Gale Warning 826, NWS Anchorage, AK

332 
FZAK52 PAFC 140816 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1116 PM AKST SAT DEC 13 2014

UPDATED ZONE 171

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-142115-
1116 PM AKST SAT DEC 13 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 977 MB LOW AROUND 80 NM SOUTH OF ATKA SAT AFTERNOON WILL MOVE
TO 130 NM NORTH OF DUTCH HARBOR WHILE DEEPENING TO 964 MB SUN
AFTERNOON. THIS LOW THEN TRACKS TO 70 NM NORTH OF PORT HEIDEN MON
AFTERNOON WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 976 MB. ANOTHER 977 MB LOW
375 NM NORTHEAST OF SHEMYA SAT AFTERNOON MOVES TO AROUND 190 NM
NORTH OF SHEMYA MON WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN PRESSURE.

$$

PKZ150-142115-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
1116 PM AKST SAT DEC 13 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ155-142115-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
1116 PM AKST SAT DEC 13 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT...SEAS 9 FT
BUILDING TO 16 FT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SW WIND 15 KT
BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT...SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT EXCEPT S 30 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E.
SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 24 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM THE SHUMAGIN
ISLANDS E...SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN
AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 27 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ160-142115-
BRISTOL BAY-
1116 PM AKST SAT DEC 13 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-142115-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
1116 PM AKST SAT DEC 13 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT EXCEPT SE 30 KT FROM PORT
MOLLER E. SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM PORT
MOLLER E...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT EXCEPT 7 FT FROM PORT MOLLER E. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT EXCEPT SW 25 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E.
SEAS 17 FT EXCEPT 10 FT FROM PORT MOLLER E. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ170-142115-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
1116 PM AKST SAT DEC 13 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ171-142115-
UNALASKA BAY-
1116 PM AKST SAT DEC 13 2014

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ172-142115-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
1116 PM AKST SAT DEC 13 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ173-142115-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
1116 PM AKST SAT DEC 13 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ174-142115-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
1116 PM AKST SAT DEC 13 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ175-142115-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
1116 PM AKST SAT DEC 13 2014

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ176-142115-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
1116 PM AKST SAT DEC 13 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ177-142115-
ADAK TO KISKA-
1116 PM AKST SAT DEC 13 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ178-142115-
KISKA TO ATTU-
1116 PM AKST SAT DEC 13 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ179-142115-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
1116 PM AKST SAT DEC 13 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ180-142115-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
1116 PM AKST SAT DEC 13 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ181-142115-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
1116 PM AKST SAT DEC 13 2014

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ185-142115-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
1116 PM AKST SAT DEC 13 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

791 
FZAK52 PAFC 141213
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
313 AM AKST SUN DEC 14 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-150130-
313 AM AKST SUN DEC 14 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 967 MB LOW 80 NM NORTH OF DUTCH HARBOR WILL MOVE TO 30 NM SOUTH
OF CAPE NEWENHAM AT 971 MB MON MORNING THEN TO 120 NM NORTH OF
SAINT PAUL AT 974 MB MON NIGHT. A 988 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL
MOVE TO 390 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA THIS AFTERNOON THEN TO 220 NM
SOUTHEAST OF DUTCH HARBOR AT 986 MB MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-150130-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
313 AM AKST SUN DEC 14 2014

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ155-150130-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
313 AM AKST SUN DEC 14 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT EXCEPT SW 30 KT FROM THE
SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E. SEAS 24 FT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SEAS
12 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 27 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
25 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ160-150130-
BRISTOL BAY-
313 AM AKST SUN DEC 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-150130-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
313 AM AKST SUN DEC 14 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 45 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT BUILDING TO 25 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM PORT MOLLER E...SE
WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT EXCEPT SW 30 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS
28 FT EXCEPT 17 FT FROM PORT MOLLER E. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM
PORT MOLLER E...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ170-150130-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
313 AM AKST SUN DEC 14 2014

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 27 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
29 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ171-150130-
UNALASKA BAY-
313 AM AKST SUN DEC 14 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 50 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ172-150130-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
313 AM AKST SUN DEC 14 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ173-150130-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
313 AM AKST SUN DEC 14 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 20 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ174-150130-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
313 AM AKST SUN DEC 14 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
21 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ175-150130-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
313 AM AKST SUN DEC 14 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ176-150130-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
313 AM AKST SUN DEC 14 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
18 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ177-150130-
ADAK TO KISKA-
313 AM AKST SUN DEC 14 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT IN THE MORNING DIMINISHING TO 25 KT.
SEAS 19 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ178-150130-
KISKA TO ATTU-
313 AM AKST SUN DEC 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ179-150130-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
313 AM AKST SUN DEC 14 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING W 30 KT. SEAS 17
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ180-150130-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
313 AM AKST SUN DEC 14 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN S OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY
N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM CAPE
NEWENHAM N...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ181-150130-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
313 AM AKST SUN DEC 14 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. SNOW.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ185-150130-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
313 AM AKST SUN DEC 14 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY N AND E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT EXCEPT 30 KT S OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
SEAS 19 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY N AND E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.MON...NE WIND 40 KT EXCEPT 25 KT S AND E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
SEAS 17 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY N OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

998 
FZAK52 PAFC 150026 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
326 PM AKST SUN DEC 14 2014

CORRECTED 155

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-151315-
326 PM AKST SUN DEC 14 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 965 MB LOW 180 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAINT PAUL MOVES TO 80 NM
SOUTHWEST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND AT 974 MB TUE AFTERNOON. A 987
MB LOW 190 NM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA TONIGHT MOVES TO 70 NM SOUTH OF
ADAK TUE AFTERNOON WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY.

$$

PKZ150-151315-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
326 PM AKST SUN DEC 14 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 35 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT
BUILDING TO 22 FT BY MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ155-151315-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
326 PM AKST SUN DEC 14 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
24 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ160-151315-
BRISTOL BAY-
326 PM AKST SUN DEC 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. HIGHER GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY NEAR THE ICE EDGE.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. HIGHER GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ165-151315-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
326 PM AKST SUN DEC 14 2014

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT EXCEPT S 35 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS
28 FT EXCEPT 17 FT FROM PORT MOLLER E. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ170-151315-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
326 PM AKST SUN DEC 14 2014

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
28 FT SUBSIDING TO 22 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ171-151315-
UNALASKA BAY-
326 PM AKST SUN DEC 14 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-151315-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
326 PM AKST SUN DEC 14 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ173-151315-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
326 PM AKST SUN DEC 14 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20
FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ174-151315-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
326 PM AKST SUN DEC 14 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 21 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ175-151315-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
326 PM AKST SUN DEC 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ176-151315-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
326 PM AKST SUN DEC 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 18 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ177-151315-
ADAK TO KISKA-
326 PM AKST SUN DEC 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ178-151315-
KISKA TO ATTU-
326 PM AKST SUN DEC 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ179-151315-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
326 PM AKST SUN DEC 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ180-151315-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
326 PM AKST SUN DEC 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY
ALONG THE ICE EDGE.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE ICE EDGE IN THE MORNING.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ181-151315-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
326 PM AKST SUN DEC 14 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. SNOW.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE ICE EDGE.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE ICE EDGE IN THE MORNING.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE ICE EDGE.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ185-151315-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
326 PM AKST SUN DEC 14 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT...EXCEPT NE 30 KT FROM SAINT MATTHEW
ISLAND S AND E. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
525 AM AKST SAT DEC 13 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THERE IS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHCENTRAL
MAINLAND...WITH WEAK SURFACE FLOW AND INCREASING CLOUDINESS FROM
THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST. CURRENT OBSERVATIONS AROUND THE ANCHORAGE
AREA ARE SHOWING AREAS OF DENSE FOG FORMING OVERNIGHT AND INTO THE
EARLY MORNING. THERE IS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE NORTHEAST
BERING SEA WITH A TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTHWARD OVER THE SOUTHWEST
COAST AND THROUGH THE ALASKA PENINSULA. USING CURRENT SATELLITE
AND RADAR IMAGERY WE CAN SEE A WEAK UPPER LEVEL WAVE MOVING IN
DIRECTLY BEHIND THE ABOVE MENTIONED TROUGH...WITH SNOW SHOWERS
STARTING TO DEVELOP RIGHT ALONG THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA COAST. THERE
IS SOME WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGING LINGERING OVER THE EASTERN
BERING...WITH A TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL GULF PUSHING
NORTHEASTWARD. AT THE SURFACE...GUSTY WINDS AND PRECIPITATION ARE
BEING OBSERVED OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS AS THE FRONTAL SYSTEM
ASSOCIATED WITH THE VERTICALLY STACKED LOW NEAR THE KAMCHATKA
PENINSULA TRACKS THROUGH THE AREA INTO THE MORNING. A STRONG JET
(AROUND 180 KTS) ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW IS ALONG ABOUT 35/40
DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE FROM JAPAN INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT EARLY ON AND THEN BEGIN TO DIVERGE
AROUND SUNDAY MORNING. SOME OF THESE DIFFERENCES ARE DUE TO HOW
THE MODELS HANDLE A "BUCKLING" OF THE STRONG PACIFIC JET
STREAM...WHICH IS FAIRLY TYPICAL AS A SMALL PERTURBATION EARLY IN
THE FORECAST CAN MAKE A LARGE DIFFERENCE LATER ON. THE MAIN
DISCREPANCY OUT WEST IS WITH THE TRACK OF THE TRIPLE POINT LOW
TRACKING OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS TOMORROW MORNING. THE
PREFERRED GFS SOLUTION KEEPS THE LOW TO THE SOUTH AND OVER THE
ALASKA PENINSULA BY TOMORROW NIGHT...WHERE THE NAM AND ECMWF BRING
THE LOW INTO THE EASTERN BERING. THIS CREATES SOME UNCERTAINTY
REGARDING THE TIMING OF PRECIPITATION AND WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS SYSTEM. FURTHER EAST...SOME DIFFERENCES ARISE BETWEEN THE
MODELS REGARDING THE TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THE LOW OVER THE
SOUTHWEST GULF LATE SUNDAY MORNING. FOR THE SOUTHCENTRAL COAST
AND SOUTHWEST MAINLAND...THIS LEADS TO UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE
PRECIPITATION AND WINDS OVER THE AREA AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS FURTHER
WEST TOMORROW AND ABSORBS INTO THE LOW OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA
TOMORROW NIGHT. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS NEAR NORMAL EARLY
ON...THEN DROPS BELOW NORMAL AS THE MODELS BEGIN TO DIVERGE LATER
IN THE FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A WEAK DISTURBANCE IS STREAMING MID-LEVEL CLOUDS OVER MUCH OF THE
SOUTHCENTRAL THIS MORNING...BRINGING AN END TO THE WIDESPREAD FOG
THREAT ACROSS THE COOK INLET REGION...THOUGH SOME PATCHY AREAS
ARE STILL POSSIBLE IN THE MORNING. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE
NORTHEAST PACIFIC IS APPROACHING THE GULF TODAY AND WILL SEND A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY TOWARD THE NORTH GULF COAST TURNING SCATTERED
SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS INTO STEADIER PRECIPITATION OVERNIGHT. AS
WITH MOST NORTHWARD PROGRESSING FRONTS...CROSS BARRIER FLOW WILL
INCREASE ACROSS THE CHUGACH AND INITIATE DOWNSLOPE DRYING. HOWEVER
THERE IS SOME SUGGESTION BY GUIDANCE THAT THERE WILL BE ENOUGH
MOISTURE/DYNAMICS TO OVERCOME ANY DRYING. A STRENGTHENING JET
STREAK ALOFT AND SOUTHWEST WINDS ALOFT SUGGEST SOME SNOW MAY WORK
INTO ANCHORAGE AND THE MATANUSKA VALLEY BEFORE DOWNSLOPE FULLY
TAKES OVER. A FAVORABLE COMBINATION OF UPPER LEVEL JET AND LOW
LEVEL WINDS SHOULD BRING SNOW INTO THE COPPER RIVER BASIN ON
SUNDAY WITH THIS SYSTEM AS WELL. THIS SYSTEM IS BRINGING A SLUG OF
WARM AIR FROM THE PACIFIC SO MOST PLACES CAN EXPECT A CHANGEOVER
FROM SNOW TO RAIN DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
ANOTHER PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW WILL MOVE THROUGH THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA
AND WESTERN BRISTOL BAY TODAY AS A UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE PUSHES
THROUGH. THIS SHOULD ONCE AGAIN BRING ONLY LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS WITH
MOST AREAS RECEIVING LESS THAN AN INCH OR SO. THIS SNOW WILL
QUICKLY DIMINISH BY THIS EVENING WITH WEAK RIDGING MOVING
IN...WHICH WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS THE NEXT CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED BY SUNDAY. THIS WILL MAINLY BRING SNOW
TO BRISTOL BAY...WHICH WILL SLOWLY BECOME A RAIN/SNOW MIX BY
SUNDAY EVENING...LIMITING SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS. WITH THE COLD
AIR CURRENTLY OVER THE AREA THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE THAT SOME
AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN COULD DEVELOP SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...BUT WITH MODERATE WARMING FROM BOTH ADVECTION AND
DOWNSLOPING THIS IS EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY SHORT LIVED. RAIN AND
SNOW WILL THEN LIKELY CONTINUE INTO MONDAY AS A SHORTWAVE UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH STALLS OVERHEAD.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
A GALE FORCE FRONT STRETCHING FROM THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS INTO THE
PRIBILOFS WILL BRING RAIN AND SNOW AS WELL AS GUSTY SOUTHERLY
WINDS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. AS THIS FRONT DISSIPATES OVER THE
NORTHERN BERING THIS EVENING...A DEVELOPING TRIPLE POINT LOW
TRACKING TOWARDS THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WILL BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF
RAIN/SNOW AND AT LEAST GALE FORCE WINDS TO THE EASTERN BERING AND
ALEUTIANS INTO SUNDAY. THIS LOW WILL THEN VERY SLOWLY DISSIPATE AS
IT MOVES TOWARDS THE AKPENN BY MONDAY MORNING...ALLOWING FOR
SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS TO CONTINUE.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE NEAR
BRISTOL BAY MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH A FRONT EXTENDING INTO THE
CENTRAL GULF OF ALASKA. AS THE LOW SHIFTS NORTHWESTWARD INTO THE
NORTH-CENTRAL BERING SEA...A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP ALONG THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT AS IT MOVES NORTH TOWARD
THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. THIS WILL AID IN THE FORMATION OF A WEAK
BARRIER JET THAT WILL BRING AROUND 30 KT WINDS TO THE NORTHERN
GULF COAST. RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE COASTAL REGIONS STARTING ON
MONDAY BUT RAIN AND SNOW WILL MOVE FURTHER INLAND LATE MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS SOME CROSS BARRIER FLOW WILL
KEEP PARTS OF ANCHORAGE AND THE KENAI PENINSULA INITIALLY DRY. THE
CROSS BARRIER FLOW IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN ON TUESDAY...ALLOWING FOR
MORE STRATIFORM SNOWFALL TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AFOREMENTIONED
AREAS. ISOLATED POCKETS OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN WILL REMAIN A
POSSIBILITY FOR SOME LOCATIONS AS SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL INITIALLY
BE BELOW FREEZING BEFORE SLOWLY WARMING UP WITH WEAK WARM AIR
ADVECTION AND THICK CLOUD COVER PREVENTING RADIATIONAL COOLING AT
NIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSISTS ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL
ALASKA THROUGH THE MAJORITY OF NEXT WEEK WITH A SERIES OF WEAK
WAVES MOVING TOWARD SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC. A
DEVELOPING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE GULF ON DAY 7
(FRIDAY) AND MODELS ARE STRUGGLING WITH PLACEMENT AND INTENSITY
FORECASTS. HOWEVER...IT LOOKS TO BRING ANOTHER PUSH OF WARMER
TEMPERATURES AND INCREASED CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION.

OVER THE BERING SEA AND ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...WEAK CYCLONIC FLOW WILL
PERSIST OVER THE BERING SEA THROUGH THE MAJORITY OF THE FORECAST
PRIOR TO A RIDGE DEVELOPING ON THURSDAY BETWEEN THE AFOREMENTIONED
LOW MOVING INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA AND A SECOND LOW PUSHING OFF
THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA. THIS LOW WILL DRIVE A FRONT ACROSS THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE BERING SEA THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND
SLOWLY PUSH THE RIDGE TOWARD THE EASTERN BERING SEA BY FRIDAY.
ALL-IN-ALL...RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE BERING
SEA AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY...185.
         STORM...119.
         GALE...120 125 127 129 130 139 155 165 170-176 180
                181 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...TP
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...MTL/JR
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DEK
LONG TERM...MMC