Storm Warning 14, NWS Anchorage, AK

417 
FZAK52 PAFC 041252
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-050300-
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 972 MB LOW 330 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY WEAKENS TO 978 MB AS IT MOVES 
TO 110 NM SOUTH OF CAPE NEWENHAM EARLY SUN MORNING BEFORE
DISSIPATING. A 977 MB LOW DEVELOPS 90 NM EAST OF SAINT GEORGE EARLY
SUN MORNING AND MOVES TO 95 NM SOUTH OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND LATE SUN
NIGHT. A 962 MB LOW 240 NM NORTHWEST OF ATTU CONTINUES MOVING TOWARD
KAMCHATKA WHILE WEAKENING TODAY. A STRENGTHENING NORTHWEST PACIFIC
LOW MOVES TO 295 NM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA AT 969 MB SAT EVENING...THEN
DRIFTS EAST TO 240 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA AT 965 MB SUN NIGHT. A 978 MB
LOW FORMS 255 NM SOUTH OF ADAK SUN MORNING AND STRENGTHENS TO 967 MB
85 NM SOUTH OF ATKA SUN NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-050300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
19 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-050300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
19 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 20 KT W OF THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS. SEAS 14
FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-050300-
BRISTOL BAY
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-050300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15
FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-050300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-050300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-050300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
19 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ173-050300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ174-050300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-050300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT 15 KT W OF ATKA. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.   

$$

PKZ176-050300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 15 KT W OF ATKA. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ177-050300-
ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 
FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17
FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ178-050300-
KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
20 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-050300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-050300-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S OF CAPE NEWENHAM...NE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. N OF CAPE NEWENHAM...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ181-050300-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ185-050300-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.   

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
100 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW IS HIGHLY AMPLIFIED
AND PROGRESSIVE LEADING TO AN ACTIVE STORM TRACK ACROSS THE ALASKA
REGION. A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA IS TRACKING QUICKLY
NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD SOUTHCENTRAL AND ULTIMATELY INTERIOR ALASKA.
THIS IS PRODUCING AREAS OF GENERALLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION. A WARM
NOSE IN THE LOW LEVELS HAS RESULTED IN RAIN MIXING IN AT TIMES IN
ANCHORAGE...BUT AREAS FURTHER NORTH ARE ALL SNOW.

THE FOCUS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS IS ON A STORM SYSTEM CURRENTLY
OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A LONG
FETCH OF TROPICAL MOISTURE STREAMING NORTHWARD TOWARD KODIAK ISLAND
AND THE ALASKA PENINSULA...WHICH WILL LEAD TO WARMING TEMPERATURES
AND HEAVY PRECIPITATION AS THIS SYSTEM TRACKS NORTHWARD THE NEXT
COUPLE DAYS. SATELLITE SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATES STORM FORCE
WINDS ON THE FRONT EDGE OF THIS SYSTEM.

ANOTHER POWERFUL SYSTEM IS JUST NORTH OF SHEMYA IS BRINGING STRONG
WINDS TO THE WESTERN TO CENTRAL BERING AND ALEUTIANS. THE CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS LOWER THAN WHAT FORECAST MODELS HAD INDICATED...SITTING
SOMEWHERE AROUND 960 MB THIS MORNING. THUS...INSTEAD OF WIDESPREAD
GALE FORCE WINDS THAT WERE EXPECTED...SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE
AREAS OF STORM FORCE WINDS (ESPECIALLY IN THE VICINITY OF THE LOW
CENTER). THIS LOW IS TRACKING TO THE WEST NORTHWEST TOWARD THE
KAMCHATKA PENINSULA SO EXPECT IMPROVING CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
ALEUTIANS AND CENTRAL BERING SEA.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH HANDLING OF
THE STORM SYSTEM OVER THE NORTH-CENTRAL PACIFIC. THE FIRST NOTABLE
DIFFERENCES SHOW UP WITH TRACK OF A TRIPLE POINT LOW SOUTH OF THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS ON SUNDAY. PREFER THE 12Z GFS WHICH IS A NICE
MIDDLE GROUND AMONG ALL THE SOLUTIONS AND WHICH IS VERY CLOSE TO
THE CURRENT FORECAST.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL/SOUTHWEST ALASKA...THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CROSSING
THE REGION TODAY WILL QUICKLY EXIT TO THE NORTH TONIGHT BRINGING
A VERY BRIEF BREAK OUT AHEAD OF THE PACIFIC STORM. WHILE THE UPPER
LEVELS WILL DRY OUT BEHIND THIS SHIRT-WAVE THE LOW LEVEL AIR MASS
WILL SEE VERY LITTLE CHANGE...SO EXPECT AREAS OF LOW CLOUDS AND
FOG TO HANG AROUND.

UNLIKE MANY OF THE WARM-UPS THIS WINTER WHICH HAVE PRODUCED
SIGNIFICANT FREEZING RAIN...LOW LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL START OUT
RELATIVELY WARM AS THIS SYSTEM ARRIVES. THEREFORE...DO NOT EXPECT
FREEZING RAIN TO BE A MAJOR PROBLEM ANYWHERE. THERE MIGHT BE A
TRANSITION FROM SNOW TO FREEZING RAIN TO RAIN IN SOME AREAS...BUT
THE PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN WOULD BE BRIEF AS SURFACE TEMPERATURES
QUICKLY RISE ABOVE FREEZING. THE GREATEST IMPACTS FROM THIS SYSTEM
WILL BE STRONG WINDS (PRIMARILY OVER MARINE AREAS) AND HEAVY
PRECIPITATION.

THE SURFACE LOW WILL TRACK NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE EASTERN BERING
WHILE THE FRONTAL SYSTEM ELONGATES SPREADS OUT OVER THE GULF AND
BRISTOL BAY. THIS ELONGATION WILL SLOW THE NORTHWARD PROGRESSION OF
THE FRONT SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT KEEPING THE WARMEST AIR FROM
HEADING INLAND. ONCE THE REMNANTS OF THE FRONT FINALLY DO PUSH
INLAND ON SUNDAY THE AIR MASS WILL HAVE MODIFIED ENOUGH TO PREVENT
A HUGE WARM-UP. EVEN SO...EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO RISE ABOVE FREEZING
FRO MUCH OF THE REGION ON SUNDAY. AS FAR AS PRECIPITATION...STRONG
EASTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE DOWNSLOP DRYING ON
THE WEST SIDE OF MOUNTAIN RANGES FROM THE CHUGACH AND KENAI
MOUNTAINS TO THE ALASKA RANGE TO THE KUSKOKWIM AND AHKLUN MOUNTAINS.
THERE WILL STILL BE A CHANCE OF BRIEF PERIODS OF PRECIP AS UPPER
LEVEL WAVES MOVE THROUGH...BUT EXPECT VERY LITTLE QPF. TEH HEAVIEST
PRECIP CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE GULF COAST FROM KODIAK ISLAND TO
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM QUICKLY ENOUGH NEAR
SEA LEVEL THAT PRECIPITATION WILL BE MAINLY IN THE FORM OF RAIN.
THE ONE EXCEPTION IS VALDEZ WHERE THE COLD AIR USUALLY HANGS IN
UNTIL FRONTAL PASSAGE...WHICH IN THIS CASE WON'T OCCUR UNTIL SUNDAY.
THEREFORE...EXPECT HEAVY WET SNOW SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY FROM
VALDEZ ON UP TO THOMPSON PASS. A BLIZZARD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
THOMPSON PASS...BUT WITH THE FRONT STALLING ALONG THE NORTH GULF
COAST THERE MAY NOT BE ENOUGH WIND TO CAUSE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING. BY THIS TIME TEMPERATURES MAY WARM ENOUGH
TO LIMIT BLOWING SNOW. WITH A DEEPER LAYER OF COLD AIR SITTING IN
THE COPPER RIVER BASIN EXPECT THE MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW TO BRING
ACCUMULATING SNOW TO THE COPPER RIVER BASIN...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF
GLENNALLEN DOWN TO THOMPSON PASS. WILL ISSUE A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY SPECIFICALLY FOR THIS AREA.

THE LOW CENTER WILL EXIT TO THE WEST ACROSS THE CENTRAL BERING ON
SUNDAY BUT ANOTHER STORM WILL ALREADY APPROACHING FROM THE NORTH
CENTRAL PACIFIC. EXPECT ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIP MONDAY AND
TUESDAY...ALTHOUGH THIS SECOND STORM LOOKS MUCH LESS IMPRESSIVE
BOTH WIND WISE AND PRECIP WISE. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE
NORMAL AS A REINFORCING SHOT OF WARM AIR ARRIVES WITH THIS SYSTEM.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...THE LONG-WAVE TROUGH WILL SIT OVER THE BERING
SEA AND NORTH PACIFIC WITH A STRONG SUBTROPICAL JET AIDING
DEVELOPMENT OF SURFACE LOWS. THE GENERAL TRACK OF THESE SYSTEMS
WILL BE EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTH PACIFIC AND THEN CURVING NORTHWARD
TO THE EASTERN BERING AND EXITING BACK TO THE WEST. EXPECT GENERALLY
MODERATE STRENGTH LOWS...VERY TYPICAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT
ON WEAKENING/BREAKDOWN OF THE DOWNSTREAM RIDGE OVER WESTERN NORTH
AMERICA. THIS WILL LEAD TO NEAR ZONAL FLOW ACROSS THE NORTH PACIFIC
NEXT WEEK WITH FAST MOVING STORMS TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHERN TIER
OF THE FORECAST AREA FROM THE ALEUTIANS TO THE GULF. THIS MORE
SOUTHERLY STORM TRACK WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO GRADUALLY COOL
ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA TO NEAR NORMAL BY THE
END OF NEXT WEEK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WATCH 131.
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY 141.
MARINE...STORM WARNING...119 120 130 131 132 138 150 155.
         GALE WARNING...125 136 137 139 141 160 165 170 172 174 178
                        179 180 181 185.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

SEB JAN 14