Gale Warning 679, NWS Anchorage, AK

333 
FZAK61 PAFC 150004
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
304 PM AKST FRI NOV 14 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-151430-
304 PM AKST FRI NOV 14 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A STATIONARY WEATHER FRONT OVER THE GULF WILL PERSIST THROUGH SAT
NIGHT. A 995 MB LOW NEAR 52N 147W SAT EVENING WILL MOVE NEAR 58N
152W AT 1007 MB SUN AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ351-151430-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W-
304 PM AKST FRI NOV 14 2014

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ352-151430-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W-
304 PM AKST FRI NOV 14 2014

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

587 
FZAK61 PAFC 151206
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
306 AM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-160215-
306 AM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A STATIONARY WEATHER FRONT OVER THE GULF WILL PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT.
A 999 MB LOW NEAR 52N 147W THIS EVENING WILL MOVE NEAR 58N 152W
AT 1006 MB SUN AFTERNOON...THEN DISSIPATE SUN NIGHT.

$$

PKZ351-160215-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W-
306 AM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.

$$

PKZ352-160215-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W-
306 AM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

913 
FZAK61 PAFC 160017
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
317 PM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-161415-
317 PM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A 997 MB LOW AT 53N 151W WILL DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES TO 57N 160W
SAT NIGHT. A 992 MB LOW AT 46N 145W WILL WEAKEN TO 1007 MB AS IT
MOVES TO 57N 152W SUN AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL THEN DISSIPATE SUN
NIGHT.

$$

PKZ351-161415-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W-
317 PM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14
TO 17 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 11 TO 14 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ352-161415-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W-
317 PM AKST SAT NOV 15 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT.
.MON...E WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.

$$

180 
FZAK61 PAFC 161201
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
301 AM AKST SUN NOV 16 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-170215-
301 AM AKST SUN NOV 16 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A 1002 MB LOW NEAR 55N 147W THIS MORNING MOVES TO 59N 152W AT 1010 MB
THIS EVENING BEFORE DISSIPATING LATE TONIGHT. A 987 MB LOW NEAR
54N 144W TUE MORNING MOVES TO 58N 148W AT 990 MB TUE AFTERNOON.


$$

PKZ351-170215-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W-
301 AM AKST SUN NOV 16 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 TO 40 KT BECOMING SE 20 TO 35 KT BY AFTERNOON.
SEAS 14 TO 18 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.

$$

PKZ352-170215-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W-
301 AM AKST SUN NOV 16 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT BECOMING S 15 TO 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.THU...SE WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

314 
FZAK61 PAFC 170009
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
309 PM AKST SUN NOV 16 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-171430-
309 PM AKST SUN NOV 16 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A 1005 MB LOW NEAR 58N 151W WILL MOVE NORTHWEST AND DISSIPATE 
LATE SUN NIGHT. A 992 MB LOW NEAR 52N 144W MON EVENING WILL 
MOVE TO 59N 151W AT 982 MB TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ351-171430-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W-
309 PM AKST SUN NOV 16 2014

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 TO 15 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 10 TO 15 FT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT.

$$

PKZ352-171430-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W-
309 PM AKST SUN NOV 16 2014

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 TO 14 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...S WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.

$$

987 
FZAK61 PAFC 171228
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
328 AM AKST MON NOV 17 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-180230-
328 AM AKST MON NOV 17 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A 1014 MB LOW NEAR 59N 152W WILL DISSIPATE BY MON AFTERNOON. A
987 MB LOW NEAR 55N 147W TUE MORNING MOVES TO 59N 155W AT 982 MB
TUE AFTERNOON BEFORE DISSIPATING BY TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ351-180230-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W-
328 AM AKST MON NOV 17 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 11 TO 15 FT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 25 TO 40 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 TO
19 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 TO 15 FT.
.WED...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.

$$

PKZ352-180230-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W-
328 AM AKST MON NOV 17 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING 25 TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 13 TO 16 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT.

$$

758 
FZAK61 PAFC 180007
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
307 PM AKST MON NOV 17 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-181400-
307 PM AKST MON NOV 17 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A 1014 MB LOW NEAR 59N 152W WILL DISSIPATE BY MON AFTERNOON. A
987 MB LOW NEAR 55N 147W TUE MORNING MOVES TO 59N 155W AT 982 MB
TUE AFTERNOON BEFORE DISSIPATING BY TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ351-181400-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W-
307 PM AKST MON NOV 17 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT 
BUILDING TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 35 TO 45 KT BECOMING S 25 TO 35 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 TO 20 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 15 TO 18 FT.
.WED...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.

$$

PKZ352-181400-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W-
307 PM AKST MON NOV 17 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 12 TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT.
.WED...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 TO 21 FT.

$$

451 
FZAK61 PAFC 180012
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
312 PM AKST MON NOV 17 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-181400-
312 PM AKST MON NOV 17 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A 991 MB LOW NEAR 49N 145W WILL STRENGTHEN TO 978 MB AS IT MOVES
TO 57N 151W TUE MORNING. THIS LOW WILL THEN DISSIPATE AS IT
CROSSES INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA TUE AFTERNOON THROUGH TUE EVENING.

$$

PKZ351-181400-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W-
312 PM AKST MON NOV 17 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO
16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 35 TO 45 KT BECOMING S 25 TO 35 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 TO 20 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 15 TO 18 FT.
.WED...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.

$$

PKZ352-181400-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W-
312 PM AKST MON NOV 17 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT BUILDING TO 12 TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT.
.WED...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 TO 21 FT.

$$

076 
FZAK61 PAFC 181211
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
311 AM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-190300-
311 AM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A 985 MB LOW NEAR 54N 147W TUE MORNING MOVES TO 59N 153W AT 976 MB
TUE AFTERNOON BEFORE DISSIPATING BY TUE NIGHT. A FRONT MOVES INTO
THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF BY THU AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ351-190300-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W-
311 AM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 TO 50 KT BECOMING S 25 TO 40 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 TO 22 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 TO 35 KT BECOMING S 15 TO 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT.
.WED...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.

$$

PKZ352-190300-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W-
311 AM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT BY LATE MORNING.
SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 15 TO 19 FT.
.WED...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 TO 15 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 TO 23 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
450 PM AKST THU NOV 13 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE CLOSED UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE YUKON
TERRITORY WITH AN AMPLIFIED RIDGE EXTENDING NORTHWARD INTO
BEAUFORT SEA...THE OTHER RIDGE EXTENDS THROUGH THE FAIRBANKS
REGION WESTWARD THROUGH KUSKOKWIM DELTA INTO THE EASTERN BERING
SEA JUST NORTH OF THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS. A CUT-OFF LOW REMAINS
SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WITH AN INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDING
THOROUGH ATKA INTO THE LOWER CENTRAL BERING SEA. AT THE SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE IS POSITIONED OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA WITH A
STATIONARY FRONT OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA. SOUTH OF THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS THERE IS A COMPLEX NORTH PACIFIC LOW WITH AN INVERTED
TROUGH EXTENDING TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN END OF KODIAK ISLAND. THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAIN STRONG OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND
BRISTOL BAY REGION. THE SURFACE OBSERVATIONS CONTINUE TO REPORT
GUSTY EASTERLY WIND WITH GUSTS TO 35 TO 45 MPH WITH A 90 KNOT
SOUTHEAST TO NORTHWEST JET STREAK OVER THE AKPEN. THE SATELLITE
IMAGERY HAS A LARGE SWATH OF MOISTURE BEING TRANSPORTED THROUGH
THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS...AKPEN...NORTHWARD THROUGH SOUTHWEST
ALASKA. THE GULF OF ALASKA HAS MARINE LAYER STRATUS...WITH
GRADUAL CLEARING OVER THE EASTERN GULF DUE TO THE HIGH PRESSURE
POSITIONED OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA. THE SATELLITE IMAGERY IS SHOWING
THE NORTH PACIFIC LOW AT 48N 157W SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS
TRACKING NORTHWARD. AT 300 MB THERE IS A 125 KNOT NORTH TO SOUTH
MERIDIONAL JET STEAK DIGGING INTO THE BASE OF THE LONGWAVE TROUGH
LOCATED AT 35N 161W. THIS WILL STRENGTHEN THE CUT-OFF LOW FORMING
SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AS IT TRACKS NORTHWARD.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
GRADUALLY MOVING OVER SOUTHCENTRAL AND THE KENAI TONIGHT. THE GULF
OF ALASKA WILL CONTINUE WITH EAST TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW THROUGH
SATURDAY. THE WEAK BERING LOW NEAR ATKA WILL DISSIPATE BY THIS
AFTERNOON. A COMPLEX SET OF LOWS IN THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL
CONSOLIDATE JUST SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS THIS MORNING. THE
MODELS HAVE THE NORTH PACIFIC LOW TRACKING WESTWARD PARALLEL TO
THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
WILL EXTEND FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC LOW ACROSS THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS INTO THE EASTERN BERING SEA...THIS WILL RESULT IN GALE
FORCE WINDS WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE WITH PRECIPITATION FALLING AS
RAIN WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 40S. THE NAM WAS THE PREFERRED
MODEL OF CHOICE FOR MAJORITY OF THE SHORT TERM FORECAST WITH THE
GFS BEING THE OUTLIER. THE FORECAST CONFIDENCE REMAINS ABOVE
AVERAGE AND WILL INCREASE AS MODELS CONTINUE TO GET A BETTER
HANDLE ON THE NORTH PACIFIC LOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A DRIER PATTERN SETS UP ACROSS MOST OF SOUTHCENTRAL AS WE HEAD
INTO THE WEEKEND. RIDGING BUILDS INTO THE COPPER RIVER VALLEY
TONIGHT AND PERSISTS OVER THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND THROUGH SUNDAY.
PATCHY FOG IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST AND AREA LAKES
OVERNIGHT WITH IMPROVEMENT LATE MORNING. THE COPPER RIVER VALLEY
IS THE BIGGEST CHALLENGE IN THIS FORECAST...AREAS OF FOG IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING WITH LITTLE
IMPROVEMENT THROUGH THE DAY. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL REMAIN
ALONG THE WESTERN GULF INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND THROUGH THE WEEKEND
AS LOW PRESSURE PERSISTS WEST OF KODIAK. EASTERLY WINDS ACROSS THE
GULF WILL BRING GALES AROUND KODIAK THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE LARGE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER MAINLAND ALASKA AND
NORTHWEST CANADA REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH A BROAD UPPER
TROUGH UPSTREAM OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC. THE STABILITY OF THIS SET
UP WILL KEEP THE WEATHER PATTERNS FAIRLY SLOW TO CHANGE OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE BIGGEST INFLUENCE ON THE WEATHER OVER SOUTHWEST
ALASKA WILL BE THE OFFSHORE NORTHEASTERLY PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE YUKON TERRITORY INTO
INTERIOR ALASKA AND AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED SOUTH OF THE
TIP OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA. BREEZY EAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH STRONGER GUSTS DOWNSLOPING AND CHANNELING
THROUGH GAPS AND PASSES IN THE ALASKA AND ALEUTIAN RANGES. THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL RELAX VERY SLIGHTLY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT
BUT STRENGTHEN AGAIN SATURDAY.

THE FRONTAL SYSTEM IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION WILL GRADUALLY
WEAKEN TONIGHT AND FRIDAY THOUGH RAIN WILL STILL PERSIST IN
ABUNDANCE IN UPSLOPE SOUTHEAST FACING PORTIONS OF THE PENINSULA
AND THE AHKLUN/KILBUCK MOUNTAINS. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE WELL
ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS ALTHOUGH INLAND VALLEYS TO THE NORTH AND
EAST WHERE THERE WILL BE MORE CLEARING WILL SEE STRONG NIGHTTIME
INVERSIONS AND COLDER LOWS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
IN THE CENTRAL BERING AND OUT TOWARDS THE ALEUTIANS THE NORTHERLY
GALES TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE LOW CENTER ARE THE MAIN CONCERN
FOR THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE BAND OF NORTHERLY GALES CURRENTLY
CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS WILL SLIDE TO THE WEST AND
SOUTH TONIGHT BEFORE WEAKENING TO SMALL CRAFTS FRIDAY. A FRONTAL
SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC WILL BRING SOUTHEASTERLY
GALES TO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS TONIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THE BLOCKING PATTERN OVER THE STATE WILL CONTINUE WELL INTO NEXT
WEEK. THIS PATTERN CONSISTS OF A DOMINANT HIGH OVER THE EASTERN
PART OF THE STATE AND LOW PRESSURE OUT OVER THE BERING. VARIOUS
LOWS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE BERING BRINGING RAIN AND SNOW
THROUGHOUT THE AREA. IN BETWEEN THE THE HIGH AND THE LOW...WARM
SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BRING MORE RAIN TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.
THE RAIN WILL MIX WITH SNOW AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND LOCATIONS
FURTHER INLAND WHERE SOME SHOWERS WILL MAKE IT THROUGH THE COASTAL
MOUNTAINS. THERE WILL BE A FEW BREAKS IN THE PRECIPITATION BUT
THEY WILL BE SHORT LIVED.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING 130 131 132 138 150 155 160 170 172 173 174
                176 178 180.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EZ
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...KH
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...AD/JR
LONG TERM...DK