Gale Warning 866, NWS Anchorage, AK

687 
FZAK52 PAFC 292002 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1102 AM AKST MON DEC 29 2014

UPDATED ZONE 180

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-300415-
1102 AM AKST MON DEC 29 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 984 MB LOW 280 NM SOUTHWEST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WILL DRIFT
NORTHWEST AND DISSIPATE BY THIS AFTERNOON. LATE THIS MORNING A 990
MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 285 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT AND DEEPEN TO 986
MB 90 NM WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND LATE TUE MORNING...THEN DRIFT
NORTH AND DISSIPATE. A 950 MB KAMCHATKA LOW WILL APPROACH 500 NM
SOUTHWEST OF ATTU TUE AFTERNOON THEN MOVE TO 270 NM WEST OF ATTU
LATE TUE NIGHT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH.

$$

PKZ150-300415-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
1102 AM AKST MON DEC 29 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.  
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ155-300415-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
1102 AM AKST MON DEC 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...E WIND
20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ160-300415-
BRISTOL BAY-
1102 AM AKST MON DEC 29 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-300415-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
1102 AM AKST MON DEC 29 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT
BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM PORT
MOLLER E...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ170-300415-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
1102 AM AKST MON DEC 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ171-300415-
UNALASKA BAY-
1102 AM AKST MON DEC 29 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-300415-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
1102 AM AKST MON DEC 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ173-300415-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
1102 AM AKST MON DEC 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ174-300415-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
1102 AM AKST MON DEC 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ175-300415-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
1102 AM AKST MON DEC 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ176-300415-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
1102 AM AKST MON DEC 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ177-300415-
ADAK TO KISKA-
1102 AM AKST MON DEC 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT.

$$

PKZ178-300415-
KISKA TO ATTU-
1102 AM AKST MON DEC 29 2014

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 29 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 27 FT.

$$

PKZ179-300415-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
1102 AM AKST MON DEC 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ180-300415-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
1102 AM AKST MON DEC 29 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ181-300415-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
1102 AM AKST MON DEC 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ185-300415-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
1102 AM AKST MON DEC 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING
BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND... SE WIND
30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

027 
FZAK52 PAFC 300001
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
301 PM AKST MON DEC 29 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-301330-
301 PM AKST MON DEC 29 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...A 990 MB LOW WILL
DEVELOP 75 NM SOUTH OF MEKORYUK AT SIMILAR STRENGTH LATE TUE
MORNING...THEN DRIFT NORTH AND DISSIPATE. A 951 MB KAMCHATKA LOW
WILL APPROACH 550 NM SOUTHWEST OF ATTU TUE AFTERNOON THEN MOVE TO
425 NM NORTHWEST OF ATTU LAT WED AFTERNOON AT 963 MB.

$$

PKZ150-301330-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
301 PM AKST MON DEC 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ155-301330-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
301 PM AKST MON DEC 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ160-301330-
BRISTOL BAY-
301 PM AKST MON DEC 29 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-301330-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
301 PM AKST MON DEC 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM PORT
MOLLER E...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ170-301330-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
301 PM AKST MON DEC 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ171-301330-
UNALASKA BAY-
301 PM AKST MON DEC 29 2014

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-301330-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
301 PM AKST MON DEC 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ173-301330-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
301 PM AKST MON DEC 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ174-301330-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
301 PM AKST MON DEC 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ175-301330-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
301 PM AKST MON DEC 29 2014

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ176-301330-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
301 PM AKST MON DEC 29 2014

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ177-301330-
ADAK TO KISKA-
301 PM AKST MON DEC 29 2014

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ178-301330-
KISKA TO ATTU-
301 PM AKST MON DEC 29 2014

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT
BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
20 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 30 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ179-301330-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
301 PM AKST MON DEC 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ180-301330-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
301 PM AKST MON DEC 29 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-301330-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
301 PM AKST MON DEC 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. PATCHY
FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ185-301330-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
301 PM AKST MON DEC 29 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...W WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
434 PM AKST SUN DEC 28 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
COMPLEX LOW SYSTEM OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA WITH A VERY HIGH
AMPLITUDE RIDGE OVER MAINLAND ALASKA. JET ROUNDS THE RIDGE OVER
THE MAINLAND WITH SPEEDS UP TO 125 KT. THIS FLOW IS TAPPING
MOISTURE FROM 35N WHICH EXPLAINS THE WARMTH OF THE AIR MASS. A FEW
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL BE MOVING NORTH ALONG THE WEST COAST
OF ALASKA BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND LOW COMPLEX IN THE WESTERN BERING
SEA.

AT THE SURFACE...PRECIP IN ALIGNED FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC ACROSS
THE AKPEN NORTH THROUGH THE BERING STRAIT ALONG THAT BOUNDARY
BETWEEN RIDGE AND TROUGH. AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE ANTICIPATED OVER
KODIAK ISLAND AND PORTIONS OF BRISTOL BAY. COLD AIR IN PLACE OVER
PORTIONS OF BRISTOL BAY HAS LED TO SOME PERIODS OF MODERATE
SNOWFALL AT TIMES. PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM NORTH
OVER WESTERN ALASKA THIS EVENING WITH SOME AREAS SWITCHING BACK
AND FORTH BETWEEN RAIN AND SNOW DEPENDING UPON PRECIPITATION
INTENSITY. THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY WILL LIKELY REMAIN AS SNOW THROUGH
MUCH OF TONIGHT. A STRONGER WARM PUSH ON MONDAY WILL RESULT IN A
MAJORITY OF WESTERN ALASKA EXPERIENCING RAIN. A STACKED LOW IS
OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS ROTATING AROUND THE PARENT LOW JUST OFF
THE COAST OF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA. WITH THE BOUNDARY IN
PLACE...STRONG WINDS ARE PRESENT OVER THE AKPEN AND ALONG THE
ALEUTIAN RANGE. SOME STRONG GAP FLOWS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER SOUTH
CENTRAL ALASKA AS WELL. WINDS WILL CONTINUE AS BOUNDARY REMAINS
AND THEN STRENGTHENS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
THEREFORE...A COUPLE HIGH WIND WATCHES HAVE BEEN ISSUED.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
OVERALL...MODELS ARE IN QUITE GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE FIRST
FEW DAYS OF THE FORECAST...THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE OUTLIER IS THE
CANADIAN REGIONAL MODEL AT THIS TIME. THE BIG RIDGE IS
ANTICIPATED TO SLIDE EAST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS A COUPLE OF
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES RIDE UP THE BACK SIDE OF THE RIDGE ALONG
THE WEST COAST OF ALASKA. A MUCH STRONGER WAVE MOVES INTO THE
EASTERN BERING SEA TUESDAY AND FLATTENS THE RIDGE OVER THE
MAINLAND WEDNESDAY.

OF COURSE...DETAILS OF THE FORECAST ARE A BIT DIFFERENT. ONE OF
THE BIG DIFFERENCES IS THE STRUCTURE OF THE JET AS IT SWINGS INTO
THE GULF OF ALASKA MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. DEPENDING UPON THE
COHESIVENESS OF THE JET STRUCTURE...THE WINDS THROUGH THE GAPS
ALONG THE ALEUTIAN RANGE AND SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA WILL PEAK OVER
HIGH WIND WARNING. ALL MODELS MOVE THE SURFACE FEATURE AT THE SAME SPEED
CURRENTLY. THEY ALSO HAVE TRENDED A BIT FARTHER WEST THIS MORNING. AT
THIS TIME...DUE TO THIS STRUCTURE DIFFERENCE AND WESTERN
POSITION...HIGH WIND WATCHES WILL BE ISSUED.

THE EASTERN DOMAIN FAVORED THE NAM AND GFS IN THE SHORT TERM. THE
WESTERN DOMAIN PREFERRED A BLEND OF ECMWF AND GFS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE ALONG THE FRONTAL BAND FROM THE GULF OF
ALASKA INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA WITH SOME JET SUPPORT TO BRING A
GOOD AMOUNT OF RAINFALL TO KODIAK ISLAND. AS THE
FRONT...BAROCLINIC ZONE...MOVES NORTH TO THE KENAI PENINSULA THE
PRECIPITATION WILL SPREAD OVER THE KENAI MOUNTAINS. DUE TO THE
STRONG SOUTH SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW AT MID LEVELS...WESTERN KENAI WILL
BE RELATIVELY DRY OUTSIDE OF KACHEMAK BAY. IN ADDITION...THE
STRONG MID LEVEL WINDS LEADING TO LOTS OF WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA
THROUGH TOMORROW. THE TEMPERATURES AT LOWER LEVELS IS NOT AS WARM
WITH THIS FIRST WAVE TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW MORNING...SO EXPECT
SNOW AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS ESPECIALLY TURNAGAIN PASS. A SECOND
STRONGER SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVING NORTH THROUGH THE NORTH PACIFIC
MONDAY TO SWING INTO THE EASTERN BERING SEA MONDAY NIGHT. THIS
WILL PUSH THE FRONT FARTHER NORTH AND TO THE COAST WITH
PRECIPITATION. THE SURFACE LOW MONDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE EASTERN
BERING WITH A STRONG GRADIENT WIND THROUGH THE BARREN ISLANDS TO
KAMISHAK BAY. THIS WIND WILL LIFT NORTH TO ANCHORAGE LATE MONDAY
NIGHT. COMBINED WITH THE INFLUENCE OF THE TURNAGAIN ARM...A HIGH
WIND WATCH WILL BE ISSUED. THE FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
TUESDAY WITH A SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVING THROUGH SOUTHCENTRAL
ALASKA TUESDAY NIGHT WITH PRECIPITATION SPREADING INLAND.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...THE ACTIVE
WEATHER WILL CONTINUE. A SEASONABLY STRONG JET AROUND 110 TO 120
KTS WILL REMAIN CENTERED OVER THE AREA AS A SYNOPTIC TROUGH DIGS
EVEN DEEPER WITH COLD AIR SPILLING INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC. A
COUPLE OF BIG DIFFERENCES IN THE DAYS AHEAD COMPARED TO SUNDAY.
FIRST THING IS THAT MOST OF THE COLD AIR HAS BEEN SCOURED OUT AT
THIS POINT. ALMOST ALL PLACES HAVE TURNED OVER TO RAIN AND SHOULD
STAY RAIN FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH THE POSSIBLE EXCEPTION OF THE
DEEPER VALLEYS OF THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY. SOME PLACES COULD
SEE A RAIN SNOW MIX DURING THE SLIGHTLY COOLER OVERNIGHT
HOURS...BUT WITH CONTINUED WARM AIR ADVECTION...THERE IS LITTLE
CHANCE OF SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION. THE NEXT DIFFERENCE IS IN THE
WINDS FROM SUNDAY'S SYSTEM COMPARED TO THE ONE THE ARRIVES LATE
MONDAY. THE LOW TODAY IS RATHER DIFFUSE AND MOVING RIGHT THROUGH
BRISTOL BAY. THE ONE THAT FORMS TOMORROW IS FURTHER TO THE WEST
WITH A BIT STRONGER DEVELOPMENT. THIS WILL MAKE FOR A SLIGHTLY
MORE UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WHICH MEANS SOME OF THE HIGHER WINDS
ALOFT COULD MIX DOWN TOWARDS THE SURFACE. TO ADDRESS THIS
POSSIBILITY WE HAVE ISSUED A HIGH WIND WATCH FOR THE BRISTOL BAY
AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...THE
POTENT LOW OVER THE CENTRAL BERING THAT PRODUCED NEAR-STORM FORCE
WINDS EARLIER TODAY WILL DRIFT NORTH OUT OF THE AREA BY MONDAY
MORNING. THE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TO BE DOMINATED BY THE STRONG
SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE EASTERN BERING. THIS WILL KEEP THE
STRONGEST WINDS OVER THE WEST COAST OF THE MAINLAND WHILE BROAD
NORTH TO WEST FLOW CONTINUES ACROSS THE REST OF THE BERING. A MIX
OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE IN ON AND OFF WITH WEAK COLD AIR
ADVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTH TO WEST FLOW. BY MID- DAY
TUESDAY ANOTHER STOUT LOW ROLLS OUT OF THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC. IT WILL
BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF NEAR- STORM FORCE WINDS INTO THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED FLOW PATTERN WILL BE IN PLACE BY THE BEGINNING
OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD TUESDAY AFTERNOON...WITH A STRONG LOW
WORKING ITS WAY NORTHWARD WHILE BEGINNING TO WEAKEN...AND A
STRONG NORTH AMERICAN RIDGE EXTENDING THROUGH MUCH OF THE EASTERN
MAINLAND. PRECIPITATION WILL BE WIDESPREAD ACROSS MOST OF SOUTHERN
ALASKA...WITH WARM AIR RESULTING IN MOSTLY RAIN AND RAIN SHOWERS.
RAIN WILL BE HEAVIEST ACROSS THE GULF COAST INTO PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...WHEN SHOWERS BEGIN TO TAPER OFF
AS THE FRONT PUSHES FURTHER INLAND. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO
RISE WELL ABOVE AVERAGE ACROSS MOST INLAND LOCATIONS THROUGH MID WEEK
IN THE FORM OF A WEAK CHINOOK. THE TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN BERING
WILL PUSH EASTWARD OVER THE GULF BY FRIDAY MORNING...BRINGING A
BRIEF REPRIEVE TO THE AMPLIFIED RIDGE PATTERN AND WARM
TEMPERATURES. COLDER AND DRIER CONDITIONS WILL SET UP OVER MUCH OF
THE MAINLAND INTO THE WEEKEND...AS RIDGING OVER NORTHERN ALASKA
HELPS OFFSHORE FLOW BECOME MORE DOMINANT OVER THE AREA.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WATCH 101 161
MARINE...STORM 130 131
         GALE 119 120 125 132 136 137 138 139 150 160 180 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JN
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JN
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MSO
LONG TERM...TP