Gale Warning 20, NWS Fairbanks, AK

149 
FZAK51 PAFG 111340 CCA
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
440 AM AKST TUE FEB 11 2014

CORRECTED PKZ 245

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-120030-
440 AM AKST TUE FEB 11 2014

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A COLD FRONT NEAR BARTER ISLAND THIS MORNING WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST
TODAY. A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE
INLAND NORTH SLOPE WED THEN DISSIPATE THU.

$$

PKZ225-120030-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
440 AM AKST TUE FEB 11 2014

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...NW WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED...NW WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-120030-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
440 AM AKST TUE FEB 11 2014

.TODAY...NW WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-120030-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
440 AM AKST TUE FEB 11 2014

.TODAY...NW WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-120030-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
440 AM AKST TUE FEB 11 2014

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...W WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-120030-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
440 AM AKST TUE FEB 11 2014

CORRECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...W WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. VSBY LESS THAN 1 NM.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. VSBY LESS THAN 1 NM.
.WED...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

LTH/JB FEB 14

591 
FZAK51 PAFG 112351
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
251 PM AKST TUE FEB 11 2014

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-121500-
251 PM AKST TUE FEB 11 2014

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A COLD FRONT WEST OF BARTER ISLAND TO NEAR RUBY THIS MORNING WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST TONIGHT. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD EAST FROM RUSSIA AND OVER THE WEST COAST THOUGH EARLY THU
MORNING.

$$

PKZ225-121500-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
251 PM AKST TUE FEB 11 2014

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED...NW WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-121500-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
251 PM AKST TUE FEB 11 2014

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-121500-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
251 PM AKST TUE FEB 11 2014

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-121500-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
251 PM AKST TUE FEB 11 2014

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT DECREASING TO 15 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.WED...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-121500-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
251 PM AKST TUE FEB 11 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 35 KT BECOMING W 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.WED...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

CF/CCC FEB 14

519 
FZAK51 PAFG 121257
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
357 AM AKST WED FEB 12 2014

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-130030-
357 AM AKST WED FEB 12 2014

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH FROM BARROW TO THE BERING STRAIT WILL MOVE
TO BARROW TO THE YUKON DELTA BY 3PM THU AND THEN DISSIPATE OVER
THE WEST COAST OF ALASKA. A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER
EASTERN RUSSIA WILL PERSIST. HIGH PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE
BEAUFORT SEA WED PM AND PERSIST INTO THU.

$$

PKZ225-130030-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
357 AM AKST WED FEB 12 2014

.TODAY...NW WINDS 20 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-130030-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
357 AM AKST WED FEB 12 2014

.TODAY...N WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-130030-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
357 AM AKST WED FEB 12 2014

.TODAY...N WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.THU...E WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-130030-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
357 AM AKST WED FEB 12 2014

.TODAY...W WINDS 10 KT BECOMING E. FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-130030-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
357 AM AKST WED FEB 12 2014

.TODAY...NW WINDS 10 KT. FOG...SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.FRI...E WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

FEB 14

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
235 PM AKST MON FEB 10 2014

.DISCUSSION...
ALOFT...STRONG RIDGE COVERING THE NORTH BERING SEA AND NORTHERN
ALASKA WILL RETROGRADE AS A DEEP LOW OVER THE HIGH ARCTIC MOVES
SOUTH TO THE NORTHERN ALASKA PENINSULA THU AM. THIS LOW WILL BRING
ANOTHER DOSE OF SOMEWHAT COLDER AIR SOUTH OVER THE FORECAST AREA.
WHILE SOUTHERLY FLOW DEVELOPS ON THU OVER THE ALASKA RANGE DUE TO
THE POSITION OF THE LOW...THERE WILL BE LITTLE CHANGE TO THE
AIRMASS OVER THE SOUTHERN INTERIOR AS THE FLOW WILL BE EMBEDDED
AROUND THE COLD LOW ALOFT.

SURFACE...WEAK COLD FRONT FROM BARROW TO CAPE LISBURNE WILL MOVE
TO BARTER ISLAND TO KOTZEBUE TO THE BERING STRAIT MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
THEN TO FORT YUKON TO MCGRATH AND SOUTHWARD AT 9AM TUE. THE
OCCLUSION WILL THEN DRIFT EAST TO FORT YUKON TO DENALI PARK WED AM
AND DISSIPATE. SNOW WILL SPREAD EAST AND SOUTH ACROSS THE NORTH
SLOPE WITH UP TO AN INCH ACCUMULATION ON THE COAST AND COASTAL
PLAIN BUT UP TO 3 INCHES OVER THE MOUNTAINS. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
SWITCH TO NORTHWEST TO 25 MPH AND PRODUCE BLOWING SNOW WITH AND
BEHIND THE FRONT. A PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED WITH THE
FRONT OVER THE WEST COAST NORTH OF THE BERING STRAIT TONIGHT WITH
WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST TO 25 MPH AND AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. AS
THE FRONT PROGRESSES SOUTHEAST INTO THE INTERIOR SNOWFALL WILL BE
SPOTTY AND BE MOST LIKELY WEST OF FAIRBANKS AND FORT YUKON AS THE
FRONT HANGS UP JUST TO THE WEST BEFORE DISSIPATING.

A STRONGER COLD FRONT...ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW...WILL MOVE
FROM THE THE HIGH ARCTIC SOUTH TO BARROW AROUND 6AM TUE AND THEN
TO BARTER ISLAND TO KIVALINA 3PM TUE...TO BARTER ISLAND TO BETTLES
TO UNALAKLEET 3AM WED...AND FROM INUVIK CANADA TO TALKEETNA 3PM
WED. ANOTHER ROUND OF SNOW WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE NORTH SLOPE WITH
THIS FEATURE...PROBABLY A BIT LESS THAN THE PREVIOUS ONE. AND SOME
SPOTTY SNOW WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE BROOKS RANGE MAINLY DEVELOPING
BETWEEN AMBLER AND FORT YUKON...SOUTH TO GALENA TO NEAR
FAIRBANKS. OF PARTICULAR NOTE WILL BE COLDER TEMPERATURES AS 850
MB READINGS DROP ABOUT 5 DEGREES FROM THE CURRENT VALUES.
COMPLICATING THE LOW TEMPERATURE FORECAST WILL BE THE CLOUDS
BROUGHT IN BY THE FRONT AND KEPT SWIRLING AROUND AT LEAST THE
INTERIOR AS THE UPPER LOW TREKS SOUTH...NONETHELESS TEMPERATURES
WILL STILL COOL DESPITE THE CLOUDS.

GUSTY WINDS ALONG WITH BLOWING SNOW ARE EXPECTED IN BROOKS RANGE
PASSES AND THIS IS ONE AREA TO MONITOR IN THE EVENT CONDITIONS
MOVE INTO ADVISORY LEVELS.

MODELS...AGREE PRETTY WELL IN THE SHORT TERM WITH THE MAIN
FEATURES...THOUGH THE NAM DOES NOT BRING ENOUGH COLD AIR SOUTH
WITH THE UPPER LOW...OR AT LEAST AS WIDE OF AN AREA OF COLDER
TEMPERATURES. THIS IS EXPECTED BY THE NAM WHEN THERE IS NORTH
FLOW OVER THE AREA. IN THE MEDIUM TERM THE ECMWF INDICATES MORE
SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW SETTING UP OVER NORTHERN ALASKA WHILE THE GFS
RETAINS A WEAK FLOW AND COLDER TEMPERATURES OVER THE AREA.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ240-
PKZ245.
&&

JL FEB 14