Storm Warning 154, NWS Anchorage, AK

345 
FZAK52 PAFC 050000
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
300 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-051215-
300 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 972 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTHEAST OF ATKA WILL MOVE TO 250 NM SOUTH OF
NIKOLSKI LATE TONIGHT THEN SOUTH WELL INTO THE PACIFIC FRI
MORNING. A 957 MB LOW 500 NM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA LATE FRI MORNING
WILL MOVE TO 230 NM SOUTH OF ATKA SAT AFTERNOON AND SLOWLY WEAKEN
TO 968 MB.

$$

PKZ150-051215-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
300 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT W OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND.
SEAS 9 FT EXCEPT 5 FT W OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT FROM CHIRIKOF ISLAND W.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. FROM CHIRIKOF ISLAND W...VARIABLE WIND
10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ155-051215-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
300 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN
ISLANDS E. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM
THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ160-051215-
BRISTOL BAY-
300 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 30 KT.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-051215-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
300 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT EXCEPT 10 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS 5
FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ170-051215-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
300 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ171-051215-
UNALASKA BAY-
300 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ172-051215-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
300 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT EXCEPT 25 KT FROM DUTCH HARBOR E.
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ173-051215-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
300 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ174-051215-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
300 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ175-051215-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
300 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 35 KT.
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ176-051215-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
300 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ177-051215-
ADAK TO KISKA-
300 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ178-051215-
KISKA TO ATTU-
300 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT BUILDING TO 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ179-051215-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
300 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ180-051215-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
300 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ181-051215-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
300 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY
NEAR THE COAST.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR
THE COAST.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE
COAST.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ185-051215-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
300 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT EXCEPT SE 25 KT N AND E OF SAINT MATTHEW
ISLAND. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
347 PM AKST WED DEC 3 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THERE IS AN ELONGATED UPPER LOW STRETCHING FROM THE SOUTHEASTERN
BERING SEA ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC.
THE SOUTHERLY FLOW ON THE EAST SIDE OF THIS LOW IS PUSHING MOIST
AIR INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA. THERE IS A RETROGRADING (MOVING TO
THE WEST) LOW OVER THE NORTHERN BERING. THERE IS A DEVELOPING LOW
SOUTHWEST OF THE ALEUTIANS ASSOCIATED WITH A NORTHWARD BEND IN THE
JET STREAM (EXITING JAPAN AT AROUND 42 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE).

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE OVER ALL
PATTERN BUT QUICKLY DIVERGE ON THE LOCATION/TIMING OF SURFACE
LOWS IN THE FIRST 24 HOURS OF THE FORECAST. THIS IS ESPECIALLY
EVIDENT WITH A LOW THAT WILL SLIDE SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING. THERE IS ALSO SOME DISAGREEMENT ON VARIOUS
SURFACE LOWS THAT SLIDE NORTH NORTHWEST ALONG THE EASTERN SIDE OF
THE ELONGATED ALASKA PENINSULA LOW. HOWEVER THE LOCATION OF THE
FRONT OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA IS FAIRLY WELL HANDLED BY ALL OF THE
MODELS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A MORE ORGANIZED AREA OF PRECIPITATION OVER THE NORTHERN TO WESTERN
GULF IS POISED TO TRACK ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA TONIGHT. THE
PRECIP IS FOCUSED ALONG AN INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH WITH SLIGHTLY
WARMER AIR BEHIND THE TROUGH. THE AIR MASS OUT AHEAD OF THE TROUGH
IS STILL QUITE UNSTABLE AS INDICATED BY 850-500 LAPSE RATES OF 8.1
DEGREES C/KM ON THE 12Z ANCHORAGE SOUNDING. HOWEVER AN INTERROGATION
OF MODEL DATA SHOWS DECENT ISENTROPIC LIFT CENTERED IN THE 700 TO
600 MB LAYER MOVING NORTHWEST ACROSS THE KENAI PENINSULA AND ANCHORAGE
AREAS. THEREFORE EXPECT THE CHARACTER OF PRECIPITATION WILL BE A MIX
OF STRATIFORM AND CONVECTION WITH AT LEAST A BRIEF PERIOD OF STEADY
SNOW AS THE TROUGH MOVES THROUGH.

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL THEN BUILD FROM THE GULF ACROSS MAINLAND
ALASKA WHICH WILL CAUSE LOW LEVEL FLOW TO VEER FROM SOUTHERLY TO EASTERLY
PUSHING PRECIPITATION AREAS OFF TO THE SOUTH AND WEST. KODIAK
ISLAND WILL BE RIGHT IN THE FIRING LINE OF SYSTEMS TRACKING UP THE
WEST SIDE OF THE RIDGE. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP MOISTURE
TRANSPORT ALREADY IN MOTION FROM THE EAST PACIFIC TO THE WESTERN
GULF. ONCE STEADY RAIN STARTS IN KODIAK IT DOESN'T LOOK LIKE THERE
WILL BE BREAK UNTIL THE WEEKEND. THERE DEFINITELY WILL BE PERIODS
OF HEAVY RAIN BUT AT THIS POINT IT DOES NOT LOOK LIKE ANYTHING
HEAVY ENOUGH TO CAUSE FLOODING OR MUD SLIDE CONCERNS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A NARROW BAND OF SNOW SHOWERS HAS REMAINED WEST OF BETHEL DURING
THE MAJORITY OF THE DAY AND IS EXPECTED TO DUE SO THROUGH THE
EVENING BEFORE THE BAND BEGINS TO DISSIPATE. THIS WILL CREATE A
LOCALIZED AREA OF SNOW ACCUMULATION AROUND AN INCH WITH BETHEL
AND SEVERAL OTHER LOCATIONS SEEING SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. MINOR
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE HEAVIER
SHOWERS. OVER THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY A POCKET OF CLEARING
SKIES HAS BEEN OBSERVED. THIS WILL ALLOW SLEETMUTE AND OTHER
LOCATIONS IN THE VALLEY TO RADIATIONALLY COOL OVERNIGHT ALLOWING
TEMPERATURES TO DROP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS. CLOUD COVER WILL BE
ON THE RISE AFTER MIDNIGHT AND PUT A CAP ON JUST HOW MUCH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABLE TO COOL. CLOUDS AND RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS
WILL BE ON THE RISE OVER THE BRISTOL BAY AREA OVERNIGHT AS A WEAK
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PUSHES ACROSS THE REGION. AREAS FROM KING
SALMON NORTH WILL SEE A PERIOD OF MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AHEAD OF THE
TROUGH PASSAGE ALLOWING FOR SOME PATCHY RADIATION FOG TO DEVELOP
IN THE EVENING HOURS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS
WILL DRIFT SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS BY THURSDAY MORNING.
THIS WILL BRING WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TO THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS WITH SOME SNOW MIXING IN ACROSS THE FAR WESTERN BERING
SEA. A BRIEF REPRIEVE IN PRECIPITATI0N WILL BE OBSERVED LATE
THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING PRIOR TO A STRONG LOW ENTERING THE
WESTERN ALEUTIANS FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THIS
WILL BRING GALE FORCE WINDS BACK TO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS AND
ANOTHER BOUT OF RAIN AND SNOW.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL HAVE A STORM FORCE LOW TRACKING SOUTH
OF SHEMYA BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THIS LOW WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE
ALEUTIAN CHAIN THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE TRACKING SOUTHEAST INTO THE
NORTH PACIFIC BY SUNDAY. THE ALEUTAINS WILL HAVE WIDESPREAD RAIN
SPILLING OVER INTO THE BERING SIDE WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED SYSTEM
BEFORE CHANGING TO SHOWERY PRECIPITATION WITH THE NORTHERLY WINDS
AS THE LOW TRACKS SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS. THE BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS
WILL CONTINUE IN NORTHERLY WINDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH AN UPPER
LEVEL OMEGA BLOCK FORMING. THE GFS/ECMWF MODELS HAVE COME INTO
BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE POSITIONING OF THIS LOW. THE NAM SEEMS
TO BE THE OUTLIER WITH THE TRACKING OF THE LOW FARTHER EASTWARD.
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA AND THE GULF WILL HAVE AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
RUNNING PARALLEL WITH THE NORTHERN GULF COASTLINE BY FRIDAY. THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL STRENGTHEN RESULTING IN GUSTY TURNAGAIN ARM
WINDS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SEVERAL SHORTWAVES WILL TRACK INTO THE
GULF THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH A WARMING TREND RESULTING IN WIDESPREAD
RAIN TO SOUTHCENTRAL COASTLINES BEFORE SPREADING INLAND. THE FORECAST
CONFIDENCE REMAINS AVERAGE WITH SOME UNCERTAINTY OF THE STRENGTH OF
NORTH PACIFIC LOW AND THE POSITIONING OF THE SYSTEM AS IT TRACKS
EASTWARD INTO THE PACIFIC.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 130 131 138 177.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...BL/SAM
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SB/JR
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MC
LONG TERM...PD