Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2014
Storm Warning 158, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Dec 6, 2014, 3:20 PM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 6, 2014, 3:20 PM AKST (00:20 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 7, 2014, 3:02 PM AKST
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
518 FZAK51 PAFC 070020 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 320 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-071315- 320 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 965 MB LOW 270 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK LATE TONIGHT WILL MOVE TO CHIGNIK SUN AFTERNOON THEN INTO THE BERING SEA SUN NIGHT. A 963 MB LOW 220 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK LATE SUN NIGHT WILL MOVE TO 50 NM NORTHEAST OF CHIGNIK MON AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ119-071315- CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE- 320 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT...THEN BECOMING E 50 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ120-071315- CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT- 320 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 50 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ121-071315- RESURRECTION BAY- 320 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ125-071315- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND- 320 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT 25 KT N OF NAKED ISLAND. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ126-071315- PORT VALDEZ- 320 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014 .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. SNOW. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ127-071315- VALDEZ NARROWS- 320 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ128-071315- VALDEZ ARM- 320 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-071315- PASSAGE CANAL- 320 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED AND THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-071315- WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY- 320 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014 ...STORM WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ131-071315- BARREN ISLANDS EAST- 320 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ132-071315- MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK- 320 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 55 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ136-071315- CHINIAK BAY- 320 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014 ...STORM WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ137-071315- MARMOT BAY- 320 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014 ...STORM WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ138-071315- SHELIKOF STRAIT- 320 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014 ...STORM WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .SUN...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .MON...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ139-071315- COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE- 320 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .SUN...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ140-071315- COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND- 320 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ141-071315- KACHEMAK BAY- 320 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$
2 follow-up statements
654 FZAK51 PAFC 071231 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 331 AM AKST SUN DEC 7 2014 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-080115- 331 AM AKST SUN DEC 7 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 965 MB LOW 240 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK WILL MOVE TO CHIGNIK THIS AFTERNOON THEN INTO THE BERING SEA TONIGHT. A 963 MB LOW 230 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK LATE TONIGHT WILL MOVE TO 20 NM WEST OF PORT HEIDEN LATE MON NIGHT. $$ PKZ119-080115- CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE- 331 AM AKST SUN DEC 7 2014 ...STORM WARNING TODAY AND MONDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 22 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ120-080115- CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT- 331 AM AKST SUN DEC 7 2014 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ121-080115- RESURRECTION BAY- 331 AM AKST SUN DEC 7 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-080115- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND- 331 AM AKST SUN DEC 7 2014 ...GALE WARNING TODAY AND MONDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE THIS MORNING. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE. SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...WINDS DIMINISHING TO E 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 7 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ126-080115- PORT VALDEZ- 331 AM AKST SUN DEC 7 2014 .TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ127-080115- VALDEZ NARROWS- 331 AM AKST SUN DEC 7 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ128-080115- VALDEZ ARM- 331 AM AKST SUN DEC 7 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-080115- PASSAGE CANAL- 331 AM AKST SUN DEC 7 2014 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED AND THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-080115- WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY- 331 AM AKST SUN DEC 7 2014 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .MON...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ131-080115- BARREN ISLANDS EAST- 331 AM AKST SUN DEC 7 2014 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ132-080115- MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK- 331 AM AKST SUN DEC 7 2014 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 55 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 24 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ136-080115- CHINIAK BAY- 331 AM AKST SUN DEC 7 2014 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ137-080115- MARMOT BAY- 331 AM AKST SUN DEC 7 2014 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ138-080115- SHELIKOF STRAIT- 331 AM AKST SUN DEC 7 2014 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .MON...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ139-080115- COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE- 331 AM AKST SUN DEC 7 2014 ...GALE WARNING TODAY AND MONDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .MON...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ140-080115- COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND- 331 AM AKST SUN DEC 7 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ141-080115- KACHEMAK BAY- 331 AM AKST SUN DEC 7 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$
670 FZAK51 PAFC 080002 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 302 PM AKST SUN DEC 7 2014 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-081315- 302 PM AKST SUN DEC 7 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 962 MB LOW NEAR CHIGNIK WILL MOVE INTO THE BERING SEA AT 962 MB MON AFTERNOON. A 960 MB LOW 275 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK SUN NIGHT WILL MOVE TO 100 NM NORTHWEST OF CHIGNIK AT 967 MB TUE AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ119-081315- CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE- 302 PM AKST SUN DEC 7 2014 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ120-081315- CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT- 302 PM AKST SUN DEC 7 2014 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ121-081315- RESURRECTION BAY- 302 PM AKST SUN DEC 7 2014 .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-081315- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND- 302 PM AKST SUN DEC 7 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ126-081315- PORT VALDEZ- 302 PM AKST SUN DEC 7 2014 .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ127-081315- VALDEZ NARROWS- 302 PM AKST SUN DEC 7 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ128-081315- VALDEZ ARM- 302 PM AKST SUN DEC 7 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-081315- PASSAGE CANAL- 302 PM AKST SUN DEC 7 2014 .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-081315- WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY- 302 PM AKST SUN DEC 7 2014 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ131-081315- BARREN ISLANDS EAST- 302 PM AKST SUN DEC 7 2014 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ132-081315- MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK- 302 PM AKST SUN DEC 7 2014 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ136-081315- CHINIAK BAY- 302 PM AKST SUN DEC 7 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ137-081315- MARMOT BAY- 302 PM AKST SUN DEC 7 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ138-081315- SHELIKOF STRAIT- 302 PM AKST SUN DEC 7 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES THROUGH EARLY EVENING. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ139-081315- COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE- 302 PM AKST SUN DEC 7 2014 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ140-081315- COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND- 302 PM AKST SUN DEC 7 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ141-081315- KACHEMAK BAY- 302 PM AKST SUN DEC 7 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Dec 6, 5:25 AM AKST, 9 hours 55 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 6, 5:25 AM AKST, 9 hours 55 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
525 AM AKST SAT DEC 6 2014
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE PATTERN ALOFT IS FAIRLY DISORGANIZED THIS MORNING OVER THE
GREAT LAND. THE JET STREAM IS WELL TO THE SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS
WITH A 190 KT EAST ASIAN JET PROGRESSING EASTWARD TOWARD THE
GULF...BUT DIPS SOUTHWARD BY THE TIME IT REACHES THE GULF OF
ALASKA. THIS HAS LED TO A BENIGN PATTERN OVER THE GREAT LAND. THE
MAIN PLAYER IN SENSIBLE WEATHER IS A COMPACT UPPER LEVEL LOW
AROUND THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND ITS REMNANT FRONT DRAPED OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA. RIDGING ALOFT STRETCHES FROM WESTERN
CANADA AND THE PANHANDLE THROUGH THE SOUTHCENTRAL. THERE ARE TWO
MAIN STORM SYSTEMS IN THE PATTERN. ONE MOVING FROM WEST TO EAST
WITH THE JET JUST SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS AND A CLOSED LOW SOUTH
OF THE GULF OF ALASKA.
AT THE SURFACE...A WEAKENING FRONT IS BRINGING RAIN TO THE NORTH
GULF COAST. GALE FORCE WINDS ACCOMPANY THE FRONT BUT ARE CONFINED
TO THE NORTHERN GULF. HIGHER CLOUDS ENSHROUD MOST OF THE
SOUTHCENTRAL BUT PRECIPITATION IS NOT CURRENTLY PROGRESSING PAST
THE COASTAL MOUNTAINS. GENERALLY LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS LIE ACROSS
INLAND AREAS. A REMNANT SYSTEM OVER BRISTOL BAY IS BRINGING A
STEADY STREAM OF MOISTURE ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA INTO
INTERIOR BRISTOL BAY WITH A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW.
&&
.MODEL DISCUSSION...
GUIDANCE IS IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT SYNOPTICALLY
SPEAKING...HOWEVER THE DEVIL IS IN THE DETAILS AND THE PATTERN
BECOMES COMPLEX AS THE WEEKEND PROGRESSES. THE SYSTEM MOVING
ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS WILL MERGE WITH THE CLOSED LOW SOUTH OF THE
GULF TODAY IN TO SUNDAY TURNING INTO A COMPLEX LOW. THE FIRST
SIGNIFICANT FEATURE WITHIN THE LOW COMPLEX IS A STRONG SHORTWAVE
TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF FROM EAST TO WEST. GUIDANCE
IS IN THE BALLPARK AS FAR AS SYSTEM STRENGTH BUT ARE NOT IN GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH TIMING AND POSITION. THE GFS/CANADIAN/NAM ARE
GROUPED TO THE SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND WHILE THE ECMWF IS FURTHER
TO THE NORTH IMPACTING KODIAK DIRECTLY. BOTH THE EAST AND WEST
DOMAIN PREFER THE FURTHER SOUTH GFS SOLUTION.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (TODAY AND SUNDAY)...
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO WARM ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. FRONTAL SYSTEMS MOVING NORTH ACROSS
THE AREA WILL BRING INCREASING CHANCES OF RAIN TO THE COASTS WITH
A MIXTURE INLAND...EXCEPT FOR THE COPPER RIVER BASIN WHICH SHOULD
REMAIN COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW. THE BEST CHANCES OF ACCUMULATING SNOW
INLAND AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS WILL BE WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE FIRST
FRONTAL SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE IS THE
POSSIBILITY OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN WEST OF THE CHUGACH MOUNTAINS
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A STORM CENTER MOVING SOUTH OF KODIAK
ISLAND TONIGHT AND SUNDAY WILL BRING GALE TO STORM FORCE WINDS TO
THE COASTAL AS WELL AS OFFSHORE MARINE AREAS. GAP LOWS WILL ALSO
BE ENHANCED ACROSS LAND ZONES...ESPECIALLY TURNAGAIN ARM...PORTAGE
VALLEY...MAT VALLEY...AND LOCALS ACROSS KODIAK ISLAND. THOUGH
STILL WINDY...MOST AREAS WILL SEE WINDS DIMINISH SUNDAY NIGHT.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE BRISTOL BAY ZONE WILL HAVE RAIN AND SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY
THROUGH SUN NIGHT. STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE ALEUTIAN
RANGE TONIGHT AND SPREAD ACROSS THE ENTIRE ZONE THROUGH SUN NIGHT.
THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM WILL BE DRY TODAY AND THEN BE COLD ENOUGH FOR
SNOW SHOWERS TONIGHT. ON SUN SOME WARMER AIR WILL REMAIN NEAR THE
ALASKA RANGE FOR A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS...WITH JUST SNOW
SHOWERS FOR THE REST OF THE ZONE. PRECIPITATION SHOULD END BY
SUNDAY NIGHT. THE DELTA WILL HAVE A SHARP LINE SEPARATING COLD AND
WARMER AIR. THE LATTER WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF BETHEL THROUGH SUN
NIGHT. TODAY THE DELTA WILL HAVE A FEW SNOW SHOWERS...WITH SOME
FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE SOUTH OF BETHEL. THE REGION WILL BE DRY
TONIGHT ,,,BUT ON SUN RAIN AND SNOW ARE EXPECTED...WITH A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN FROM BETHEL NORTH. SNOW SHOWERS WILL THEN
LINGER INTO SUN NIGHT.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
RAIN SHOWERS WILL BE WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE BERING AND ALEUTIANS
THROUGH SUN NIGHT.
&&
.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THE LONGWAVE PATTERN WILL NOT CHANGE A WHOLE LOT THROUGH
THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST. THE CLOSED HIGH OVER THE
CHUKCHI SEA REFUSES TO BREAK DOWN AND THIS IS KEEPING A LOT OF
COLD AIR BOTTLED UP OVER THE ARCTIC. MEANWHILE...AN ALMOST EQUALLY
STUBBORN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL CONTINUE TO SPIN JUST SOUTH AND EAST
OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA. FURTHER WEST...THE PATTERN REMAINS
SLIGHTLY MORE PROGRESSIVE AS THE 150 KT NORTH PACIFIC JET CLIPS
THAT AREA MID WEEK. THE NET EFFECT ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE
CONTINUED MILD AND WET CONDITIONS NEAR AND ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF
THE LOW. ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE LOW...COLDER SHOWERY
CONDITIONS WILL WRAP NORTH TO SOUTH WITH INTERMITTENT GALES ACROSS
THE BERING. OVERALL THE LONG TERM FORECAST CONTINUES TO REMAIN
DEPENDENT ON WHICH MODEL SOLUTION VERIFIES...KEEPING SOME
UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST. MODELS HAVE COME INTO BETTER
AGREEMENT THROUGH MONDAY...HOWEVER FROM TUESDAY ONWARD THERE ARE
STILL DIFFERENCES REGARDING THE POSITIONING AND STRENGTH OF
MULTIPLE CIRCULATIONS AROUND THE NORTH PACIFIC AND GULF OF ALASKA.
THIS WILL DIRECTLY AFFECT TIMING OF WINDS AND PRECIPITATION ALONG
THE GULF COAST AND ALASKA PENINSULA THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK.
A FEW INTERESTING NOTES FOR NEXT WEEK. ONE...IT DOES LOOK LIKE
THERE IS A CHANCE OF A FAIRLY STRONG LOW COMING OFF THE KAMCHATKA
PENINSULA NEXT WEEKEND (DEC 13-14). THIS LOW DOES SHOW SOME SIGNS
OF POSSIBLY SHIFTING THE LONGWAVE TROUGH TO BE CENTER OVER THE
BERING RATHER THAN THE GULF OF AK. THIS COULD BRING SOME MORE
ACTIVE WINTER WEATHER TO PARTS OF THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHCENTRAL
PORTION OF THE STATE. NUMBER TWO...ANCHORAGE IS APPROACHING AN
ALL-TIME RECORD FOR LATEST DATE OF THE FIRST OCCURRENCE OF A
MINIMUM TEMPERATURE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS. THE PREVIOUS RECORD
APPEARS TO BE 15 DEC 2002. UNTIL WE SEE A BIG PATTERN
CHANGE...THIS RECORD REMAINS IN JEOPARDY.
&&
.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 136 137 139 160 165 175 177 178 180 185
STORMS 119 120 130 131 132 138 150
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.
&&
SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...ML
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DS
LONG TERM...TPThe office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 3:07 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Dec 6, 3:07 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 5 days | |
| Dec 6, 3:20 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Dec 7, 3:25 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Dec 7, 3:25 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 4 days | |
| Dec 7, 3:31 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Dec 7, 3:31 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Dec 7, 12:16 PM AKST | Freezing Rain Advisory | AFC | 3 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.