Gale Warning 97, NWS Anchorage, AK

Issued

Jan 21, 2014, 10:55 AM AKST (19:55 UTC)

Expired

Jan 21, 2014, 10:55 AM AKST

In force

Issued by

NWS Anchorage, AK

559 
FZAK51 PAFC 211954 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1055 AM AKST TUE JAN 21 2014

UPDATE TO ZONE 128

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-220300-
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 21 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A SERIES OF WEATHER FRONTS WILL TRACK NORTH AND WEST OVER THE GULF
THROUGH WED EVENING. 

$$

PKZ119-220300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 21 2014

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-220300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 21 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 20 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-220300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 21 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-220300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 21 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE IN
THE MORNING. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-220300-
PORT VALDEZ
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 21 2014

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-220300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 21 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-220300-
VALDEZ ARM
1055 AM AKST TUE JAN 21 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-220300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 21 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-220300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 21 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-220300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 21 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT BY MID MORNING. SEAS 13 FT.
RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-220300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 21 2014

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-220300-
CHINIAK BAY
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 21 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-220300-
MARMOT BAY
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 21 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-220300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 21 2014

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT BY LATE MORNING THEN
DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ139-220300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 21 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT SUBSIDING. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-220300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 21 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-220300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 21 2014

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Jan 21, 5:00 AM AKST, 5 hours 55 minutes earlier.

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
500 AM AKST TUE JAN 21 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPPER LEVEL PATTERN PERSISTS OVER THE REGION THIS
MORNING...WITH WARM AND MOIST AIR FROM THE SUBTROPICAL PACIFIC
CONTINUING TO STREAM NORTHWARD INTO MAINLAND ALASKA IN DEEP LAYER
SOUTHERLY FLOW BETWEEN A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE BERING SEA
AND A STRONG RIDGE OVER THE WEST COAST OF NORTH AMERICA. A
DISTURBANCE MOVING ASHORE ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST IS BRINGING
WIDESPREAD RAIN TO MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...WITH SOME SNOW
MIXING IN OVER COOLER INLAND LOCATIONS. MEANWHILE...A 978 MB SURFACE
LOW TRACKING THROUGH THE EASTERN BERING IS BRINGING SCATTERED RAIN
SHOWERS TO THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND AND SNOW SHOWERS TO THE EASTERN
BERING WITH AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW OVER THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS IN STRONG
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE LOW.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE END OF THE SHORT TERM AS
BROAD SOUTHERLY FLOW REMAINS ENTRENCHED OVER THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND
FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE...WITH OCCASIONAL DISTURBANCES ENHANCING
WINDS AND PRECIPITATION AS THEY TRACK THROUGH SOUTHCENTRAL AK. THE
NEXT NORTH PACIFIC LOW TO IMPACT THE BERING LOOKS TO TAKE A VERY
SIMILAR PATH TO THE PREVIOUS SYSTEMS AS IT APPROACHES THE AKPEN ON
THURSDAY AND TRACKS EAST OF THE PRIBILOFS ON FRIDAY...ONCE AGAIN
LEADING TO THE POTENTIAL FOR BLOWING SNOW OVER PORTIONS OF THE
EASTERN BERING. MAINLY UTILIZED AN EC/GFS BLEND FOR THE FORECAST
GIVEN GOOD OVERALL AGREEMENT. ALSO USED SOME NAM OVER THE EASTERN
PORTION OF THE AREA FOR INCREASED RESOLUTION.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS AS
THE DISTURBANCE/FRONT MOVE THROUGH THE AREA WITH THE HEAVIEST
PRECIPITATION LOCATED ALONG THE COAST...ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS THROUGH FAVORED LOCATIONS SUCH AS TURNAGAIN ARM
AS WELL AS THE CORDOVA AREA. A FEW POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL BE
POSSIBLE AROUND THE ANCHORAGE BOWL DURING THE MORNING BEFORE
TEMPERATURES RISE INTO THE UPPER 30S ALLOWING PRECIPITATION TO CHANGE
OVER TO ALL RAIN. RAIN WILL MIX IN WITH WET SNOW OVER THE SUSITNA
VALLEY...WHERE AREAS WEST OF THE PARKS HIGHWAY COULD SEE MINOR
ACCUMULATIONS AROUND 2 INCHES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. STEADIER
PRECIPITATION WILL DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER TROUGH
SWINGS NORTHWARD THROUGH THE WESTERN GULF AND COOK INLET. CONDITIONS
WILL THEN BEGIN TO IMPROVE THIS EVENING WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE
TROUGH. HOWEVER...THE BREAK WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS ANOTHER FRONT
APPROACHES THE COAST ON WEDNESDAY AND BRINGS ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN
AND STRONG WINDS TO THE AREA.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA/ALEUTIANS/BERING SEA...
THE LOW IN THE EASTERN BERING SEA THIS MORNING WILL QUICKLY MOVE
NORTHWESTWARD PAST SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND TODAY. OCCASIONAL
PRECIPITATION CONTINUES ACROSS THE AREA...MAINLY IN THE FORM OF
SHOWERS ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS AND ALEUTIANS/PRIBILOFS.

THE NEXT LOW TO AFFECT THE AREA WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE
ALEUTIANS/ALASKA PENINSULA ON WEDNESDAY THEN MOVE NORTHWARD. AT THIS
TIME THIS LOW IS PROGGED TO BE A BIT FARTHER WEST BUT SHOWS SIMILAR
STRENGTH TO THE PREVIOUS LOW. GALE FORCE WINDS AND A SIMILAR
DISTRIBUTION OF PRECIPITATION TYPE AS WITH THE PREVIOUS LOW CAN BE
EXPECTED.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THERE ARE SOME HINTS AT THIS ACTIVE AND WARM PATTERN BREAKING DOWN
NEXT WEEK...BUT NOTHING WORTH LATCHING ONTO AT THIS POINT. WE WILL
KEEP AN EYE ON THIS POSSIBILITY IN THE COMING DAYS. UNTIL
THEN...EXPECT CONTINUED ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR MUCH OF THE
MAINLAND AND PERIODS OF PRECIPITATION ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COASTAL
AREAS.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...STORM 119
         GALE 120 125 131 132 138 150 155 160 165 170 172 173 174 179
              351 352 414
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 180 185 411
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

CB/SCHRECK JAN 14

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2014Every gale warning in 2014

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.