Small Craft Advisory 784, NWS Juneau, AK

143 
FZAK51 PAJK 150558 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
858 PM AKST FRI NOV 14 2014

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-160000-
858 PM AKST FRI NOV 14 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A WEATHER FRONT WILL REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE WESTERN
GULF THROUGH SAT. PERSISTENT HIGH PRESSURE OVER CANADA AND
OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE PANHANDLE WEATHER
THROUGH SAT. 

$$

PKZ011-160000-
GLACIER BAY-
858 PM AKST FRI NOV 14 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT NIGHT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING N 10 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR
LESS. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ012-160000-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
858 PM AKST FRI NOV 14 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT...STRONGEST WINDS NEAR TAIYA INLET. SEAS 4
FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ013-160000-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
858 PM AKST FRI NOV 14 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT NIGHT...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ021-160000-
ICY STRAIT-
858 PM AKST FRI NOV 14 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ022-160000-
CROSS SOUND-
858 PM AKST FRI NOV 14 2014

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS
5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-160000-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
858 PM AKST FRI NOV 14 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT NIGHT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING N 10 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR
LESS. 
.SUN...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ032-160000-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
858 PM AKST FRI NOV 14 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ033-160000-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
858 PM AKST FRI NOV 14 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT...
EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-160000-
FREDERICK SOUND-
858 PM AKST FRI NOV 14 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-160000-
SUMNER STRAIT-
858 PM AKST FRI NOV 14 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-160000-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
858 PM AKST FRI NOV 14 2014

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

472 
FZAK51 PAJK 151250
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-160100-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER CANADA AND OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO
DOMINATE PANHANDLE WEATHER THROUGH SATURDAY. A FRONT WILL MOVE
NORTH INTO THE EASTERN GULF ON SUNDAY.  

$$

PKZ011-160100-
GLACIER BAY-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014 

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ012-160100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014 

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR
LESS BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. 
.MON...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...N GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ013-160100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014 

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR
LESS BUILDING TO 4 FT LATE. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ021-160100-
ICY STRAIT-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014 

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ022-160100-
CROSS SOUND-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 6
FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-160100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014 

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR
LESS BUILDING TO 4 FT LATE. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ032-160100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014 

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR
LESS BUILDING TO 4 FT LATE. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ033-160100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-160100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014 

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE MORNING...THEN
DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR
LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR
LESS BUILDING TO 4 FT LATE. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-160100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014 

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-160100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

773 
FZAK51 PAJK 151955 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1054 AM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-161400-
1054 AM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER CANADA AND OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO
DOMINATE PANHANDLE WEATHER THROUGH SATURDAY. A FRONT WILL MOVE
NORTH INTO THE EASTERN GULF ON SUNDAY.  

$$

PKZ011-161400-
GLACIER BAY-
1054 AM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ012-161400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1054 AM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR
LESS BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. 
.MON...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...N GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ013-161400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1054 AM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR
LESS BUILDING TO 4 FT LATE. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ021-161400-
ICY STRAIT-
1054 AM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ022-161400-
CROSS SOUND-
1054 AM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-161400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
1054 AM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR
LESS BUILDING TO 4 FT LATE. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ032-161400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1054 AM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR
LESS BUILDING TO 4 FT LATE. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ033-161400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1054 AM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-161400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
1054 AM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014

UPDATED

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR
LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR
LESS BUILDING TO 4 FT LATE. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-161400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
1054 AM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-161400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
1054 AM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

797 
FZAK51 PAJK 160022
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-161400-
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER BRITISH COLUMBIA
THROUGH SUNDAY. A FRONT WILL MOVE NORTH INTO THE EASTERN GULF ON
SUNDAY.  

$$

PKZ011-161400-
GLACIER BAY-
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014 

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-161400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014 

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-161400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014 

.TONIGHT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING N 15 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 
3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-161400-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. STRONGEST WINDS
WEST END. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. STRONGEST WINDS WEST END. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ022-161400-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN IN
THE EVENING. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-161400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014 

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-161400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014 

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY
FOG.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-161400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
5 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED AND THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ034-161400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014 

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED AND THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-161400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014 

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED AND THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-161400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

254 
FZAK51 PAJK 160834 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1134 PM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-170245-
1134 PM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER BRITISH COLUMBIA
THROUGH SUNDAY. A FRONT WILL MOVE NORTH INTO THE EASTERN GULF ON
SUNDAY.  

$$

PKZ011-170245-
GLACIER BAY-
1134 PM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-170245-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1134 PM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-170245-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1134 PM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-170245-
ICY STRAIT-
1134 PM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. STRONGEST WINDS WEST END. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. STRONGEST WINDS
WEST END. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.



$$

PKZ022-170245-
CROSS SOUND-
1134 PM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN IN
THE EVENING. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-170245-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
1134 PM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-170245-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1134 PM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY
FOG.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-170245-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1134 PM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
5 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED AND THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.



$$

PKZ034-170245-
FREDERICK SOUND-
1134 PM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED AND THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-170245-
SUMNER STRAIT-
1134 PM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED AND THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-170245-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
1134 PM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS
5 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.



$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
358 PM AKST FRI NOV 14 2014

.SHORT TERM...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE STILL HOLDING ALL ACTIVE
PRECIPITATION WEATHER AWAY FROM PANHANDLE HOWEVER THAT HAS STILL
LEFT LOTS OF OTHER FUN FOR THE REGION. GUSTY WINDS FLOWING THROUGH
RIVER VALLEYS FROM INTERIOR STILL LEAVING A FEW AIRPORTS GUSTY.
ALSO THE WINDS OUT OF THE STIKINE RIVER VALLEY HAS BEEN PICKING
UP DUST AND RIVER SLIT AND BLOWING IT OUT TO THE INNER CHANNELS.
THIS HAS REDUCED SOME VISIBILITY IN THE WRANGELL AREA.

THE THERMAL INVERSION STILL PERSISTS ACROSS MUCH OF THE PANHANDLE
AS WELL PREVENTING MIXING FOR A SIGNIFICANT AREA AS WELL. AS SUCH
DAYTIME HIGHS FOR THE NORTHEAST PANHANDLE REGION HAS BEEN LIMITED.
EXPECT GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS AGAIN TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. HAVE GONE
WITH VERY SIMILAR TEMPERATURES FOR TONIGHT AND TOMORROW THAT WE
HAVE SEEN THE LAST NIGHT OR TWO.

DENSE FOG CONTINUES TO PERSIST THROUGH THE TENAKEE INLET AREA OF
EASTERN CHICHAGOF AFFECTING TENAKEE SPRINGS. HAVE CONTINUED THIS
AS UNTIL THERE IS SOMETHING TO BREAK IT UP THINK IT WILL CONTINUE.
WITH THE WEB CAM IMAGES WE HAVE ACCESS TO, HAVE ISSUED A DENSE FOG
ADVISORY UNTIL MIDDAY SATURDAY.

.LONG TERM...THE UPPER LEVEL HIGH WILL HAVE SHIFTED SOUTH BY
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH THE RIDGE AXIS OVER B.C. AND THE COASTAL
MOUNTAINS. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE NORTH
INTO THE WESTERN GULF SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. THIS ALONG
WITH THE HIGH TO THE EAST WILL CAUSE 25-35KT SE WINDS OVER THE OUTSIDE
WATERS AND CONTINUE SOME OF THE EASTERLY OUTFLOW WINDS LIKE
THROUGH CROSS SOUND. A CHANCE OF RAIN WILL REACH THE COAST SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AS THE FRONTAL BAND ASSOC WITH THE LOW SKIRTS BY BUT
ONLY EXPECT INCREASED CLOUDS FOR THE INTERIOR ZONES.

THERE WILL BE A BREAK BETWEEN SYSTEMS ON MONDAY...NOT SURE IF IT
CAN EVEN BE CALLED A BREAK WITH HOW LITTLE IMPACT THE SUNDAY FRONT
HAS ON SENSIBLE WEATHER.

MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE
NORTHWEST PACIFIC AND CAUSE A SURFACE LOW TO DEVELOP. THE LOW IS
PART OF A LARGER COMPLEX OF LOWS EXTENDING ALONG A TROUGH TO A
PARENT LOW OVER THE ALEUTIANS. MODELS ARE PLACING LOW CENTERS ALONG
THE TROUGH AXIS IN DIFFERENT PLACES BUT ALL HAVE THE SAME IDEA OF
THE TROUGH MOVING NORTH INTO THE EASTERN GULF ON TUESDAY. ALTHOUGH
MODELS HAVE DIFFERED EVEN FROM RUN TO RUN ON THE TIMING OF WHEN THE
LOW/TROUGH MOVES NORTH...AND THUS WHEN THE PRECIP WILL MOVE IN.
FOR EXAMPLE THE 00Z ECMWF SPED THINGS UP CONSIDERABLY WITH PRECIP
REACHING THE SOUTHERN COAST MONDAY EVENING WHILE THE 12Z RUN AND
OTHER MODEL SOLUTIONS DO NOT HAVE IT MOVING IN UNTIL TUESDAY
MORNING. HAVE KEPT WITH THIS LATER IDEA BUT THE TIMING OF WHEN THE
PRECIP MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE WILL BE CRITICAL FOR
P-TYPE...MIDDLE OF THE NIGHT VERSES THE AFTERNOON MAKES A BIG
DIFFERENCE. HOWEVER...EITHER WAY THIS SYSTEM IS WARM WITH 850MB
TEMPS ALL ABOVE ZERO TO +6C AND WOULD RESULT IN ALL RAIN OR A
QUICK CHANGE OVER IF IT DID START OFF SOLID. FORECAST CONFIDENCE
IN TEMPERATURES IS LOWER THAN NORMAL SO RESULTING SNOW
LEVEL/P-TYPE FORECAST HAS LOWER CONFIDENCE AS WELL.

MODELS EVEN START TO DIFFER WITH HOW THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGHS
PROGRESS STARTING TUESDAY NIGHT SO CONFIDENCE LOWERS EVEN MORE THROUGH
THE SECOND HALF OF THE FORECAST. HOWEVER THEY ALL HAVE
TROUGHS/WAVES ROTATING NORTHWARD INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA MEANING A
RETURN TO A MORE ACTIVE/WET PATTERN.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL NOON AKST SATURDAY FOR AKZ021.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ052.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS FOR PKZ041>043-051.

&&

BEZENEK/FERRIN

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JUNEAU