Small Craft Advisory 752, NWS Anchorage, AK

860 
FZAK52 PAFC 291140
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
340 AM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-300045-
340 AM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 994 MB LOW 370 NM SOUTH OF ADAK WILL SLOWLY MOVE TO 410 NM
SOUTH OF COLD BAY AT 992 MB LATE TUE NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE BERING SEA AND PERSIST THROUGH TUE
NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-300045-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
340 AM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ155-300045-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
340 AM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ160-300045-
BRISTOL BAY-
340 AM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ165-300045-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
340 AM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ170-300045-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
340 AM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ171-300045-
UNALASKA BAY-
340 AM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ172-300045-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
340 AM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ173-300045-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
340 AM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ174-300045-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
340 AM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ175-300045-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
340 AM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ176-300045-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
340 AM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ177-300045-
ADAK TO KISKA-
340 AM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ178-300045-
KISKA TO ATTU-
340 AM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ179-300045-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
340 AM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ180-300045-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
340 AM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-300045-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
340 AM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
6 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ185-300045-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
340 AM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

356 
FZAK52 PAFC 292252
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
252 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-301145-
252 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTH
AND EAST THROUGH WED. A 994 MB LOW 390 NM SOUTH OF ADAK MOVES TO
400 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT AT 991 MB WED AFTERNOON. A 987 MB
LOW 440 NM WEST OF SHEMYA TUE NIGHT MOVES TO 400 NM WEST OF
SHEMYA AT 982 MB WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-301145-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
252 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ155-301145-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
252 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 20 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E.
SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ160-301145-
BRISTOL BAY-
252 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-301145-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
252 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ170-301145-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
252 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ171-301145-
UNALASKA BAY-
252 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-301145-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
252 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ173-301145-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
252 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ174-301145-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
252 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ175-301145-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
252 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ176-301145-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
252 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ177-301145-
ADAK TO KISKA-
252 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ178-301145-
KISKA TO ATTU-
252 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ179-301145-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
252 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ180-301145-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
252 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT EXCEPT 25 KT S OF CAPE NEWENHAM. SEAS
5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ181-301145-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
252 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ185-301145-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
252 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT EXCEPT S 15 KT W OF SAINT MATTHEW
ISLAND. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

955 
FZAK52 PAFC 301140 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
340 AM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-010015-
340 AM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTH
AND EAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A 994 MB LOW 530 NM SOUTHEAST OF ADAK
WILL MOVE TO 380 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT AT 987 MB EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING. A 990 MB LOW IN THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC WILL MOVE
TO 460 NM WEST OF SHEMYA AT 979 MB BY WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...BECOMING STATIONARY AND WEAKENING TO 992 MB EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-010015-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
340 AM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ155-010015-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
340 AM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ160-010015-
BRISTOL BAY-
340 AM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-010015-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
340 AM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 6
FT.
.TONIGHT AND WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ170-010015-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
340 AM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ171-010015-
UNALASKA BAY-
340 AM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY
FOG.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-010015-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
340 AM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ173-010015-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
340 AM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ174-010015-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
340 AM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ175-010015-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
340 AM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ176-010015-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
340 AM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ177-010015-
ADAK TO KISKA-
340 AM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ178-010015-
KISKA TO ATTU-
340 AM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 8
FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ179-010015-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
340 AM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 7
FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ180-010015-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
340 AM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ181-010015-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
340 AM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ185-010015-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
340 AM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
147 PM AKDT SUN SEP 28 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...LARGE SCALE SPLIT FLOW CONTINUES OVER
THE ALASKA REGION. IN THE SOUTHERN STREAM A COUPLE OF MATURE
VERTICALLY STACKED LOWS ARE AFFECTING A SMALL PORTION OF THE
FORECAST AREA. ONE OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF ALASKA WITH TROUGH
EXTENDING NORTHWARD TO THE ALASKA/CANADA BORDER IS EXITING TO THE
EAST WITH JUST A FEW SHOWERS LEFT IN THE EASTERN COPPER RIVER
BASIN. ANOTHER STRONGER LOW SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS IS TRACKING
VERY SLOWLY TO THE EAST. SATELLITE SCATTEROMETER DATA CONTINUES TO
SHOW MINIMUM GALE FORCE WINDS ALONG THE OCCLUDED FRONT SOUTH OF
THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A STRONG SHORT- WAVE
MOVING INTO THE BASE OF THE TROUGH RESULTING IN AMPLIFICATION.
THIS WILL EVENTUALLY CAUSE THE LOW TRACK TO CURVE TOWARD THE SOUTH
AWAY FROM THE ALEUTIANS.

MEANWHILE...THE FOCUS FOR THE SHORT-TERM FORECAST IS THE NORTHERN
STREAM TROUGH WHICH IS DIGGING OUT OF THE ARCTIC AND INTO WESTERN
ALASKA THIS MORNING.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD SYNOPTIC AGREEMENT AND
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS GENERALLY HIGH. THERE ARE SOME MINOR
DIFFERENCES IN ORIENTATION/AMPLITUDE OF DIGGING TROUGH AS IT MOVES
THROUGH SOUTHCENTRAL INTO THE NORTHERN GULF. NAM IS THE OUTLIER
WITH A MUCH MORE ELONGATED AND POSITIVELY TILTED WAVE. THE TREND
IN THE OTHER SOLUTIONS IS TOWARD A SLIGHTLY LESS CONCENTRATED/AMPLIFIED
WAVE. THIS WILL SLOW THE DEVELOPMENT OF UPPER LOW AND CAUSE THE
SURFACE LOW TO DEVELOP FARTHER EAST. THE IMPLICATIONS FOR THE
FORECAST ARE A BIT WEAKER SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS IN THE PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND AREA (MARGINALLY WEAKER WINDS) AND LESS PRECIP IN
THE COPPER RIVER BASIN. WILL FINE TUNE THE WINDS BASED ON THESE
MODEL TRENDS AND BACK OFF ON QPF OVER THE COPPER RIVER BASIN.

SIGNIFICANT MODEL DIFFERENCES ARISE OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC TUE
NIGHT AND WED WITH HANDLING OF THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM 17W.
FORTUNATELY THIS ONLY AFFECTS THE FORECAST FOR THE FAR WESTERN
ALEUTIANS. WILL USE A FAIRLY BROAD-BRUSH AVERAGE OF THE GFS/ECMWF
FOR NOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EXPECT A LITTLE BIT OF WIND JUST ABOUT
EVERYWHERE MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT AS ARCTIC TROUGH DROPS
SOUTHWARD ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS THROUGH AND
NEAR MOUNTAIN GAPS. AS IS TYPICALLY THE CASE THE STRONGEST WINDS
BY FAR WILL BE ALONG PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND THE NORTH GULF
COAST. BASED ON THE TREND MENTIONED IN THE MODEL DISCUSSION ABOVE
CONFIDENCE IS NOW MUCH GREATER THAT WINDS WILL REMAIN SUB-WARNING
LEVEL THROUGHOUT THIS EVENT. CURRENT FORECAST HAS A PRETTY GOOD
HANDLE ON THE WINDS SO WILL JUST BE FINE-TUNING TIMING AND SPEEDS
FOR THE AFTERNOON PACKAGE.

WITH A LESS CONCENTRATED SHORT-WAVE CHANCE OF PRECIP IS A LITTLE
HIGHER OVER SOUTHCENTRAL AS THE TROUGH MOVES THROUGH...ESPECIALLY
FROM THE TALKEETNA MOUNTAINS INTO THE COPPER RIVER BASIN. TROUGH
WILL STILL BE BARRELING RIGHT ALONG A FAST CLIP SO ANY SNOW THAT
DOES FALL WILL BE VERY BRIEF. THE ONE EXCEPTION IS THE EASTERN
COPPER RIVER BASIN WHICH STILL HAS A SHOT AT SEEING SOME MINOR
SNOW ACCUMULATION MONDAY NIGHT. THIS EVENT WILL WRAP UP QUICKLY
TUESDAY NIGHT AS THE UPPER TROUGH EXITS TO THE EAST AND PRESSURE
GRADIENTS QUICKLY SLACKEN WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN. MID WEEK
WILL SEE A RETURN TO CLEAR AND DRY WEATHER IN WHAT IS TURNING OUT
TO BE ONE OF THE NICEST STRETCHES OF WEATHER IN YEARS FOR LATE
SEPTEMBER/EARLY OCTOBER TIME FRAME.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...THERE ARE A FEW SHOWERS OUT AHEAD OF THE UPPER
TROUGH FROM THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY INTO THE FAR WESTERN KUSKOKWIM
VALLEY. AS TROUGH DIGS SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS INTERIOR SOUTHWEST
ALASKA TONIGHT EXPECT SHOWERS TO BECOME A LITTLE MORE NUMEROUS
OVER THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL RAPIDLY BUILD IN
BEHIND THIS TROUGH MONDAY AND PROVIDE DRY AND SEASONABLY COOL
TEMPERATURES THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...RAIN AND WIND WILL HOLD ON ALONG THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS UNTIL THE LOW TO THE SOUTH FINALLY DROPS
SOUTHWARD MONDAY NIGHT. OTHERWISE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER
THE HEART OF THE BERING SEA AND CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN THROUGH MID
WEEK...SETTING UP A BLOCKING PATTERN AND PROVIDING VERY QUIET
CONDITIONS FOR MOST OF THE REGION. THE ONE EXCEPTION WILL BE THE
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ON THE UPSTREAM SIDE OF THE RIDGE WHICH WILL
SEE IMPACTS FROM A SYSTEM PASSING TO THE WEST MID WEEK.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (THU OCT 2ND - SUN OCT 5)...

ON THURSDAY...A CLOSED BLOCKING HIGH OVER THE BERING WITH A RIDGE
AXIS EXTENDING INTO EASTERN SIBERIA WILL FORCE A CROSS POLAR FLOW
PATTERN TO DEVELOP...WITH A STRENGTHENING ARCTIC TROUGH DEVELOPING
OVER THE MAINLAND. DISTURBANCES IN NORTH TO NORTHWEST FLOW WILL
TRACK INTO THE AREA...WITH PROGRESSIVELY COLDER AIR PUSHING INTO
THE REGION. 850 HPA TEMPERATURES (APPROXIMATELY 5000 FEET) WILL
BE APPROACHING -4 TO -8 CELSIUS BY SUNDAY...WHICH WILL EVENTUALLY
BRING THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES OF THE YEAR TO SOUTHERN ALASKA.
SOME UNCERTAINTY DEVELOPS LATE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A COLD UPPER LEVEL VORTEX OVER SOUTHERN ALASKA AND
THE NORTHERN GULF...WITH THE ECMWF AND CANADIAN GDPS MUCH MORE
BULLISH WITH THE SCENARIO THAN THE PROGRESSIVE GFS. SUCH A
SOLUTION WOULD INCREASE SNOW CHANCES...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
COPPER BASIN. THE FORECAST WILL TAKE A MIDDLE GROUND APPROACH AND
WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION SNOW CHANCES ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHCENTRAL BY THE WEEKEND.

- AHSENMACHER

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING...119 121 127 129 130 131 174 175 176 177.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SEB/AHSENMACHER SEP 14