Small Craft Advisory 95, NWS Anchorage, AK

111 
FZAK51 PAFC 311640 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
740 AM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014

UPDATED 126 127 129

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-010300-
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PERSIST ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST
THROUGH SAT.
$$

PKZ119-010300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-010300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-010300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-010300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-010300-
PORT VALDEZ
740 AM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-010300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
740 AM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-010300-
VALDEZ ARM
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-010300-
PASSAGE CANAL
740 AM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-010300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-010300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-010300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-010300-
CHINIAK BAY
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ137-010300-
MARMOT BAY
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-010300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ139-010300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-010300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2
FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-010300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

521 
FZAK51 PAFC 010033
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-011500-
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PERSIST ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST
THROUGH SAT. A WEAK WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWEST GULF
SUN AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-011500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-011500-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-011500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-011500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ126-011500-
PORT VALDEZ
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ127-011500-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-011500-
VALDEZ ARM
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-011500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2
FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT THROUGH SUN NIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-011500-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-011500-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-011500-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-011500-
CHINIAK BAY
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-011500-
MARMOT BAY
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-011500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ139-011500-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-011500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-011500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
145 PM AKST THU JAN 30 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE ABNORMALLY STRONG LONGWAVE RIDGE OVER WESTERN NORTH AMERICA HAS
WEAKENED...BUT MUCH OF MAINLAND ALASKA REMAINS UNDER THE GENERAL
INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE WITH AMPLE SUNSHINE AND MODERATE
TEMPERATURES. GAP WINDS ARE SLOWLY INCREASING AROUND THE GULF COASTAL
AREAS AS A WEAK TROUGH ALONG THE COAST COMBINES WITH RISING PRESSURES
OVER INTERIOR AREAS. A WEAKENING VERTICALLY STACKED LOW NEAR THE
ALASKA PENINSULA IS SEPARATED FROM UPPER LEVEL JET SUPPORT AND IS
BEING RAPIDLY BROKEN DOWN BY THE INFLUENCE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED HIGH
PRESSURE. SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN MAINLAND IS ALREADY SHOWING SIGNS OF ABATING AS THE
OVERALL STORM WEAKENS RAPIDLY FROM THE BOTTOM UP. FURTHER WEST...A
FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS IS RAPIDLY WEAKENING AND DRIFTING
EASTWARD AS THE PARENT LOW MOVES RAPIDLY AWAY INTO FAR EASTERN
RUSSIA.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
FOR MOST PURPOSES THE MODELS ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK. AS RECENTLY AS YESTERDAY MODELS WERE STRUGGLING WITH THE
TRACK OF AN UPPER LOW OVER THE NORTHERN BERING...DRIVEN NORTH BY AN
AMPLIFYING BERING SEA RIDGE ON SATURDAY. THE STRUGGLE WAS HOW FAR
NORTH THIS LOW WOULD BE PUSHED BEFORE TURNING SOUTHWARD AND DROPPING
BACK SOUTH OF THE STATE. THIS CAN BE TRACED BACK TO THE STRENGTH OF A
CORRESPONDING JET STREAK OVER THE WESTERN BERING. THE ECMWF WAS THE
FIRST TO DEPICT A STRONGER JET...WHICH MAKES SENSE GIVEN THE COLD
AIRMASS IN SIBERIA AND RESULTING STRONG TEMPERATURE GRADIENT OVER THE
WESTERN BERING. IN THE LAST 24 HOURS...ALL MODELS BUT THE GFS HAVE
SHOWED A PRONOUNCED MOVEMENT TOWARD THIS MORE NORTHWARD TRACK OF THE
UPPER LOW...AND WILL BE USED IN THE GENERATION OF THE AFTERNOON
FORECAST. THANKFULLY...THIS FEATURE WILL NOT HAVE A MAJOR IMPACT
OTHER THAN INCREASED CLOUDINESS AND SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY THIS WEEKEND
OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...THE PATTERN SHAPING UP FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE WILL
CONTINUE TO BRING SUNSHINE AND DRY WEATHER TO MOST AREAS AS HIGH
PRESSURE REMAINS AND EVEN INTENSIFIES OVERHEAD. THE BIGGEST EMERGING
FORECAST CHALLENGE WILL BE STEADILY INCREASING GAP WINDS THROUGH
FAVORED AREAS SUCH AS WHITTIER...SEWARD...AND THE VALDEZ AREA. AT
THIS POINT IT DOES NOT LOOK LIKE WINDS WILL GET ANYWHERE NEAR WARNING
LEVELS...AS THE KEY INGREDIENT OF COLD AIR IN INTERIOR ALASKA IS
LACKING OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. NEVERTHELESS...SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE INTERIOR COUPLED WITH WEAK LOW PRESSURE IN THE GULF
MAY ALLOW AREAS LIKE THOMPSON PASS TO APPROACH THE 40-50 MPH RANGE BY
THE WEEKEND.

SOUTHWEST...MULTIPLE WEAK UPPER LEVEL FEATURES WILL KEEP SCATTERED
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS AROUND...MAINLY ALONG THE COASTLINES...THROUGH
THIS WEEKEND. AS MENTIONED ABOVE...NONE OF THESE FEATURES WILL BE
PARTICULAR SIGNIFICANT...BUT WILL DELAY THE BREAKOUT OF WIDESPREAD
SUNSHINE UNTIL SUNDAY WHEN OFFSHORE FLOW AND A MORE PRONOUNCED
COOLING TREND BEGIN TO TAKE HOLD.

BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...A WEATHER FRONT CURRENTLY OVER THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS WILL CONTINUE TO STEADILY WEAKEN AND DRIFT NORTHEASTWARD
TONIGHT. THIS WILL BRING LITTLE MORE THAN SHOWERS AND BRIEFLY GUSTY
WINDS TO THE PRIBILOFS AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. A
MORE SIGNIFICANT AND SLOW-MOVING FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS DURING THE DAY TOMORROW. AT THIS POINT IT APPEARS WINDS
WILL REMAIN BELOW WARNING LEVEL AS STRONG WARM ADVECTION KEEPS THE
CORE OF STRONGEST WINDS ALOFT.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
INDICATIONS CONTINUE THAT A HIGH-LATITUDE BLOCKING PATTERN MAY KEEP
MORE TYPICAL WINTER WEATHER AT BAY THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. WHILE
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO COOL DOWN TO MORE TYPICAL VALUES AT
MOST PLACES...UNUSUALLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST...MEANING NO NEW
SNOWFALL IN THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE AROUND SOUTHCENTRAL AND LITTLE
MORE THAN A DUSTING OF SNOW AROUND SOUTHWEST ALASKA.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH 131
MARINE...STORM 178
         GALE 177
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

AMD JAN 14