Red Flag Warning 24, NWS Fairbanks, AK

606 
WWAK63 PAFG 070326
RFWAFG

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
726 PM AKDT FRI JUN 6 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 226...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT SATURDAY
EVENING FOR LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 223 224 AND 225...

AKZ223-071700-
/O.UPG.PAFG.FW.A.0002.140607T2000Z-140608T0400Z/
/O.EXB.PAFG.FW.W.0024.000000T0000Z-140608T0600Z/
DELTANA AND TANANA FLATS-
726 PM AKDT FRI JUN 6 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT SATURDAY FOR
LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 223...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR LOW HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT 
SATURDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* HUMIDITY...NEAR 15 PERCENT. HUMIDITIES WILL RECOVER TO ABOVE
  30 PERCENT AFTER 10 PM THIS EVENING BUT FALL TO NEAR 15 PERCENT
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY EVENING.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS TO 15 MPH WITH LOCAL GUSTS TO 25 MPH.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR WILL
OCCUR WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE AND DANGEROUS
FIRES. IT IS DIRECTED TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM...
TO THE PUBLIC.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

AKZ224-071700-
/O.UPG.PAFG.FW.A.0002.140607T2000Z-140608T0400Z/
/O.EXB.PAFG.FW.W.0024.000000T0000Z-140608T0600Z/
UPPER TANANA VALLEY AND THE FORTYMILE COUNTRY-
726 PM AKDT FRI JUN 6 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT SATURDAY FOR
STRONG WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR LOW HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT 
SATURDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* HUMIDITY...NEAR 15 PERCENT. HUMIDITIES WILL RECOVER TO ABOVE
  30 PERCENT AFTER 10 PM THIS EVENING BUT FALL TO NEAR 15 PERCENT
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY EVENING.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR WILL
OCCUR WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE AND DANGEROUS
FIRES. IT IS DIRECTED TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM...
TO THE PUBLIC.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

AKZ225-071700-
/O.EXB.PAFG.FW.W.0024.000000T0000Z-140608T0600Z/
DENALI-
726 PM AKDT FRI JUN 6 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT SATURDAY FOR
LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 225...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR LOW HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT SATURDAY. 

* WIND...SOUTHWEST WINDS LOCALLY GUSTING TO 25 MPH IN PASSES
  THIS EVENING. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH SATURDAY AFTERNOON
  AND EVENING.

* HUMIDITY...LOCALLY AS LOW AS 15 PERCENT THIS EVENING.
  HUMIDITIES WILL RECOVER TO ABOVE 30 PERCENT LATE THIS EVENING
  BUT FALL TO NEAR 15 PERCENT SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR WILL
OCCUR WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE AND DANGEROUS
FIRES. IT IS DIRECTED TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM...
TO THE PUBLIC.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

AKZ226-070600-
/O.CON.PAFG.FW.W.0024.000000T0000Z-140607T0600Z/
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
726 PM AKDT FRI JUN 6 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 226...

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH IN PASSES.

* HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 15 PERCENT ON THIS EVENING. HUMIDITIES
  WILL RECOVER TO ABOVE 30 PERCENT LATE THIS EVENING BUT
  FALL TO NEAR 15 PERCENT SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR WILL
OCCUR WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE AND DANGEROUS
FIRES. IT IS DIRECTED TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM...
TO THE PUBLIC.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

AKZ220-071700-
/O.CON.PAFG.FW.A.0002.140607T2000Z-140608T0400Z/
YUKON FLATS AND SURROUNDING UPLANDS-
726 PM AKDT FRI JUN 6 2014

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE
220...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 220.

* HUMIDITY...NEAR 15 PERCENT SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT WEATHER CONDITIONS COULD LEAD TO
THE POTENTIAL FOR A RED FLAG EVENT IN THE NEAR FUTURE. THIS WATCH
WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL IT IS UPGRADED TO A RED FLAG WARNING
OR THAT IT IS DETERMINED THAT THE RED FLAG EVENT WILL NOT
DEVELOP.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

033 
WWAK63 PAFG 072218
RFWAFG

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
218 PM AKDT SAT JUN 7 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT TO 10 PM AKDT SAT EVENING STRONG
WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 223 AND 226...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 225...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT SATURDAY EVENING
FOR LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222 AND 224...

AKZ222-080530-
/O.EXA.PAFG.FW.W.0024.000000T0000Z-140608T0600Z/
MIDDLE TANANA VALLEY-
218 PM AKDT SAT JUN 7 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING FOR
LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 222...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING. 

* HUMIDITY...15 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. HUMIDITIES WILL RECOVER 
  TO ABOVE 30 PERCENT AFTER 10 PM THIS EVENING. 

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR WILL
OCCUR WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE AND DANGEROUS
FIRES. IT IS DIRECTED TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM...
TO THE PUBLIC.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

AKZ223-080530-
/O.CON.PAFG.FW.W.0024.000000T0000Z-140608T0600Z/
DELTANA AND TANANA FLATS-
218 PM AKDT SAT JUN 7 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 223...

* HUMIDITY...15 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. HUMIDITIES WILL RECOVER 
  TO ABOVE 30 PERCENT AFTER 10 PM THIS EVENING. 

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH AFTER NOON.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR WILL
OCCUR WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE AND DANGEROUS
FIRES. IT IS DIRECTED TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM...
TO THE PUBLIC.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

AKZ224-080530-
/O.CON.PAFG.FW.W.0024.000000T0000Z-140608T0600Z/
UPPER TANANA VALLEY AND THE FORTYMILE COUNTRY-
218 PM AKDT SAT JUN 7 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224...

* HUMIDITY...14 PERCENT AFTER NOON.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR WILL
OCCUR WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE AND DANGEROUS
FIRES. IT IS DIRECTED TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM...
TO THE PUBLIC.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

AKZ225-080530-
/O.CON.PAFG.FW.W.0024.000000T0000Z-140608T0600Z/
DENALI-
218 PM AKDT SAT JUN 7 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 225...

* WIND...SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...LOCALLY AS LOW AS 18 PERCENT THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR WILL
OCCUR WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE AND DANGEROUS
FIRES. IT IS DIRECTED TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM...
TO THE PUBLIC.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

AKZ226-080530-
/O.CON.PAFG.FW.W.0024.000000T0000Z-140608T0600Z/
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
218 PM AKDT SAT JUN 7 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 226...

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH IN PASSES.

* HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 14 PERCENT THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR WILL
OCCUR WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE AND DANGEROUS
FIRES. IT IS DIRECTED TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM...
TO THE PUBLIC.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
414 AM AKDT FRI JUN 6 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
ALOFT...
LOW NEAR BARROW MOVING SW TO THE YUKON DELTA BY SUN THEN
PERSISTING INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. A WEAK RIDGE OVER NW
CANADA WILL BUILD OVER NORTHERN AK SUN AND PERSIST THROUGH TUE.
THIS MEANS THE SHOWERY PATTERN WILL SHIFT WEST OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS AND THE EASTERN INTERIOR WILL WARM THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS AS THE RIDGE BUILD.

A SHORT WAVE TROUGH FROM FORT YUKON TO DENALI WILL MOVE TO ARCTIC
VILLAGE SOUTHEAST BY 4AM FRI. THIS IS CAUSING AN ENHANCED AREA OF
SHOWERS WITH RAIN AMOUNTS OF .10-.30.

A SECOND SHORT WAVE TROUGH OVER NW ALASKA WILL MOVE TO ANAKTUVUK
PASS TO ANVIK BY 4PM FRI AND THEN OVER NE AK TONIGHT. THIS WILL
CAUSE ANOTHER AREA OF ENHANCED SHOWERS WITH RAIN AMOUNTS OF
.10-.30. THIS MAY CAUSE 2 INCHES OF SNOW IN THE BROOKS RANGE
TONIGHT ABOVE 4000 FT.

A THIRD SHORT WAVE WILL SOUTH OVER THE WEST COAST OF AK TONIGHT
AND INTO THE WESTERN INTERIOR SAT. THIS WILL CAUSE FRONT AND AREAS
OF RAIN TO SPREAD WEST OVER THE WESTERN INTERIOR SAT.

A FOURTH SHORT WAVE MOVING FROM THE GULF OF AK TO THE SE INTERIOR
SUN WILL BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS TO THE SE INTERIOR SUN.

850 MB TEMPERATURES RISE TO +8C SE INTERIOR THIS AFTERNOON... TO
+10C SAT...AND TO +12C OVER THE NE INTERIOR SUN WHILE TEMPS FALL
BELOW 0C ALONG THE WEST COAST TONIGHT AND SAT.

SURFACE...
A 1014 MB LOW NEAR BARROW WILL DISSIPATE TODAY. A STATIONARY FRONT
FROM THE LOW TO INUVIK TO OLD CROW TO THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA WILL
REMAIN STATIONARY THROUGH TONIGHT THEN MOVE TO ARCTIC VILLAGE TO
ANAKTUVUK PASS TO ANVIK SAT PM AND PERSIST THERE INTO SUN. THIS
WILL HELP TO SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR SHOWERS..WITH RAIN LIKELY ALONG
THIS FEATURE THROUGH TONIGHT.

A THERMAL TROUGH FROM BETHEL TO FAIRBANKS TO EAGLE WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THIS EVENING AND THEN MOVE NORTH TO MCGRATH TO TANANA TO
ARCTIC VILLAGE SAT THEN PERSIST INTO SUN. EXPECT ISOLATED
AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE THERMAL TROUGH NORTH
TO THE FRONT THROUGH SUN.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS INITIALIZE A BIT TOO WEAK ON LOW ALOFT NEAR BARROW THOUGH
GFS DEEPENS IT A BIT QUICKER THAN THE OTHER MODELS SO PREFER THE
GFS SOLUTION. GFS MOVES THIS FEATURE SOUTH A BIT SLOWER THAN THE
NAM AND ECMF AND BUILDS THE RIDGE ALOFT OVER THE INTERIOR A BIT
MORE SLOWLY ON SUN AS A RESULT. THE ECMF IS FASTER THAN THE OTHER
MODELS BRINGING SHORT WAVE ENERGY INTO THE SE INTERIOR ON
SUN...AND THE GFS IS FAST THAN THE NAM DUE TO THE WEAKER RIDGE
ALOFT. PREFER THE GFS ON THIS FASTER SHORT WAVE MOVEMENT.

THE NAM PRECIPITATION MISSES CURRENT CONVECTION IN THE FAIRBANKS
AREA WHILE THE GFS AND ECMF SHOW IT PRETTY WELL.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN AREAS IDENTIFIED ABOVE.
RED FLAGS IN THE SE INTERIOR MAY NOT OCCUR TODAY DUE TO THE LACK
OF WINDS BUT MOST LIKELY AREAS WOULD BE IN AK RANGE PASSES.
WARMING AND DRYING MUCH OF EASTERN INTERIOR SAT AND SUN.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
HIGH WATER AND SIGNIFICANT BANK EROSION ON THE KOYUKUK RIVER WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY AT HUSLIA.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR AKZ224-AKZ226.

DENSE FOG ADVISORY FOR AKZ221-AKZ222.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ210.
&&

JB JUN 14