Alert archive / Minnesota / River Flood Warnings in 2014
River Flood Warning 41, NWS La Crosse, WI
NWS La Crosse, WI issued this river flood warning at Jun 18, 2014, 3:25 PM CDT for Mower County, Minnesota. It was in force for 60 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 18, 2014, 3:25 PM CDT (20:25 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 21, 2014, 3:15 AM CDT
- In force
- 60 hr
- Issued by
- NWS La Crosse, WI
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Mower County, MN
The radar
The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 139 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Cedar River at Austin (ASTM5).
- Action stage
- 12 ft
- Minor stage
- 15 ft
- Moderate stage
- 18 ft
- Major stage
- 20 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
575 WGUS43 KARX 182025 FLWARX BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI 325 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014 .HEAVY RAINFALL IN RECENT DAYS...AS WELL AS ADDITIONAL FORECAST RAINFALL...WILL BRING THE CEDAR RIVER TO FLOOD STAGE AT AUSTIN. RIVER FORECASTS TAKE INTO ACCOUNT BOTH OBSERVED AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF YOU LIVE IN A THREATENED AREA...BE ALERT FOR HIGH OR RISING WATER...AND BE READY TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IF NECESSARY. DO NOT DRIVE CARS INTO FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...IT TAKES ONLY TWO FEET OF WATER TO FLOAT MOST AUTOMOBILES...INCLUDING SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN. STAY TUNED TO YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION...INCLUDING NOAA WEATHER RADIO...FOR LATER STATEMENTS. ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LACROSSE . && MNC099-190825- /O.NEW.KARX.FL.W.0041.140618T2025Z-140621T0815Z/ /ASTM5.1.ER.140618T1912Z.140619T0600Z.140620T1415Z.NO/ 325 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LA CROSSE WI HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE CEDAR RIVER AT AUSTIN. * UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. * AT 3:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.2 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.6 FEET BY THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...THE CITY OF AUSTIN TAKES SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO WARN PEOPLE AND BUSINESSES. && LAT...LON 4372 9295 4361 9297 4361 9299 4368 9299 4372 9297 $$
5 follow-up statements
426 WGUS83 KARX 190201 FLSARX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI 901 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014 RIVER FORECASTS TAKE INTO ACCOUNT BOTH OBSERVED AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE CARS INTO FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...IT TAKES ONLY TWO FEET OF WATER TO FLOAT MOST AUTOMOBILES...INCLUDING SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN. ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LACROSSE . && MNC099-191701- /O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-140621T0000Z/ /LANM5.1.ER.140617T2345Z.140619T1200Z.140620T0600Z.NO/ 901 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CEDAR RIVER AT LANSING. * UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 8:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.9 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 19.0 FEET BY THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS. && LAT...LON 4385 9298 4378 9293 4372 9295 4372 9297 4385 9304 $$ MNC099-191701- /O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-140621T1440Z/ /ASTM5.2.ER.140618T1912Z.140620T0000Z.140620T2040Z.NO/ 901 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CEDAR RIVER AT AUSTIN. * UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 3:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.2 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.1 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY. * IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...NUMEROUS HOMES AND BUSINESSES MAY BE THREATENED BY HIGH WATER. && LAT...LON 4372 9295 4361 9297 4361 9299 4368 9299 4372 9297 $$ IAC067-191701- /O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-140622T1320Z/ /CCYI4.2.ER.140619T0118Z.140620T1800Z.140621T1920Z.NO/ 901 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CEDAR RIVER AT CHARLES CITY. * UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 8:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.0 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.3 FEET BY FRIDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY. * IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...LELAND AVENUE FLOODS AND FLOODING ON PARK DRIVE IS LIKELY. && LAT...LON 4321 9286 4321 9273 4301 9255 4293 9255 4304 9273 $$ MNC099-191701- /O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-140620T2340Z/ /DOBM5.1.ER.140619T1218Z.140620T0400Z.140620T0540Z.NO/ 901 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE DOBBINS CREEK AT AUSTIN 2NE. * UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 7:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 11.5 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 12.5 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING. && LAT...LON 4366 9297 4368 9296 4373 9287 4374 9277 4369 9279 $$ MNC099-191701- /O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-140622T0224Z/ /TRCM5.2.ER.140617T1848Z.140620T0000Z.140621T0824Z.NO/ 901 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TURTLE CREEK NEAR AUSTIN 3NW. * UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 8:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.7 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 10.5 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.4 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS ALONG THE CREEK IN AUSTIN. && LAT...LON 4370 9305 4368 9300 4365 9297 4364 9298 4367 9305 $$
625 WGUS83 KARX 191016 FLSARX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI 516 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014 ...SEVERAL FLOOD WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT... .ALL OF THE HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE AREA IN RECENT DAYS IS RESULTING IN FLOODING FOR SOME CREEKS AND RIVERS. THE LATEST STAGES AND FORECASTS ARE PROVIDED BELOW. RIVER FORECASTS TAKE INTO ACCOUNT BOTH OBSERVED AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE CARS INTO FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...IT TAKES ONLY TWO FEET OF WATER TO FLOAT MOST AUTOMOBILES...INCLUDING SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN. ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LACROSSE . && MNC157-WIC011-200116- /O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0036.140620T1800Z-000000T0000Z/ /WABM5.1.ER.140620T1800Z.140623T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 516 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT WABASHA. * FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 4:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.6 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 12.5 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 12.5 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS ON THE SOCCER FIELD ON HIAWATHA DRIVE. && LAT...LON 4445 9207 4442 9200 4435 9192 4433 9200 4439 9209 $$ IAC005-043-WIC023-043-200116- /O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0043.140622T1800Z-000000T0000Z/ /MCGI4.1.ER.140622T1800Z.140624T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 516 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT MCGREGOR. * FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 4:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.8 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 16.9 FEET BY TUESDAY. * IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS AND ACCESS TO PARKS NEAR THE RIVER IN PRAIRIE DU CHIEN ARE AFFECTED. && LAT...LON 4321 9109 4300 9111 4298 9119 4316 9121 4324 9115 $$ WIC053-200116- /O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-140620T1017Z/ /BRFW3.1.ER.140619T1026Z.140619T1200Z.140619T1617Z.NO/ 516 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BLACK RIVER AT BLACK RIVER FALLS. * UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 3:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 46.3 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 47.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 47.5 FEET BY THIS MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 47.0 FEET...SOME RURAL ROADS MAY BEGIN TO FLOOD INCLUDING COUNTY HIGHWAY VV DOWNSTREAM NEAR THE LA CROSSE COUNTY LINE. && LAT...LON 4437 9080 4413 9100 4411 9097 4417 9088 4435 9075 $$ WIC063-121-200116- /O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0042.140621T1200Z-140622T1200Z/ /GALW3.1.ER.140621T1200Z.140621T1200Z.140621T1800Z.NO/ 516 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BLACK RIVER NEAR GALESVILLE. * FROM SATURDAY MORNING TO SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 4:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.5 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOODING MAINLY IMPACTS WILDLANDS AND AGRICULTURAL PASTURE LAND. HOWEVER THE APPROACH TO THE SOUTH END OF THE COUNTY ROAD VV BRIDGE OVER THE BLACK RIVER MAY BE FLOODED. && LAT...LON 4413 9100 4407 9133 4395 9138 4393 9135 4411 9097 $$ MNC099-200116- /O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-140621T0600Z/ /LANM5.1.ER.140617T2345Z.140620T0000Z.140620T1200Z.NO/ 516 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CEDAR RIVER AT LANSING. * UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 4:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.6 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 18.5 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS. && LAT...LON 4385 9298 4378 9293 4372 9295 4372 9297 4385 9304 $$ MNC099-200116- /O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-140621T1440Z/ /ASTM5.1.ER.140618T1912Z.140620T0600Z.140620T2040Z.NO/ 516 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CEDAR RIVER AT AUSTIN. * UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 4:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.9 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 16.4 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY. * IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...THE CITY OF AUSTIN TAKES SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO WARN PEOPLE AND BUSINESSES. && LAT...LON 4372 9295 4361 9297 4361 9299 4368 9299 4372 9297 $$ IAC067-200116- /O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-140622T1320Z/ /CCYI4.2.ER.140619T0118Z.140620T1800Z.140621T1920Z.NO/ 516 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CEDAR RIVER AT CHARLES CITY. * UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 4:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.4 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.3 FEET BY FRIDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY. * IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...LELAND AVENUE FLOODS AND FLOODING ON PARK DRIVE IS LIKELY. && LAT...LON 4321 9286 4321 9273 4301 9255 4293 9255 4304 9273 $$ MNC099-200116- /O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-140621T1236Z/ /DOBM5.2.ER.140619T1648Z.140620T0400Z.140620T1836Z.NO/ 516 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE DOBBINS CREEK AT AUSTIN 2NE. * UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 4:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.3 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 11.5 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 14.2 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY. && LAT...LON 4366 9297 4368 9296 4373 9287 4374 9277 4369 9279 $$ MNC099-200116- /O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-140622T0224Z/ /TRCM5.2.ER.140617T1848Z.140620T0000Z.140621T0824Z.NO/ 516 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TURTLE CREEK NEAR AUSTIN 3NW. * UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 4:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.4 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 10.5 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.4 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS ALONG THE CREEK IN AUSTIN. && LAT...LON 4370 9305 4368 9300 4365 9297 4364 9298 4367 9305 $$ WIC011-121-200115- /O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0040.140620T0000Z-140623T0300Z/ /DDGW3.1.ER.140620T0000Z.140621T0600Z.140622T0900Z.NO/ 516 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TREMPEALEAU RIVER AT DODGE. * FROM THIS EVENING TO SUNDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 4:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.0 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 10.1 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 9.5 FEET...THE ENTRANCE ROAD TO THE TREMPEALEAU NATIONAL WILDLIFE REFUGE IS FLOODED. && LAT...LON 4404 9158 4420 9163 4423 9158 4422 9158 4402 9149 $$
433 WGUS83 KARX 191747 FLSARX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI 1247 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014 .FLOOD WARNINGS CONTINUE FOR THE CEDAR RIVER AT LANSING...AUSTIN AND CHARLES CITY...AND FOR DOBBINS CREEK NEAR AUSTIN...AND TURTLE CREEK NEAR AUSTIN. RIVER FORECASTS TAKE INTO ACCOUNT BOTH OBSERVED AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE CARS INTO FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...IT TAKES ONLY TWO FEET OF WATER TO FLOAT MOST AUTOMOBILES...INCLUDING SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN. ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LACROSSE . && MNC099-200847- /O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-140621T1800Z/ /LANM5.1.ER.140617T2345Z.140618T1545Z.140621T0000Z.NO/ 1247 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CEDAR RIVER AT LANSING. * UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 12:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.2 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY EVENING. * IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS. && LAT...LON 4385 9298 4378 9293 4372 9295 4372 9297 4385 9304 $$ MNC099-200847- /O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-140621T1800Z/ /ASTM5.1.ER.140618T1912Z.140621T0000Z.140621T0000Z.NO/ 1247 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CEDAR RIVER AT AUSTIN. * UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 11:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.2 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY EVENING. * IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...THE CITY OF AUSTIN TAKES SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO WARN PEOPLE AND BUSINESSES. && LAT...LON 4372 9295 4361 9297 4361 9299 4368 9299 4372 9297 $$ IAC067-200847- /O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-140623T0454Z/ /CCYI4.2.ER.140619T0118Z.140621T0600Z.140622T1054Z.NO/ 1247 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CEDAR RIVER AT CHARLES CITY. * UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 12:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.0 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 16.2 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...LELAND AVENUE FLOODS AND FLOODING ON PARK DRIVE IS LIKELY. && LAT...LON 4321 9286 4321 9273 4301 9255 4293 9255 4304 9273 $$ MNC099-200847- /O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-140621T1236Z/ /DOBM5.1.ER.140619T1740Z.140620T0300Z.140620T1836Z.NO/ 1247 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE DOBBINS CREEK AT AUSTIN 2NE. * UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 12:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.3 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 11.5 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TODAY AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 13.9 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY. && LAT...LON 4366 9297 4368 9296 4373 9287 4374 9277 4369 9279 $$ MNC099-200847- /O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-140622T1240Z/ /TRCM5.3.ER.140617T1848Z.140620T1200Z.140621T1840Z.NR/ 1247 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TURTLE CREEK NEAR AUSTIN 3NW. * UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 12:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.1 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 10.5 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.0 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY. && LAT...LON 4370 9305 4368 9300 4365 9297 4364 9298 4367 9305 $$
274 WGUS83 KARX 192205 FLSARX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI 505 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014 RIVER FORECASTS TAKE INTO ACCOUNT BOTH OBSERVED AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE CARS INTO FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...IT TAKES ONLY TWO FEET OF WATER TO FLOAT MOST AUTOMOBILES...INCLUDING SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN. ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LACROSSE . && MNC099-201305- /O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-140621T1800Z/ /LANM5.1.ER.140617T2345Z.140618T1545Z.140621T0000Z.NO/ 505 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CEDAR RIVER AT LANSING. * UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 4:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.2 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY EVENING. * IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS. && LAT...LON 4385 9298 4378 9293 4372 9295 4372 9297 4385 9304 $$ MNC099-201305- /O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-140621T1800Z/ /ASTM5.1.ER.140618T1912Z.140621T0000Z.140621T0000Z.NO/ 505 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CEDAR RIVER AT AUSTIN. * UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 12:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.9 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY EVENING. * IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...THE CITY OF AUSTIN TAKES SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO WARN PEOPLE AND BUSINESSES. && LAT...LON 4372 9295 4361 9297 4361 9299 4368 9299 4372 9297 $$ IAC067-201305- /O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-140623T0454Z/ /CCYI4.2.ER.140619T0118Z.140621T0600Z.140622T1054Z.NO/ 505 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CEDAR RIVER AT CHARLES CITY. * UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 4:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.0 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 16.2 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...LELAND AVENUE FLOODS AND FLOODING ON PARK DRIVE IS LIKELY. && LAT...LON 4321 9286 4321 9273 4301 9255 4293 9255 4304 9273 $$ MNC099-201304- /O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-140620T2145Z/ /DOBM5.1.ER.140620T0130Z.140620T0300Z.140620T0345Z.NO/ 505 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE DOBBINS CREEK AT AUSTIN 2NE. * UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 4:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 11.5 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 11.6 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING. && LAT...LON 4366 9297 4368 9296 4373 9287 4374 9277 4369 9279 $$ MNC099-201304- /O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-140622T1240Z/ /TRCM5.3.ER.140617T1848Z.140620T1200Z.140621T1840Z.NR/ 505 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TURTLE CREEK NEAR AUSTIN 3NW. * UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 4:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.3 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 10.5 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.0 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY. && LAT...LON 4370 9305 4368 9300 4365 9297 4364 9298 4367 9305 $$
208 WGUS83 KARX 200208 FLSARX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI 908 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014 RIVER FORECASTS TAKE INTO ACCOUNT BOTH OBSERVED AND FORECAST PRECIPITATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE CARS INTO FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...IT TAKES ONLY TWO FEET OF WATER TO FLOAT MOST AUTOMOBILES...INCLUDING SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES. TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN. ADDITIONAL RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LACROSSE . && MNC099-200238- /O.CAN.KARX.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-140621T1800Z/ /LANM5.1.ER.140617T2345Z.140618T1545Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 908 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE CEDAR RIVER AT LANSING. * AT 8:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.5 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 17.9 FEET. THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 16.8 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING. $$ MNC099-200238- /O.CAN.KARX.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-140621T1800Z/ /ASTM5.N.ER.140618T1912Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 908 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE CEDAR RIVER AT AUSTIN. * AT 12:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.9 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 13.9 FEET. THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 13.1 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING. $$ MNC099-200238- /O.CAN.KARX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-140620T2145Z/ /DOBM5.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 908 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014 THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE DOBBINS CREEK AT AUSTIN 2NE. * AT 8:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.7 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 11.5 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 11.0 FEET. THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 9.2 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS La Crosse, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jun 18, 12:40 PM CDT, 2 hours 45 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 18, 12:40 PM CDT, 2 hours 45 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1240 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014
.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 345 AM CDT WED JUN 18 2014
MAIN FORECAST CONCERNS THIS PACKAGE...SHRA/TSRA/SEVERE CHANCES AND
HEAVY RAIN THREAT THROUGH THE PERIOD.
DATA ANALYSIS AT 06Z HAD LOW PRESSURE IN FAR NORTHEAST CO WITH A
WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY NORTHEAST ACROSS NEB THEN ACROSS NORTHERN IA.
THIS BOUNDARY AND LOWER LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT/THETA-E CONVERGENCE
OF A VERY MOIST/UNSTABLE AIRMASS INTO/OVER IT REMAIN THE MAIN
FORCING MECHANISMS FOR SHRA/TSRA ALONG/NORTH OF THE FRONT EARLY THIS
MORNING. AFTER A LULL/SLOW START THRU MUCH OF THE EVENING...
CONVECTION GENERALLY INCREASING FROM SOUTHEAST SD TO MUCH OF WI
EARLY THIS MORNING. MOST CELLS SLOWER MOVING THIS MORNING...CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS.
NO BIG PROBLEMS NOTED WITH 18.00Z MODEL INITIALIZATIONS. SOLUTIONS
RATHER SIMILAR IN THE LARGER SCALE FOR TODAY/TONIGHT AS THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES LOW/TROUGH MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. TREND FAVORS
FASTER OF THE EARLIER RUNS WITH THE PORTION OF THE TROUGH MOVING
INTO NEB/SD/ND BY 12Z THU. BETTER CONSENSUS OF THE SFC LOW/TROUGH/
FRONT TO NEAR THE MN/DAKOTAS BORDER AT 12Z THU. HOWEVER...PLENTY OF
MESO-SCALE/LOWER-LEVEL DETAIL DIFFERENCES...WHICH IMPACT CONVECTIVE
EVOLUTION THE NEXT 24-36 HRS. GIVEN THESE DETAIL DIFFERENCES WITH
IMPACTS ON THE SENSIBLE WEATHER...SHORT-TERM FCST CONFIDENCE IS
AVERAGE AT BEST THIS CYCLE.
SHORT-TERM FCST PROBLEMATIC THIS CYCLE WITH NAM/GFS/ECMWF/CAN-GEM
STRUGGLING ON CONVECTION TIMING/PLACEMENT EARLY THIS MORNING. LATEST
HRRR AND RAP13 HIGH-RES/WRF RUNS DOING BETTER CAPTURING SHRA/TSRA
TRENDS EARLY THIS MORNING. SHRA/TSRA MOTION GRADUALLY BECOMING
EASTERLY AS CONVECTION/COMPLEX MATURES AND TAKES ON THE CORFIDI
VECTOR MOTION...AND HEADING INTO THE FCST AREA. MAINTENANCE AS IT
COMES EAST THRU THE MID MORNING HOURS IS THE BIGGER QUESTION. THE
STRONGER OF THE LOWER LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT/THETA-E CONVERGENCE
PROGGED TO REMAIN OVER NORTHWEST IA...AND WEAKENS THRU 12Z AND 18Z
TODAY. HOWEVER MODELS INDICATE CONVERGENCE ON THE NOSE OF 925-850MB
LOW LEVEL JET REMAINS OVER NORTHERN IA/SOUTHERN MN THRU AT LEAST
12Z. WILL FOLLOW TRENDS OF HRRR/RUC13 AND CARRY LIKELY/CATEGORICAL
MENTION OF SHRA/TSRA EARLY THIS MORNING...TRENDING DOWNWARD THRU THE
MORNING AS THE LOW LEVEL JET CONVERGENCE/INFLOW GRADUALLY WEAKEN...
BUT CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH IN THIS. LOWER LEVEL FORCING/LIFT
INCREASES AGAIN TONIGHT WITH THE FRONT PROGGED TO BE JUST SOUTHWEST
OF THE FCST AREA AND A WEAK SHORTWAVE LOOKING TO APPROACH FROM THE
SOUTHWEST. CONTINUED THE 60-70 PERCENT SHRA/TSRA CHANCES TONIGHT.
WITH PW VALUES OF AROUND 1.75 INCHES OR HIGHER IN THE INFLOW AIR...
WARM CLOUD DEPTH OF AROUND 4KM AND THE SLOWER STORM MOTION...TSRA
WILL REMAIN CAPABLE OF PRODUCING RAIN RATES OF 1-2 INCHES/HR. FLASH
FLOOD WATCH WAS DUE TO EXPIRE AT 7 AM THIS MORNING. WILL EXTEND THIS
TO 7 AM THU. GIVEN LITTLE CHANGE IN THE VERY MOIST/UNSTABLE AIRMASS
OVER THE AREA AND A FRONTAL BOUNDARY FOR FOCUSING LOWER LEVEL
CONVERGENCE/LIFT OF THIS AIRMASS IN THE AREA...THE THREAT OF HEAVY
RAINS/FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES TONIGHT. EXPECTATIONS ARE THERE WILL
BE A LULL IN THE SHRA/TSRA IN THE FCST AREA AROUND MID-DAY TODAY...
BUT SEEMS EASIER TO JUST RUN THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH THRU 12Z THU.
EXACTLY WHERE THE HEAVIEST RAINS MAY OCCUR REMAINS IN QUESTION BUT 3
HR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES ACROSS MUCH OF THE FCST AREA ARE
AROUND 2 INCHES OR LESS. SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE TSRA CONTINUES
TODAY/TONIGHT...SEE SWODY1 FOR DETAILS.
.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 345 AM CDT WED JUN 18 2014
MAIN FORECAST CONCERNS FOR THU THRU FRI NIGHT...CONTINUED
HIGHER SHRA/TSRA CHANCES...SEVERE/HEAVY RAIN THREATS THU/THU NIGHT.
18.00Z MODELS OFFER SLOWLY IMPROVING AGREEMENT THU THRU FRI NIGHT AS
THE US/CAN BORDER MID LEVEL LOW SLOWLY MOVES EAST AND PUSHES 2 LOWER
LEVEL/SFC TROUGH/FRONTS INTO THE FCST AREA. FIRST OF THESE TO
ADVANCE IN THU NIGHT AND THE SECOND TO PUSH TOWARD THE AREA FRI
NIGHT. PLENTY OF MESO-SCALE/LOWER LEVEL DETAIL DIFFERENCES CONTINUE
IN THE THU-FRI NIGHT PERIOD...MAKING FCST CONFIDENCE THIS PERIOD
ALSO AVERAGE AT BEST.
FIRST LOWER LEVEL TROUGH FRONT TO HAVE 1.5 TO 2 INCHES OF PW AHEAD
OF IT THU. WITH FALLING HGTS ALOFT AND WEAK SHORTWAVES ROTATING THRU
THE FLOW AHEAD OF THE MID LEVEL LOW....LIFT/DIVERGENCE ALOFT TO AID
CONVECTION THU. STRONGER OF THE LOWER LEVEL FORCING/LIFT SPREADS
ACROSS THE AREA THU...SLOWLY TRANSLATING EAST OF THE AREA THU NIGHT.
CONTINUED THE 60-75 PERCENT SHRA/TSRA CHANCES THU...TRENDING
DOWNWARD AND EASTWARD THU NIGHT. POTENTIAL CONTINUES FOR MORE
DOWNPOURS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS THU/THU NIGHT...AND IN TIME WILL
LIKELY HAVE TO EXTEND THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH THRU THU/THU NIGHT. WITH
SOME INCREASE OF 0-6KM BULK SHEAR THU/THU EVENING...A SLIGHT RISK OF
SEVERE STORMS CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA THU. SEE SWODY2 FOR
DETAILS. THIS THU/THU EVENING RISK MAY BE MUTED IF CONVECTION IS
ONGOING OR DEVELOPS ALREADY THU MORNING.
BY THE TIME THE SECOND LOWER LEVEL TROUGH/FRONT ARRIVES MORE
WESTERLY 850-700MB FLOW BEHIND THE FIRST TROUGH/FRONT WILL HAVE
PUSHED SOME OF THE DEEPER/HIGHER PW AIRMASS EAST OF THE AREA. WITH
THE AREA BETWEEN THE SYSTEMS FRI...LESSER SHRA/TSRA CHANCES OR
TRENDING TOWARD DRY SEEMS REASONABLE. SOME INCREASE OF LOWER LEVEL
MOISTURE TRANSPORT/THERMO-DYNAMIC FORCING FRI NIGHT AS THE SFC-850MB
TROUGH PUSHES INTO THE AREA. 20-40 PERCENT SHRA/TSRA CHANCES BY
LATER FRI NIGHT ALSO REASONABLE. USED A BLEND OF THE GUIDANCE HIGHS
LOWS FOR THU THRU FRI NIGHT.
FOR SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.../DAYS 4-7/...
ONCE AGAIN...DID NOT SPEND A LOT OF TIME LOOKING AT THE DETAILS IN
THE DAY 4-7 PORTION OF THE FCST.
18.00Z MEDIUM RANGE MODELS WEAKEN AND TRACK THE US/CAN BORDER LOW
FURTHER NORTH/EAST SAT...WITH BROAD WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPING
ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST. BETWEEN MODEL AND RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY
BREAKS DOWN SUNDAY AS RIDGING ALOFT BUILDS OVER CENTRAL NOAM AND
ANOTHER STRONGER TROUGH DROPS DOWN THE EAST SIDE OF THIS RIDGE
TOWARD THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES. PLENTY OF TIMING/DETAIL DIFFERENCES
WITH THE EVOLUTION OF THIS TROUGHING OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST BY
MON/TUE. NEEDLESS TO DAY...CONFIDENCE IN THE SAT-TUE PORTION OF THE
FCST IS BELOW AVERAGE.
MID LEVEL FLOW PATTERN SUGGESTS A SERIES OF LOWER LEVEL TROUGHS AND
ROUNDS OF INCREASED MOISTURE/FORCING/LIFT TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
SAT THRU TUE. THIS PERIOD LOOKS DRIER THAN THIS WEEK...BUT MODEL/
ENSEMBLE CONSENSUS HAS PERSISTENT SHRA/TSRA CHANCES MUCH OF THE
PERIOD...ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS. BY
SUNDAY...WITH MORE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND THE NORTHERN STREAM
TROUGHING BRINGING COOLER MID LEVEL AIR TO THE REGION...TEMPS FOR
SUN-TUE DO LOOK TO COOL TO MORE NEAR NORMAL VALUES...WITH LOWER DEW
POINTS/HUMIDITY VALUES. MODEL/ENSEMBLE CONSENSUS HIGHS/LOWS FOR SAT
THRU TUE APPEAR TO HAVE THIS WELL TRENDED.
&&
.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1240 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014
GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL OUTSIDE OF CONVECTIVE
SYSTEMS...WHICH REMAIN SOMEWHAT TROUBLE TO NAIL DOWN.
IN WAKE OF OVERNIGHT SYSTEM...EXPECT QUIET PERIOD THROUGH MUCH OF
TODAY BUT WITH WARM FRONT BOUNDARY STILL IN AREA AND LOW LEVEL JET
SETTING UP AGAIN TONIGHT...COULD SEE REPEAT PERFORMANCE WITH MAINLY
LATE NIGHT STORMS AGAIN. BETTER FORCING AND MOISTURE TRANSPORT SEEMS
FURTHER WEST AND SOUTH TONIGHT SO UNSURE OF INTENSITY BUT LEANED ON
LATE NIGHT CONVECTION AND TRIED TO NARROW DOWN A SMALL TIME WINDOW
FOR BRUNT OF STORMS/LOWEST AVIATION CATEGORIES.
CONVECTION SHOULD CLEAR OUT THURSDAY MORNING SO RETURN TO VFR.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
ISSUED AT 345 AM CDT WED JUN 18 2014
A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL BE OVER THE REGION THROUGH
THU NIGHT...WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES RANGING FROM 1.5 TO 2.0
INCHES AND WARM CLOUD DEPTHS APPROACHING 4.0 KM. TSRA WILL CONTINUE
TO BE EFFICIENT RAIN MAKERS. REPEATED ROUNDS OF THESE TSRA WILL
PRODUCE A HEIGHTENED FLASH FLOOD THREAT THRU THU NIGHT. HAVE
EXTENDED THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR MUCH OF THE FCST AREA THRU 7 AM
THURSDAY...AND THIS WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE EXTENDED FOR THRU THU/THU
NIGHT.
&&
.ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR WIZ032-033-
041>044-053>055-061.
MN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR MNZ079-086>088-
094>096.
IA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR IAZ008>011-018-
019-029-030.
&&
SHORT TERM...RRS
LONG TERM...RRS
AVIATION...SHEA
HYDROLOGY...RRSHazardous weather outlook, Jun 18, 2:47 PM CDT, 38 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI 247 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014 IAZ008>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ079-086>088-094>096-WIZ017-029- 032>034-041>044-053>055-061-191000- MITCHELL-HOWARD-WINNESHIEK-ALLAMAKEE-FLOYD-CHICKASAW-FAYETTE- CLAYTON-WABASHA-DODGE-OLMSTED-WINONA-MOWER-FILLMORE-HOUSTON- TAYLOR-CLARK-BUFFALO-TREMPEALEAU-JACKSON-LA CROSSE-MONROE-JUNEAU- ADAMS-VERNON-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-GRANT- 247 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PARTS OF NORTHEAST IOWA...SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND SOUTHWEST INTO CENTRAL WISCONSIN. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT YET ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT AS THIS PERSISTENT WEATHER PATTERN HOLDS TOUGH. STORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP TO OUR WEST THIS EVENING...FORM A LINE...AND THEN TRACK THROUGH THE REGION. MAIN THREATS...LIKE LAST NIGHT...INCLUDE HEAVY RAIN... DAMAGING WIND...AND POSSIBLY SOME HAIL. THE RISK OF ANY TORNADO ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE LINES OF STORMS IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY THERE IS ANOTHER RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE THREATS WOULD BE DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...ISOLATED TORNADOES AND FLASH FLOODING. CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...CONTINUE FOR FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY. IT IS TOO EARLY TO DISCERN IF THERE WOULD BE A SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WITH ANY OF THESE STORMS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS COULD BE NEEDED AT TIMES OVERNIGHT IF THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND MATERIALIZES. RAINFALL REPORTS AND OBSERVATIONS OF FLOODING ARE APPRECIATED. .EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION... NO WEBINAR IS SCHEDULED AT THIS TIME. RRS/SHEA
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jun 18, 9:33 AM CDT, 5 hours 52 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
933 AM CDT WED JUN 18 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0730 AM FLASH FLOOD CATARACT 44.09N 90.83W
06/18/2014 MONROE WI OTHER FEDERAL
POST OFFICE REPORTED CUSTOMERS COMING IN SAYING PEOPLE
HAD TO TURN AROUND ON BACK ROADS AROUND CATARACT THIS
MORNING. ROADS SUCH AS COUNTY B AND Q AS WELL AS HIGHWAY
162 HAD FLOODING. TIME OF FLOODING ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
&&
AJLocal storm report, Jun 18, 10:24 AM CDT, 5 hours 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1024 AM CDT WED JUN 18 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0405 AM HAIL NORA SPRINGS 43.14N 93.01W
06/18/2014 E0.88 INCH FLOYD IA PUBLIC
TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR
0410 AM HAIL DEXTER 43.72N 92.70W
06/18/2014 E0.75 INCH MOWER MN LAW ENFORCEMENT
0424 AM TSTM WND GST 2 E CHARLES CITY 43.07N 92.64W
06/18/2014 M52.00 MPH FLOYD IA AWOS
TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR GIVEN GUST AT AIRPORT REPORTED
ON 435 AM OBSERVATION.
0426 AM TSTM WND GST ROCHESTER AIRPORT 43.91N 92.50W
06/18/2014 M47.00 MPH OLMSTED MN ASOS
0433 AM TSTM WND DMG ALTA VISTA 43.20N 92.42W
06/18/2014 CHICKASAW IA LAW ENFORCEMENT
TREES DOWN. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. WIND SPEED
UNKNOWN.
0505 AM TSTM WND DMG FORT ATKINSON 43.14N 91.93W
06/18/2014 WINNESHIEK IA LAW ENFORCEMENT
LARGE TREE DOWN ON AN LP TANK IN TOWN. TIME ESTIMATED BY
RADAR. WIND SPEED AND CONDITION OF TREE UNKNOWN.
0525 AM FLASH FLOOD 10 E BLACK RIVER FALLS 44.30N 90.64W
06/18/2014 JACKSON WI LAW ENFORCEMENT
WATER REPORTED OVER NUMEROUS ROADS ACROSS EASTERN JACKSON
COUNTY.
0532 AM TSTM WND GST 2 E LA CROSSE 43.83N 91.19W
06/18/2014 M50.00 MPH LA CROSSE WI OFFICIAL NWS OBS
0533 AM TSTM WND GST FRENCH ISLAND 43.86N 91.26W
06/18/2014 M46.00 MPH LA CROSSE WI ASOS
0545 AM TSTM WND DMG 2 S WEST SALEM 43.87N 91.08W
06/18/2014 LA CROSSE WI NWS EMPLOYEE
TREES DOWN OVER COUNTY ROAD M SOUTH OF WEST SALEM.
0605 AM FLASH FLOOD 3 N GALESVILLE 44.13N 91.36W
06/18/2014 TREMPEALEAU WI LAW ENFORCEMENT
WATER OVER ROADS IN SOUTHERN TREMPEALEAU COUNTY. MAIN
ROAD AFFECTED IS COUNTY ROAD T NORTH OF
GALESVILLE...ACTING AS A DETOUR FOR US HIGHWAY 53.
0647 AM HAIL FENNIMORE 42.98N 90.65W
06/18/2014 E1.00 INCH GRANT WI TRAINED SPOTTER
0706 AM TSTM WND DMG 4 NW LYNDON STATION 43.75N 89.95W
06/18/2014 JUNEAU WI LAW ENFORCEMENT
TREE DOWN ON INTERSTATE 94 EASTBOUND AT MILE MARKER 75.
TREES ALSO DOWN ON HIGHWAY 80 BETWEEN NEW LISBON AND
ELROY...AS WELL AS NEAR MAUSTON. TIME ESTIMATED FROM
RADAR.
0710 AM HAIL MONTFORT 42.97N 90.43W
06/18/2014 E0.50 INCH GRANT WI PUBLIC
DIME SIZE.
0710 AM HAIL MONTFORT 42.97N 90.43W
06/18/2014 E0.88 INCH GRANT WI PUBLIC
HAIL FROM PEA TO AS BIG AS NICKEL SIZE. TIME ESTIMATED
FROM RADAR.
0715 AM TSTM WND DMG 5 SSE ADAMS 43.89N 89.79W
06/18/2014 ADAMS WI LAW ENFORCEMENT
TREES DOWN SCATTERED ABOUT ADAMS COUNTY BUT MOST
CONCENTRATED ACROSS THE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE COUNTY.
TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
0730 AM FLASH FLOOD CATARACT 44.09N 90.83W
06/18/2014 MONROE WI OTHER FEDERAL
POST OFFICE REPORTED CUSTOMERS COMING IN SAYING PEOPLE
HAD TO TURN AROUND ON BACK ROADS AROUND CATARACT THIS
MORNING. ROADS SUCH AS COUNTY B AND Q AS WELL AS HIGHWAY
162 HAD FLOODING. TIME OF FLOODING ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
0757 AM FLASH FLOOD 3 N GALESVILLE 44.13N 91.36W
06/18/2014 TREMPEALEAU WI LAW ENFORCEMENT
TREMPEALEAU DISPATCH REPORTING COUNTY ROADS P...T AND OAK
RIDGE DRIVE HAVE FLOODING ON THEM. IN ADDITION...TRAVEL
ON HIGHWAY 53 SOUTH IS NOT RECOMMENDED RESULTING FROM
SPOTS OF FLOODING.
0804 AM FLASH FLOOD BLACK RIVER FALLS 44.30N 90.85W
06/18/2014 JACKSON WI LAW ENFORCEMENT
STREET FLOODING IN BLACK RIVER FALLS. RAINFALL ESTIMATE
OF 5 INCHES.
0804 AM FLASH FLOOD TAYLOR 44.32N 91.12W
06/18/2014 JACKSON WI LAW ENFORCEMENT
FLOODING AROUND TAYLOR
&&
SHEALocal storm report, Jun 18, 10:53 AM CDT, 4 hours 32 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1053 AM CDT WED JUN 18 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1053 AM HEAVY RAIN MONDOVI 44.57N 91.67W
06/18/2014 M2.31 INCH BUFFALO WI CO-OP OBSERVER
&&
SHEALocal storm report, Jun 18, 12:03 PM CDT, 3 hours 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1203 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0357 AM TSTM WND DMG BROWNSDALE 43.74N 92.87W
06/18/2014 MOWER MN FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
2 TREES UPROOTED. ANOTHER WEAKER TREE FELL ON A POWER
LINE. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
0405 AM HAIL NORA SPRINGS 43.14N 93.01W
06/18/2014 E0.88 INCH FLOYD IA PUBLIC
ALSO SOME BRANCHES DOWN.
&&
AJLocal storm report, Jun 18, 12:06 PM CDT, 3 hours 19 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1206 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0357 AM TSTM WND DMG BROWNSDALE 43.74N 92.87W
06/18/2014 MOWER MN FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
2 TREES UPROOTED. ANOTHER WEAKER TREE FELL
ON A POWER LINE. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
0405 AM HAIL NORA SPRINGS 43.14N 93.01W
06/18/2014 E0.88 INCH FLOYD IA PUBLIC
TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR
0410 AM HAIL DEXTER 43.72N 92.70W
06/18/2014 E0.75 INCH MOWER MN LAW ENFORCEMENT
0424 AM TSTM WND GST 2 E CHARLES CITY 43.07N 92.64W
06/18/2014 M52 MPH FLOYD IA AWOS
TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR GIVEN GUST AT
AIRPORT REPORTED ON 435 AM OBSERVATION.
0426 AM TSTM WND GST ROCHESTER AIRPORT 43.91N 92.50W
06/18/2014 M47 MPH OLMSTED MN ASOS
0433 AM TSTM WND DMG ALTA VISTA 43.20N 92.42W
06/18/2014 CHICKASAW IA LAW ENFORCEMENT
TREES DOWN. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. WIND
SPEED UNKNOWN.
0505 AM TSTM WND DMG FORT ATKINSON 43.14N 91.93W
06/18/2014 WINNESHIEK IA LAW ENFORCEMENT
LARGE TREE DOWN ON AN LP TANK IN TOWN. TIME
ESTIMATED BY RADAR. WIND SPEED AND CONDITION
OF TREE UNKNOWN.
0525 AM FLASH FLOOD 10 E BLACK RIVER FALLS 44.30N 90.64W
06/18/2014 JACKSON WI LAW ENFORCEMENT
WATER REPORTED OVER NUMEROUS ROADS ACROSS
EASTERN JACKSON COUNTY.
0532 AM TSTM WND GST 2 E LA CROSSE 43.83N 91.19W
06/18/2014 M50 MPH LA CROSSE WI OFFICIAL NWS OBS
0533 AM TSTM WND GST FRENCH ISLAND 43.86N 91.26W
06/18/2014 M46 MPH LA CROSSE WI ASOS
0545 AM TSTM WND DMG 2 S WEST SALEM 43.87N 91.08W
06/18/2014 LA CROSSE WI NWS EMPLOYEE
TREES DOWN OVER COUNTY ROAD M SOUTH OF WEST
SALEM.
0605 AM TSTM WND GST SPARTA 43.94N 90.81W
06/18/2014 E55 MPH MONROE WI TRAINED SPOTTER
HEAVY RAIN-VISIBILITY 1/8 MILE
0605 AM FLASH FLOOD 3 N GALESVILLE 44.13N 91.36W
06/18/2014 TREMPEALEAU WI LAW ENFORCEMENT
WATER OVER ROADS IN SOUTHERN TREMPEALEAU
COUNTY. MAIN ROAD AFFECTED IS COUNTY ROAD T
NORTH OF GALESVILLE...ACTING AS A DETOUR FOR
US HIGHWAY 53.
0615 AM HEAVY RAIN CATARACT 44.09N 90.84W
06/18/2014 M3.15 INCH MONROE WI COOP OBSERVER
0617 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 WSW IDUNA 44.19N 91.34W
06/18/2014 M4.72 INCH TREMPEALEAU WI COOP OBSERVER
0630 AM HEAVY RAIN BLACK RIVER FALLS 44.30N 90.85W
06/18/2014 E3.05 INCH JACKSON WI PUBLIC
0630 AM HEAVY RAIN PLATTEVILLE 42.74N 90.48W
06/18/2014 M1.50 INCH GRANT WI PUBLIC
0647 AM HAIL FENNIMORE 42.98N 90.65W
06/18/2014 E1.00 INCH GRANT WI TRAINED SPOTTER
0700 AM HEAVY RAIN TAYLOR 44.32N 91.12W
06/18/2014 E4.00 INCH JACKSON WI PUBLIC
0705 AM HAIL 3 ESE ELLENBORO 42.76N 90.58W
06/18/2014 E0.25 INCH GRANT WI PUBLIC
0705 AM HAIL 3 ESE ELLENBORO 42.77N 90.56W
06/18/2014 E0.88 INCH GRANT WI PUBLIC
JUST UNDER QUARTER SIZED HAIL. WIND
UNREMARKABLE. 7207 SNOWY LANE.
0706 AM HAIL 4 ESE ELLENBORO 42.76N 90.54W
06/18/2014 E0.25 INCH GRANT WI PUBLIC
WIND UNREMARKABLE.
0706 AM TSTM WND DMG 4 NW LYNDON STATION 43.75N 89.95W
06/18/2014 JUNEAU WI LAW ENFORCEMENT
TREE DOWN ON INTERSTATE 94 EASTBOUND AT MILE
MARKER 75. TREES ALSO DOWN ON HIGHWAY 80
BETWEEN NEW LISBON AND ELROY...AS WELL AS
NEAR MAUSTON. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
0710 AM HAIL MONTFORT 42.97N 90.43W
06/18/2014 E0.50 INCH GRANT WI PUBLIC
DIME SIZE.
0715 AM TSTM WND DMG 5 SSE ADAMS 43.89N 89.79W
06/18/2014 ADAMS WI LAW ENFORCEMENT
TREES DOWN SCATTERED ABOUT ADAMS COUNTY BUT
MOST CONCENTRATED ACROSS THE CENTRAL PORTION
OF THE COUNTY. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
0730 AM FLASH FLOOD CATARACT 44.09N 90.83W
06/18/2014 MONROE WI OTHER FEDERAL
POST OFFICE REPORTED CUSTOMERS COMING IN
SAYING PEOPLE HAD TO TURN AROUND ON BACK
ROADS AROUND CATARACT THIS MORNING. ROADS
SUCH AS COUNTY B AND Q AS WELL AS HIGHWAY
162 HAD FLOODING. TIME OF FLOODING ESTIMATED
BY RADAR.
0757 AM FLASH FLOOD 3 N GALESVILLE 44.13N 91.36W
06/18/2014 TREMPEALEAU WI LAW ENFORCEMENT
TREMPEALEAU DISPATCH REPORTING COUNTY ROADS
P...T AND OAK RIDGE DRIVE HAVE FLOODING ON
THEM. IN ADDITION...TRAVEL ON HIGHWAY 53
SOUTH IS NOT RECOMMENDED RESULTING FROM
SPOTS OF FLOODING.
0804 AM FLASH FLOOD TAYLOR 44.32N 91.12W
06/18/2014 JACKSON WI LAW ENFORCEMENT
FLOODING AROUND TAYLOR
0804 AM FLASH FLOOD BLACK RIVER FALLS 44.30N 90.85W
06/18/2014 JACKSON WI LAW ENFORCEMENT
STREET FLOODING IN BLACK RIVER FALLS.
RAINFALL ESTIMATE OF 5 INCHES.
1053 AM HEAVY RAIN MONDOVI 44.57N 91.67W
06/18/2014 M2.31 INCH BUFFALO WI CO-OP OBSERVER
&&
AJLocal storm report, Jun 18, 1:51 PM CDT, 1 hour 34 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
151 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0140 PM FLOOD 4 NNW BLACK RIVER FALLS 44.35N 90.88W
06/18/2014 JACKSON WI EMERGENCY MNGR
MOST OF THE WATER HAS RECEDED. HOWEVER...RECENT FLOODING
HAS CAUSED DAMAGE TO THUNDERCLOUD ROAD...EAST CASPER ROAD
AND SOUTH STEINE ROAD. AS A RESULT THESE ROADS ARE
CLOSED. TREMPEALEAU RIVER IN JACKSON COUNTY IS OUT OF ITS
BANKS BUT NO HOMES ARE THREATENED.
&&
AJThe office that day
Everything else NWS La Crosse, WI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2:18 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | ARX | Dodge | 27 min |
| Jun 18, 3:28 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | ARX | Mower | 32 min |
| Jun 18, 3:39 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Mower | 51 min |
| Jun 18, 4:33 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | ARX | Fillmore, Houston, Olmsted, Winona | 27 min |
| Jun 18, 4:42 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | ARX | Winona | 33 min |
| Jun 18, 5:07 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | ARX | Houston | 38 min |
| Jun 18, 7:41 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | ARX | Mower | 67 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Minnesota, 2014Every river flood warning in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.