNIFICANT SNOWMELT HAS BEGUN AND WILL NOW 
CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND. IT IS THIS SNOWMELT 
THAT WILL ULTIMATELY CAUSE THE FLOODING CONCERNS.

CORE SAMPLES OF THE DEEP SNOWPACK AT THE START OF THE WEEKEND 
INDICATED THAT AS MUCH AS 5 TO 6 INCHES OF WATER WAS LOCKED IN 
PLACE...BUT AS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO CLIMB...THIS WATER WILL BE 
RELEASED...AND IN SOME CASES FAIRLY RAPIDLY. SINCE MANY STORM DRAINS 
ARE SNOW CLOGGED...MANY URBAN AREAS WILL LIKELY BE THE FIRST TO 
EXPERIENCE FLOODING WITH SEVERAL FEET OF WATER POSSIBLY ACCUMULATING 
ON SOME STRETCHES OF ROAD. RESIDENTIAL BASEMENTS WILL START TO FLOOD 
DURING THIS TIME AS WELL. 

AREA TRIBUTARIES...PARTICULARLY BUFFALO CREEK...CAZENOVIA CREEK... 
CAYUGA CREEK AND ELLICOTT CREEK...WILL TAKE A BIT LONGER TO 
EXPERIENCE SIGNIFICANT RISES WITH THE POTENTIAL TO REACH AT LEAST 
MINOR FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.  

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4242 7946 4250 7935 4256 7916 4271 7904
      4271 7899 4276 7889 4279 7886 4290 7891
      4301 7849 4302 7795 4253 7807 4253 7848
      4244 7877 4230 7968

$$

RSH

695 
WGUS81 KBUF 230624
FLSBUF

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
124 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

NYC009-013-029-037-121-242115-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.W.0021.000000T0000Z-141124T2115Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CATTARAUGUS NY-GENESEE NY-WYOMING NY-CHAUTAUQUA NY-ERIE NY-
124 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EST MONDAY FOR
ERIE...NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA...WYOMING...SOUTHERN GENESEE AND
NORTHWESTERN CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES...

AT 120 AM EST TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO REMAIN WELL ABOVE FREEZING 
WITH READINGS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE LOW TO MID 40S THROUGH THE 
REST OF TONIGHT. 

TEMPERATURES WILL STEADILY CLIMB INTO THE LOWER 50S ON SUNDAY... 
BEFORE REACHING 60 ON MONDAY. WHILE RAINFALL WILL GENERALLY BE A 
QUARTER INCH OR LESS THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...SIGNIFICANT SNOWMELT HAS 
BEGUN AND WILL NOW CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND. IT 
IS THIS SNOWMELT THAT WILL ULTIMATELY CAUSE THE FLOODING CONCERNS.

CORE SAMPLES OF THE DEEP SNOWPACK AT THE START OF THE WEEKEND 
INDICATED THAT AS MUCH AS 5 TO 6 INCHES OF WATER WAS LOCKED IN 
PLACE...BUT AS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO CLIMB...THIS WATER WILL BE 
RELEASED...AND IN SOME CASES FAIRLY RAPIDLY. SINCE MANY STORM DRAINS 
ARE SNOW CLOGGED...MANY URBAN AREAS WILL LIKELY BE THE FIRST TO 
EXPERIENCE FLOODING WITH SEVERAL FEET OF WATER POSSIBLY ACCUMULATING 
ON SOME STRETCHES OF ROAD. RESIDENTIAL BASEMENTS WILL START TO FLOOD 
DURING THIS TIME AS WELL. 

AREA TRIBUTARIES...PARTICULARLY BUFFALO CREEK...CAZENOVIA CREEK... 
CAYUGA CREEK AND ELLICOTT CREEK...WILL TAKE A BIT LONGER TO 
EXPERIENCE SIGNIFICANT RISES WITH THE POTENTIAL TO REACH AT LEAST 
MINOR FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4242 7946 4250 7935 4256 7916 4271 7904
      4271 7899 4276 7889 4279 7886 4290 7891
      4301 7849 4302 7795 4253 7807 4253 7848
      4244 7877 4230 7968

$$

WOOD

996 
WGUS81 KBUF 231407
FLSBUF

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
907 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

NYC009-013-029-037-121-242115-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.W.0021.000000T0000Z-141124T2115Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CATTARAUGUS NY-GENESEE NY-WYOMING NY-CHAUTAUQUA NY-ERIE NY-
907 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EST MONDAY FOR
ERIE...NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA...WYOMING...SOUTHERN GENESEE AND
NORTHWESTERN CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES...

TEMPERATURES HAVE STEADILY RISEN OVERNIGHT WITH MOST READINGS IN THE 
LOWER TO MID 40S THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO CLIMB
TODAY REACHING AROUND 50 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE REACHING 
NEAR 60 DEGREES ON MONDAY.

WHILE RAINFALL WILL GENERALLY BE A THIRD INCH OR LESS THROUGH 
TONIGHT...SNOWMELT IS WELL UNDERWAY AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 
MONDAY. IT IS THIS SNOWMELT THAT WILL ULTIMATELY CAUSE THE FLOODING 
CONCERNS...WITH THE GREATEST AMOUNT OF SNOWMELT OCCURRING TONIGHT 
AND MONDAY. 

CORE SAMPLES OF THE DEEP SNOWPACK AT THE START OF THE WEEKEND 
INDICATED THAT AS MUCH AS 5 TO 6 INCHES OF WATER WAS LOCKED IN 
PLACE...BUT AS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO CLIMB...THIS WATER WILL BE 
RELEASED...AND IN SOME CASES FAIRLY RAPIDLY. 

SINCE MANY STORM DRAINS ARE SNOW CLOGGED...MANY URBAN AREAS WILL 
LIKELY BE THE FIRST TO EXPERIENCE FLOODING WITH SEVERAL FEET OF 
WATER POSSIBLY ACCUMULATING ON SOME STRETCHES OF ROAD. RESIDENTIAL 
BASEMENTS WILL START TO FLOOD DURING THIS TIME AS WELL. 

THE THREAT FOR STRUCTURAL FAILURE WILL INCREASE THROUGH MONDAY.

AREA TRIBUTARIES...PARTICULARLY BUFFALO CREEK...CAZENOVIA CREEK... 
CAYUGA CREEK AND ELLICOTT CREEK...WILL TAKE A BIT LONGER TO 
EXPERIENCE SIGNIFICANT RISES WITH THE POTENTIAL TO REACH AT LEAST 
MINOR FLOOD STAGE LATER TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

IN ADDITION...VERY STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP MONDAY AND 
MONDAY NIGHT. THESE WINDS COULD BRING DOWN SOME TREES AND POWER 
LINES RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. THIS WILL CAUSE SUMP 
PUMPS TO FAIL.  

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE ELEVATED LEVELS ON
SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN AREAS...
HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4242 7946 4250 7935 4256 7916 4271 7904
      4271 7899 4276 7889 4279 7886 4290 7891
      4301 7849 4302 7795 4253 7807 4253 7848
      4244 7877 4230 7968

$$

TMA

017 
WGUS81 KBUF 231948
FLSBUF

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
248 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

NYC009-013-029-037-121-242115-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.W.0021.000000T0000Z-141124T2115Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CATTARAUGUS NY-GENESEE NY-WYOMING NY-CHAUTAUQUA NY-ERIE NY-
248 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EST MONDAY FOR
ERIE...NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA...WYOMING...SOUTHERN GENESEE AND
NORTHWESTERN CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES...

TEMPERATURES...NOW IN THE UPPER 40S...WILL CHANGE LITTLE OR SLOWLY 
RISE INTO THE LOWER 50S OVERNIGHT...AND SOAR TO NEAR 60 DEGREES ON 
MONDAY.

WHILE RAINFALL WILL GENERALLY BE A THIRD INCH OR LESS THROUGH 
TONIGHT...SNOWMELT IS WELL UNDERWAY AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 
MONDAY.  THERE WILL ALSO BE A POTENTIAL FOR ICE JAM FLOODING.  AN 
ICE JAM AS FORMED ON THE CAZENOVIA CREEK NEAR THE SOUTHGATE 
PLAZA...WHILE ANOTHER HAS FORMED IN BUFFALO CREEK UPSTREAM OF THE 
BUFFALO RIVER.  THESE JAMS WILL EXACERBATE THE FLOOD THREAT.  

RESIDENTS NEAR CREEKS ARE URGED TO TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PREPARE FOR 
POSSIBLE FLOODING NOW...INCLUDING MOVING ITEMS FROM BASEMENTS.  
RESIDENTS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO EVACUATE IF ICE JAMS FORCE WATER 
OVER RIVER BANKS AS MOVING WATER IS A LIFE THREATENING SITUATION.

SINCE MANY STORM DRAINS ARE SNOW CLOGGED...MANY URBAN AREAS WILL 
LIKELY EXPERIENCE FLOODING WITH SEVERAL FEET OF WATER POSSIBLY 
ACCUMULATING ON SOME STRETCHES OF ROAD. RESIDENTIAL 
BASEMENTS WILL START TO FLOOD DURING THIS TIME AS WELL. 

IN ADDITION...VERY STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP MONDAY AND 
MONDAY NIGHT. THESE WINDS COULD BRING DOWN SOME TREES AND POWER 
LINES RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. THIS WILL CAUSE SUMP 
PUMPS TO FAIL.  

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE ELEVATED LEVELS ON
SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN AREAS...
HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4242 7946 4250 7935 4256 7916 4271 7904
      4271 7899 4276 7889 4279 7886 4290 7891
      4301 7849 4302 7795 4253 7807 4253 7848
      4244 7877 4230 7968

$$

TMA/ZAFF

303 
WGUS81 KBUF 240320
FLSBUF

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1020 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

NYC009-013-029-037-121-242115-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.W.0021.000000T0000Z-141124T2115Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CATTARAUGUS NY-GENESEE NY-WYOMING NY-CHAUTAUQUA NY-ERIE NY-
1020 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EST MONDAY FOR
ERIE...NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA...WYOMING...SOUTHERN GENESEE AND
NORTHWESTERN CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES...

AT 1010 PM EST...TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 50S WILL SLOWLY RISE 
DURING THE REMAINING OVERNIGHT HOURS...REACHING CLOSE TO 60 BY 
MIDDAY MONDAY. 

WHILE RAINFALL WILL GENERALLY BE A THIRD OF AN INCH OR LESS THROUGH 
MONDAY MORNING...THE RATE OF SNOW MELT WILL INTENSIFY WITH THE 
RISING TEMPERATURES SO THAT SIGNIFICANT MELTING OF THE WATER LADEN 
SNOW PACK WILL LEAD TO AREAS OF FLOODING. MEANWHILE THE POTENTIAL 
FOR ICE JAM FLOODING HAS LESSENED...BUT THIS IS A RISK THAT WILL 
STILL HAVE TO WATCHED INTO MONDAY MORNING.

RESIDENTS NEAR CREEKS ARE URGED TO TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PREPARE FOR 
POSSIBLE FLOODING NOW...INCLUDING MOVING ITEMS FROM BASEMENTS.  
RESIDENTS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO EVACUATE IF ICE JAMS FORCE WATER 
OVER RIVER BANKS AS MOVING WATER IS A LIFE THREATENING SITUATION.

SINCE MANY STORM DRAINS ARE SNOW CLOGGED...MANY URBAN AREAS WILL 
LIKELY EXPERIENCE FLOODING WITH SEVERAL FEET OF WATER POSSIBLY 
ACCUMULATING ON SOME STRETCHES OF ROAD. SOME RESIDENTIAL BASEMENTS 
WILL START TO FLOOD AT THIS TIME AS WELL. 

IN ADDITION...VERY STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP MONDAY AND MONDAY 
NIGHT. THESE WINDS WILL BRING DOWN SOME TREES AND POWER LINES... 
POSSIBLY CAUSING SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. THIS WILL ALSO CAUSE SUMP 
PUMPS TO FAIL.  

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... 

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4242 7946 4250 7935 4256 7916 4271 7904
      4271 7899 4276 7889 4279 7886 4290 7891
      4301 7849 4302 7795 4253 7807 4253 7848
      4244 7877 4230 7968

$$

RSH

927 
WGUS81 KBUF 240912
FLSBUF

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
412 AM EST MON NOV 24 2014

NYC009-013-029-037-121-242115-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.W.0021.000000T0000Z-141124T2115Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CATTARAUGUS NY-GENESEE NY-WYOMING NY-CHAUTAUQUA NY-ERIE NY-
412 AM EST MON NOV 24 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EST MONDAY FOR
ERIE...NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA...WYOMING...SOUTHERN GENESEE AND
NORTHWESTERN CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES...

AT 403 AM EST...TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 50S WILL SLOWLY RISE 
THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS...APPROACHING THE 60 DEGREE MARK BY EARLY 
AFTERNOON. WHILE OVERNIGHT RAINFALL HAS ONLY AMOUNTED TO AROUND A 
TENTH OF AN INCH OR LESS ACROSS THE AREAS THAT RECEIVED THE HEAVIEST 
SNOW FALL OVER THE LAST WEEK...THERE REMAINS A CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT 
OF WATER LOCKED UP IN THE REMAINING SNOWPACK AND THE RATE OF SNOW 
MELT WILL INTENSIFY WITH THE RISING TEMPERATURES SO THAT SIGNIFICANT 
MELTING OF THE WATER LADEN SNOW PACK WILL LEAD TO AREAS OF FLOODING. 
MEANWHILE THE POTENTIAL FOR ICE JAM FLOODING HAS LESSENED...BUT THIS 
IS A RISK THAT WILL STILL HAVE TO WATCHED INTO THE MORNING HOURS.

RESIDENTS NEAR CREEKS ARE URGED TO TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PREPARE FOR 
POSSIBLE FLOODING NOW...INCLUDING MOVING ITEMS FROM BASEMENTS.  
RESIDENTS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO EVACUATE IF ICE JAMS FORCE WATER 
OVER RIVER BANKS AS MOVING WATER IS A LIFE THREATENING SITUATION.

SINCE MANY STORM DRAINS ARE SNOW CLOGGED...MANY URBAN AREAS WILL 
LIKELY EXPERIENCE FLOODING WITH SEVERAL FEET OF WATER POSSIBLY 
ACCUMULATING ON SOME STRETCHES OF ROAD. SOME RESIDENTIAL BASEMENTS 
WILL START TO FLOOD AT THIS TIME AS WELL. 

IN ADDITION...VERY STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP MONDAY AND MONDAY 
NIGHT. THESE WINDS WILL BRING DOWN SOME TREES AND POWER LINES... 
POSSIBLY CAUSING SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. THIS WILL ALSO CAUSE SUMP 
PUMPS TO FAIL.  

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4242 7946 4250 7935 4256 7916 4271 7904
      4271 7899 4276 7889 4279 7886 4290 7891
      4301 7849 4302 7795 4253 7807 4253 7848
      4244 7877 4230 7968

$$

WOOD

086 
WGUS81 KBUF 241528
FLSBUF

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1028 AM EST MON NOV 24 2014

NYC009-013-029-037-121-242115-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.W.0021.000000T0000Z-141124T2115Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CATTARAUGUS NY-GENESEE NY-WYOMING NY-CHAUTAUQUA NY-ERIE NY-
1028 AM EST MON NOV 24 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EST FOR ERIE...
NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA...WYOMING...SOUTHERN GENESEE AND NORTHWESTERN
CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES...

TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S THROUGH THIS 
AFTERNOON. WHILE RAINFALL OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS HAS ONLY AMOUNTED 
TO LESS THAN A QUARTER ACROSS THE AREAS THAT RECEIVED THE HEAVIEST 
SNOWFALL OVER THE LAST WEEK...THERE REMAINS A CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF 
WATER LOCKED UP IN THE REMAINING SNOWPACK AND THE RATE OF SNOW MELT 
WILL INTENSIFY WITH THE RISING TEMPERATURES SO THAT SIGNIFICANT 
MELTING OF THE WATER LADEN SNOW PACK WILL LEAD TO AREAS OF FLOODING. 
MEANWHILE THE POTENTIAL FOR ICE JAM FLOODING HAS LIKELY ENDED.

RESIDENTS NEAR CREEKS ARE URGED TO TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PREPARE FOR 
POSSIBLE FLOODING NOW...INCLUDING MOVING ITEMS FROM BASEMENTS.  

SINCE MANY STORM DRAINS ARE SNOW CLOGGED...MANY URBAN AREAS WILL 
LIKELY EXPERIENCE FLOODING WITH SEVERAL FEET OF WATER POSSIBLY 
ACCUMULATING ON SOME STRETCHES OF ROAD. SOME RESIDENTIAL BASEMENTS 
WILL FLOOD. THE THREAT FOR STRUCTURAL FAILURE WILL INCREASE THROUGH 
THIS AFTERNOON.

IN ADDITION...WIND SPEEDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON 
AND TONIGHT. THESE WINDS WILL BRING DOWN SOME TREES AND POWER 
LINES...POSSIBLY CAUSING SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. THIS WILL ALSO 
CAUSE SUMP PUMPS TO FAIL.  

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE ELEVATED LEVELS ON
SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN AREAS...
HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4242 7946 4250 7935 4256 7916 4271 7904
      4271 7899 4276 7889 4279 7886 4290 7891
      4301 7849 4302 7795 4253 7807 4253 7848
      4244 7877 4230 7968

$$

TMA

344 
WGUS41 KBUF 242043
FLWBUF

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
343 PM EST MON NOV 24 2014

NYC009-013-029-037-121-252115-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FA.W.0021.000000T0000Z-141125T2115Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CATTARAUGUS NY-GENESEE NY-WYOMING NY-CHAUTAUQUA NY-ERIE NY-
343 PM EST MON NOV 24 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WARNING FOR URBAN AREAS AND SMALL STREAMS IN...
  NORTHWESTERN CATTARAUGUS COUNTY IN WESTERN NEW YORK...
  NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY IN WESTERN NEW YORK...
  THIS INCLUDES DUNKIRK...FREDONIA...
  ERIE COUNTY IN WESTERN NEW YORK...
  THIS INCLUDES WEST SENECA...LANCASTER...LACKAWANNA...HAMBURG...EAST
  AURORA...DEPEW...CHEEKTOWAGA...BUFFALO...
  SOUTHERN GENESEE COUNTY IN WESTERN NEW YORK...
  THIS INCLUDES BATAVIA...
  WYOMING COUNTY IN WESTERN NEW YORK...

* UNTIL 415 PM EST TUESDAY

* AT 333 PM EST...VERY WARM TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO PROMOTE         
  RAPID SNOWMELT IN AREAS HARD HIT BY LAKE EFFECT SNOW LAST WEEK.    
  THE RAPID SNOWMELT WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING BEFORE          
  COOLING TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT SLOW THE MELTING PROCESS. EXCESSIVE 
  RUNOFF FROM SNOWMELT AND SOME LIMITED RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO    
  SUPPORT HIGH WATER ON SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS THROUGH TONIGHT     
  AND TUESDAY. 

* HIGH WATER IN SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE A  
  RISK FOR MINOR FLOODING TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. MINOR URBAN       
  FLOODING IS ALSO LIKELY IN LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS     
  ESPECIALLY WHERE SNOW AND LEAVES HAVE CLOGGED STORM DRAINS.

RESIDENTS NEAR CREEKS ARE URGED TO TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PREPARE FOR 
POSSIBLE FLOODING NOW...INCLUDING MOVING ITEMS FROM BASEMENTS. IN 
ADDITION...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED TONIGHT MAY RESULT IN SCATTERED 
POWER OUTAGES WHICH WILL TURN OFF SUMP PUMPS THAT DO NOT HAVE BACKUP 
SYSTEMS.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE ELEVATED LEVELS ON
SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN AREAS...
HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE ELEVATED LEVELS ON
SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND PONDING OF WATER ON COUNTRY ROADS AND
FARMLAND ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4242 7946 4250 7935 4256 7916 4271 7904
      4271 7899 4276 7889 4279 7886 4290 7891
      4301 7849 4302 7795 4253 7807 4253 7848
      4244 7877 4230 7968

$$

HITCHCOCK

921 
WGUS81 KBUF 251217
FLSBUF

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
717 AM EST TUE NOV 25 2014

NYC009-013-029-037-121-252115-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.W.0021.000000T0000Z-141125T2115Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CATTARAUGUS NY-GENESEE NY-WYOMING NY-CHAUTAUQUA NY-ERIE NY-
717 AM EST TUE NOV 25 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EST TUESDAY FOR
URBAN AREAS AND SMALL STREAMS IN ERIE...NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA...
WYOMING...SOUTHERN GENESEE AND NORTHWESTERN CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES...

AT 713 AM EST EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM SNOWMELT WILL CONTINUE TO    
SUPPORT HIGH WATER ON SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS THROUGH TODAY.

HIGH WATER IN SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE A    
RISK FOR MINOR FLOODING THROUGH TODAY. MINOR URBAN FLOODING IS ALSO 
LIKELY IN LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS ESPECIALLY WHERE SNOW 
AND LEAVES HAVE CLOGGED STORM DRAINS.
 
RESIDENTS NEAR CREEKS ARE URGED TO TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PREPARE FOR 
POSSIBLE FLOODING NOW...INCLUDING MOVING ITEMS FROM BASEMENTS. IN 
ADDITION...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED TONIGHT MAY RESULT IN SCATTERED 
POWER OUTAGES WHICH WILL TURN OFF SUMP PUMPS THAT DO NOT HAVE BACKUP 
SYSTEMS.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE ELEVATED LEVELS ON
SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN AREAS...
HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4242 7946 4250 7935 4256 7916 4271 7904
      4271 7899 4276 7889 4279 7886 4290 7891
      4301 7849 4302 7795 4253 7807 4253 7848
      4244 7877 4230 7968

$$

SMITH

155 
WGUS81 KBUF 252118
FLSBUF

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
418 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2014

NYC009-013-029-037-121-252127-
/O.EXP.KBUF.FA.W.0021.000000T0000Z-141125T2115Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CATTARAUGUS NY-GENESEE NY-WYOMING NY-CHAUTAUQUA NY-ERIE NY-
418 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR URBAN AREAS AND SMALL STREAMS IN
ERIE...NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA...WYOMING...SOUTHERN GENESEE AND
NORTHWESTERN CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES...

LAT...LON 4242 7946 4250 7935 4256 7916 4271 7904
      4271 7899 4276 7889 4279 7886 4290 7891
      4301 7849 4302 7795 4253 7807 4253 7848
      4244 7877 4230 7968

$$

APFFEL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
358 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
THE COMBINATION OF AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND WARMER AIR MOVING
BACK INTO THE REGION WILL RESULT IN INTERMITTENT RAIN SHOWERS
TONIGHT...WITH SOME OF THE PRECIPITATION FALLING AS FREEZING RAIN
ACROSS INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTH COUNTRY. TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE TO WARM SUNDAY AND INTO MONDAY WITH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AND WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AS A DEEP
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE PASSES TO OUR NORTHWEST. THIS WILL ACCELERATE
MELTING OF RECENT HEAVY SNOWS...CREATING A SIGNIFICANT FLOODING
RISK ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH-CENTRAL NEW YORK. A COLD
FRONT WILL THEN CROSS THE REGION MONDAY EVENING...BRINGING A
RETURN OF MORE WINTER-LIKE TEMPERATURES AND A CHANCE OF SNOW BY
LATER IN THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
KBUF VAD WIND PROFILES INDICATING 50-55 KNOT SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS IN
THE 3-5K LAYER SIGNALING STRONG LOW LEVEL WARM/MOISTURE ADVECTION.
IN ADDITION TO BROAD ISENTROPIC FORCING...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
INDICATES AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE CENTERED ACROSS SOUTHERN ONTARIO
JUST NORTH OF LAKE ONTARIO. REGIONAL RADARS SHOWING WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION AHEAD OF THE
UPPER WAVE. POCKETS OF SURFACE TEMPERATURES STILL AT OR BELOW
FREEZING ESPECIALLY IN THE VALLEYS AND OVER THE TUG HILL CONTINUING
THE WINDOW OF FREEZING RAIN POTENTIAL ACROSS THIS REGION.

TONIGHT...AXIS OF DEEPER MOISTURE WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE LOCAL AREA
AND THIS SHOULD START TO DIMINISH THE FREEZING RAIN THREAT EAST
OF LAKE ONTARIO. REGION WILL REMAIN IN CONTINUED BROAD ISENTROPIC
UPGLIDE. HOWEVER...WITH LACK OF DEEP MOISTURE AND DIFFICULTY
LATCHING ONTO A CLEAR FORCING MECHANISM TONIGHT...HAVE
TRANSITIONED WEATHER GRIDS TO SCATTERED/LIKELY RAIN SHOWERS.
THERMAL PROFILES SUGGESTING ALL RAIN. STRONG LOW LEVEL WARM AIR
ADVECTION AND PERSISTENT SOUTHWEST GRADIENT FLOW SHOULD KEEP
TEMPERATURES FROM FALLING LITTLE WITH MOST AREAS REMAINING IN THE
UPPER 30S TO NEAR 40.

SUNDAY...WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE AS DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW
CONTINUES AROUND THE WEST SIDE OF A BROAD SURFACE HIGH OVER THE
NORTHWEST ATLANTIC. 850 MB TEMPERATURES WILL RISE TO NEAR +10C
WHICH SHOULD BOOST SURFACE HIGH TEMPERATURES INTO TO MID 40S TO NEAR
50 WITH DEWPOINTS CLIMBING ABOVE THE FREEZING MARK TO NEAR 40
DEGREES. A WEAK WARM FRONT ALOFT WILL CROSS THE FORECAST AREA BUT
LACK OF SIGNIFICANT LIFT SHOULD ONLY BRING A WIDELY
SCATTERED/SCATTERED SHOWERS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
THE MAIN CONCERNS FOR MONDAY INTO TUESDAY REMAIN: 1) THE WARM UP
WITH SOME RAIN AND THE POTENTIAL FLOODING AND 2) A POSSIBLE HIGH
WIND EVENT ON MONDAY...FOR WHICH A HIGH WIND WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED
FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

PHASING BETWEEN THE SUBTROPICAL AND POLAR JETS OVER THE MIDWEST WILL
ALLOW FOR AN AMPLIFIED UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN...WITH DEEP SOUTHWESTERLY
WINDS OVER THE FORECAST AREA ON MONDAY. A RAPIDLY DEEPENING SURFACE
LOW WILL TRACK FROM THE MIDWEST ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES AND
INTO CANADA. THIS WILL ADVECT ABNORMALLY WARM TEMPERATURES ACROSS
NEW YORK STATE AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS ACROSS THE STATE SUNDAY NIGHT.
PRECIPITATION WILL PUSH FROM SOUTH TO NORTH ACROSS THE AREA WITH
THIS WARM FRONT PASSAGE. FORECAST MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A
VERY STRONG LOW-LEVEL JET PUSHING ACROSS NEW YORK STATE...WITH A
CONSENSUS OF 70+ KNOTS AT 850 MB. THE SOUTHEASTERLY COMPONENT TO
THIS INITIAL LOW-LEVEL JET WILL BRING A STRONG WIND THREAT ALONG THE
LAKE ERIE SHORELINE...INCLUDING DUNKIRK...DUE TO DOWNSLOPE WINDS OFF
THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE. THE OTHER IMPACT OF THESE SOUTHERLY DOWNSLOPE
WINDS WILL BE TO EAT AWAY AT SOME OF THE PRECIPITATION ALONG THE WARM
FRONT...WHICH COULD HELP TO LIMIT QPF AMOUNTS SOMEWHAT. HOWEVER THE
WARM FRONT AND QG FORCING WILL LIKELY OVERWHELM THE DOWNSLOPE...SO
QPF AMOUNTS AROUND 0.25 OR SLIGHTLY MORE STILL SEEM REASONABLE.
ANOTHER IMPACT OF THE WARM AIR ADVECTION AND INCREASING WINDS WILL
BE TO KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM FALLING MUCH AT ALL SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY MORNING...WHICH WILL HELP EXPEDITE THE SNOW MELT PROCESS.

DURING THE DAY MONDAY THE WINDS ALOFT VEER TO THE SOUTHWEST WITH A
MORE FAVORABLE ORIENTATION FOR A WIDESPREAD STRONG WIND EVENT AS
WINDS ALOFT ARE MIXED TO THE SURFACE. IN COMPARING THE FORECAST
PATTERN TO LOCAL RESEARCH ON HIGH WIND EVENTS ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK
THIS EVENT MATCHES VERY WELL TO THE AVERAGE PATTERN SEEN DURING HIGH
WIND EVENTS. TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY WILL ALSO PUSH INTO THE
60S...AND LIKELY WELL INTO THE 60S IN THE FAVORED DOWNSLOPE
LOCATIONS FROM ROCHESTER ACROSS THE NORTHERN FINGER LAKES.

THE STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA BY MONDAY
EVENING...AND WILL LIKELY RESULT IN A LINE OF PRECIPITATION MOVING
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...BRINGING AN ADDITIONAL 0.10 OR SO OF QPF.

TUESDAY WILL BE MUCH COOLER WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RUNNING IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S...AND WILL CONTINUE TO BE FAIRLY WINDY BEHIND
THE MONDAY NIGHTS COLD FRONT PASSAGE...HOWEVER WINDS WILL LIKELY
REMAIN BELOW HIGH WIND CRITERIA.

SNOWMELT AND FLOODING POTENTIAL...
THE WARM UP AND PRECIPITATION EVENTS ARE STILL ON TRACK AND APPEAR
FAVORABLE TO PRODUCE FLOODING FROM THE SNOWMELT. ONCE SURFACE
DEWPOINTS RISE ABOVE FREEZING SUNDAY THE RIPENING SNOWPACK WILL
BEGIN TO LET LOOSE WITH RAPID SNOW MELT ACROSS AREAS WHICH RECEIVED
LAST WEEKS HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOWFALL. SNOW DEPTH MEASUREMENTS FROM
FRIDAY INDICATED SNOWPACK HAS COMPACTED DOWN TO BETWEEN 20 AND 40
INCHES WITH AN AVERAGE OF 4-6 INCHES OF LIQUID LOCKED UP. SNOWMELT
MODELING COVERING A TIME RANGE FROM LATER SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY
INDICATED 50 INCHES OF SNOW COULD MELT UNDER FORECASTED CONDITIONS.
THEREFORE...ALL OF THE EXISTING SNOW PACK IS EXPECTED TO MELT AWAY
RAISING THE CONCERNS FOR FLOODING WITH FINER DETAILS HIGHLIGHTED IN
THE FLOOD WATCH AND HYDROLOGY SECTION BELOW.

HIGH WINDS...
ADDED A HIGH WIND WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK TO
HIGHLIGHT THE HIGH WIND THREAT ON MONDAY. THE STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY
850MB JET MONDAY NIGHT IS FAVORABLE FOR STRONG DOWNSLOPE WINDS ALONG
THE LAKE ERIE SHORE AND ALONG OTHER NORTHWARD FACING SLOPES IN
WESTERN NY AND THE FINGER LAKES...AND POSSIBLY THE BLACK RIVER
VALLEY. FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF THE WARM FRONT THE LOW LEVEL JET
VEERS TO SOUTHWEST WHICH IS MORE FAVORABLE FOR WIDESPREAD STRONG
WINDS AS WIND ENERGY FROM 50-60KT 850MB WINDS MIX DOWN.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE BULK OF NEXT WEEK
INCLUDING THE THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY AS A DEVELOPING RIDGE OVER THE
ROCKIES WILL FORCE A DOWNSTREAM TROUGH TO CARVE INTO THE GREAT LAKES
AND NORTHEAST. THE AIRMASS LOOKS TO BE COLD ENOUGH TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY
FOR A RETURN OF CHANCES FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW AS LAKE INDUCED
EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS CLIMB TO AROUND 10KFT. AT THIS POINT IT DOES NOT
LOOK UNSTABLE ENOUGH FOR A SIGNIFICANT EVENT.

THE MID LEVEL TROUGH AND A WEAK SURFACE LOW/SURFACE TROUGH MAY BRING
A FEW SNOW SHOWERS FOR THANKSGIVING THURSDAY BEHIND A POSSIBLE
NOREASTER' LIFTING ALONG THE EAST COAST. A FRESH BLAST OF COLD AIR
BEHIND THE WEAK LOW/SURFACE TROUGH LOOKS TO THEN AGAIN BRING RENEWED
CHANCES OF LAKE EFFECT FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
LOW CIGS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING AS LIGHT PRECIPITATION
SPREADS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST AS A
WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH ACROSS THE REGION. LLWS WILL ALSO BE AN
ISSUE TONIGHT AS A STRENGTHENING SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL JET MOVES
OVERHEAD. OTHERWISE...EXPECT SHOWERS TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH
CIGS LOWERING TO MVFR LATER TONIGHT AS DEEPER MOISTURE ADVECTS
INTO THE REGION.

OUTLOOK...
SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY...PERIODS OF IFR/MVFR IN RAIN. SIGNIFICANT
LLWS POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY MORNING.
TUESDAY...MAINLY VFR WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...MAINLY VFR/MVFR EXCEPT IFR POSSIBLE IN LAKE
EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS EAST OF BOTH LAKES.

&&

.MARINE...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF
NEARSHORE ZONES AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OFF THE EAST COAST AND THE
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS BETWEEN THIS DEPARTING HIGH AND
LOW PRESSURE WELL TO OUR NORTHWEST ACROSS JAMES BAY. SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO BE BRISK THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH GALES
POSSIBLE BY SUNDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY AS A MUCH DEEPER AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE TRACKS ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES AND A COLD FRONT
SWEEPS ACROSS THE LAKES USHERING IN AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF COLD AND
BRISK WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
A SNOW SURVEY WAS COMPLETED FRIDAY TO GET SNOW DEPTH AND SNOW WATER
EQUIVALENTS FROM THE HARDEST HIT AREAS. THE SURVEY CAME UP WITH A
GENERAL 4 TO 6 INCHES OF SWE IN THE HARDEST HIT AREAS. SEE
BUFPNSBUF FOR THE SPECIFICS.

TEMPERATURES WILL RISE TO NEAR 50 ON SUNDAY...THEN INTO THE LOWER
60S ON MONDAY WITH VERY MILD LOWS SUNDAY NIGHT. DEWPOINTS WILL
RISE INTO THE UPPER 40S TO AROUND 50 SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. THE
HIGHER DEWPOINTS COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS WILL RESULT IN VERY
RAPID SNOWMELT. THIS WILL COMBINE WITH RAIN AMOUNTS AVERAGING
ABOUT A HALF INCH FROM SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE FLOOD POTENTIAL WILL BE TWO FOLD. FIRST...THERE IS A GENERAL
RISK OF URBAN FLOODING IN THE TOWNS HARDEST HIT BY THE SNOW AS
MELT WATER POOLS IN LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. EXCESSIVE
SNOW PILES AND LEAVES BENEATH THE SNOW MAY BLOCK STORM DRAINS.

THERE MAY ALSO BE A RISK FOR RIVER AND CREEK FLOODING. THE
GREATEST RISK IS ON THE BUFFALO CREEKS WHICH DRAIN THE HARDEST HIT
AREAS. THIS INCLUDES CAZENOVIA...BUFFALO...CAYUGA...AND ELLICOTT.
THERE MAY ALSO BE SOME FLOOD RISK FOR CATTARAUGUS CREEK AND SOME
OF THE SMALLER CREEKS THAT FLOW THROUGH DUNKIRK AND SILVER CREEK.
WITH THIS IN MIND WE HAVE EXPANDED THE FLOOD WATCH INTO THE
WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER IN ADDITION TO ERIE...GENESEE...AND WYOMING
COUNTIES.

THERE IS ALSO A FAIRLY HEAVY SNOWPACK IN THE UPPER REACHES OF THE
OATKA WATERSHED...BUT NOT AS HIGH AS THE BUFFALO CREEKS. WE WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS BASIN FOR POSSIBLE FUTURE INCLUSION IN
THE FLOOD WATCH. THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION HAD LESS SNOW...
WITH TOTALS OF 2 TO 2.5 FEET ON THE TUG HILL. THIS SNOWPACK IS NOT
EXCESSIVE FOR THAT AREA...SO HAVE NOT INCLUDED THE NORTH COUNTRY
IN A FLOOD WATCH AT THIS TIME.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...FLOOD WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
     FOR NYZ010>012-019-020-085.
     HIGH WIND WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR
     NYZ001>003-010>012-085.
     FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     NYZ006-007.
     FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR NYZ008.
     HIGH WIND WATCH FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR
     NYZ019.
MARINE...GALE WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR
         LEZ040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY FOR LEZ040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM EST SUNDAY FOR LEZ020.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY FOR
         LOZ043>045.
         GALE WATCH FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING
         FOR LOZ042>045-062>065.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY FOR LOZ042.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TMA
NEAR TERM...TMA
SHORT TERM...CHURCH
LONG TERM...CHURCH
AVIATION...TMA
MARINE...TMA
HYDROLOGY...HITCHCOCK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
346 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

NYZ006-007-232100-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-
346 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ004-005-013-014-021-232100-
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-
346 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001>003-232100-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-
346 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ008-232100-
LEWIS-
346 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ020-232100-
CATTARAUGUS-
346 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ010>012-232100-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-
346 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING...
...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   HIGH WIND WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ085-232100-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
346 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING...
...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   HIGH WIND WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ019-232100-
CHAUTAUQUA-
346 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING...
...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   HIGH WIND WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ040-041-232100-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
346 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-232100-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
346 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ042>045-062>065-232100-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
346 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SLZ022-024-232100-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
346 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF THE
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF