Gale Warning 612, NWS Anchorage, AK

268 
FZAK52 PAFC 081900 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1100 AM AKDT WED OCT 8 2014

UPDATE TO ZONE 160

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-090315-
1100 AM AKDT WED OCT 8 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 950 MB LOW 320 NM S OF SEGUAM ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 150 NM S OF
DUTCH HARBOR AT 953 MB LATE WED NIGHT...THEN MOVE TO 230 NM S OF
SITKINAK AT 964 MB LATE THU NIGHT. A WEATHER FRONT WILL PERSIST
OVER THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA THROUGH WED EVENING.

$$

PKZ150-090315-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
1100 AM AKDT WED OCT 8 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.THU...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ155-090315-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
1100 AM AKDT WED OCT 8 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...E WIND 30 KT
INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...E WIND 30 KT
DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ160-090315-
BRISTOL BAY-
1100 AM AKDT WED OCT 8 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR TOGIAK BAY. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ165-090315-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
1100 AM AKDT WED OCT 8 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT EXCEPT E 35 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS
12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ170-090315-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
1100 AM AKDT WED OCT 8 2014

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.THU...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ171-090315-
UNALASKA BAY-
1100 AM AKDT WED OCT 8 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ172-090315-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
1100 AM AKDT WED OCT 8 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ173-090315-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
1100 AM AKDT WED OCT 8 2014

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.THU...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ174-090315-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
1100 AM AKDT WED OCT 8 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ175-090315-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
1100 AM AKDT WED OCT 8 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ176-090315-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
1100 AM AKDT WED OCT 8 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ177-090315-
ADAK TO KISKA-
1100 AM AKDT WED OCT 8 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...SEAS 13 FT
BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT BERING SIDE... 18 FT PACIFIC
SIDE. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ178-090315-
KISKA TO ATTU-
1100 AM AKDT WED OCT 8 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT BERING SIDE...NE 30 KT PACIFIC SIDE. SEAS
26 FT BERING SIDE...15 FT PACIFIC SIDE. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT BERING SIDE... 18 FT PACIFIC
SIDE. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ179-090315-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
1100 AM AKDT WED OCT 8 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ180-090315-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
1100 AM AKDT WED OCT 8 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ181-090315-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
1100 AM AKDT WED OCT 8 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ185-090315-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
1100 AM AKDT WED OCT 8 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

359 
FZAK52 PAFC 082357
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
357 PM AKDT WED OCT 8 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-091315-
357 PM AKDT WED OCT 8 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 945 MB LOW 300 NM SOUTH OF ADAK MOVES TO 130 NM SOUTHEAST OF
KODIAK ISLAND AT 970 MB FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A WEATHER FRONT ALONG
THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS AND THE ALASKA PENINSULA MOVES EAST THROUGH
THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA
THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY.

$$

PKZ150-091315-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
357 PM AKDT WED OCT 8 2014

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12
FT BUILDING TO 18 FT. S OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS
12 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT BY MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT SUBSIDING 14 FT. FROM CHIRIKOF ISLAND S...E WIND 35 KT
BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 14 FT. FROM CHIRIKOF ISLAND S...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ155-091315-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
357 PM AKDT WED OCT 8 2014

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ160-091315-
BRISTOL BAY-
357 PM AKDT WED OCT 8 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT NEAR TOGIAK BAY.
SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR TOGIAK BAY. SEAS 11 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ165-091315-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
357 PM AKDT WED OCT 8 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ170-091315-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
357 PM AKDT WED OCT 8 2014

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
25 FT SUBSIDING TO 20 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ171-091315-
UNALASKA BAY-
357 PM AKDT WED OCT 8 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING N 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
55 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 50 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT. PATCHY
FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PATCHY FOG.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ172-091315-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
357 PM AKDT WED OCT 8 2014

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ173-091315-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
357 PM AKDT WED OCT 8 2014

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 29 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 50 KT BECOMING N 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 28
FT SUBSIDING TO 22 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ174-091315-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
357 PM AKDT WED OCT 8 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ175-091315-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
357 PM AKDT WED OCT 8 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 28 FT SUBSIDING TO 22 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ176-091315-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
357 PM AKDT WED OCT 8 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ177-091315-
ADAK TO KISKA-
357 PM AKDT WED OCT 8 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT BERING SIDE...18 FT PACIFIC
SIDE. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT BERING SIDE...15 FT
PACIFIC SIDE.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ178-091315-
KISKA TO ATTU-
357 PM AKDT WED OCT 8 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT EXCEPT NE 25 KT PACIFIC SIDE. SEAS 21 FT
BERING SIDE...16 FT PACIFIC SIDE. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ179-091315-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
357 PM AKDT WED OCT 8 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ180-091315-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
357 PM AKDT WED OCT 8 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ181-091315-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
357 PM AKDT WED OCT 8 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ185-091315-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
357 PM AKDT WED OCT 8 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
444 PM AKDT TUE OCT 7 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
IN THE UPPER LEVELS THERE IS A LOW THAT IS IN THE EASTERN INTERIOR WITH
ANOTHER LOW JUST SOUTHWEST OF ATTU. IN BETWEEN THERE IS THE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE THAT STRETCHES FROM THE NORTHERN BERING SEA TO ACROSS
KODIAK ISLAND. THIS IS BRINGING NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT TO MOST OF
THE MAINLAND PART OF SOUTHERN ALASKA. THE SURFACE PATTERN IS A BIT
MORE SIMPLE WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER MAINLAND ALASKA WITH A
DISSIPATING LOW IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA. THE BIG WEATHER
MAKER IS SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS WHERE THE REMNANTS OF FORMER
TYPHOON PHANFONE ARE USURPING THE ENERGY FROM THE LOW THAT HAS NEE
IN THE WESTERN BERING SEA. THE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE WESTERN
BERING SEA LOW IS STILL GOING STRONG ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS AND
SOUTHERN BERING SEA BUT IT WILL GET ABSORBED INTO THE FORMER
TYPHOON REMNANTS OVER THE COURSE OF THE NEXT DAY.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE DOING A FINE JOB WITH THE SYNOPTIC PATTER WHICH PRETTY
MUCH CONSISTS OF HANDLING THE STRONG LOW SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN
ISLANDS. THE ONLY REAL QUESTION AT THIS POINT IS THE SPEED AT
WHICH THIS LOW MOVES INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA LATE THIS WEEK. BY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON THE ECMWF IS ABOUT 300 MILES FARTHER NORTHEAST
THAN THE GFS MODEL. AFTER THIS THE LOW WILL BECOME COMPLEX AND
THE MODELS ENTER INTO SOME MORE SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES IN
STRUCTURE OF THIS LOW THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...
MOST OF SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA WILL REMAIN CLEAR THROUGH TOMORROW
UNDER THE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THE COPPER RIVER BASIN IS THE BIG
EXCEPTION WHERE STRATUS HAS SETTLED INTO THE LOWER PARTS OF THE
BASIN AND ARE NOT BURNING OFF. THESE CLOUDS WILL LIKELY PERSIST
UNDER THE UPPER LEVEL LOW AND MAY TOUCH OFF SOME SNOW SHOWERS
ALONG THE MOUNTAINS AS THE LOW MOVES SOUTHWARD TONIGHT. THERE IS A
CHANCE A FEW CLOUDS WILL MOVE INTO THE SUSITNA VALLEY BUT IT
LOOKS MOSTLY RELEGATED TO THE COPPER RIVER AT THIS TIME. BY
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE STRONG LOW SOUTH OF
THE ALEUTIANS WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF AND BRING RAIN TO KODIAK
ISLAND. THIS FRONT WILL OVERSPREAD THE REMAINDER OF SOUTHCENTRAL
THURSDAY.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
WHILE CLOUD COVER WILL BE LIMITED FROM THE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH
THE STRONG LOW SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL
INCREASE OVERNIGHT INTO TOMORROW. THIS WILL INCREASE WINDS OVER
THE AREA AND THERE WILL BE OVERALL BREEZY CONDITIONS THROUGH
FRIDAY. CLOUDS AND POSSIBLY SOME RAIN WILL MOVE INTO THE BRISTOL
BAY AREA FROM THE FRONT ON THURSDAY.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
THE STRONG FRONT OVER THE ALEUTIANS ISLANDS AND SOUTHERN BERING
SEA WILL GET ABSORBED BY THE STRONG LOW SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS
WEDNESDAY LATE AFTERNOON OR EVENING. THIS WILL KEEP STRONG WINDS
IN THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS AS WELL AS THE PRIBILOF
ISLANDS. DUE TO THE WAY THESE SYSTEMS ARE MOVING AND INTERACTING
THERE WILL BE PERSISTENT RAINFALL INTO THURSDAY AS WELL.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (SAT-TUE)...THE "LEFTOVER" TROUGH IN THE GULF
OF AK TO START THE PERIOD WILL BE REINFORCED BY ENERGY DROPPING
INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH. MODELS ARE ALREADY IN RELATIVELY
GOOD AGREEMENT ON THIS NORTHERN TIER ENERGY SLIDING DOWN THE EAST
FLANK OF THE RIDGE OVER THE BERING TOWARDS BRISTOL BAY EARLY SAT.
THE BIGGEST DIFFERENCE IS HOW THEY HANDLE THE TRACK OF THE LOW AS
IT MOVES S OF 60N. THE GFS/GEM GLOBAL DRIVE IT FURTHER SOUTH INTO
THE TROUGH OVER THE GULF. THE EC ON THE OTHER HAND HOLDS IT OVER
BRISTOL BAY BEFORE TRACKING IT NE RIGHT THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL. THE
MOST SIGNIFICANT PIECE OF THIS IS THAT THE EC WOULD BRING A ROBUST
ROUND OF COLD AIR ADVECTION INTO THE AREA THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEKEND. 850 MB TEMPERATURES BY MONDAY MORNING ON THE GFS ARE
PROGGED TO BE AROUND -2C OVER ANCHORAGE WHILE THE EC PAINTS NEARLY
-10C. WITH LINGERING MOISTURE FROM THE TROUGH IN THE GULF...THE EC
SOLUTION WOULD BRING WIDESPREAD SNOW TO SOUTH CENTRAL BY EARLY
NEXT WEEK. IF THE GFS/GEM SOLUTION WERE TO PAN OUT...LOWER
ELEVATIONS WOULD LIKELY JUST SEE SOME MORE LIGHT RAIN WITH MIXED
PRECIPITATION HIGHER UP.
MEANWHILE OVER THE BERING AND ALEUTIANS...THINGS SHOULD BE
TRENDING DOWNWARD IN TERMS OF PRECIPITATION CHANCES AND WINDS. A
RIDGE WILL BUILD EARLY IN THE WEEK AND SHOULD KEEP MOST OF THE
ACTIVE WEATHER SOUTH AND NORTH OF THE AREA.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 132 138 150-165 171 174-185.
         STORM 170 172 173.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.
&&

OCT 14