Gale Warning 680, NWS Anchorage, AK

642 
FZAK62 PAFC 170012
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
312 PM AKST SUN NOV 16 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-171445-
312 PM AKST SUN NOV 16 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 988 MB LOW NEAR 59N 178W WILL MOVE TO 61N 173E SUN NIGHT AND
THEN DISSIPATE. A 970 MB LOW NEAR 52N 167W MON AFTERNOON WILL MOVE
TO 54N 172W AT 970 MB TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-171445-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
312 PM AKST SUN NOV 16 2014

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.

$$

PKZ412-171445-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
312 PM AKST SUN NOV 16 2014

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT BECOMING NE 25 TO 35 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 17 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.

$$

PKZ413-171445-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
312 PM AKST SUN NOV 16 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.WED...SE WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.

$$

PKZ414-171445-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
312 PM AKST SUN NOV 16 2014

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.

$$

902 
FZAK62 PAFC 171215
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
315 AM AKST MON NOV 17 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-180200-
315 AM AKST MON NOV 17 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 972 MB LOW NEAR 49N 168W MON MORNING MOVES NEAR 54N 169W AT 971
MB TUE MORNING. THIS LOW MOVES NEAR 54N 172W AT 971 MB WED MORNING
BEFORE MOVING TO 56N 174W AT 971 MB WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-180200-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
315 AM AKST MON NOV 17 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.

$$

PKZ412-180200-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
315 AM AKST MON NOV 17 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT BECOMING NE 25 TO 35 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 17 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.

$$

PKZ413-180200-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
315 AM AKST MON NOV 17 2014

.TODAY...N TO E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.

$$

PKZ414-180200-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
315 AM AKST MON NOV 17 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 TO 40 KT BECOMING 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 TO 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.

$$

792 
FZAK62 PAFC 180034
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
334 PM AKST MON NOV 17 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-181415-
334 PM AKST MON NOV 17 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 971 MB LOW NEAR 52N 166W MOVES NEAR 54N 173W AT 968 MB TUE
AFTERNOON...THEN DRIFTS TO NEAR 56N 174W AT 971 MB WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-181415-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
334 PM AKST MON NOV 17 2014

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 TO 19 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 19 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.

$$

PKZ412-181415-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
334 PM AKST MON NOV 17 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ413-181415-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
334 PM AKST MON NOV 17 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ414-181415-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
334 PM AKST MON NOV 17 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

186 
FZAK62 PAFC 181206
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
306 AM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-190230-
306 AM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 970 MB LOW NEAR 54N 169W TUE MORNING MOVES NEAR 54N 173W AT 970 MB
WED MORNING TUE AFTERNOON. THIS LOW MOVES NEAR 54N 177W AT 971 MB
THU MORNING BEFORE DISSIPATING BY THU AFTERNOON. A SECOND LOW
MOVES NEAR 51N 157W AT 956 MB THU MORNING BEFORE MOVING TO 54N
155W AT 954 MB THU AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-190230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
306 AM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 19 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 19 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT.

$$

PKZ412-190230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
306 AM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.

$$

PKZ413-190230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
306 AM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 TO 20 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 15 KT E OF 174W.
SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 TO 20 KT EXCEPT S 10 TO 20 KT E OF 175W. SEAS 7
TO 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.

$$

PKZ414-190230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
306 AM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

140 
FZAK62 PAFC 190003
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
303 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-191400-
303 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 970 MB LOW NEAR 54N 172W REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY WHILE
WEAKENING TO 975 MB THROUGH THU AFTERNOON. A RAPIDLY STRENGTHENING
955 MB LOW MOVES TO NEAR 48N 164W WED AFTERNOON...THEN MOVES
NORTHEAST TO NEAR 55N 157W THU AFTERNOON WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN
STRENGTH.

$$

PKZ411-191400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
303 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 19 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 19 FT. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.

$$

PKZ412-191400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
303 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.

$$

PKZ413-191400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
303 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.

$$

PKZ414-191400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
303 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

206 
FZAK62 PAFC 191203
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
303 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-200300-
303 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 970 MB LOW NEAR 54N 173W REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY BEFORE
DISSIPATING THU AFTERNOON. A RAPIDLY STRENGTHENING 955 MB LOW
MOVES NEAR 50N 162W WED EVENING BEFORE MOVING TO 55N 160W AT 957
MB THU EVENING. THIS LOW REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH FRI
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-200300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
303 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...N WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.

$$

PKZ412-200300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
303 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2014

.TODAY...N TO E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N TO E WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.

$$

PKZ413-200300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
303 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 TO 20 KT...BECOMING S 20 KT E OF 174W IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 TO 20 KT...EXCEPT SE 10 TO 20 KT E OF 175W.
SEAS 6 TO 10 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.

$$

PKZ414-200300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
303 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2014

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
330 PM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN CONTINUES TO BE DOMINATED BY THE BLOCKING
RIDGE ALONG THE WEST COAST OF NORTH AMERICA INTO THE YUKON
TERRITORY AND UPPER LEVEL LOWS OVER THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA TO THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS. THERE ARE MULTIPLE SURFACE LOWS ACROSS THE
REGION...FROM THE THE SOUTHERN KAMCHATKA PENINSULA TO THE WESTERN
BERING SEA TO SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS TO SOUTH OF THE GULF
OF ALASKA. STRONG HIGH PRESSURE PERSISTS FROM BRITISH COLUMBIA TO
THE YUKON TERRITORY. STRONG SURFACE INVERSIONS ARE PREVALENT
ACROSS THE SOUTH CENTRAL REGION DUE TO RADIATIONAL COOLING
OVERNIGHT AND THE VERY WARM AIR ALOFT.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE SHORT TERM. MINOR
DIFFERENCES ARISE AT THE 24 HOUR FORECAST TIME FOR THE MODERATE
STRENGTH LOW APPROACHING THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS SUN NIGHT. THE NAM
IS THE OUTLIER AND A BLEND OF THE ECMWF AND GFS WILL BE USED FOR
THIS SYSTEM.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF THE STRONG BLOCKING
HIGH JUST TO THE EAST. OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND THROUGH SUNDAY WAVES
MOVING UP TO THE GULF COAST AND KODIAK ISLAND IN THE SOUTHEAST
FLOW WILL BRING CLOUDS AND RAIN TO THESE AREAS. CLOUDS WILL SPREAD
NORTH UP COOK INLET SUNDAY AND INTO THE SUSITNA VALLEY SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY. FOG ISSUES WILL PERSIST IN THE COPPER RIVER
BASIN THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT DUE TO THE STRONG INVERSION. THE FOG
CONCERNS FOR NORTHERN COOK INLET WILL LESSEN DUE TO THE INCREASED
CLOUD COVER AND INCREASED MIXING FROM THE TIGHTENING GRADIENT AS
THE FIRST WAVE MOVES UP FROM THE GULF THIS EVENING. BY SUNDAY
NIGHT SOME LIGHT RAIN IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHERN COOK INLET
REGION. THE COLD SOAKED GROUND WILL LIKELY RESULT IN THE RAIN
INITIALLY FREEZING ON CONTACT IN ISOLATED AREAS OF EAST ANCHORAGE
AND UP INTO THE PALMER WASILLA AREA. THE STRONG SOUTHEAST FLOW
ACROSS THE CHUGACH MOUNTAINS WILL RESULT IN THE TYPICAL DOWNSLOPE
PRECIPITATION SHADOW ON THE LEEWARD SIDE OF THE
MOUNTAINS...MEANING WHAT DOES FALL WILL BE VERY LIGHT.
MEANWHILE...THE UPSLOPE SIDE OF THE COASTAL MOUNTAINS WILL SEE A
RETURN TO STEADY RAIN BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. KODIAK ISLAND WILL
CONTINUE TO SEE THE BRUNT OF RAIN AND WIND WITH ONLY VERY BRIEF
BREAKS IN INTENSITY BETWEEN WAVES.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A FAST MOVING WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA THIS
EVENING IN THE PERSISTENT SOUTHEAST FLOW. THIS WILL INCREASE THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT RESULTING IN INCREASED WIND ACROSS THE ALEUTIAN
MOUNTAINS THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL RESULT IN
A BIT OF A RAIN SHADOW ON THE LEEWARD SIDE OF THE ALEUTIAN
MOUNTAINS AND THE MORE PERSISTENT RAIN WILL FALL ALONG THE KILBUCK
MOUNTAINS. MOISTURE WILL PUSH ACROSS THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA IN THE
SOUTHEAST FLOW. THE PERSISTENT WARM AIR FLOW ACROSS THE REGION
WILL KEEP PRECIPITATION LIQUID.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE LOW SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS WILL SLOWLY MOVE NORTH
ACROSS THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE UPPER LEVEL
LOW ANCHORED OVER THE SOUTHERN KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WILL HOLD THE
MOIST WARM SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE ALEUTIANS AND WESTERN BERING
SEA THROUGH MONDAY. AN INTENSIFYING LOW WILL MOVE TOWARD THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS SUNDAY NIGHT TO MONDAY MORNING TIME FRAME. THE
MODELS ARE NOT CONSISTENT ABOUT THE INTENSITY AND LOCATION OF THIS
STORM. THE CURRENT THINKING IS IT WILL INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES INTO
THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS BRINGING WITH IT GALE FORCE WINDS AND
WIDESPREAD RAIN AS IT APPROACHES.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THE BLOCKING PATTERN WILL REMAIN FOR THE NEXT WEEK WITH HIGH
PRESSURE HOLDING STRONG OVER THE EASTERN PART OF THE STATE. A
BROAD UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL ALSO STAY OVER THE BERING DURING THIS
TIME. WHILE IN THIS PATTERN A COUPLE FRONTS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE
INTO THE AREA FROM THE SOUTH. THE FIRST WILL BE ON TUESDAY WHICH
WILL BRING MORE PRECIPITATION TO PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. THE SECOND WILL BE THURSDAY NIGHT...HOWEVER
THERE IS MORE UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS SYSTEM AS THERE IS LARGE
DISAGREEMENT BETWEEN THE MODELS FOR THIS TIME PERIOD.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING 119 120 130 131 138 139 150 155 174 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...SA
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SA
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...SA
LONG TERM...DK