Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2014

Gale Warning 38, NWS Fairbanks, AK

May 4, 2014

NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this gale warning at May 4, 2014, 3:51 AM AKDT. It was in force for 33 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 4, 2014, 3:51 AM AKDT (11:51 UTC)
Expired
May 5, 2014, 1:04 PM AKDT
In force
33 hr
Issued by
NWS Fairbanks, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

600 
FZAK51 PAFG 041151
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
351 AM AKDT SUN MAY 4 2014

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-050330-
351 AM AKDT SUN MAY 4 2014

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 1003 MB LOW 180 MILES NORTH OF CAPE LISBURNE WILL MOVE TO 400
MILES NORTH OF BARROW THROUGH 4 PM MON. AN ASSOCIATED STRONG COLD
FRONT FROM THE LOW SOUTH TO POINT LAY WILL MOVE EAST TO PRUDHOE
BAY TO THE CENTRAL BROOKS RANGE 10 PM SUN AND TO BARTER ISLAND AT
4AM MON AND THEN WEAKEN IN PLACE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER
THE INLAND COASTAL PLAIN MON NIGHT AND TUE.

$$

PKZ225-050330-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
351 AM AKDT SUN MAY 4 2014

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...W WINDS 30 KT. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT.  
.MON...SW WINDS 20 KT.  
.MON NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT.  
.TUE...W WINDS 15 KT.  
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT.  
.WED...SE WINDS 15 KT.  
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-050330-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
351 AM AKDT SUN MAY 4 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...SW WINDS INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 35 KT. SNOW. 
.MON...SW WINDS 30 KT. SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT.  
.TUE...SW WINDS 15 KT.  
.TUE NIGHT...SW WINDS 10 KT.  
.WED...SW WINDS 10 KT.  
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-050330-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
351 AM AKDT SUN MAY 4 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 35 KT.  
.MON...SW WINDS 35 KT.  
.MON NIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT.  
.TUE...SW WINDS 20 KT.  
.TUE NIGHT...SW WINDS 10 KT.  
.WED...SW WINDS 10 KT.  
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-050330-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
351 AM AKDT SUN MAY 4 2014

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...S WINDS 10 KT BECOMING W.  
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT.  
.MON...SW WINDS 30 KT.  
.MON NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT.  
.TUE...S WINDS 20 KT.  
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT.  
.WED...W WINDS 10 KT.  
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-050330-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
351 AM AKDT SUN MAY 4 2014

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING W.  
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT.  
.MON...W WINDS 20 KT.  
.MON NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT.  
.TUE...SE WINDS 15 KT.  
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 5 KT.  
.WED...SW WINDS 10 KT.  
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

CCC/JL MAY 14
4 follow-up statements
140 
FZAK51 PAFG 042102
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
102 PM AKDT SUN MAY 4 2014

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-051400-
102 PM AKDT SUN MAY 4 2014

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 1003MB LOW 200NM NW OF BARROW WILL MOVE TO 450NM NW OF BARROW
LATE THIS EVENING...THEN DRIFT NE INTO THE HIGH ARCTIC BY EARLY
TUE MORNING. A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND
THE LOW OVER THE ARCTIC PLAIN...THEN DRIFT OVER THE COAST.

$$

PKZ225-051400-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
102 PM AKDT SUN MAY 4 2014

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.MON...SW WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.MON NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 5 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-051400-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
102 PM AKDT SUN MAY 4 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
.MON...SW WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED...SW WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-051400-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
102 PM AKDT SUN MAY 4 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS INCREASING TO 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM
OR LESS.
.MON...SW WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...SW WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...W WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-051400-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
102 PM AKDT SUN MAY 4 2014

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS INCREASING TO 25 KT. 
.MON...SW WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...W WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-051400-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
102 PM AKDT SUN MAY 4 2014

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS INCREASING TO 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.MON...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

SDB/JK MAY 14
529 
FZAK51 PAFG 050149 AAA
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
549 PM AKDT SUN MAY 4 2014

UPDATED ZONE 245

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-051500-
549 PM AKDT SUN MAY 4 2014

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 1003MB LOW 200NM NW OF BARROW WILL MOVE TO 450NM NW OF BARROW
LATE THIS EVENING...THEN DRIFT NE INTO THE HIGH ARCTIC BY EARLY
TUE MORNING. A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND
THE LOW OVER THE ARCTIC PLAIN...THEN DRIFT OVER THE COAST.

$$

PKZ225-051500-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
549 PM AKDT SUN MAY 4 2014

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.  
.MON...SW WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.  
.MON NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT.  
.TUE...S WINDS 5 KT.  
.TUE NIGHT...NW WINDS 5 KT.  
.WED...SE WINDS 5 KT.  
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT.  
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT.  
.FRI...NW WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-051500-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
549 PM AKDT SUN MAY 4 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
.MON...SW WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.  
.MON NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT.  
.TUE...S WINDS 10 KT.  
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 5 KT.  
.WED...SW WINDS 5 KT.  
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT.  
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-051500-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
549 PM AKDT SUN MAY 4 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS INCREASING TO 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM
OR LESS. 
.MON...SW WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.  
.MON NIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT.  
.TUE...SW WINDS 20 KT.  
.TUE NIGHT...SW WINDS 10 KT.  
.WED...W WINDS 5 KT.  
.WED NIGHT...SW WINDS 10 KT.  
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT.  
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-051500-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
549 PM AKDT SUN MAY 4 2014

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS INCREASING TO 25 KT.  
.MON...SW WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.  
.MON NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT.  
.TUE...S WINDS 15 KT.  
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT.  
.WED...W WINDS 5 KT.  
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT.  
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.FRI...SW WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-051500-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
549 PM AKDT SUN MAY 4 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY AROUND MIDNIGHT.
BLOWING SNOW.
.MON...W WINDS 20 KT.  
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT.  
.TUE...E WINDS 10 KT.  
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT.  
.WED...NE WINDS 10 KT.  
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT.  
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.FRI...NW WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

SDB/JK/CF MAY 14
616 
FZAK51 PAFG 051153
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
353 AM AKDT MON MAY 5 2014

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-060300-
353 AM AKDT MON MAY 5 2014

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 992MB LOW 250NM NW OF BARROW WILL DRIFT NE INTO THE HIGH ARCTIC
BY EARLY TUE MORNING. A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN
BEHIND THE LOW OVER THE ARCTIC PLAIN...THEN DRIFT OVER THE COAST.

$$

PKZ225-060300-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
353 AM AKDT MON MAY 5 2014

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...S WINDS 25 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1
NM OR LESS.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 5 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-060300-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
353 AM AKDT MON MAY 5 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 35 KT DECREASING TO 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED...SW WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-060300-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
353 AM AKDT MON MAY 5 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...SW WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...W WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 5 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-060300-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
353 AM AKDT MON MAY 5 2014

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...W WINDS 5 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 5 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-060300-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
353 AM AKDT MON MAY 5 2014

.TODAY...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 5 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

CCC/DA MAY 14
976 
FZAK51 PAFG 052104
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
104 PM AKDT MON MAY 5 2014

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-061230-
104 PM AKDT MON MAY 5 2014

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 985 MB LOW 300 MILES NORTH OF BARROW WILL MOVE TO 800
MILES NORTH OF BARROW BY 4 AM WED WEAKENING TO 988 MB.

$$

PKZ225-061230-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
104 PM AKDT MON MAY 5 2014

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WINDS 5 KT.
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-061230-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
104 PM AKDT MON MAY 5 2014

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH 6 PM AKDT THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY EARLY EVENING.
BLOWING SNOW DIMINISHING.
.TUE...SW WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT..VARIABLE WINDS 5 KT.
.WED...VARIABLE WINDS 5 KT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 5 KT.
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-061230-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
104 PM AKDT MON MAY 5 2014

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING.

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 5 KT.
.WED...VARIABLE WINDS 5 KT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 5 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-061230-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
104 PM AKDT MON MAY 5 2014

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING...

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT.
.TUE...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WINDS 5 KT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 5 KT.
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-061230-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
104 PM AKDT MON MAY 5 2014

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

RF/RM/JK MAY 14

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at May 4, 2:56 AM AKDT, 55 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 4, 2:56 AM AKDT, 55 minutes before
NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
256 AM AKDT SUN MAY 4 2014

.DISCUSSION...
ALOFT...STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER EASTERN ALASKA CONTINUES TO
RECEDE SOUTH AND EAST INTO THE NORTHERN GULF AND OVER THE
SOUTHEAST PANHANDLE AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW DIGS SOUTH AND
EAST OUT OF THE CHUKCHI SEA AND ONTO THE WESTERN NORTH SLOPE. THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW CURRENTLY NEAR POINT HOPE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AND
WILL BE LOCATED 100 NM NORTHWEST OF PAWI SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND 200
NM NORTH OF PABR MONDAY MORNING. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE TO THE NORTH AND WILL BE LOCATED 350 NM NORTH EAST OF PABR
MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE UPPER LEVEL HIGH BUILDS NORTHWEST INTO THE
SOUTHEAST INTERIOR TUESDAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW RETREATS TO THE
NORTH.

ON THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO SWEEP INLAND ACROSS THE
WEST COAST THIS MORNING AND WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN INTERIOR
THIS AFTERNOON. THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL
INTERIOR TONIGHT.

WEST COAST AND WESTERN INTERIOR...RAIN TRANSITIONED QUICKLY TO
SNOW SHOWERS POST FRONTAL WHERE GENERALLY LESS THAN 1 INCH OF SNOW
IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE WEST COAST AND WESTERN INTERIOR WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF THE WESTERN BROOKS RANGE WHERE 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW
IS EXPECTED.

ON THE NORTH SLOPE...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES FOR SNOW AND
BLOWING SNOW WILL BE HOISTED FOR ZONES 201 AND 202 AS A 1004 MB
LOW 200 NM NORTH OF POINT HOPE DEEPENS TO 997 MB THIS AFTERNOON AS
THE LOW MOVES NORTH EAST TO BE LOCATED 100 NM NORTHWEST OF PAWI
THIS EVENING. EXPECT WINDS WEST WINDS IN THE 20 TO 35 MPH RANGE
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH TO CAUSE POOR VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING
SNOW. LOCAL SNOW PACK IS GLAZED WHICH WILL LIMIT SNOW PACK LOFTING
BUT FALLING SNOW COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY CREATE
NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON IN ZONE 201 AND
THIS EVENING IN ZONE 202. PRECIP WILL BE LIMITED TO LOCATIONS WEST
OF PABR. DENSE FOG ALONG THE EASTERN NORTH SLOPE COAST WILL
DISSIPATE BY LATE MORNING AS GRADIENT INCREASES ALONG THE
NORTH SLOPE.

CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR...THE THERMAL TROUGH WILL WEAKEN
TODAY AS MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS STREAM IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST
AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT MOVING IN FROM THE WESTERN INTERIOR THIS
AFTERNOON. MIN RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED DROP TO AROUND 30 PERCENT
TO THE WEST OF FAIRBANKS AS CLOUDS LIMIT HEATING TO THE MID 60S
AND MOISTURE INCREASES AHEAD OF THE FRONT. MIN RH VALUES WILL
AGAIN DROP INTO THE 20S PERCENT TO THE EAST OF FAIRBANKS AS UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE HOLDS ON THROUGH THE DAY. WINDS ALONG THE THERMAL
TROUGH ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA.

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE SHORT TERM WITH THE GFS
AGAIN DEPICTING BULLISH AMOUNTS OF PRECIP OVER THE CENTRAL
INTERIOR WITH COLD FRONT. PREFERRED A NAM AND ECMWF SOLUTION WITH
MINIMAL PRECIP ACROSS THE CENTRAL INTERIOR AND SLOWER TIMING OF
COLD FRONT OVER THE GFS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
THE THERMAL LOW PRESSURE TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL INTERIOR WILL
WEAKEN TODAY AND RETREAT TO THE SOUTH TO BE NEAR THE NORTH SLOPES
OF THE ALASKA RANGE AS COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL INTERIOR
THIS EVENING. MIN RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO NEAR 30
PERCENT TO THE WEST OF FAIRBANKS TODAY WITH HIGHER VALUES IN THE
WESTERN INTERIOR. MIN RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE 20S
PERCENT TO THE EAST OF FAIRBANKS THIS AFTERNOON...HOWEVER WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
SLOW RISES ON INTERIOR RIVERS WILL CONTINUE TODAY WITH FREEZING
LEVELS AGAIN NEAR 10K FT...HOWEVER AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES INTO
THE CENTRAL INTERIOR FROM THE WESTERN INTERIOR FREEZING LEVELS
WILL DROP AND MELT OFF AT ELEVATION WILL SLOW CONSIDERABLY
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. ICE CONTINUES TO BE MELTING IN
PLACE WITH ONLY MINOR ICE JAMS AND RURAL LOWLAND FLOODING NOTED
ALONG INTERIOR RIVERS.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ225-PKZ230-PKZ235-PKZ240.
&&

CCC MAY 14

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 4, 3:51 AM AKDTBrisk Wind AdvisoryAFG24 hr
May 4, 4:33 AM AKDTWinter Weather AdvisoryAFG35 hr
May 4, 1:02 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFG24 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2014Every gale warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.