Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2014

Storm Warning 115, NWS Anchorage, AK

October 25, 2014

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Oct 25, 2014, 3:47 PM AKDT. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 25, 2014, 3:47 PM AKDT (23:47 UTC)
Expired
Oct 26, 2014, 3:46 PM AKDT
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

062 
FZAK52 PAFC 252347
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
347 PM AKDT SAT OCT 25 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-261230-
347 PM AKDT SAT OCT 25 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...A 995 MB LOW 250 NM
NORTH OF ATTU WILL MOVE TO 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF GAMBELL AND
STRENGTHEN TO 965 MB SUN AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL THEN REMAIN
NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKEN TO 980 MB MON AFTERNOON. A 997 MB LOW
WILL DEVELOP 100 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-261230-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
347 PM AKDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ155-261230-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
347 PM AKDT SAT OCT 25 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN
ISLANDS E. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN
ISLANDS E...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ160-261230-
BRISTOL BAY-
347 PM AKDT SAT OCT 25 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND TO 15 KT BECOMING W IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ165-261230-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
347 PM AKDT SAT OCT 25 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ170-261230-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
347 PM AKDT SAT OCT 25 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ171-261230-
UNALASKA BAY-
347 PM AKDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-261230-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
347 PM AKDT SAT OCT 25 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ173-261230-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
347 PM AKDT SAT OCT 25 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ174-261230-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
347 PM AKDT SAT OCT 25 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ175-261230-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
347 PM AKDT SAT OCT 25 2014

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ176-261230-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
347 PM AKDT SAT OCT 25 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ177-261230-
ADAK TO KISKA-
347 PM AKDT SAT OCT 25 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 12 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ178-261230-
KISKA TO ATTU-
347 PM AKDT SAT OCT 25 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT IN THE EVENING BUILDING
TO 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ179-261230-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
347 PM AKDT SAT OCT 25 2014

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8
FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ180-261230-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
347 PM AKDT SAT OCT 25 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.  SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ181-261230-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
347 PM AKDT SAT OCT 25 2014

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING S WIND 30 KT.
SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ185-261230-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
347 PM AKDT SAT OCT 25 2014

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 50 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND... SW WIND 50 KT.
SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$
2 follow-up statements
947 
FZAK52 PAFC 261138
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
338 AM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-270015-
338 AM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 979 MB LOW 250 NW WEST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 120
NM NORTHWEST OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND AND STRENGTHEN TO 966 MB
LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL THEN WEAKEN TO 994 MB 120 NM
WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND LATE MON NIGHT. A 992 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP
60 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHIGNIK LATE MON NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-270015-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
338 AM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ155-270015-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
338 AM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS
E...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8
FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ160-270015-
BRISTOL BAY-
338 AM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ165-270015-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
338 AM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT S 20 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS 7
FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ170-270015-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
338 AM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2014

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE 
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ171-270015-
UNALASKA BAY-
338 AM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT
IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-270015-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
338 AM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2014

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ173-270015-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
338 AM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2014

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ174-270015-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
338 AM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2014

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ175-270015-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
338 AM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ176-270015-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
338 AM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ177-270015-
ADAK TO KISKA-
338 AM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ178-270015-
KISKA TO ATTU-
338 AM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ179-270015-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
338 AM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS
BUILDING TO 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ180-270015-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
338 AM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ181-270015-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
338 AM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ185-270015-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
338 AM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2014

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 50
KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SW WIND 50 KT.
SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NW 40 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$
703 
FZAK52 PAFC 262346
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
346 PM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-271245-
346 PM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 968 MB LOW 110 NM WEST OF GAMBELL WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY
THROUGH MON AFTERNOON AND WEAKEN TO 982 MB. THE LOW WILL THEN MOVE
TO 175 NM SOUTHWEST OF BETHEL AND WEAKEN TO 995 MB TUE MORNING
BEFORE DISSIPATING TUE AFTERNOON. A 997 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP NEAR
SAND POINT MON AFTERNOON AND MOVE TO 30 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK AT
986 MB TUE AFTERNOON. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE TO THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-271245-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
346 PM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ155-271245-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
346 PM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW WIND 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ160-271245-
BRISTOL BAY-
346 PM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S WIND 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ165-271245-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
346 PM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 BECOMING S WIND 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ170-271245-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
346 PM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2014

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12
FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ171-271245-
UNALASKA BAY-
346 PM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-271245-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
346 PM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2014

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ173-271245-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
346 PM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2014

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ174-271245-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
346 PM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2014

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ175-271245-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
346 PM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ176-271245-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
346 PM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ177-271245-
ADAK TO KISKA-
346 PM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ178-271245-
KISKA TO ATTU-
346 PM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ179-271245-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
346 PM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2014

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ180-271245-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
346 PM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ181-271245-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
346 PM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ185-271245-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
346 PM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
19 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND... NW 40 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NW 45 KT W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 21 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Oct 25, 2:00 PM AKDT, 1 hour 47 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 25, 2:00 PM AKDT, 1 hour 47 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
200 PM AKDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
AN ELONGATED UPPER LOW THAT STRETCHES FROM FAR EASTERN RUSSIA TO
JUST OFF THE ARCTIC COAST OF ALASKA IS CREATING ZONAL FLOW ALOFT
OVER THE ENTIRE BERING SEA AND SOUTHERN ALASKA TODAY. THERE ARE
SOME SHORT WAVE DISTURBANCES IN THIS FLOW WHICH ARE BRINGING SOME
ARES OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS SOUTHERN ALASKA AS WELL. THE FIRST IS
OVER THE COPPER RIVER BASIN AND ANOTHER IS ASSOCIATED WITH A
WEAKENING FRONT THAT IS MOVING THROUGH THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA THIS
AFTERNOON.
THE POLAR JET IS RUNNING OFF FAR NORTHERN JAPAN TO KAMCHATKA AND
THEN THROUGH THE NORTHERN BERING SEA JUST SOUTH OF THE UPPER LEVEL
LOW. THE LOCATION OF THE JET IS IMPORTANT AS IT IS WHAT WILL
RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN A SURFACE LOW CURRENTLY NORTH OF ATTU AND MOVE
IT NEAR ST LAWRENCE ISLAND BY SUNDAY EVENING.

THERE IS ANOTHER SURFACE LOW WEAKENING NEAR THE BERING STRAIT THIS
AFTERNOON WHICH IS THE LOW FROM WHICH THE FRONT OVER THE
KUSKOKWIM DELTA EMANATES. THE WEAK SURFACE LOW PERSISTS NEAR
MIDDLETON ISLAND AS IT HAS SINCE EARLY FRIDAY. THIS LOW WILL
SLOWLY MOVE EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT DAY AND THEN FINALLY DISSIPATE
SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT TODAY IN REGARDS TO THE STRONG
LOW THAT WILL BE MOVING INTO THE BERING SEA TOMORROW. ALTHOUGH
THEY ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT WITH EACH OTHER THEY ARE ALL SHOWING
A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN LOW TRACK THAN WHAT ANY OF THEM SHOWED
YESTERDAY. INSTEAD OF MOVING THE LOW INTO THE CHUKCHI SEA THE
MODELS ARE ALL STOPPING ITS NORTHERN PROGRESS NEAR ST LAWRENCE
ISLAND SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND THEN KEEPING IT STATIONARY THROUGH
MONDAY BEFORE MOVING IT SOUTHEASTWARD AND WEAKENING IT AS IT HEADS
TOWARD BRISTOL BAY. THE MODELS ARE HAVING SOME PROBLEMS RESOLVING
THE TRACK OF THE LOW DURING ITS WEAKENING PHASE AS IT HEADS
SOUTHEAST BUT THEY ARE ALL TAKING THE GENERAL MOVEMENT OF IT IN
THAT DIRECTION AND THAT IS A LARGE DIFFERENCE FROM YESTERDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...
THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVER THE COPPER RIVER HAS BEEN SLOW TO
MOVE EASTWARD AND OUT OF THE AREA BUT IT SHOULD BY EARLY THIS
EVENING WHICH WILL END THE SNOW THAT HAS BEEN FALLING SINCE
YESTERDAY. THERE WILL LIKELY BE SOME LOW CLOUDS AND FOG THAT LINGER
OVER THE BASIN THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING.
THE LOW NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND CONTINUES TO PRODUCE SOME BANDS OF
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST BUT THESE SHOWERS
WILL CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND COVER LESS AREA THROUGH THE NIGHT AS
THE LOW WEAKENS AND MOVES EASTWARD. THERE ARE STILL SOME GUSTY GAP
WINDS NEAR WHITTIER AND SEWARD DUE TO THIS LOW. THESE WINDS SHOULD
ALSO DIMINISH DURING THE EVENING AS THE LOW PULLS AWAY FROM THE
AREA. THE COOK INLET AND SUSITNA VALLEY AREAS SHOULD SEE SOME
LARGE AREAS OF CLEARING OVERNIGHT. CLOUDS PACKED UP ALONG THE
CHUGACH AND TALKEETNA MOUNTAINS SHOULD DISSIPATE AS DRIER AIR
MOVES INTO THE REGION. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SOME LOW CLOUDS AND
FOG TO DEVELOP NEAR THE INLET LATE TONIGHT IF ENOUGH DRY AIR DOES
NOT MAKE IT INTO SOUTHCENTRAL.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
THE WEAKENING FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA TODAY WILL
MOVE INTO THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND BRISTOL BAY AREA OVERNIGHT.
PRECIPITATION WILL DIMINISH AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES EASTWARD AS WELL.
THERE IS AN ABRUPT WIND SHIFT WITH THIS FRONT WITH SOUTH WINDS
AHEAD OF IT TO NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND IT. THE STRONG LOW MOVING
INTO THE BERING SEA WILL EVENTUALLY BRING ANOTHER CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION TO THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA BY SUNDAY NIGHT.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
THE LOW NORTH OF ATTU WILL RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN OVER THE NEXT DAY
AS IT MOVES RAPIDLY TOWARD ST LAWRENCE ISLAND. THIS WILL BRING A
LARGE AREA OF GALE FORCE WINDS AND SOME STORM FORCE WINDS TO THE
BERING SEA AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. WHILE PRECIPITATION WILL
BE RAIN AS IT BEGINS AND THEN TURNS TO SNOW SHOWERS AFTER THE COLD
AIR WRAPS AROUND THE LOW FROM THE NORTHWEST.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST...

WHILE THE MODELS ARE CONTINUING TO STRUGGLE WITH THE TRACK OF A
DEVELOPING LOW FROM THE GULF INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...THE GENERAL LONG TERM PATTERN REMAINS
LARGELY UNCHANGED. A LONG WAVE TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE WEST
COAST INTO THE AKPENN ON MONDAY WILL DISSIPATE AND FORM A CUTOFF
LOW OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHERN GULF BY WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW
FOR RIDGING TO SPREAD THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE MAINLAND...KEEPING
CONDITIONS DRY WITH NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THERE IS ALSO A POSSIBILITY THAT THIS PERIOD
OF QUIET WEATHER FOR THE MAINLAND COULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE WORK
WEEK.

OUT WEST...THERE REMAINS VERY GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE TIMING OF AN
ALEUTIAN LOW THAT WILL BEGIN MOVING THROUGH THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS
ON LATE TUESDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL THEN SPREAD INTO THE CENTRAL
BERING BY LATE IN THE WORK WEEK...KEEPING CLOUDY SKIES WITH A
CHANCE OF RAIN FOR THE REGION THROUGH THE WORK WEEK.

DUE TO THE FAIRLY LARGE UNCERTAINTY IN THE LOW TRACK THROUGH THE
GULF AND NORTH PACIFIC FROM TUESDAY INTO THURSDAY...THE LONG TERM
FORECAST ONCE AGAIN HEAVILY USED WPC GUIDANCE. THIS KEEPS THE LOW
TRACK MOSTLY TO THE SOUTH OF THE AOR...TREATING THE FURTHER NORTH
TRACK TOWARDS THE NORTH GULF COAST FROM PREVIOUS RUNS OF THE GFS
AS AN OUTLIER. THE EC AND GFS ENSEMBLE MEANS HAVE BEEN RELATIVELY
CONSISTENT WITH THIS LOW TRACK...LEADING TO INCREASED CONFIDENCE
IN QUIET WEATHER MOVING INTO THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND BY MID WEEK.

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 178 181. STORM 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.
&&

OCT 14

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 25, 3:46 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC48 hr
Oct 25, 3:46 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC5 days
Oct 25, 3:50 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Oct 25, 3:34 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC48 hr
Oct 25, 3:47 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC48 hr
Oct 25, 3:47 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC5 days

Nearby

Storm Warnings in Alaska, 2014Every storm warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.