Gale Warning 548, NWS Anchorage, AK

528 
FZAK51 PAFC 282257
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
257 PM AKDT SUN SEP 28 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-291200-
257 PM AKDT SUN SEP 28 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 994 MB LOW 235 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKA WILL EXIT TO THE EAST SUN
NIGHT AND MON. A 1004 MB LOW WILL FORM ABOUT 40 NM WEST OF CAPE
SUCKLING MON AFTERNOON AND TRACK TO SOUTHEAST ALASKA BY LATE TUE.


$$

PKZ119-291200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
257 PM AKDT SUN SEP 28 2014

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT EXCEPT 2 FT NEAR THE COAST.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING
TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-291200-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
257 PM AKDT SUN SEP 28 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-291200-
RESURRECTION BAY-
257 PM AKDT SUN SEP 28 2014

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING
TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-291200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
257 PM AKDT SUN SEP 28 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
6 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-291200-
PORT VALDEZ-
257 PM AKDT SUN SEP 28 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ127-291200-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
257 PM AKDT SUN SEP 28 2014

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-291200-
VALDEZ ARM-
257 PM AKDT SUN SEP 28 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-291200-
PASSAGE CANAL-
257 PM AKDT SUN SEP 28 2014

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5
FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-291200-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
257 PM AKDT SUN SEP 28 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-291200-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
257 PM AKDT SUN SEP 28 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ132-291200-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
257 PM AKDT SUN SEP 28 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 20 KT S OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS
8 FT EXCEPT 5 FT S OF DANGEROUS CAPE.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ136-291200-
CHINIAK BAY-
257 PM AKDT SUN SEP 28 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-291200-
MARMOT BAY-
257 PM AKDT SUN SEP 28 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ138-291200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
257 PM AKDT SUN SEP 28 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
6 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS
AND PASSES. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-291200-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
257 PM AKDT SUN SEP 28 2014

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ140-291200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
257 PM AKDT SUN SEP 28 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ141-291200-
KACHEMAK BAY-
257 PM AKDT SUN SEP 28 2014

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

700 
FZAK51 PAFC 291154
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
354 AM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-300030-
354 AM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 999 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTH OF SITKA WILL MOVE ONSHORE THE SOUTHERN
PANHANDLE THIS AFTERNOON. A 1003 MB LOW WILL FORM NEAR CAPE
SUCKLING MON AFTERNOON AND MOVE INTO THE PANHANDLE AT 1007 MB TUE
EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE ENTIRE GULF TUE
NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-300030-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
354 AM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-300030-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
354 AM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT EARLY INCREASING TO 30 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-300030-
RESURRECTION BAY-
354 AM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 35 KT LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING DIMINISHING
TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-300030-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
354 AM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT
WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-300030-
PORT VALDEZ-
354 AM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT LATE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT LATE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING
DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ127-300030-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
354 AM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-300030-
VALDEZ ARM-
354 AM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-300030-
PASSAGE CANAL-
354 AM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR
WHITTIER...GUSTS TO 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. NEAR WHITTIER...GUSTS TO 50 KT DIMINISHING TO
40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-300030-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
354 AM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-300030-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
354 AM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ132-300030-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
354 AM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT EXCEPT NW 20 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 6
FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ136-300030-
CHINIAK BAY-
354 AM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-300030-
MARMOT BAY-
354 AM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-300030-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
354 AM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT MAINLY IN THE EVENING. SEAS
5 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-300030-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
354 AM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT MAINLY IN THE EVENING. SEAS
5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ140-300030-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
354 AM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT MAINLY IN THE EVENING. SEAS
5 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ141-300030-
KACHEMAK BAY-
354 AM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

325 
FZAK51 PAFC 292252
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
252 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-301200-
252 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1004 MB LOW NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND MOVES TO 100 NM SOUTHEAST OF
YAKUTAT AT 1011 MB TUE AFTERNOON. A DEVELOPING LOW OVER THE NORTH
PACIFIC MOVES TO 450 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-301200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
252 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA BY LATE EVENING. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-301200-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
252 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-301200-
RESURRECTION BAY-
252 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. WINDS DIMINISHING TO 25
KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-301200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
252 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
WINDS DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING
TO 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-301200-
PORT VALDEZ-
252 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT BY
LATE EVENING. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. WINDS DIMINISHING TO 20
KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-301200-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
252 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS 4
FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-301200-
VALDEZ ARM-
252 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS 7
FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-301200-
PASSAGE CANAL-
252 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. NEAR WHITTIER...GUSTS TO 55 KT IN THE
MORNING. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
NEAR WHITTIER...GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-301200-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
252 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-301200-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
252 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-301200-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
252 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 20 KT S OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 8
FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT EXCEPT N 15 KT S OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 6
FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-301200-
CHINIAK BAY-
252 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-301200-
MARMOT BAY-
252 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-301200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
252 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-301200-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
252 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-301200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
252 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-301200-
KACHEMAK BAY-
252 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

685 
FZAK51 PAFC 300123 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
523 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

UPDATED ZONE 119

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-301415-
523 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1004 MB LOW NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND MOVES TO 100 NM SOUTHEAST OF
YAKUTAT AT 1011 MB TUE AFTERNOON. A DEVELOPING LOW OVER THE NORTH
PACIFIC MOVES TO 450 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-301415-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
523 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA BY LATE EVENING. SEAS 10 FT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EVENING.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-301415-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
523 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-301415-
RESURRECTION BAY-
523 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. WINDS DIMINISHING TO
25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-301415-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
523 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
WINDS DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING
TO 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-301415-
PORT VALDEZ-
523 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT BY
LATE EVENING. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. WINDS DIMINISHING TO
20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-301415-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
523 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS
4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-301415-
VALDEZ ARM-
523 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS
7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-301415-
PASSAGE CANAL-
523 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. NEAR WHITTIER...GUSTS TO 55 KT IN THE
MORNING. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
NEAR WHITTIER...GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-301415-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
523 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-301415-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
523 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-301415-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
523 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 20 KT S OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS
8 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT EXCEPT N 15 KT S OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS
6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-301415-
CHINIAK BAY-
523 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-301415-
MARMOT BAY-
523 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-301415-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
523 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-301415-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
523 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-301415-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
523 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-301415-
KACHEMAK BAY-
523 PM AKDT MON SEP 29 2014

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

188 
FZAK51 PAFC 301130
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
330 AM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-010015-
330 AM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1002 MB LOW 40 NM WEST OF YAKUTAT WILL WEAKEN TO 1007 MB BEFORE
TRACKING INLAND OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE THIS AFTERNOON. A
DEVELOPING LOW OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC MOVES TO 440 NM SOUTH OF
KODIAK ISLAND EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-010015-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
330 AM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS
7 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-010015-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
330 AM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO E 15 KT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-010015-
RESURRECTION BAY-
330 AM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT EARLY DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-010015-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
330 AM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT
WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT
IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-010015-
PORT VALDEZ-
330 AM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT
WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT
IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-010015-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
330 AM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT.
.TONIGHT AND WED...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-010015-
VALDEZ ARM-
330 AM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT AND WED...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-010015-
PASSAGE CANAL-
330 AM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 45 KT MAINLY IN THE MORNING NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-010015-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
330 AM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING NE 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-010015-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
330 AM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-010015-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
330 AM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT EXCEPT N 25 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS
6 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF
CAPE DANGEROUS...NW WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING E 10 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-010015-
CHINIAK BAY-
330 AM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 1 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-010015-
MARMOT BAY-
330 AM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-010015-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
330 AM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT .
SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING NE 15 KT.
SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-010015-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
330 AM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-010015-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
330 AM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-010015-
KACHEMAK BAY-
330 AM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 20 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
120 PM AKDT SAT SEP 27 2014

...STRONG WIND EVENT COMING TO COASTAL SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA MONDAY
AND TUESDAY...

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...A VERTICALLY STACKED LOW JUST SOUTH
OF THE GULF OF ALASKA IS TRACKING SLOWLY EASTWARD WHILE A SERIES
OF UPPER WAVES AND A DISSIPATING SURFACE OCCLUDED FRONT TRACK
NORTH AND WEST TOWARD THE GULF COAST. RAINFALL ALONG THE NORTH
GULF COAST THIS MORNING IS LIGHT AND SPOTTY...BUT EXPECT STEADIER
MORE INTENSE RAIN TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AS A NOTABLY STRONGER
UPPER WAVE APPROACHES. A FEW SHOWERS HAVE MADE IT OVER THE KENAI
MOUNTAINS. OTHERWISE...DRY CONDITIONS PREVAIL NORTH OF THE COASTAL
RANGE.

A HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE IS BUILDING IN BEHIND THIS STORM SYSTEM
ACROSS THE EASTERN BERING AND INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA. TIGHT SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENTS COMBINED WITH SYNOPTIC SCALE SUBSIDENCE AND
LOW LEVEL INSTABILITY ARE PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY WINDS ALONG THE
ALASKA PENINSULA...ESPECIALLY THROUGH GAPS IN THE TERRAIN.

UPSTREAM OF THE RIDGE A LARGE MODERATE STRENGTH MATURE LOW IS
TRACKING SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS WITH OCCLUDED FRONT IMMEDIATELY
SOUTH OF THE CHAIN. SATELLITE SCATTEROMETER DATA FROM OVERNIGHT
SHOWS MIN GALES AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE LOW HAS BOTTOMED OUT...SO
EXPECT GRADUAL WEAKENING FROM HERE ON OUT.

LASTLY...A GLANCE AT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH
TRACKING EASTWARD ACROSS EASTERN SIBERIA. THIS IS THE TROUGH WHICH
ULTIMATELY WILL DIG SOUTHWARD ACROSS MAINLAND ALASKA BRINGING
ARCTIC AIR AND STRONG WINDS TO SOUTHCENTRAL FOR THE BEGINNING OF
THE WORK WEEK.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...AS HAS BEEN THE CASE THE PAST FEW DAYS THERE
ARE MINOR DIFFERENCES IN HANDLING OF UPPER LEVEL SHORT-WAVES AS
THEY TRACK OVER TOP OF THE GULF LOW AND INTO SOUTHCENTRAL. THE
DIFFERENCES LARGELY AFFECT PRECIP FORECAST OVER THE COPPER BASIN
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. NAM IS THE MOST AGGRESSIVE IN PUSHING
PRECIP NORTH AND WEST TO GLENNALLEN AND BEYOND WHILE MOST OF THE
SOLUTIONS KEEP THE BULK (IF NOT ALL) OF THE PRECIP SOUTH AND EAST
OF GLENNALLEN. UNLESS SEE ANY EVIDENCE TO THE CONTRARY...WILL GO
WITH THE MAJORITY SOLUTION IN THIS CASE.

THE ECMWF IS SLIGHTLY FASTER THAN THE REST OF THE MODELS WITH TROUGH
DIGGING THROUGH SOUTHCENTRAL MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. WILL STICK
WITH SLOWER TIMING WHICH MATCHES INHERITED GRIDS. OTHERWISE...MODELS
ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE PRECIP FORECAST OVER THE COPPER RIVER
BASIN FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS ABOVE AVERAGE TO HIGH. IN
PARTICULAR...THERE HAS BEEN ENOUGH CONSISTENCY WITH DEPICTION OF
IMPENDING WIND EVENT OVER SOUTHCENTRAL TO START FINE TUNING A LOT
OF THE WIND FORECASTS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...THE BULK OF RAIN WITH THE GULF STORM SYSTEM
WILL FALL FROM PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND TO THE EASTERN COPPER BASIN...
WITH PRECIP GRADUALLY EXITING TO THE EAST WITH THE UPPER TROUGH
DURING THE DAY SUNDAY.

ALL EYES WILL THEN TURN TO A POTENT UPPER LEVEL SHORT-WAVE DIGGING
SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE STATE MONDAY AND INTO THE NORTHERN GULF
MONDAY NIGHT. THE SHORT-WAVE COMBINED WITH WEAK TO MODERATE LOW
LEVEL COLD ADVECTION WILL INDUCE CYCLOGENESIS OVER THE NORTHERN
GULF WHICH WILL TIGHTEN PRESSURE GRADIENTS WHICH THEN CONTRIBUTES
TO MAINTAINING OR STRENGTHENING GAP WINDS ALONG PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND AND THE NORTH GULF COAST.

BASED ON AN EVALUATION OF THE VARIOUS FORCING MECHANISMS FOR THIS
WIND EVENT AS DEPICTED BY THE COMPUTER MODELS...UPPER LEVEL JET IS
WEAK (AROUND 70 KTS)...SHORT-WAVE AND ASSOCIATED SUBSIDENCE
(DOWNWARD MOMENTUM) IS STRONG...LOW LEVEL COLD ADVECTION IS
MODERATE AND FAIRLY SHORT-LIVED (MOST OF THE ADVECTION OCCURS OVER
A 6 HOUR PERIOD)...AND SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS BECOME STRONG AS
SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS OVER THE GULF. SO OVERALL THIS LOOKS LIKE A
MODERATE STRENGTH EVENT WHICH SHOULD REMAIN BELOW HIGH WIND
WARNING THRESHOLDS. THIS TYPE OF EVENT IS EXTREMELY COMMON IN THE
CORE WINTER MONTHS...BUT FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR IT IS MUCH RARER.
SO EVEN THOUGH DON'T EXPECT WARNING LEVEL WINDS WILL ISSUE A
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT TO HEIGHTEN AWARENESS OF THE APPROACHING
WIND EVENT...ESPECIALLY FOR THE COMMUNITIES OF
SEWARD/WHITTIER/VALDEZ WHERE THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED.

WINDS WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER THE
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AREA AS THE SHORT-WAVE PASSES RIGHT
OVERHEAD. STRONG WINDS WILL BE A BIT DELAYED OVER EASTERN PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND. WITH SHORT-WAVE DIVING INTO THE NORTHERN GULF UPPER
LEVELS WILL NOT BECOME REALLY FAVORABLE UNTIL THE UPPER TROUGH
AXIS PUSHES THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT. ONCE UPPER TROUGH HAS MOVED
THROUGH THESE AREAS AND COLD ADVECTION HAS ABATED THE EVENT WILL
SHIFT TO MORE OF A GAP WIND EVENT AS PRESSURE GRADIENTS TIGHTEN
WITH THE DEVELOPING LOW OVER THE NORTHERN GULF. THIS WILL
MAINTAIN STRONG WINDS THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY.

ALTHOUGH THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST ALL OF
SOUTHCENTRAL WILL SEE SOME GUSTY WIND AS THE UPPER TROUGH AND
COLD ADVECTION MOVE THROUGH. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF ENHANCED WINDS
THROUGH GAPS IN THE MOUNTAINS THESE GUSTY WINDS WILL BE FAIRLY
SHORT-LIVED.

AS THE SHORT-WAVE INITIALLY CROSSES SOUTHCENTRAL THERE MAY BE SOME
LIGHT PRECIP...PRIMARILY OVER THE MOUNTAINS...BUT ANYTHING THAT
DOES FALL WILL BE VERY SHORT-LIVED WITH SUCH RAPID MOVEMENT OF THE
SHORT-WAVE AND WITH DRIER AND COLDER AIR ADVECTING IN BEHIND IT.

AS THE TROUGH DIGS INTO THE GULF AND LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS
PRECIPITATION WILL DEVELOP OVER THE EASTERN COPPER RIVER BASIN
MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EVENING. WITH COLD AIR RAPIDLY MOVING IN
PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO ALL SNOW MONDAY NIGHT. THE LOW WILL
CONTINUE TO PROGRESS EASTWARD...SO IT SHOULDN'T BE A LONG-LIVED
SNOW EVENT. HOWEVER...IT COULD BE BRIEFLY HEAVY ALONG AND NEAR
THE WRANGELL MOUNTAINS AND PRODUCE SEVERAL INCHES OF
ACCUMULATION.

THE ENTIRE EVENT WILL WIND DOWN BY TUESDAY NIGHT AS THE TROUGH
EXITS TO THE EAST AND RIDGE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...THE ARCTIC SHORT-WAVE WILL TRACK ACROSS INTERIOR
SOUTHWEST ALASKA SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...SO IMPACT
WILL BE MUCH LESS THAN OVER SOUTHCENTRAL. WINDS WILL PEAK WITH
PASSAGE OF THE SHORT-WAVE AND COLD ADVECTION AND THEN QUICKLY DIE
DOWN MONDAY NIGHT AS RIDGING (SURFACE AND ALOFT) MOVES OVERHEAD.
SIMILAR TO WHAT WAS MENTIONED FOR WESTERN PORTIONS OF SOUTHCENTRAL
ALASKA THERE MAY BE SOME PRECIP RIGHT AHEAD OF THE TROUGH...BUT
IT WILL BE LIGHT AND BRIEF. THE BEST SHOT OF A LITTLE BIT OF SNOW
WILL BE ON THE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE ALASKA RANGE IN UPSLOPE
FLOW. OTHERWISE...THE DRY AND SEASONABLY COOL WEATHER WILL CONTINUE
OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...WINDS WILL HANG ON ALONG THE ALASKA PENINSULA
THROUGH TONIGHT (ESPECIALLY THROUGH THE GAPS) AS PRESSURE GRADIENTS
REMAIN TIGHT BETWEEN THE EXITING LOW AND THE RIDGE BUILDING IN
FROM THE WEST. THE WESTERN TO CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WILL REMAIN ON THE
NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF STORM SYSTEM TRACKING SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS
UNTIL IT FINALLY DROPS SOUTHWARD MONDAY NIGHT. ELSEWHERE ACROSS
THE REGION EXPECT VERY BENIGN CONDITIONS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR
WITH A RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE HEART OF THE BERING SEA ON MONDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (WED OCT 1ST - SAT OCT 4)...

CONFIDENCE CONTINUES TO INCREASE IN THE EXTENDED RANGE PERIOD AS
AN IMPRESSIVE HIGH LATITUDE BLOCKING HIGH FORMS OVER THE BERING
SEA. THIS FEATURE WILL HELP SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN ARCTIC
TROUGH ACROSS MAINLAND ALASKA...WITH PERSISTENT OFFSHORE FLOW AND
COOLER AND DRIER AIR INFILTRATING SOUTHERN ALASKA. PRECIPITATION
THREATS THROUGH THURSDAY WILL BE RELEGATED TO THE NORTHERN SLOPES
OF THE ALASKA RANGE AS WAVE DISTURBANCES IN NORTHWEST FLOW TRACK
OVER THE REGION. THE TRACK OF A NORTH PACIFIC LOW MOVING INTO THE
GULF OF ALASKA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY REMAINS SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN...WITH
THE ECMWF AND CANADIAN GDPS FAVORING AN EASTWARD TRACK TOWARD THE
PANHANDLE WHILE THE GFS FAVORS A TRACK TOWARD THE ALCAN BORDER.
EITHER WAY...ARCTIC AIR WILL INFILTRATE MOST OF SOUTHERN ALASKA BY
SATURDAY...WITH THE THREAT FOR PRECIPITATION ACROSS PARTS OF THE
COPPER BASIN AS THE LOW TRACKS INTO THE EASTERN GULF. THIS
FORECAST WILL TAKE A CONSERVATIVE MIDDLE GROUND APPROACH WITH THE
GULF LOW LATE WEEK...YIELDING CHANCE PRECIPITATION THREATS MAINLY
ACROSS THE COPPER BASIN...AND MAINLY DRY AND COLD ELSEWHERE.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING...130 131 150 174 175 176 177 178.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SEB/JA SEP 14