Small Craft Advisory 1010, NWS Anchorage, AK

Issued

Dec 17, 2014, 3:13 PM AKST (00:13 UTC)

Expired

Dec 18, 2014, 3:15 AM AKST

In force

12 hr

Issued by

NWS Anchorage, AK

891 
FZAK51 PAFC 180014
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
313 PM AKST WED DEC 17 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-181215-
313 PM AKST WED DEC 17 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 967 MB LOW 500 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY WILL MOVE TO 120 NM
SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY LATE THU NIGHT AT 970 MB BEFORE MERGING
WITH ANOTHER 967 MB LOW 230 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY FRI
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-181215-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
313 PM AKST WED DEC 17 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT...EXCEPT 25 KT NEAR THE
COAST. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT EXCEPT 25 KT NEAR THE COAST. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-181215-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
313 PM AST WED DEC 17 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8
FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-181215-
RESURRECTION BAY
313 PM AST WED DEC 17 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-181215-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
313 PM AST WED DEC 17 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-181215-
PORT VALDEZ
313 PM AST WED DEC 17 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-181215-
VALDEZ NARROWS
313 PM AST WED DEC 17 2014

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ128-181215-
VALDEZ ARM
313 PM AST WED DEC 17 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-181215-
PASSAGE CANAL
313 PM AST WED DEC 17 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-181215-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
313 PM AST WED DEC 17 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS
15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-181215-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
313 PM AKST WED DEC 17 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS
19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-181215-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
313 PM AST WED DEC 17 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 15 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-181215-
CHINIAK BAY
313 PM AST WED DEC 17 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT.
RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-181215-
MARMOT BAY
313 PM AST WED DEC 17 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT.
RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-181215-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
313 PM AST WED DEC 17 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ139-181215-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
313 PM AKST WED DEC 17 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-181215-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
313 PM AST WED DEC 17 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-181215-
KACHEMAK BAY
313 PM AST WED DEC 17 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Dec 17, 4:11 AM AKST, 11 hours 2 minutes earlier.

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
411 AM AKST WED DEC 17 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
ALASKA REMAINS FIRMLY ENTRENCHED WITHIN A LONG-WAVE TROUGH. A
CLOSED LOW IS NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL BERING SEA
WHILE A STRONG AMPLIFIED SUBTROPICAL JET IS PRODUCING AN ACTIVE
STORM TRACK ACROSS THE NORTH PACIFIC. THE STORM TRACK CURVES
NORTHWARD AS IT REACHES THE EAST PACIFIC THANKS TO A STRONG
BLOCKING RIDGE DOWNSTREAM OVER WESTERN CANADA. SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS A LARGE INTENSE STORM SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND
ALASKA PENINSULA JUST BEGINNING TO CURVE NORTHEASTWARD.
SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWS A LARGE AREA OF STORM FORCE WINDS WITH
THIS LOW...BUT IT IS TOO FAR SOUTH TO HAVE MUCH IMPACT ON ALASKA.
MEANWHILE ANOTHER LARGE AND DEEP STORM SYSTEM IS MAKING ITS WAY
ACROSS THE FAR NORTHWEST PACIFIC.

WITH WEAK FEATURES NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL JET THE WEATHER
ACROSS ALASKA IS GENERALLY ON THE QUIET SIDE. A SERIES OF WEAK
UPPER LEVEL SHORT-WAVE TROUGHS ARE LIFTING NORTHWARD ACROSS THE
GULF AND SOUTHCENTRAL. PRECIPITATION IS GENERALLY ON THE LIGHT
SIDE...ALTHOUGH LOW TO MID-LEVEL INSTABILITY IS PRODUCING SOME
LOCALIZED HEAVY SHOWERS. A LOW LEVEL ABOVE FREEZING WARM NOSE
PERSISTS FROM THE WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA TO ANCHORAGE AND PARTS
OF THE MATANUSKA VALLEY...ALTHOUGH THE 00Z SOUNDING FROM ANCHORAGE
SHOWS THE WET BULB DOWN IS NOW DOWN AROUND ZERO. THEREFORE...IF
ENOUGH QPF FALLS INTO THE ABOVE FREEZING LAYER PRECIP WILL QUICKLY
CHANGE TO ALL SNOW AND THERE MAY BE SOME VERY LIGHT ACCUMULATION.
ON THE OTHER HAND...IF PRECIP REMAINS LIGHT THEN IT WILL TAKE
LONGER TO CHANGE TO ALL SNOW AND THERE LIKELY WILL NOT BE ANY
SNOW ACCUMULATION.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH SMALL SCALE FEATURES MOVING
THROUGH SOUTHCENTRAL CREATING A CHALLENGING PRECIPITATION FORECAST
FOR THE REMAINDER OF TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. WILL MAKE
HEAVY USE OF RADAR AND SATELLITE TRENDS FOR THE EARLY PORTION OF
THE FORECAST.

THERE IS INITIALLY EXCELLENT AGREEMENT WITH STRONG PACIFIC LOW
TRACKING TOWARD GULF...BUT RAPIDLY DIVERGE LATE THURSDAY WITH
SHORT-WAVE ROUNDING THE LOW AND FORMING A SECONDARY LOW. ECMWF
SHOWS SOME RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY AND IS A NICE MIDDLE GROUND
SOLUTION. WILL TREND FORECAST THAT DIRECTION RECOGNIZING THERE IS
A LARGE DROP OFF IN FORECAST CONFIDENCE BEGINNING THURSDAY NIGHT.

MEANWHILE...MODELS ARE REALLY STRUGGLING WITH SYSTEMS SOUTH OF
THE ALEUTIANS BEGINNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WITH A 200+ KNOT
SUBTROPICAL JET POISED TO CROSS THE NORTH PACIFIC THIS IS A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR RAPID CYCLOGENESIS...WITH LOWS FORMING
IN SUCCESSION AS THE JET HEADS EASTWARD. A DYNAMIC SITUATION SUCH
AS THIS IS HARD FOR THE NUMERICAL GUIDANCE TO CAPTURE. THERE IS A
TREND IN THE LATEST SOLUTIONS TOWARD BRINGING PRECIP AND GALE
FORCE WINDS FARTHER NORTH. WILL APPLY THIS TREND TO THE FORECAST.
DUE TO THE COMPLEXITY OF THE SITUATION FORECAST CONFIDENCE ALONG
THE ALEUTIANS IS BELOW AVERAGE.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE LAST OF A SERIES OF WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORT-WAVES WILL EXIT TO
THE NORTH TODAY WHILE A SHORT-WAVE RIDGE BUILDS IN AHEAD OF THE
STRONG PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM. THUS...EXPECT PRECIPITATION TO
TAPER OFF FOR ALL BUT THE GULF COAST WHERE CONTINUE LOW LEVEL
INSTABILITY WILL KEEP A FEW SHOWERS AROUND. LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL
SHIFT AROUND TO THE NORTH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY AS THE
STORM MAKES ITS WAY TOWARD THE GULF....WHICH SHOULD PREVENT ANY
WIDESPREAD FOG PROBLEMS. WITH DECREASING CLOUDS TEMPERATURES WILL
SLOWLY RETURN TO SOMEWHERE CLOSER TO SEASONAL NORMALS. WITH THE
STORM REMAINING WELL TO THE SOUTH PRECIP AND WINDS WILL BE
CONFINED TO THE GULF COAST WHILE INLAND AREAS WILL STAY DRY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL REMAIN ON THE OUTER PERIPHERY OF MAJOR
FEATURES. THUS WEATHER WILL REMAIN QUITE BENIGN OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE DAYS WITH JUTS A FEW PASSING SHOWERS. THERE ARE SOME AREAS
OF FOG OUT THERE RIGHT NOW...BUT DRY LOW LEVEL OFFSHORE FLOW WILL
DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WHICH SHOULD HELP ERODE MOST
IF NOT ALL OF THE FOG.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE ALEUTIANS WILL BE ON THE NORTH END OF STRONG STORMS TRACKING
ACROSS THE NORTH PACIFIC. THUS...EXPECT OCCASIONAL WINDY AND RAINY
CONDITIONS. OTHERWISE RELATIVELY BENIGN CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST
ACROSS THE BERING SEA.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
ALTHOUGH THERE ARE SOME DIFFERENCES WITH HANDLING OF PARTICULAR
STORM SYSTEMS IN THE FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY TIME PERIOD NUMERICAL
GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE EVOLUTION OF THE LARGE SCALE
PATTERN. THE UPPER FLOW WILL UNDERGO AMPLIFICATION LATE THIS WEEK
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A TROUGH DIGS OUT OF ASIA CAUSING A RIDGE
TO BUILD OVER THE WESTERN BERING. THIS WILL THEN CAUSE DOWNSTREAM
TROUGH TO AMPLIFY...WITH LOWS CONSOLIDATING INTO A SINGLE LOW
SOMEWHERE OVER THE WESTERN GULF OR BRISTOL BAY AREAS. THUS...THERE
WILL BE A SHIFT FROM SYSTEMS MOVING RAPIDLY FROM WEST TO EAST
ACROSS THE NORTH PACIFIC AND INTO THE GULF TO A MORE STAGNANT
PATTERN WITH ONE LARGE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION DOMINATING THE
WEATHER. PRIOR TO AND DURING THE CHANGE IN PATTERN ACTIVE WEATHER
WILL BE FOCUSED ALONG THE SOUTHERN TIER OF THE FORECAST
AREA...ALONG THE ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA AND INTO THE GULF
OF ALASKA. THE BERING SEA AND MUCH OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHCENTRAL
ALASKA WILL REMAIN ON THE DRY SIDE...WITH JUST AN OCCASIONAL
CHANCE OF PRECIP AS UPPER WAVES MOVE THROUGH. LOW LEVEL WARM AIR
WILL CONTINUE TO PENETRATE SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA AND PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST ALASKA...SO TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY REMAIN ABOVE
NORMAL AND THERE WILL BE A THREAT OF FREEZING RAIN IF ANY PRECIP
DOES MAKE IT INLAND.

LOOKING OUT TO EARLY NEXT WEEK MORE SIGNIFICANT CHANGES ARE LIKELY
AS THE UPPER LEVEL WAVES PROGRESS EASTWARD...WITH THE HIGHLY
AMPLIFIED TROUGH WHICH MOVES OUT OF ASIA HEADING INTO THE BERING
SEA MONDAY AND TUESDAY. CONDITIONS WILL BE EXTREMELY FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT OF DEEP SURFACE LOWS. THUS EXPECT MUCH MORE ACTIVE
WINTER-LIKE WEATHER TO RETURN TO THE BERING SEA AND
ALEUTIANS...AND MOST LIKELY SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA BY
NEXT WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING...119 120 127 130 131 132 136 137 138 139
                        150 155 175 176 177 178 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...SEB
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SEB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...SEB
LONG TERM...SEB

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2014Every small craft advisory in 2014

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.