Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2014
Storm Warning 5, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this storm warning at Jan 15, 2014, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 12 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 15, 2014, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 16, 2014, 4:00 AM AKST
- In force
- 12 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
822 FZAK52 PAJK 160037 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKST WED JAN 15 2014 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-161400- 400 PM AKST WED JAN 15 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL ENTER THE SOUTHERN GULF WEDNESDAY EVENING...THEN MOVE OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA THURSDAY. $$ PKZ041-161400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AKST WED JAN 15 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL IN THE EVENING. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .THU...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ042-161400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AKST WED JAN 15 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL IN THE EVENING. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ043-161400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AKST WED JAN 15 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT LATE. SW SWELL IN THE EVENING. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO GALE 35 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ051-161400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AKST WED JAN 15 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT LATE. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN LATE. .FRI...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT LATE. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ052-161400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AKST WED JAN 15 2014 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 50 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT LATE. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO GALE 35 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN LATE. .FRI...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 25 KT LATE. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. $$
3 follow-up statements
934 FZAK52 PAJK 160743 AAA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1043 PM AKST WED JAN 15 2014 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-170145- 1043 PM AKST WED JAN 15 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL ENTER THE SOUTHERN GULF WEDNESDAY EVENING...THEN MOVE OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA THURSDAY. $$ PKZ041-170145- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 1043 PM AKST WED JAN 15 2014 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL IN THE EVENING. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .THU...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ042-170145- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 1043 PM AKST WED JAN 15 2014 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ043-170145- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 1043 PM AKST WED JAN 15 2014 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT LATE. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO GALE 35 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ051-170145- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 1043 PM AKST WED JAN 15 2014 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN LATE. .FRI...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT LATE. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ052-170145- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 1043 PM AKST WED JAN 15 2014 UPDATED ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 50 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT LATE. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO GALE 35 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN LATE. .FRI...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 25 KT LATE. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. $$
643 FZAK52 PAJK 160744 CCA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1043 PM AKST WED JAN 15 2014 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-170200- 1043 PM AKST WED JAN 15 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL ENTER THE SOUTHERN GULF WEDNESDAY EVENING...THEN MOVE OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA THURSDAY. $$ PKZ041-170200- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 1043 PM AKST WED JAN 15 2014 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ042-170200- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 1043 PM AKST WED JAN 15 2014 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ043-170200- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 1043 PM AKST WED JAN 15 2014 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT LATE. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO GALE 35 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ051-170200- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 1043 PM AKST WED JAN 15 2014 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN LATE. .FRI...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT LATE. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ052-170200- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 1043 PM AKST WED JAN 15 2014 UPDATED ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 50 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT LATE. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO GALE 35 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN LATE. .FRI...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 25 KT LATE. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. $$
095 FZAK52 PAJK 161229 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKST THU JAN 16 2014 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-170100- 400 AM AKST THU JAN 16 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA ON THURSDAY. A SECOND FRONT WILL ENTER THE EASTERN GULF FROM THE WEST ON FRIDAY. $$ PKZ041-170100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKST THU JAN 16 2014 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ042-170100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKST THU JAN 16 2014 ...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ043-170100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKST THU JAN 16 2014 ...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ051-170100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKST THU JAN 16 2014 ...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. $$ PKZ052-170100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKST THU JAN 16 2014 ...GALE WARNING EARLY TODAY AND TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. .FRI...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Jan 15, 3:44 PM AKST, 16 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 15, 3:44 PM AKST, 16 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
344 PM AKST WED JAN 15 2014
.SHORT TERM...LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER THE NE PAC WILL MOVE
N INTO THE SW GULF TONIGHT...THEN WEAKEN SLOWLY AS IT REACHES THE
PAMD AREA BY LATE THU MORNING. A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE N THRU THE
GULF TONIGHT. A WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE NE INTO THE GULF
LATE TONIGHT AND MOVE TO THE OUTER COAST THU AFTERNOON. USED THE
12Z GEM AS IT HAD THE BEST OVERALL HANDLE ON THE MAIN FEATURES.
MAIN FORECAST ISSUES WILL BE PRECIP AMOUNTS...PTYPE...AND WINDS.
THE LOW AND FRONTS HAVE A SUBTROPICAL CONNECTION SIMILAR TO THE
MONDAY STORM BUT THE SYSTEM IS NOT AS STRONG. STILL LOOKS LIKE
FAIRLY HEAVY PRECIP FOR THE NRN GULF COAST TONIGHT. THE HEAVIER
PRECIP SHOULD REACH MOST OF THE NRN PANHANDLE THU MORNING...THEN
TO THE S-CENTRAL AND ADJACENT OUTER COAST THU AFTERNOON. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS DO NOT LOOK AS HEAVY THOUGH AS THE MONDAY SYSTEM IN THE
AREAS THAT HAD LANDSLIDES. STILL...GIVEN THAT THE GROUND IS FAIRLY
SATURATED THE POSSIBILITY OF MORE LANDSLIDES IS THERE FOR THE
CENTRAL PANHANDLE INCLUDING THE OUTER COAST FOR THU. THREAT FOR
FLOODING WILL NOT BE AS HIGH WITH THIS SYSTEM EITHER BUT LATER
SHIFTS WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON THIS.
PTYPE SHOULD BE RAIN EXCEPT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE PAGY
ZONE AND THE NW PART OF THE CHILKAT VALLEY WILL LIKELY SEE SNOW
TONIGHT INTO THU MORNING. THE HEAVY PRECIP RATES LATER TONIGHT AND
THU MORNING WILL HELP MAINTAIN A NEAR ISOTHERMAL BOUNDARY LAYER IN
THOSE AREAS...WHICH SHOULD KEEP PRECIP SNOW UNTIL THE PRECIP RATES
DECREASE AND WINDS INCREASE IN THOSE AREAS LATER THU MORNING.
DECIDED TO KEEP THE WINTER STORM WARNING FOR THE HAINES ZONE BUT
MENTIONED IT IS FOR NW OF THE CHILKAT RIVER BRIDGE. ALSO KEPT THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE PAGY ZONE FOR WHITE PASS.
AS FOR WINDS...THEY WILL BE DECREASING OVER THE NRN AREAS THIS
EVENING BUT WILL INCREASE FROM THE S LATER TONIGHT AND THU. STILL
EXPECT GALES FOR MOST OF THE GULF WITH A SMALL AREA OF STORMS FOR
MARINE ZONE 52 LATE TONIGHT AS WARM FRONT MOVES IN. MOST INNER
CHANNELS WILL SEE SCA LEVEL WINDS DEVELOPING TONIGHT INTO
THU...EXCEPT THE FAR NRN AREA WILL DECREASE FROM 30-40 KT TO BELOW
SCA BY LATE EVENING. MOST INNER CHANNEL AREAS WILL SEE SCA WINDS
THU WITH GALES FOR THE FAR NRN AND FAR SRN AREAS. WILL MENTION
STRONG WINDS FOR THE CENTRAL COAST THU...AND FOR THE PAHN/PAGY
AREAS THIS EVENING THEN AGAIN THU.
OTHERWISE...PUT LOW TEMPS DURING THE MID-EVENING TIME FRAME FOR
MOST AREAS AS STRONG WARM ADVECTION WILL BE THE RULE TONIGHT.
TEMPS ON THU WILL GET WELL INTO THE 40S IN MANY AREAS.
.LONG TERM...THINKING IN THE EXTENDED RANGE REMAINS THE SAME WITH
ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA. PATTERN FAVORS A
STORM TRACK RANGING FROM THE CENTRAL GULF TO THE ALEUTIANS WITH
THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONTS CROSSING THE GULF AND INTO THE
PANHANDLE. CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THERE WILL BE A FRONT IMPACTING
THE PANHANDLE EVERY COUPLE DAYS. DEEP LAYER ONSHORE FLOW AND
STRONG WARM AIR ADVECTION WITH EACH ADVANCING FRONT WILL KEEP
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL AND PRECIPITATION MAINLY IN THE LIQUID
FORM. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN PANHANDLE
WHERE SOME SNOW IS POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT THE LONG TERM PERIOD.
ON THURSDAY NIGHT A 955 MB LOW WILL PUSH NORTHWARD INTO THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WITH THE ASSOCIATED FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE
GULF. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
DURING THE DAY FRIDAY AND THEN PUSH EAST INTO THE REMAINDER OF
THE PANHANDLE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY. A BRIEF BREAK IN
THE STEADY PRECIPITATION ON SUNDAY BEFORE ANOTHER STRONG LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM PUSHES TO THE SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND LATE SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY SENDING THE NEXT FRONT ACROSS THE GULF. THIS FRONT
REACHES THE PANHANDLE DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY. MODELS INDICATE
YET ANOTHER FRONT WILL TAKE A SIMILAR PATH AND MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST
ALASKA ON WEDNESDAY. EACH OF THESE FRONTS WILL LIKELY BRING A
PERIOD OF GALE FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA.
WITH FRONTS AFFECTING THE AREA EVERY OTHER DAY AND THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT REMAINING RELATIVELY STRONG, EXPECT PERIODS OF GUSTY
WINDS THROUGH MUCH OF THE EXTENDED RANGE. 40-60 KT LOW LEVEL JETS
WITH EACH FRONT WILL LEAD TO STRONGER WINDS THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.
AM EXPECTING CLARENCE STRAIT TO INCREASE TO GALE FORCE LATER
FRIDAY AND OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AS THE FRONT MAKES
LANDFALL. STRONGER WINDS WILL ALSO DEVELOP BEHIND THE FRONT AS A
SURFACE RIDGE SHARPENS OVER THE AREA, INCREASING WINDS IN THE N-S
CHANNELS. THIS PATTERN OF WINDS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE WITH EACH
FRONT PASSAGE. GALE FORCE WINDS ACCOMPANY THE FRONTS OUT OVER THE
GULF.
USED A BLEND OF THE ECMWF/GEM THROUGH DAY 4 BEFORE TRANSITIONING
TO THE NEW WPC DATA FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD.
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE IS ABOVE AVERAGE IN CONTINUED WET AND WARMER
PATTERN THAN NORMAL HOWEVER DIFFERENCES IN THE TIMING AND STRENGTH
OF EACH INDIVIDUAL FRONT REMAIN.
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND THURSDAY MORNING FOR AKZ022.
STRONG WIND FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR
AKZ023.
STRONG WIND FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR
AKZ019.
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM AKST
THURSDAY FOR AKZ019.
STRONG WIND UNTIL 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING FOR AKZ018.
STRONG WIND FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR
AKZ018.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM AKST
THURSDAY FOR AKZ018.
MARINE...STORM WARNING FOR PKZ052.
GALE WARNING FOR PKZ012-022-036-041>043-051.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011-013-021-031>035-053.
&&
RWT/TPSThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Jan 15, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Jan 15, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Jan 15, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Jan 15, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Jan 16, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.