Gale Warning 95, NWS Fairbanks, AK

807 
FZAK51 PAFG 052210
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
110 PM AKST WED NOV 5 2014

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-061315-
110 PM AKST WED NOV 5 2014

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 1032 MB HIGH CENTER 350NM N OF KUPARUK WILL MOVE SE TO 200NM W
OF BANKS ISLAND BY THU AFTERNOON WITH THE RIDGE EXTENDING W. THE
HIGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SE AS THE RIDGE ROTATES TO THE NE. A
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS OVER THE ARCTIC PLAINS TONIGHT
AND PERSISTS OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

$$

PKZ225-061315-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
110 PM AKST WED NOV 5 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-061315-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
110 PM AKST WED NOV 5 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-061315-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
110 PM AKST WED NOV 5 2014

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-061315-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
110 PM AKST WED NOV 5 2014

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...E WINDS 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-061315-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
110 PM AKST WED NOV 5 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY
1 NM OR LESS.
.THU...E WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 35 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 35 KT.  

$$

SDB/JK NOV 14

999 
FZAK51 PAFG 061308
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
408 AM AKST THU NOV 6 2014

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-070415-
408 AM AKST THU NOV 6 2014

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 1032 MB SFC HIGH 350NM N OF KUPARUK WILL MOVE SE TO THE
NORTHWEST TERRITORIES TONIGHT. THE HIGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SE
WHILE EXTENDING N AND ROTATING TO THE NE IN THE BEAUFORT SEA. A
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS OVER THE ARCTIC PLAINS TODAY AND
WILL PERSIST OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

$$

PKZ225-070415-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
408 AM AKST THU NOV 6 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...S WINDS 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-070415-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
408 AM AKST THU NOV 6 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 35 KT DECREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-070415-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
408 AM AKST THU NOV 6 2014

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT.
.FRI...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-070415-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
408 AM AKST THU NOV 6 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E WINDS 35 KT DECREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
BLOWING SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-070415-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
408 AM AKST THU NOV 6 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
.FRI...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

ET/EWP NOV 14

949 
FZAK51 PAFG 062315
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
215 PM AKST THU NOV 6 2014

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-071415-
215 PM AKST THU NOV 6 2014

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 1030 MB HIGH CENTER 300NM NE OF BARTER ISLAND WILL MOVE S INTO
CANADA TONIGHT WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING NW INTO THE HIGH ARCTIC.
SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE AREA AS THE RIDGE AXIS
CONTINUES TO SWING NE AND A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE PERSISTS
OVER THE ARCTIC COAST.

$$

PKZ225-071415-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
215 PM AKST THU NOV 6 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-071415-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
215 PM AKST THU NOV 6 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-071415-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
215 PM AKST THU NOV 6 2014

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-071415-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
215 PM AKST THU NOV 6 2014

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-071415-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
215 PM AKST THU NOV 6 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

SDB/LTH NOV 14

779 
FZAK51 PAFG 071233
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
333 AM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-080345-
333 AM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 1033 MB HIGH CENTER EAST OF THE MACKENZIE RIVER DELTA WITH A
RIDGE EXTENDING NW INTO THE HIGH ARCTIC WILL GRADUALLY MOVE EAST
THROUGH SAT. A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE
ARCTIC COAST THROUGH SUN. FORMER TYPHOON NURI WILL MOVE INTO THE
WESTERN BERING SEA BY TONIGHT...AND THE CENTRAL BERING SEA SUN.
THIS SYSTEM WILL INCREASE SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS IN THE CHUKCHI SEA
SAT AND SUN.

$$

PKZ225-080345-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
333 AM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-080345-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
333 AM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-080345-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
333 AM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

.TODAY...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-080345-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
333 AM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

.TODAY...SE WINDS 20 KT DECREASING TO 10 KT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-080345-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
333 AM AKST FRI NOV 7 2014

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

EWP/ET NOV 14

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1136 AM AKST TUE NOV 4 2014

.DISCUSSION...

MODELS...PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT UNTIL WE GET TO THE WEEKEND AND
THEN THE ISSUE IS MORE ABOUT LOCATION OF THE MAJOR FEATURES. RUNS
ALL INITIALIZED WELL AGAINST 18Z SURFACE ANALYSIS. STILL A LOT OF
SPREAD IN THE SOLUTIONS AS WE GET OUT TO THE MID RANGE AND
EXTENDED PERIODS. WILL USE A MODEL BLEND TO MAKE SUBTLE CHANGES
TO THE CURRENT GRIDDED DATABASE.

ALOFT...AT 500 HPA...BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW OVER MAINLAND ALASKA
WITH FAIRLY SHARP RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA...AND ZONAL
FLOW OVER THE ARCTIC WILL GRADUALLY BREAK DOWN OVER NEXT 36 TO 48
HOURS. 523 DAM CLOSED LOW OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL WEAKEN
SLIGHTLY AND SHIFT TO SOUTH OF SAND POINT BY THURSDAY MORNING
BEFORE CYCLING BACK OVER KODIAK ISLAND BY FRIDAY MORNING AND THEN
DISSIPATING. THE RIDGE OVER THE BERING SEA WILL CONTINUE TO
SLIDE EAST WITH A 540 DAM HIGH CENTER DEVELOPING OVER THE BERING
STRAIT TUESDAY THEN BEING PINCHED OFF FROM THE MAIN RIDGE AND
MOVING OVER BARROW BY THURSDAY MORNING...AND CONTINUING EAST TO
THE EASTERN BEAUFORT SEA BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A TROUGH EXTENDING
SOUTH FROM A LOW IN THE HIGH ARCTIC MOVED OVER THE NORTHWEST
ARCTIC THIS MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE MOVING EAST INTO CANADA
TONIGHT. A 501 DAM LOW OVER KAMCHATKA WILL RECURVE BACK TO THE
NORTHWEST TONIGHT. TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE LOW EXTENDS OVER ATTU
THIS MORNING AND WILL EXTEND ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST BERING SEA TO A
520 DAM LOW OVER ATKA BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. AT 850 HPA...RIDGING
OVER THE ARCTIC WILL DRAG SOME COLD AIR SOUTH OVER THE EASTERN
ARCTIC COAST AND EASTERN INTERIOR WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING FROM
AROUND 8 CELSIUS BELOW TO NEAR 20 CELSIUS BELOW BY THURSDAY
EVENING.

SURFACE...LIGHT...MAINLY EASTERLY FLOW...CONTINUES OVER THE STATE
AS THE SEMI PERMANENT GULF OF ALASKA LOW HANGS AROUND. PATTERN
WILL CHANGE AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND WITH THE LOW WEAKENING AND
MOVING WEST TONIGHT THEN DISSIPATING WEDNESDAY. 1009MB LOW OVER
THE EASTERN ARCTIC COAST WILL MOVE TO BANKS ISLAND TONIGHT.
RIDGING OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA WILL GRADUALLY BREAK DOWN AS
1018 MB HIGH CENTER OVER THE CHUKOTSK PENINSULA IS ABSORBED BY A
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL ARCTIC WATERS. THE RIDGE
OVER THE ARCTIC WILL BUILD WITH A 1028 CENTER NEAR 77N 155W BY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE RIDGE CONTINUES TO BUILD TO 1033MB AS IT
MOVES TO THE EASTERN BEAUFORT SEA BY THURSDAY MORNING. A 990 MB
LOW IN THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC TUESDAY AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO SITKA
BY EARLY THURSDAY THEN RAPIDLY FALL APART AS IT CONTINUES NORTH
AND DISSIPATES BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A 985 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP
200NM SOUTH OF UNALASKA BY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND MOVE TO 100NM
SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE REMNANTS OF SUPER
TYPHOON NURI WILL MOVE TO ATTU BY FRIDAY MORNING THEN INTO THE
CENTRAL BERING SEA BY SATURDAY MORNING BEFORE RECURVING TO THE
NORTHWEST AS IT WEAKENS.

ARCTIC COAST AND BROOKS RANGE...LOTS OF STRATUS ON THE COAST AND
IN THE PLAINS THAT CAN BE SEEN ON THE NPP VIIRS FOG PRODUCT AT
04/1616Z. LOW MOVES EAST...RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE CENTRAL ARCTIC
OCEAN THEN MOVES SLOWLY EAST. ONSHORE FLOW WILL TURN OFFSHORE AS
THE RIDGE MOVES EAST...SO NORTHWEST COAST SHOULD SEE A LITTLE
CLEARING BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS TROUGHING DEVELOPS OVER THE
ARCTIC PLAIN. OFFSHORE FLOW OVER ALL OF THE ARCTIC BY THURSDAY
AFTERNOON THAT WILL PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND. MOSTLY CLEAR
CONDITIONS IN THE BROOKS RANGE.

WEST COAST AND WESTERN INTERIOR...STRATUS OVER KOTZEBUE
SOUND...THE SEWARD PENINSULA AND THE LOWER YUKON DELTA CAN BE
SEEN ON THE NPP VIIRS FOG PRODUCT AT 04/1616Z. NOT SURE WHAT IS
GOING TO HAPPEN WITH THE STRATUS...SO WITH NO METEOROLOGICAL REASON
FOR IT TO DISSIPATE OR GET PUSHED OUT OF THE AREA WILL GO WITH
PERSISTENCE THROUGH TONIGHT. INLAND MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS WILL
PERSIST. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF ST LAWRENCE
ISLAND WHICH IS WEST OF THE RIDGE AND WILL HAVE SOUTH WINDS IN THE
15 TO 25 MPH RANGE. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN PRETTY FLAT WITH SOME
WARM AIR ADVECTION TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK.

CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF STRATUS THAT
IS PUSHED UP ON THE THE NORTH SLOPES OF THE ALASKA RANGE AND WHITE
MOUNTAINS THAT SHOWS UP IN THE NPP VIIRS PRODUCTS CONDITIONS
SHOULD REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR. LIGHT WINDS WILL PREVAIL. TEMPERATURES
WILL BOTTOM OUT UNDER THE MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS SO EXPECT LOWS
IN THE 5 TO 20 BELOW RANGE FOR MOST OF THE AREA.

&&

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...A LOT OF SPREAD IN
SOLUTIONS ON THE HANDLING OF THE REMNANTS OF SUPER TYPHOON NURI
AS WE GET INTO THE WEEKEND...BUT IT IS LOOKING MORE AND MORE LIKE
THE BIGGEST IMPACT WILL BE OFFSHORE AREAS...MEANING ALMOST NO
IMPACT ON OUR FORECAST AREA.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ225-PKZ230.

&&

SDB NOV 14