Brisk Wind Advisory 49, NWS Fairbanks, AK

480 
FZAK51 PAFG 282319
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
219 PM AKST TUE JAN 28 2014

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-291430-
219 PM AKST TUE JAN 28 2014

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NORTH SLOPE THIS
EVENING WITH A 1013MB LOW DEVELOPING 50NM N OF DEADHORSE BY WED
MORNING. THE LOW WILL MOVE E TO MACKENZIE BAY BY WED NIGHT THEN
CONTINUE E AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER MAINLAND ALASKA BUILDS N OVER
THE COAST. A WEATHER FRONT IN THE BERING SEA WILL MOVE TO NW
ALASKA BY THU MORNING.

$$

PKZ225-291430-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
219 PM AKST TUE JAN 28 2014

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.WED...SE WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.THU...S WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-291430-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
219 PM AKST TUE JAN 28 2014

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.WED...SE WINDS 5 KT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.THU...S WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-291430-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
219 PM AKST TUE JAN 28 2014

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.WED...E WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...SW WINDS 5 KT. FOG.
.THU...SW WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-291430-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
219 PM AKST TUE JAN 28 2014

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.WED...SE WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.THU...W WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 5 KT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-291430-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
219 PM AKST TUE JAN 28 2014

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED...SE WINDS 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.THU...W WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 5 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

SDB/EWP JAN 14

162 
FZAK51 PAFG 291252
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
352 AM AKST WED JAN 29 2014

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-300400-
352 AM AKST WED JAN 29 2014

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A WEAK LOW PRESSURE TROUGH OVER THE ARCTIC SLOPE WILL MOVE NORTH
OF THE ARCTIC COAST BY WED AFTERNOON.


$$

PKZ225-300400-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
352 AM AKST WED JAN 29 2014

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-300400-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
352 AM AKST WED JAN 29 2014

.TODAY...SE WINDS 5 KT. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT.
.THU...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-300400-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
352 AM AKST WED JAN 29 2014

.TODAY...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-300400-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
352 AM AKST WED JAN 29 2014

.TODAY...SE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING SW.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-300400-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
352 AM AKST WED JAN 29 2014

.TODAY...SE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING W.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

RF/DJH JAN 14

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
323 AM AKST TUE JAN 28 2014

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG UPPER RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE WITH THE AXIS FROM
THE WESTERN BEAUFORT SEA EASTWARD ACROSS THE ARCTIC SLOPE
THEN SOUTHEASTWARD INTO CANADA. CURRENT MODELS LOWERING
RIDGE HEIGHTS 5-8 DAM THROUGH THU WITH THE RIDGE AXIS
BECOMING REORIENTED ALONG THE ALCAN BORDER NORTHWESTWARD
INTO THE HIGH ARCTIC. 850 MB TEMPERATURES WILL COOL SOME
BUT REMAIN NEAR FREEZING BY THU...STILL MUCH ABOVE NORMAL.

SHORT WAVE TROUGH ACROSS BRISTOL BAY AND THE ALASKA PENINSULA
WILL DAMPEN OUT CONSIDERABLY BY THE TIME IT MOVES TO NORTON SOUND
WED MORNING. LITTLE IF ANY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WITH THIS
WEAKENING FEATURE.

A STRONGER SHORT WAVE AND AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE FRONT
WILL MOVE NORTHWARD ACROSS THE BERING SEA WED INTO WED
NIGHT...AND ACROSS THE CHUKCHI SEA AND ALASKA NORTHWEST COAST
THU...GRADUALLY DAMPENING. A PERIOD OF PRECIPITATION ALONG THE
WEST COAST AND NORTHWEST ALASKA WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
FEATURE. THIS SHORT WAVE WILL BRING A BRIEF SHOT OF SOMEWHAT COLDER
AIR...BUT TEMPERATURES ALOFT ARE EXPECTED TO REBOUND SOME AFTER
THE SHORT WAVE PASSAGE. PRECIPITATION WITH THIS FEATURE WILL MOST
LIKELY BE SNOW...WITH 1000-850 MB TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES BELOW
FREEZING.

FOG WILL CONTINUE IN VALLEY AREAS OF ZONE 224 SOUTH OF THE
YUKON RIVER. FOG MAY BE DENSE IN SOME AREAS.

WINDS ON THE BERING STRAIT COAST HAVE SUDDENLY SPIKED UP...
MOST LIKELY DUE TO AN OLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE AREA.
STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED TO LAST ONLY THROUGH MID DAY...
THEN DECREASING TO BRISK WIND SPEEDS.

REBUILDING OF THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL ALASKA MAINLAND IS
EXPECTED BE LATE IN THE WEEK. THE WEEKEND OUTLOOK BECOMES SOMEWHAT
MORE UNCERTAIN...ECMWF/CANADA MODELS PUNCHING A WEAK SHORT WAVE
INTO THE WESTERN INTERIOR SAT WITH NARROW BUT HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE
BUILDING OVER THE WEST COAST AND BERING. GFS SOLUTION SPLITS OFF
A BLOCKING HIGH OVER THE ARCTIC SLOPE AND BROOKS RANGE WHICH THEN
MIGRATES NORTHWARD INTO THE BEAUFORT SEA BY SUN NIGHT. RMOPS 500
MB PROG INDICATES MEAN RIDGE POSITION PERSISTING OVER THE AK
MAINLAND OUT THROUGH DAY 10...THEN MIGRATING WESTWARD INTO THE
BERING SEA WITH NORTH TO NORTHEAST FLOW SETTING UP OVER THE
EASTERN TWO THIRDS OF THE CWA. THIS WOULD LIKELY BRING IN COLDER
AIR FROM THE HIGH CANADIAN ARCTIC WITH TEMPERATURES COOLING TO
SOMEWHERE NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
DENSE FOG ADVISORY FOR AKZ224.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ210.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ230-PKZ240-PKZ245.
&&

RF JAN 14