Small Craft Advisory 583, NWS Anchorage, AK

169 
FZAK51 PAFC 050614 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1014 PM AKDT MON AUG 4 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-051915-
1014 PM AKDT MON AUG 4 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 998 MB LOW 40 NM SW OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 90 NM E OF
KODIAK AT 1004 MB TUE AFTERNOON AND THEN WEAKEN TO 1010 MB AS IT
MOVES TO 160 NM E OF KODIAK WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-051915-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
1014 PM AKDT MON AUG 4 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ120-051915-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
1014 PM AKDT MON AUG 4 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-051915-
RESURRECTION BAY-
1014 PM AKDT MON AUG 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-051915-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
1014 PM AKDT MON AUG 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. LOCAL GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE EVENING.
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-051915-
PORT VALDEZ-
1014 PM AKDT MON AUG 4 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-051915-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
1014 PM AKDT MON AUG 4 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-051915-
VALDEZ ARM-
1014 PM AKDT MON AUG 4 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-051915-
PASSAGE CANAL-
1014 PM AKDT MON AUG 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT
DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-051915-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
1014 PM AKDT MON AUG 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-051915-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
1014 PM AKDT MON AUG 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ132-051915-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
1014 PM AKDT MON AUG 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-051915-
CHINIAK BAY-
1014 PM AKDT MON AUG 4 2014

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-051915-
MARMOT BAY-
1014 PM AKDT MON AUG 4 2014

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-051915-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
1014 PM AKDT MON AUG 4 2014

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-051915-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
1014 PM AKDT MON AUG 4 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT DURING THE EVENING.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ140-051915-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
1014 PM AKDT MON AUG 4 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-051915-
KACHEMAK BAY-
1014 PM AKDT MON AUG 4 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT DURING THE EVENING.
SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

738 
FZAK51 PAFC 051157
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
357 AM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-060100-
357 AM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1003 MB LOW 90 NM NE OF KODIAK CITY WEAKENS TO 1010 MB AS IT
MOVES TO 120 NM SE OF KODIAK CITY EARLY WED MORNING AND THEN
SLOWLY DRIFTS TO 150 NM SE OF KODIAK CITY AT 1010 MB EARLY THU
MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-060100-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
357 AM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ120-060100-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
357 AM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ121-060100-
RESURRECTION BAY-
357 AM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-060100-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
357 AM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-060100-
PORT VALDEZ-
357 AM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-060100-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
357 AM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-060100-
VALDEZ ARM-
357 AM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-060100-
PASSAGE CANAL-
357 AM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-060100-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
357 AM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-060100-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
357 AM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ132-060100-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
357 AM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-060100-
CHINIAK BAY-
357 AM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-060100-
MARMOT BAY-
357 AM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-060100-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
357 AM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-060100-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
357 AM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ140-060100-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
357 AM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ141-060100-
KACHEMAK BAY-
357 AM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

091 
FZAK51 PAFC 051427 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
627 AM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

UPDATED ZONE 121

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-060315-
627 AM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1003 MB LOW 90 NM NE OF KODIAK CITY WEAKENS TO 1010 MB AS IT
MOVES TO 120 NM SE OF KODIAK CITY EARLY WED MORNING AND THEN
SLOWLY DRIFTS TO 150 NM SE OF KODIAK CITY AT 1010 MB EARLY THU
MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-060315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
627 AM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ120-060315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
627 AM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ121-060315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
627 AM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-060315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
627 AM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT OR LESS IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT OR LESS.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-060315-
PORT VALDEZ-
627 AM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-060315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
627 AM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-060315-
VALDEZ ARM-
627 AM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-060315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
627 AM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-060315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
627 AM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-060315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
627 AM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ132-060315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
627 AM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-060315-
CHINIAK BAY-
627 AM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-060315-
MARMOT BAY-
627 AM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-060315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
627 AM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-060315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
627 AM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ140-060315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
627 AM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ141-060315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
627 AM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

080 
FZAK51 PAFC 052337
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
337 PM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-061300-
337 PM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1007 MB LOW 60 NM EAST OF KODIAK WILL WEAKEN TO 1014 MB AS IT
MOVES TO 170 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK WED AFTERNOON AND THEN DRIFT
TO 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKA AT THE SAME STRENGTH BY THU AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-061300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
337 PM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR THE COAST IN THE EARLY
EVENING. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT EXCEPT 10 KT S OF MIDDLETON ISLAND.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ120-061300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
337 PM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-061300-
RESURRECTION BAY-
337 PM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TONIGHT...S WIND TO 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT SUBSIDING TO 1 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
SUBSIDING TO 1 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-061300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
337 PM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE
IN THE EARLY EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-061300-
PORT VALDEZ-
337 PM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-061300-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
337 PM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-061300-
VALDEZ ARM-
337 PM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-061300-
PASSAGE CANAL-
337 PM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-061300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
337 PM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-061300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
337 PM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 6
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ132-061300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
337 PM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT EXCEPT NW 20 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ136-061300-
CHINIAK BAY-
337 PM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-061300-
MARMOT BAY-
337 PM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-061300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
337 PM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-061300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
337 PM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-061300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
337 PM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-061300-
KACHEMAK BAY-
337 PM AKDT TUE AUG 5 2014

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1241 PM AKDT MON AUG 4 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...A DEEP COLD CORE LOW IS WOBBLING NORTHWARD
INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA. A POTENT SHORT-WAVE ROTATING AROUND THE NORTH
SIDE OF THE LOW IS BRINGING WIDESPREAD RAIN TO SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA.
INSTABILITY UNDER THE UPPER LOW CENTER WAS ENOUGH TO PRODUCE A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE GULF LAST NIGHT THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING.
EXPECT A REPEAT OF THIS ACTIVITY OVER THE NORTHERN GULF AS THE LOW
CENTER CONTINUES NORTHWARD LATER TODAY. MEANWHILE...THUNDERSTORMS
WERE FIRING FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT ALONG THE THERMAL TROUGH OVER
SOUTHWEST ALASKA AIDED BY UPPER WAVES MOVING OVER TOP OF THE GULF LOW.
LIGHTNING STRIKES HAVE DIMINISHED...BUT EXPECT ACTIVITY TO INCREASE
QUICKLY AS SURFACE HEATING PROGRESSES TODAY. CONDITIONS ARE RELATIVELY
CALM OVER THE BERING AND ALEUTIANS UNDER A LOW AMPLITUDE RIDGE...BUT
A STRONG SUBTROPICAL JET OVER THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC IS POISED TO
DRIVE A TROUGH OVER EAST ASIA INTO THE BERING TAPPING INTO DEEP
TROPICAL MOISTURE OVER THE WEST PACIFIC ALONG THE WAY.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...ALTHOUGH THE GENERAL SYNOPTIC EVOLUTION OF MODELS
IS SIMILAR...SOLUTIONS QUICKLY DIVERGE WITH HANDLING OF MESOSCALE
OR SMALLER FEATURES. MORE SPECIFICALLY...IT IS QUITE THE CHALLENGE
TO TRACK INDIVIDUAL WAVES MOVING AROUND THE GULF LOW...WHICH HELP
DETERMINE WHERE THE SURFACE LOW IS CENTERED. DO PREFER THE HIGHER
RESOLUTION MODELS (NAM/GEM-REG) FOR SUPERIOR HANDLING OF WINDS ALONG
THE NORTHERN GULF AND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AREAS. OTHERWISE...WILL
USE THE GENERAL MODEL TRENDS TO AID IN POP/QPF FORECAST.

OUT WEST...MODEL SPREAD GROWS FAIRLY LARGE WITH SPEED OF LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM ACROSS THE BERING SEA WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. WITH INITIAL
JET SUPPORT IT SEEMS FASTER SOLUTION MAKES SENSE...BUT AS SYSTEM
RAPIDLY OCCLUDES AND JET PASSES BY FORWARD PROGRESSION SHOULD SLOW.
FOR NOW WILL STICK CLOSE TO INHERITED FORECAST WHICH IS JUST A BIT
SLOWER THAN THE FASTEST SOLUTION (ECMWF).

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...THE CURRENT SHORT-WAVE WILL PROVIDE THE MOST
WIDESPREAD RAIN ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL. AS IT ROTATES SOUTHWARD WEAKER
WAVES WILL FOLLOW IN BEHIND IT...BUT WILL TAKE AN INCREASINGLY
TIGHTER TRACK NEAR THE LOW CENTER. THUS...THE BULK OF RAIN TONIGHT
INTO TUESDAY WILL BE ALONG THE COAST WITH JUST A FEW SHOWERS INLAND.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN A THREAT UNDER THE UPPER CENTER...PRIMARILY
OVER THE NORTHERN GULF. WILL KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON CONVECTION FORMING
SOUTH OF CAPE SUCKLING TO SEE IF IT MAKES IT ALL THE WAY INTO PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND WHERE IMPACTS WOULD BE GREATER (DUE TO A HIGHER NUMBER
OF SMALL RECREATIONAL BOATS THIS TIME OF YEAR). THE GULF LOW WILL
EXIT SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE GULF VERY SLOWLY TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
IN ITS WAKE WEAK AND CONFUSED FLOW MAKES IT HARD TO LATCH ON TO
ANY PARTICULAR FEATURES. TYPICALLY WITH THIS SORT OF PATTERN WOULD
EXPECT A MIX OF SUN AND CLOUDS ALONG WITH SOME WEAK DIURNAL CONVECTION.
THE BERING SEA SYSTEM WILL APPROACH LATE IN THE WEEK...WITH LOW
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN TIME OF ARRIVAL.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...EXPECT PERSISTENT CONDITIONS OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA
THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS...WITH THERMAL TROUGH CENTERED APPROXIMATELY
ALONG THE KUSKOKWIM MOUNTAINS SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE KUSKOKWIM
DELTA AND WEAK UPPER WAVES MOVING IN FROM THE EAST. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL LARGELY BE FOCUSED ALONG THE THERMAL TROUGH...WITH
STORM MOTION OUT OF THE NORTH SUPPORTING TRAINING OF CELLS OVER
THE SAME GENERAL REGION. HOWEVER...DO EXPECT SOME CONVECTION TO
INITIATE ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE AS SHORT-WAVE CROSSING SOUTHCENTRAL
APPROACHES LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING. AS WAS THE CASE LAST
NIGHT...CONTINUED MID-LEVEL FORCING WILL ALLOW CONVECTION TO
LINGER INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WEDNESDAY LOOKS LIKE A TRANSITION
DAY...WITH FLOW SHIFTING AROUND TO SOUTH AHEAD OF APPROACHING
BERING SYSTEM AND THERMAL TROUGH LIFTING NORTHWARD. STILL EXPECT
SOME CONVECTION...BUT IT WILL LIKELY BE FOCUSED FURTHER NORTH AND
WILL BE MORE WIDELY SCATTERED AS THE ENVIRONMENT GRADUALLY
BECOMES MORE STABLE. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW FOR TIMING OF THE
BERING LOW...BUT WOULD EXPECT RAIN WILL BE MAKING ITS WAY INTO
BRISTOL BAY AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR THURSDAY.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...WET AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD
EASTWARD ACROSS THE BERING AND ALEUTIANS THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS AS
A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS OVER THE FAR SOUTHWESTERN BERING AND
TRACKS QUICKLY EASTWARD. VERY WARM AND MOIST AIR ORIGINATING IN
THE WEST PACIFIC WILL CONTRIBUTE TO MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN ALONG
THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN...SPREADING TO THE ALASKA PENINSULA BY
THURSDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (FRI AUG 8TH - MON AUG 11TH)...

A RATHER ABRUPT SHIFT IN THE LONGWAVE PATTERN WILL BE UNDERWAY
ACROSS THE REGION BEGINNING FRIDAY...WITH A LARGE AND DYNAMIC LOW
ACROSS THE EASTERN BERING...AND A LARGE SUBTROPICAL WARM FRONT
MOVING INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA. THE NORTHERN GULF COAST AND
EASTERN KENAI WILL TAKE THE BRUNT OF PRECIPITATION...WITH MUCH
DRIER CONDITIONS ACROSS MOST INLAND LOCATIONS OWING TO DOWNSLOPE
DRYING IN DEEP SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW ALOFT. CLOUDS...HOWEVER...WILL
BE EXTENSIVE...AND WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE
ACROSS SOUTHERN ALASKA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. NORTHERLY FLOW ACROSS
THE BERING THROUGH SATURDAY WILL KEEP FOG AT BAY...BUT EXTENSIVE
STRATUS WILL REMAIN. A MORE ACTIVE PATTERN WILL PERSIST INTO
MONDAY AS TROPICAL CYCLONES FROM THE TROPICAL PACIFIC INTERACT
WITH THE NORTH PACIFIC JET STREAM.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING 119 120.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SEB AUG 14