Storm Warning 164, NWS Anchorage, AK

858 
FZAK51 PAFC 161251
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
351 AM AKST TUE DEC 16 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-170100-
351 AM AKST TUE DEC 16 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 977 MB LOW 190 NM SOUTH OF CORDOVA WILL MOVE TOWARD THE KENAI
PENINSULA AND DISSIPATE THIS AFTERNOON. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE
INTO 
THE SOUTHERN GULF OF ALASKA WED AFTERNOON AND SPREAD INTO THE
NORTHERN
GULF THU MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-170100-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
351 AM AKST TUE DEC 16 2014

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT...THEN BECOMING S 30 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-170100-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
351 AM AST TUE DEC 16 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-170100-
RESURRECTION BAY
351 AM AST TUE DEC 16 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-170100-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
351 AM AST TUE DEC 16 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-170100-
PORT VALDEZ
351 AM AST TUE DEC 16 2014

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-170100-
VALDEZ NARROWS
351 AM AST TUE DEC 16 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-170100-
VALDEZ ARM
351 AM AST TUE DEC 16 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-170100-
PASSAGE CANAL
351 AM AST TUE DEC 16 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.

.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-170100-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
351 AM AST TUE DEC 16 2014

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-170100-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
351 AM AKST TUE DEC 16 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-170100-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
351 AM AST TUE DEC 16 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-170100-
CHINIAK BAY
351 AM AST TUE DEC 16 2014

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-170100-
MARMOT BAY
351 AM AST TUE DEC 16 2014

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-170100-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
351 AM AST TUE DEC 16 2014

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ139-170100-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
351 AM AKST TUE DEC 16 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-170100-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
351 AM AST TUE DEC 16 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-170100-
KACHEMAK BAY
351 AM AST TUE DEC 16 2014

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

905 
FZAK51 PAFC 170021
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
320 PM AKST TUE DEC 16 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-171230-
320 PM AKST TUE DEC 16 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 987 MB LOW OVER EASTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN
AND MOVE INLAND THROUGH WED AFTERNOON. A 970 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW
AND ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF ALASKA
WED AFTERNOON...WITH THE FRONT MOVING SLOWLY NORTH TOWARD THE
CENTRAL GULF BY THU AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-171230-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
320 PM AKST TUE DEC 16 2014

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-171230-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
320 PM AST TUE DEC 16 2014

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-171230-
RESURRECTION BAY
320 PM AST TUE DEC 16 2014

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-171230-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
320 PM AST TUE DEC 16 2014

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-171230-
PORT VALDEZ
320 PM AST TUE DEC 16 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-171230-
VALDEZ NARROWS
320 PM AST TUE DEC 16 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT.
SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-171230-
VALDEZ ARM
320 PM AST TUE DEC 16 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE WIND 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-171230-
PASSAGE CANAL
320 PM AST TUE DEC 16 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-171230-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
320 PM AST TUE DEC 16 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-171230-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
320 PM AKST TUE DEC 16 2014

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-171230-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
320 PM AST TUE DEC 16 2014

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 18 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-171230-
CHINIAK BAY
320 PM AST TUE DEC 16 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-171230-
MARMOT BAY
320 PM AST TUE DEC 16 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-171230-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
320 PM AST TUE DEC 16 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ139-171230-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
320 PM AKST TUE DEC 16 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-171230-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
320 PM AST TUE DEC 16 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-171230-
KACHEMAK BAY
320 PM AST TUE DEC 16 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
337 PM AKST MON DEC 15 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THERE IS AN ELONGATED UPPER LEVEL TROUGH STRETCHING FROM THE
KAMCHATKA PENINSULA ACROSS THE BERING SEA AND INTO THE GULF OF
ALASKA. THERE ARE A NUMBER OF UPPER LOWS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
TROUGH. ONE IS OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL BERING SEA...ONE IS OVER THE
ALASKA PENINSULA/SOUTHERN GULF AND ONE NEAR THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS.
THERE IS AN EAST/WEST ORIENTED UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER CENTRAL
ALASKA.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH ABOUT
FORECAST HOUR 60 (3PM AKST WEDNESDAY) THEN BEGIN TO
DIVERGE...ESPECIALLY FOR A LOW SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF ALASKA.
THE MODELS ARE FINALLY COMING INTO DECENT AGREEMENT ON A
DEVELOPING LOW IN THE GULF TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. THE GFS AND NH
GEM ARE IN AGREEMENT A LITTLE FURTHER WEST WITH THE LOW AND THE
NAM/ECMWF/REGIONAL GEM ARE IN AGREEMENT ON THE LOW BEING FURTHER
EAST...BUT ALL THE MODELS ARE IN "TIGHTER" AGREEMENT THAN IN
PREVIOUS RUNS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THERE ARE TWO SYSTEMS IN THE NORTHERN GULF THAT WILL AFFECT THE
AREA THROUGH TUESDAY. THE FIRST IS SITUATED ALONG THE NORTH GULF
COAST. THIS SYSTEM WILL SLIDE THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL TONIGHT...WITH
MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION (MAINLY RAIN) CONFINED TO COASTAL AREAS.
THE NEXT SYSTEM/FRONT/UPPER VORTICITY MAXIMUM THAT IS CURRENTLY
OVER KODIAK AND THE CENTRAL GULF WILL PUSH INTO THE SOUTH CENTRAL
ON TUESDAY...AND THEN ACROSS THE AREA LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING. THIS WILL BRING A BETTER CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION TO
INLAND AREAS AS THE TROUGH IS SHARP ENOUGH TO CREATE DECENT LIFT
AN BRIEFLY TURN THE UPPER WINDS TO SOUTHWEST. YET ANOTHER FRONT
WILL PUSH TOWARD THE COAST ON WEDNESDAY. A DEEPER LOW WILL MOVE
INTO THE SOUTHWEST GULF LATER WEDNESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THE PATTERN WILL REMAIN FAIRLY BLOCKY EARLY IN THE LONG TERM
PORTION OF THE FORECAST. THERE WILL BE A DEEP LOW (SURFACE
PRESSURE PROBABLY IN THE 960'S) IN THE GULF ON DAY 3 (THURSDAY)
AND A COUPLE OF WEAKER LOWS OVER THE NORTHWEST BERING AND TO THE
SOUTH OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. THE PATTERN WILL BEGIN TO
TRANSITION TO MORE PROGRESSIVE LATER IN THE WEEK...AND BECOME
RATHER PROGRESSIVE BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. WPC MADE USE OF THE
ENSEMBLE MEANS EXCLUSIVELY...WITH A 70 PERCENT/30 PERCENT BLEND OF
THE ECMWF/GFS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY)...
AN UPPER LEVEL CLOSED LOW WILL CONTINUE TO BE LOCATED NORTHWEST
OF THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AT THE SURFACE THIS IS
REFLECTED WITH A GALE FORCE LOW WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND RESULTING
IN ONSHORE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW THROUGH SOUTHWEST ALASKA. THIS WILL
BRING STRATUS AND FOG ALONG THE COASTLINE DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS BEFORE DISSIPATING BY THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THE PREDOMINANT
PRECIPITATION WILL BE A WINTRY MIX THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ALONG THE
COASTLINE THE TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE MID 30S WITH MIXED
SCATTERED RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS. THE INLAND TEMPERATURES ARE COOLER
WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TEENS TO UPPER 20S WITH THE
PRECIPITATION OCCURRING AS SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...WHILE THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL WILL OCCUR ALONG THE
AHKLUN MOUNTAINS AND ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY)...
THE EASTERN SIBERIAN HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN PLACE WITH A GALE
FORCE LOW POSITIONED NORTH OF THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS. THIS LOW WILL
GRADUALLY MOVE TOWARD SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND BY WEDNESDAY. THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE AFOREMENTIONED SYNOPTIC FEATURES
WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE NORTHERLY GALE FORCE WINDS THROUGH THE
BERING STRAIT SOUTHWARD INTO THE NORTHERN BERING SEA. THE
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW FREEZING FOR MAJORITY OF THE BERING
SEA WITH THE GALE FORCE LOW NEAR SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND AIDING IN
PRODUCING SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ALONG THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN
THE TEMPERATURES ARE MORE MODIFIED RESULTING IN RAIN SHOWERS FROM
THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS EASTWARD.. THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL START
TO RECEIVE SOME COLD AIR ADVECTION FROM THE NORTH BY TUESDAY. THIS
WILL RESULT IN A WINTRY MIX OF SCATTERED RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING...119 155 179 185.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...181 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...BL
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PLD
LONG TERM...BL