Gale Warning 801, NWS Anchorage, AK

921 
FZAK52 PAFC 041254
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
354 AM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-050200-
354 AM AKST THU DEC 4 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 982 MB LOW 145 NM SOUTHEAST OF ADAK WILL MOVE TO 290 NM SOUTH OF
DUTCH HARBOR THU NIGHT AT 978 MB...THEN DISSIPATE FRI AFTERNOON.
A SERIES OF WEATHER FRONTS WILL CONTINUE MOVING WEST TO NORTHWEST
FROM THE SOUTHWEST GULF AND ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS THROUGH
BRISTOL BAY AND THROUGH THE NORTHERN BERING SEA. A NORTHWEST
PACIFIC LOW MOVES TO 385 NM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA FRI MORNING AT
952 MB...THEN WEAKENS TO 960 MB 85 NM SOUTHWEST OF AMCHITKA FRI
NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-050200-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
354 AM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ155-050200-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
354 AM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN
ISLANDS E. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN
ISLANDS E. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ160-050200-
BRISTOL BAY-
354 AM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ165-050200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
354 AM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ170-050200-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
354 AM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ171-050200-
UNALASKA BAY-
354 AM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ172-050200-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
354 AM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ173-050200-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
354 AM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ174-050200-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
354 AM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 24 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 18 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ175-050200-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
354 AM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ176-050200-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
354 AM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 22 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 16 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ177-050200-
ADAK TO KISKA-
354 AM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 22 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 11 FT.

$$

PKZ178-050200-
KISKA TO ATTU-
354 AM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT
BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 12 FT.
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ179-050200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
354 AM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ180-050200-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
354 AM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ181-050200-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
354 AM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ185-050200-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
354 AM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

345 
FZAK52 PAFC 050000
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
300 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-051215-
300 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 972 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTHEAST OF ATKA WILL MOVE TO 250 NM SOUTH OF
NIKOLSKI LATE TONIGHT THEN SOUTH WELL INTO THE PACIFIC FRI
MORNING. A 957 MB LOW 500 NM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA LATE FRI MORNING
WILL MOVE TO 230 NM SOUTH OF ATKA SAT AFTERNOON AND SLOWLY WEAKEN
TO 968 MB.

$$

PKZ150-051215-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
300 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT W OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND.
SEAS 9 FT EXCEPT 5 FT W OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT FROM CHIRIKOF ISLAND W.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. FROM CHIRIKOF ISLAND W...VARIABLE WIND
10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ155-051215-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
300 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN
ISLANDS E. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM
THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ160-051215-
BRISTOL BAY-
300 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 30 KT.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-051215-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
300 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT EXCEPT 10 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS 5
FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ170-051215-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
300 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ171-051215-
UNALASKA BAY-
300 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ172-051215-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
300 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT EXCEPT 25 KT FROM DUTCH HARBOR E.
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ173-051215-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
300 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ174-051215-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
300 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ175-051215-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
300 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 35 KT.
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ176-051215-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
300 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ177-051215-
ADAK TO KISKA-
300 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ178-051215-
KISKA TO ATTU-
300 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT BUILDING TO 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ179-051215-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
300 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ180-051215-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
300 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ181-051215-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
300 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY
NEAR THE COAST.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR
THE COAST.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE
COAST.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ185-051215-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
300 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT EXCEPT SE 25 KT N AND E OF SAINT MATTHEW
ISLAND. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
514 AM AKST WED DEC 3 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A NARROW YET HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPPER TROUGH (THE REMNANTS OF THE
POWERFUL UPPER LOW OVER THE BERING SEA THE LAST FEW DAYS) RESIDES
OVER THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND EXTENDING SOUTH OVER BRISTOL BAY AND
THE ALASKA PENINSULA WELL DOWN INTO THE PACIFIC SOUTH OF 45N
LATITUDE...WITH SLOWLY WEAKENING HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING NOW PUSHED
WELL DOWNSTREAM OVER WESTERN CANADA. BEHIND THE TROUGH...ANOTHER
TRANSITORY RIDGE HAS MOVED EASTWARD WITH AXIS FROM THE 180
PARALLEL SOUTH OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS EXTENDING NORTHWEST TOWARD
KAMCHATKA. IMMEDIATELY UPSTREAM BETWEEN ATTU AND KAMCHATKA...LOW
PRESSURE IS FORMING ALONG A WEATHER FRONT. A SMALL UPPER LOW IS
MOVING SOUTHWEST TOWARD THE NORTHERN BERING SEA OVER THE BERING
STRAIT.

OVER THE GULF AND SOUTHCENTRAL...A VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS IS IN
PLACE WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW PUSHING THIS CONVECTION ONSHORE ALONG
THE GULF COAST...AS WELL AS PUSHING UP ALONG COOK INLET TOWARD THE
SUSITNA VALLEY. THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION BROUGHT REPORTS OF
LIGHTNING ALONG THE GULF COAST AND ALASKA PENINSULA...AS WELL AS
REPORTS OF SNOW FALLING AT OVER 4 INCHES PER HOUR THROUGH THOMPSON
PASS LAST EVENING.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

MODELS SUGGEST THAT AS THE REMNANT TROUGH OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC
DIGS TO THE EAST WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF THROUGH TONIGHT...SHORTWAVE
RIDGING WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF WILL RAPIDLY BUILD NORTHWARD
THROUGH THURSDAY WITH THE RIDGE AXIS BECOMING SITUATED FROM THE
EASTERN GULF THROUGH PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND TO THE SUSITNA VALLEY.
THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A SERIES OF FRONTS TO BEGIN MOVING FROM
SOUTHEAST TO NORTHWEST FROM THE SOUTHERN GULF NORTHWEST ACROSS
KODIAK ISLAND AND INTO THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND TO THE SOUTH OF THE
UPPER RIDGE AXIS.

MEANWHILE...THE RIDGING OVER THE FAR SOUTHWEST
BERING WILL RAPIDLY DISSIPATE AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES RAPIDLY EAST
JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS THROUGH THURSDAY. MODELS
DIFFER QUITE A BIT WITH THE PLACEMENT AND STRENGTH OF THIS
LOW...WITH THE NAM A GOOD 10 MB DEEPER THAN ALL OTHER MODELS. THE
EUROPEAN MODEL...A SOUTHERN OUTLIER...HAS A VERY GOOD SUCCESS RATE
WITH LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THIS PARTICULAR AREA AND CAN NOT BE
TOTALLY DISCOUNTED. THE GFS AND CANADIAN MODELS ARE CLOSER TO THE
NAM POSITION WITH THE LOW CLOSER TO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS...BUT
NOT AS STRONG AS THE NAM. FOR THIS FORECAST PACKAGE...THE
CANADIAN MODELS ARE PREFERRED EARLY ON WITH A NOD TO THE NAM
POSITIONING AFTER TONIGHT.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVERALL IS MODERATE IN THE SHORT TERM.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

UNSTABLE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW OVER SOUTHCENTRAL WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE DAY TODAY WITH A DISTURBANCE MOVING INLAND EARLY THIS
MORNING BRINGING A BRIEF ROUND OF SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SNOW
SHOWERS LASTING INTO EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS
WILL BE CONFINED TO THE GULF COAST...ESPECIALLY TOWARD THOMPSON
PASS...BUT BRIEFLY MODERATE SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR INLAND
AREAS AS WELL.

THE FLOW BACKS TO SOUTHERLY TONIGHT AND THEN SOUTHEASTERLY
THURSDAY FROM THE KENAI PENINSULA SOUTH. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A
WEATHER FRONT MOVING NORTHWEST TO BRING A ROUND OF MODERATE TO
HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST SIDE OF KODIAK ISLAND AND
THE GULF COAST OF THE KENAI PENINSULA AND WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND...WITH LESSER COVERAGE AND INTENSITY INLAND FROM THE
MATANUSKA VALLEY SOUTH INCLUDING ANCHORAGE...KENAI...AND
HOMER...WHERE TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLD ENOUGH FOR THE SHOWERS TO
FALL AS SNOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL BE ALONG THE
KUSKOKWIM THROUGH THU. ISOLATED SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY IN BRISTOL
BAY WILL BECOME CONCENTRATED NEAR THE ALEUTIAN RANGE
TONIGHT...AND WILL MIX WITH SOME RAIN ON THU. PRECIPITATION OVER
ALL OF SOUTHWEST AK IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF BENEATH MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES THU NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

RAIN WILL SPREAD ALONG THE ALEUTIANS THROUGH THU NIGHT...MIXING
WITH SNOW AT TIMES OVER THE PRIBILOFS. THE AKPEN WILL REMAIN
FAIRLY DRY UNTIL THU NIGHT WHEN RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ARRIVE.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES THROUGH NEXT WEEK WITH
SEVERAL LOW CENTERS MOVING ALONG BROAD TROUGHING CENTERED OVER
THE BERING. THE SOUTHERN COASTAL AREAS AND SURROUNDING WATERS
WILL BE IN THE WETTER PATTERN INITIALLY AND THEN WEAK RIDGING
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ALCAN BORDER BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN FOR THE
SECOND HALF OF THE WEEKEND. A WETTER PATTERN THEN ENSUES ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND THROUGH NEXT WEEK AS A CLOSED LOW PATTERN
DEVELOPS ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN PACIFIC SENDING MULTIPLE WAVES
TOWARD THE COAST. EXPECT A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW TO REMAIN IN THE
FORECAST ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND WITH THE UPCOMING
SHORTWAVES AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE PACIFIC TAPS INTO
THE WARMER SUBTROPICAL AIR MASS.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 176.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...CC
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...CC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DS
LONG TERM...KH