Gale Warning 719, NWS Anchorage, AK

154 
FZAK51 PAFC 120418 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
718 PM AKST TUE NOV 11 2014

UPDATED ZONE 121

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-121730-
718 PM AKST TUE NOV 11 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF WILL REACH KODIAK ISLAND
AND THE NORTHWEST GULF COAST WED MORNING. THIS FRONT WILL THEN
SLIDE WEST ALONG THE ALASKA PENINSULA THROUGH THU AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-121730-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
718 PM AKST TUE NOV 11 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ120-121730-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
718 PM AKST TUE NOV 11 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ121-121730-
RESURRECTION BAY-
718 PM AKST TUE NOV 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-121730-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
718 PM AKST TUE NOV 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-121730-
PORT VALDEZ-
718 PM AKST TUE NOV 11 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-121730-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
718 PM AKST TUE NOV 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-121730-
VALDEZ ARM-
718 PM AKST TUE NOV 11 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-121730-
PASSAGE CANAL-
718 PM AKST TUE NOV 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-121730-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
718 PM AKST TUE NOV 11 2014

...STORM WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-121730-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
718 PM AKST TUE NOV 11 2014

...STORM WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
18 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ132-121730-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
718 PM AKST TUE NOV 11 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS
19 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ136-121730-
CHINIAK BAY-
718 PM AKST TUE NOV 11 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ137-121730-
MARMOT BAY-
718 PM AKST TUE NOV 11 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ138-121730-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
718 PM AKST TUE NOV 11 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-121730-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
718 PM AKST TUE NOV 11 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-121730-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
718 PM AKST TUE NOV 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-121730-
KACHEMAK BAY-
718 PM AKST TUE NOV 11 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

239 
FZAK51 PAFC 121226
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
326 AM AKST WED NOV 12 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-130115-
326 AM AKST WED NOV 12 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT IS LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHERN END OF KODIAK ISLAND
AND THE NORTHWEST GULF THIS MORNING. THIS FRONT WILL TRACK WEST
ALONG THE ALASKA PENINSULA THROUGH THU AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-130115-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
326 AM AKST WED NOV 12 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ120-130115-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
326 AM AKST WED NOV 12 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ121-130115-
RESURRECTION BAY-
326 AM AKST WED NOV 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING BECOMING N 10 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-130115-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
326 AM AKST WED NOV 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-130115-
PORT VALDEZ-
326 AM AKST WED NOV 12 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-130115-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
326 AM AKST WED NOV 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-130115-
VALDEZ ARM-
326 AM AKST WED NOV 12 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-130115-
PASSAGE CANAL-
326 AM AKST WED NOV 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-130115-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
326 AM AKST WED NOV 12 2014

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-130115-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
326 AM AKST WED NOV 12 2014

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ132-130115-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
326 AM AKST WED NOV 12 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ136-130115-
CHINIAK BAY-
326 AM AKST WED NOV 12 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ137-130115-
MARMOT BAY-
326 AM AKST WED NOV 12 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ138-130115-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
326 AM AKST WED NOV 12 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ139-130115-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
326 AM AKST WED NOV 12 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-130115-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
326 AM AKST WED NOV 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-130115-
KACHEMAK BAY-
326 AM AKST WED NOV 12 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT EXCEPT 35 KT NEAR THE OUTER BAY. SEAS 4 FT
EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR THE OUTER BAY. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR THE OUTER BAY. SEAS
4 FT EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR THE OUTER BAY.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

361 
FZAK51 PAFC 122354
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
254 PM AKST WED NOV 12 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-131245-
254 PM AKST WED NOV 12 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER WESTERN CANADA AND A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA WILL KEEP MODERATE EAST FLOW OVER
THE GULF THROUGH FRI AFTERNOON. A STATIONARY WEATHER FRONT WILL
RESIDE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF THROUGH FRI AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-131245-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
254 PM AKST WED NOV 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ120-131245-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
254 PM AKST WED NOV 12 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ121-131245-
RESURRECTION BAY-
254 PM AKST WED NOV 12 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N WIND 15 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-131245-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
254 PM AKST WED NOV 12 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-131245-
PORT VALDEZ-
254 PM AKST WED NOV 12 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-131245-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
254 PM AKST WED NOV 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-131245-
VALDEZ ARM-
254 PM AKST WED NOV 12 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-131245-
PASSAGE CANAL-
254 PM AKST WED NOV 12 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT.
.THU NIGHT THROUGH FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-131245-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
254 PM AKST WED NOV 12 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-131245-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
254 PM AKST WED NOV 12 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ132-131245-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
254 PM AKST WED NOV 12 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ136-131245-
CHINIAK BAY-
254 PM AKST WED NOV 12 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-131245-
MARMOT BAY-
254 PM AKST WED NOV 12 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ138-131245-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
254 PM AKST WED NOV 12 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-131245-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
254 PM AKST WED NOV 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-131245-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
254 PM AKST WED NOV 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-131245-
KACHEMAK BAY-
254 PM AKST WED NOV 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
452 AM AKST TUE NOV 11 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
AN UPPER LEVEL AMPLIFIED RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE SOUTHEAST
ALASKA REGION EXTENDING THROUGH THE YUKON TERRITORY INTO THE
NORTHSLOPE REGION. ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE RIDGE THERE IS A 130 KT
SOUTH TO NORTH MERIDIONAL JET STREAK LOCATED THROUGH THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS EXTENDING THROUGH SOUTHWEST ALASKA TOWARDS THE BROOKS
RANGE. THE BERING SEA STILL HAS THE REMNANTS OF THE OCCLUDED LOW
LOCATED WEST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
POSITIONED THROUGH THE CENTRAL BERING SEA EXTENDING SOUTHWARD
THROUGH THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. THE SURFACE OBSERVATIONS ALONG THE
WESTERN TO CENTRAL ALEUTIANS CONTINUE TO REPORT GUSTY WESTERLY
WINDS WITH SHOWERY PRECIPITATION. THE SATELLITE IMAGERY IS SHOWING
A LARGE SWATH OF MOISTURE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF BEING
TRANSPORTED NORTHWARD THROUGH KODIAK ISLAND...COOK INLET AND INTO
THE MATANUSKA VALLEY. THE RADAR IS DEPICTING SHOWERY
PRECIPITATION ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST WITH THE CONTINUED
SOUTHERLY FLOW WITH TEMPERATURE PREDOMINANTLY IN THE LOWER 40S
ALONG THE COAST SPREADING INLAND. THE SOUTHWEST ALASKA CONTINUES
TO HAVE ONSHORE FLOW WITH SHOWERY PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURES
WELL ABOVE FREEZING. THERE IS WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVES PUSHING
THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST ALASKA WHICH WILL PRODUCE SHOWERY
PRECIPITATION. THE SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA ARE
REPORTING LIGHT SHOWERS WITH GUSTY SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING
BEFORE STRUGGLING WITH THE NORTH PACIFIC LOW APPROACHING THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS. ALL MODELS HAVE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY TRACKING
INTO THE WESTERN GULF THROUGH KODIAK ISLAND TODAY. THIS FRONT
WILL EXTEND THROUGH THE BARREN ISLANDS WESTWARD INTO THE ALASKA
RANGE TUESDAY AFTERNOON RESULTING IN INCREASED PRESSURE GRADIENTS
WITH VERY STRONG GUSTY WINDS THROUGH SOUTHWEST ALASKA THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. THE FORECAST CONFIDENCE REMAINS ABOVE AVERAGE WITH SOME
UNCERTAINTY WITH EXACT STRENGTH OF WINDS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO BUILD INTO THE NORTHERN GULF
WILL COINCIDE WITH THE TROUGH BECOMING MORE NEGATIVE TILTED OVER
THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS. THERE WILL BE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVING
INTO THE WESTERN GULF OVER KODIAK ISLAND THIS MORNING BRINGING
COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION. THIS WILL INCREASE THE PRESSURE
GRADIENTS WITH STORM FORCE WINDS THROUGH THE BARREN ISLANDS
EXTENDING TOWARDS KAMISHAK BAY. THE GRADIENT WILL INCREASE ALONG
THE EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA AND THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.
THIS WILL CREATE GUSTY STRONG WINDS FOR THE TURNAGAIN ARM AND
HIGHER ELEVATIONS THROUGH LATE TONIGHT BEFORE THE WINDS START TO
DIMINISH. THE ANCHORAGE BOWL AND THE WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA WILL
CONTINUE TO HAVE DOWNSLOPE DRYING. THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION WILL
OCCUR OVER THE CHUGACH AND KENAI MOUNTAINS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
RAIN SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL BE ON THE RISE DURING THE MORNING HOURS
AS A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE PUSHES ACROSS THE BRISTOL BAY
AND KUSKOKWIM DELTA AREAS. RAINFALL WILL THEN BECOME MORE
STRATIFORM BY THIS AFTERNOON AS A WARM FRONT TRACK INTO THE AREA
OF THE NORTH PACIFIC. STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS ALOFT WILL CAUSE
FOR DOWNSLOPING TO OCCUR ON THE LEE SIDE OF THE ALEUTIAN
RANGE...LEADING TO LOCATIONS LIKE ILIAMNA AND KING SALMON TO SEE
SIGNIFICANTLY LESS RAINFALL THAN THE REST OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA
AND THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE BRISTOL BAY AREA.

WITH AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING ACROSS SOUTHEAST/SOUTHCENTRAL
ALASKA AND AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE BERING SEA...A TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE BRISTOL BAY AREA LATE
THIS EVENING AND INTO WEDNESDAY. THE WARM FRONT FROM THE NORTH
PACIFIC WILL AID IN ALIGNING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO ALLOW
STRONG WINDS TO BLOW THROUGH THE PASSES IN THE ALEUTIAN RANGE.
THUS...A HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH NOON TOMORROW AS WINDS APPROACHING 80 MPH COULD BE SEEN
ALONG THE ALEUTIAN RANGE AND NORTH OF KING SALMON. WINDS WILL
BEGIN TO DIMINISH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS THE GRADIENT RELAXES A
BIT AND THE ORIENTATION OF THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BECOMES LESS
FAVORABLE.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A LARGE COMPLEX LOW CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA WILL
CONTINUE TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW WINDS
TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH ACROSS MUCH OF THE BERING SEA OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE BERING
SEA WITH A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW REMAINING THOROUGHLY ENTRENCHED
ACROSS THE AREA. HOWEVER...A FEW SNOW SHOWERS MAY BE SEEN ACROSS
THE FAR WESTERN SEA AS COLDER AIR FROM RUSSIA/KAMCHATKA PENINSULA
FILTERS INTO THE REGION.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THE SOUTHCENTRAL MAINLAND THROUGH SOUTHEAST ALASKA WILL BE
DOMINATED BY THE NEGATIVE TILTED RIDGE THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF
NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL BRING WARMER TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE REGION
WITH INCREASED CHANCES FOR FOG FORMING UNDER THE SUBSIDENCE
INVERSIONS WITH THE STABLE AIRMASS. THE GULF WILL PREDOMINANTLY
HAVE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WITH WIDESPREAD SCATTERED SHOWERS AS WEAK
SHORTWAVE TROUGH SWING THROUGH THE REGION WITH AREAS OF FOG
ACCOMPANIED BY MARINE LAYER STRATUS.

THE NORTHERN BERING SEA WILL STILL BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE
NEGATIVE TILTED RIDGE THROUGH FRIDAY BEFORE GRADUALLY SHIFTING
NORTHWARD INTO THE BERING STRAIT OVER THE WEEKEND. BY THURSDAY A
NORTH PACIFIC LOW APPROACHES THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS. THIS WILL
BRING A SWATH OF MOISTURE WITH ABUNDANT PRECIPITATION TO THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS. THIS FEATURE WILL SPILL OVER INTO THE EASTERN
BERING SEA AND ALONG THE SOUTHWEST ALASKA COASTLINE. THE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE WILL KEEP ANY MOISTURE AND PRECIPITATION FROM MOVING
INLAND. THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL HAVE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
TRACKING INTO THE AREA BY THURSDAY NIGHT BEFORE BECOMING A BROAD
COMPLEX LOW WITH MULTIPLE CENTERS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE OVERALL
PRECIPITATION OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS AND WESTERN BERING SEA
WILL BE IN THE FORM OF SHOWERS.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING ZONE 161.
MARINE...GALES 119 120 132 136 137 138 139 150.
         STORMS 130 131.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...PD
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...PD
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MC
LONG TERM...PD