High Wind Warning 1, NWS Juneau, AK

943 
WWAK77 PAJK 150559
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
859 PM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014


AKZ018-019-150700-
/X.CAN.PAJK.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140115T1400Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SKAGWAY...HAINES
859 PM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH
WIND WARNING. 

THE HIGH WINDS FROM EARLIER THIS EVENING HAVE DIMINISHED AND ARE
NOT EXPECTED TO RETURN TONIGHT. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS 53 MPH WERE
RECORDED AT SKAGWAY AIRPORT AROUND 4 PM THIS EVENING.

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT.

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
630 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

.SHORT TERM...A STRONG FRONT IS PASSING OVER THE PANHANDLE
TODAY. NEARLY EVERY ZONE HAS HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS. SO FAR
THE STRONGEST WIND HAVE BEEN A GUST OF 71KT AT LINCOLN ROCK IN
NORTHERN CLARENCE STRAIT. A STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
CLARENCE STRAIT AS A RESULT. THE MORNING SOUNDING FROM ANNETTE
MEASURED 50KT AT 900FT AND 60KT AT 1900FT. THIS WILL MAKE FOR A
VERY BUMPY RIDE FOR AVIATION CUSTOMERS TODAY. ELDRED ROCK HAS
INCREASED TO GALE FORCE THIS MORNING WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF
40KT. ADJACENT LAND AREAS WILL SEE GUSTS OF 40-50MPH THROUGH THIS
EVENING. IN ADDITION TO CLARENCE STRAIT EXPECT THE TYPICAL
LOCATIONS OF CROSS SOUND AND NORTHERN LYNN CANAL TO INCREASE TO
STORM FORCE (50KT+) THIS AFTERNOON POST FRONT.

MANY PLACES HAVE SEEN OVER 1 INCH OF RAIN IN THE LAST 6 HOURS AND
AROUND 2 INCHES TOTAL SO FAR. EXPECT THE HEAVY RAIN TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE MORNING ALONG THE COAST AND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
ALONG THE COASTAL MOUNTAINS. HEAVY RAIN IS CAUSING LOCALIZED
STREET FLOODING WHERE DRAINS ARE BLOCKED WITH SNOW. SMALL STREAMS
ARE ALSO RISING QUICKLY THIS MORNING. THE STANEY CREEK NEAR
KLAWOCK IS NEARING ACTION STAGE. THE JORDAN AND MONTANA CREEKS IN
JUNEAU ARE TWO OTHERS TO WATCH...BUT DO NOT EXPECT ANY TO REACH
FLOOD STAGE.

WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SW AS THE FRONT PASSES THIS AFTERNOON AND
REMAIN STRONG...THIS COULD CAUSE SOME ISSUES FOR LOCATIONS EXPOSED
TO THE WEST. MODEL FORECASTED WINDS AT 700MB WILL BE 60-70KT WITH
THE WIND SHIFT...SO EXPECTING SOME STRONG GUSTS. HAVE HAINES AND
SKAGWAY GUSTS TO 50 MPH TONIGHT.

TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN OVERNIGHT WITH THE WARM FRONT. MUCH OF
THE REGION IS ABOVE 40F AND 50F ON PRINCE OF WALES IS. ONCE THE
COLD FRONT PASSES LATER THIS AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES AT 850MB WILL
COOL BACK TO -6C. THIS WILL CAUSE A CHANGE OVER TO CONVECTIVE
SHOWERS TONIGHT WITH RAIN AND SNOW MIXED IN. THE SHOWERS WILL
BECOME MORE SCATTERED FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE NIGHT. DO NOT
EXPECT MUCH ACCUMULATION...UP TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE ALONG THE
COASTAL MOUNTAINS.

WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HAINES AND SKAGWAY HIGHWAYS REMAINS IN
EFFECT UNTIL NOON TODAY. BOTH OF THE HAINES AND SKAGWAY AIRPORTS
HAVE CHANGED TO RAIN THIS MORNING...BUT SOME MIXING IS STILL
POSSIBLE. OUT THE HIGHWAYS THE TEMPERATURE IS STILL BELOW FREEZING
AND THE HEAVY RATES ARE HELPING TO KEEP P-TYPE AS SNOW THERE.
EXPECT UP TO 7 MORE INCHES THROUGH NOON TODAY NEAR THE
BORDERS...BUT EVEN THESE WILL SEE A MIX WITH RAIN THIS AFTERNOON.

PREFERRED THE NAM FOR UPDATES TODAY. OVERALL CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST SMALL AND MADE FOR THE RAPIDLY CHANGING CONDITIONS. FOR
EXAMPLE THE WARMING TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING. FORECAST CONFIDENCE
IS AVERAGE.

&&

.LONG TERM...UPPER LEVEL LONG WAVE TROUGH CENTERED NEAR 170W AND
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER THE WEST COAST OF NORTH AMERICAN ARE
ACTING TO MAINTAIN DEEP, MOIST SOUTHWESTERLY ONSHORE FLOW FOR THE
DURATION OF THE EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST PERIOD. VARIABILITY IN
THE EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST DOMINATED BY SHORT WAVE IMPULSES
ROTATING AROUND THE BASE OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH, SENDING LOWS
AND THEIR ASSOCIATED FRONTS INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA.

NEXT SIGNIFICANT LOW AND FRONT TO AFFECT SOUTHEAST ALASKA WILL
ENTER THE GULF FROM THE SOUTH ON WEDNESDAY. THE LOW ITSELF WILL
REMAIN WEST OF THE PANHANDLE BUT WILL ALSO PRESS UP AGAINST A
SURFACE RIDGE, THUS INCREASING THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER
THE EASTERN GULF. HAVE AN EXTENSIVE AREA OF GALE FORCE WINDS OVER
THE GULF WITH SOME 40 KT WINDS NEAR THE COAST FROM CAPE
FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING. ALSO HAVE HIGH PROBABILITY OF HIGH
WINDS IN ZONE 18 FROM SKAGWAY NORTH ALONG THE KLONDIKE HIGHWAY.
PRECIPITATION WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES, BEGINNING OVER YAKUTAT
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND SPREADING SOUTH OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
PANHANDLE BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. LOW LEVEL WARM AIR ADVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WARM SECTOR OF THE FRONT WILL KEEP SNOW LEVELS
SUFFICIENTLY HIGH FOR THIS TO BE PRIMARILY ANOTHER RAIN EVENT FOR
ALL LOCATIONS. EXCEPTIONS ARE THE HAINES AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAYS,
WHERE ANOTHER WINTER STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE NECESSARY FOR
FORECAST 5 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW. WARM AIR ADVECTION FROM THE SOUTH
WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT FRONT WHICH WILL
FROM THE WEST LATE ON FRIDAY.

TEMPERATURES ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALASKA CONTINUE TO RUN WELL ABOVE
NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR COURTESY OF A STRONG POSITIVE
PHASE OF THE PACIFIC NORTH AMERICAN TELE-CONNECTION. HIGHS ON
FRIDAY IN THE MID 40S AND POSSIBLY INTO THE 50S FOR THE SOUTHERN
ZONES. LOOK FOR A BRIEF COOL DOWN NEXT WEEKEND, BUT TEMPS WILL
STILL BE IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S.

LITTLE CHANGE NECESSARY TO EXISTING FORECAST. CONTINUED RECENT
TREND TO INCREASE DAYTIME HIGHS AND OVERNIGHT LOWS BY A FEW
DEGREES THROUGHOUT THE WEEK PER ENSEMBLE GFS. FORECAST CONFIDENCE
IS ABOVE AVERAGE.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND UNTIL NOON AKST TODAY FOR AKZ026-028.
         STRONG WIND UNTIL 6 PM AKST THIS EVENING FOR AKZ023-027.
         STRONG WIND THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR AKZ025.
         STRONG WIND FROM 3 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING
     FOR AKZ020-022.
         STRONG WIND FROM 3 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT
     FOR AKZ019.
         WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL NOON AKST TODAY FOR AKZ018-019.
         STRONG WIND FROM 6 PM AKST THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR
     AKZ018.
         STRONG WIND FROM 6 PM AKST THIS EVENING THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR
     AKZ017.
MARINE...STORM WARNING FOR PKZ012-022-036.
         GALE WARNING FOR PKZ011-013-021-031>035-041>043-051>053.

&&

FERRIN/FRITSCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
910 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0904 AM     FLASH FLOOD      COFFMAN COVE            56.01N 132.83W
01/14/2014                                      AK   CO-OP OBSERVER

            LANDSLIDE REPORTED ALONG MAIN ROAD BETWEEN COFFMAN COVE
            JUNCTION AND CONTROL LAKE JUNCTION. ESTIMATED 100 YARDS
            WIDE. ROAD IS IMPASSABLE.

&&

RWT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1026 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 AM     FLASH FLOOD      SITKA                   57.05N 135.34W
01/14/2014                                      AK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HEAVY RAIN, 7.1 INCHES IN PAST 24 HOURS. LANDSLIDES ALONG
            CASCADE CREEK ROAD. THERE IS FLOODING IN HOMES AND ONE
            HOME NEAR THE 2000 BLOCK HAS BEEN IMPACTED BY A
            LANDSLIDE.

&&

KAV