Gale Warning 595, NWS Anchorage, AK

175 
FZAK52 PAFC 021200 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

CORRECTED ZONE 150 155

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-030115-
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE BERING SEA THROUGH FRI. A LOW
SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA WILL STRENGTHEN AND MOVE INTO THE
GULF OF ALASKA THU AND PERSIST THROUGH FRI. A 992 MB LOW 400 NM
WEST OF SHEMYA WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKEN TO 1015
MB BY FRIDAY MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-030115-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT EXCEPT 14 FT N
OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
21 FT. N OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND...SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ155-030115-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ160-030115-
BRISTOL BAY-
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ165-030115-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ170-030115-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ171-030115-
UNALASKA BAY-
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-030115-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ173-030115-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ174-030115-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ175-030115-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ176-030115-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ177-030115-
ADAK TO KISKA-
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ178-030115-
KISKA TO ATTU-
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ179-030115-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT AND FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ180-030115-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ181-030115-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-030115-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE 15 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

850 
FZAK52 PAFC 022311
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
311 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-031230-
311 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA THROUGH
SAT. A LOW IN THE SOUTHWEST GULF OF ALASKA WILL MOVE NORTH AND
WEAKEN THROUGH SAT. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE OVER THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS SAT.

$$

PKZ150-031230-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
311 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
21 FT DIMINISHING TO 16 FT TOWARD MORNING.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ155-031230-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
311 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT TOWARD MORNING.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON OUT OF BAYS
AND PASSES. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ160-031230-
BRISTOL BAY-
311 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ165-031230-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
311 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ170-031230-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
311 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ171-031230-
UNALASKA BAY-
311 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ172-031230-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
311 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ173-031230-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
311 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ174-031230-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
311 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ175-031230-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
311 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ176-031230-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
311 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ177-031230-
ADAK TO KISKA-
311 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ178-031230-
KISKA TO ATTU-
311 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ179-031230-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
311 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ180-031230-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
311 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ181-031230-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
311 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ185-031230-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
311 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE 15 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND... N 15 KT W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

558 
FZAK52 PAFC 030652
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1052 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

UPDATED ZONE 180

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST
ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN
ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-031915-
1052 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA THROUGH
SAT. A LOW IN THE SOUTHWEST GULF OF ALASKA WILL MOVE NORTH AND
WEAKEN THROUGH SAT. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE OVER THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS SAT.

$$

PKZ150-031915-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
1052 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
21 FT DIMINISHING TO 16 FT TOWARD MORNING. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
14 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ155-031915-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
1052 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT TOWARD MORNING. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON OUT OF BAYS
AND PASSES. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ160-031915-
BRISTOL BAY-
1052 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ165-031915-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
1052 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ170-031915-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
1052 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ171-031915-
UNALASKA BAY-
1052 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ172-031915-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
1052 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ173-031915-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
1052 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ174-031915-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
1052 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ175-031915-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
1052 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ176-031915-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
1052 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ177-031915-
ADAK TO KISKA-
1052 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ178-031915-
KISKA TO ATTU-
1052 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ179-031915-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
1052 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ180-031915-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
1052 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ181-031915-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
1052 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ185-031915-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
1052 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE 15 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND... N 15 KT W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

156 
FZAK52 PAFC 031157
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
357 AM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-040030-
357 AM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
INTO THE CENTRAL BERING THROUGH SAT NIGHT. A KAMCHATKA LOW
DEEPENS TO 972 MB AS IT MOVES TO 300 NM WEST OF ATTU SAT NIGHT. AN
ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS SAT
AFTERNOON THROUGH SAT NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-040030-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
357 AM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES
DEVELOPING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT EXCEPT 7 FT N OF CHIRIKOF
ISLAND.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ155-040030-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
357 AM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES
DEVELOPING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ160-040030-
BRISTOL BAY-
357 AM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT AND SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ165-040030-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
357 AM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ170-040030-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
357 AM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT.
.TONIGHT AND SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ171-040030-
UNALASKA BAY-
357 AM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT DEVELOPING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7
FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ172-040030-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
357 AM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ173-040030-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
357 AM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ174-040030-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
357 AM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON AND TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ175-040030-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
357 AM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ176-040030-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
357 AM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ177-040030-
ADAK TO KISKA-
357 AM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ178-040030-
KISKA TO ATTU-
357 AM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ179-040030-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
357 AM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ180-040030-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
357 AM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT AND SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ181-040030-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
357 AM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT AND SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ185-040030-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
357 AM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. ELSEWHERE...NE 15
KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
153 PM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN IS INTERESTING TODAY WITH A RIDGE OVERT HE
BERING SEA AND A LOW CENTERED IN THE ARCTIC WHICH EXTENDS INTO
WESTERN CANADA. THIS IS PRODUCING ZONAL WEST TO NORTHWESTERLY
FLOW ALOFT OVER THE MAINLAND PART OF THE STATE. A CUT-OFF LOW IS
CENTERED WELL SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA WITH THE JET STREAM
RUNNING AROUND IT TO THE SOUTH AND EAST AND THEN CLIPPING THE
GULF OF ALASKA AS IT TRACKS OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA.
THIS CUT-OFF LOW WITH JET SUPPORT IS THE REASON THE SURFACE LOW
NEAR IT WILL STRENGTHEN AND THEN TRACK INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA.
THE MAINLAND OF THE STATE REMAINS UNDER A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE HONING IN ON A COMMON SOLUTION FOR THE TRACK OF THE LOW
THAT IS CURRENTLY SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA WHICH WILL BE
STRENGTHENING AND MOVING INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA TOMORROW AND THEN
TO THE NORTH GULF COAST FRIDAY. THE GFS IS A LITTLE FASTER IN ITS
PROGRESSION THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT THAN THE ECMWF, NAM AND GEM
WHICH ARE ALL THREE CLUSTERED CLOSE TOGETHER. BY FRIDAY NIGHT THEY
ARE ALL IN AGREEMENT IN PUSHING THE UPPER LEVEL ENERGY NORTHEAST
INTO THE YUKON AND SPLITTING THE SURFACE LOW INTO TWO SEPARATE
LOWS. ONE FOLLOWING THE UPPER LEVEL LOW INTO THE YUKON AND THE
OTHER ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST. THE NORTH GULF COAST LOW WILL
BECOME THE MAIN ONE AS COLD AIR FROM THE INTERIOR OF THE STATE
FILTERS INTO IT.
THERE ARE SOME SUBTLE DIFFERENCES IN THE MODELS IN TERMS OF
TEMPERATURES AND MOISTURE WHICH WILL BE IMPORTANT IN DETERMINING
PRECIPITATION TYPE IN THE COPPER RIVER BASIN AS WELL AS HAS FAR
WEST THE PRECIPITATION WILL MOVE.
THE NEXT CHALLENGE FOR THE
MODELS IN THE GULF OF ALASKA REGION WILL BE THIS WEEKEND AS
ANOTHER LOW DEVELOPS TO THE SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND
TAKES A SIMILAR TRACK AS THE ONE MOVING INTO THE AREA THE NEXT TWO
DAYS. MODELS ALL HAVE THIS HAPPENING BUT THE TIMING AND STRENGTH
OF THIS LOW VARY GREATLY. THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
BERING SEA WILL PERSIST LARGELY UNCHANGED INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...
SUNNY SKIES WILL START TO GIVE WAY TO A FRONT APPROACHING FROM
THE SOUTH. THIS WILL START TONIGHT IN KODIAK AND THEN TOMORROW
NIGHT ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST. BY THURSDAY NIGHT THE SURFACE
LOW WILL BE MOVING TOWARD THE GULF COAST WITH A COLD UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH DESCENDING OVER SOUTHCENTRAL FROM THE NORTH. THE RESULT
WILL BE TO BRING PRECIPITATION ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST AND INTO
THE COPPER RIVER BASIN. PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL BE RAIN ALONG THE
COAST BUT THE BIG QUESTION WILL BE HOW MUCH COLD AIR WILL BE ABLE
TO MAKE IT INTO THE COPPER RIVER BASIN AND AT WHAT ELEVATION THE
SNOW WILL TURN TO RAIN. AT THIS TIME IT LOOKS LIKELY THAT THOMPSON
PASS, CHICKALOON PASS, MACLAREN PASS AND ISABEL PASS WILL BE COLD
ENOUGH TO SEE ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. THE
QUESTION IS WHETHER THIS WILL MAKE IT ALL THE WAY DOWN TO THE
GLENNALLEN AREA AND THIS IS WHERE THE SUBTLE DIFFERENCES IN THE
MODELS COMES INTO PLAY. TEMPERATURES ARE CLOSE TO WHAT THEY SHOULD
BE FOR SNOW BUT EARLY SEASON SITUATIONS OFTEN FAVOR RAIN. IT IS
POSSIBLE THAT THERE IS COLD RAIN IN THE LOWER PARTS OF THE COPPER
RIVER BASIN AND THE PASSES WILL SEE SNOWFALL. THE COLD AIR WILL
BUILD IN BETTER THIS WEEKEND OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. THEREFORE
IF A SECONDARY LOW MOVES OVER THE COPPER RIVER BASIN SATURDAY INTO
SUNDAY THERE IS A BETTER CHANCE OF SNOW OVER THE ENTIRE AREA.
THERE IS A CHANCE...A CHANCE...THAT THE MOISTURE FROM THE COPPER
RIVER WILL MOVE FAR ENOUGH WESTWARD BY SATURDAY, IN CONJUNCTION
WITH THE COLDER AIR, TO BRING SOME SNOW PRETTY FAR DOWN THE
MOUNTAINS AROUND ANCHORAGE AND THE MAT-SU VALLEY.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
SOUTHWEST ALASKA IS UNDER THE STRONG RIDGE AND WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
CLEAR FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THERE MAY BE A FEW CLOUDS TRACKING
ALONG THE NORTHERN PART OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT FROM A SHORT WAVE
MOVING THROUGH THE ZONAL FLOW OVER THE NORTHERN PART OF THE STATE.
MORE CLOUDS MAY ALSO SNEAK INTO THE AREA NEAR THE ALASKA RANGE BY
FRIDAY DUE TO AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DESCENDING OVER SOUTH CENTRAL
ALASKA AT THAT TIME.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA WILL PERSIST INTO THE
WEEKEND. THERE IS A FRONT THAT IS BRUSHING UP TO THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA TODAY WHICH IS BRINGING SOME GUSTY
WINDS AND A CHANCE OF RAIN TO THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS WILL
MOVE OUT OF THE AREA AS THE LOW THAT IS SOUTH OF THE AREA MOVES
INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA TOMORROW. WINDS WILL REMAIN SOMEWHAT GUSTY
BUT NOT AS STRONG AS TODAY AND THEY WILL ALSO SHIFT FROM MORE OF
AN EAST TO NORTHWEST DIRECTION TO THE NORTHWEST.
THE FAR WESTERN ALEUTIANS ARE ON THE OTHER SIDE OF THE RIDGE AND
WILL BE IMPACTED BY A FRONT FROM A LOW NEAR KAMCHATKA THOUGH
TOMORROW. THIS WILL BRING IN SOME GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS AND A
CHANCE OF RAIN.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (SUN OCT 5 - WED OCT 8)...

THE EXTENDED FORECAST BECOMES INCREASINGLY COMPLEX AND CHALLENGING
AS A COLD UPPER LOW FORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN ALASKA...AND A SERIES OF
NORTH PACIFIC LOWS MOVES INTO THE GULF. THE FIRST OF THESE WILL BE
TRACKING THROUGH THE COPPER BASIN AT THE BEGINNING OF THE
WEEKEND...WITH ANOTHER LOW MOVING IN SOMETIME SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. THE TRACK REMAINS HIGHLY UNCERTAIN...WITH
THE ECMWF TAKING A MORE EASTERLY TRACK...AND THE GFS AND CANADIAN
GDPS FAVORING A WESTWARD TRACK INTO THE COPPER BASIN. THE IMPACT
WOULD BE THE POTENTIAL FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW SPREADING TO THE
WESTERN COPPER BASIN IN THE LATTER SOLUTIONS...WITH LITTLE TO NONE
IN THE FORMER SOLUTION. ONE CERTAINTY IS THE COLDEST AIR OF THE
SEASON WILL BE ADVECTING INTO SOUTHERN ALASKA. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD WEST TO EAST...WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS PLUMMETING AS SKIES CLEAR
IN THE WAKE OF THE UPPER LOW. UNCERTAINTY GROWS BY MIDWEEK AS A
SERIES OF STRONG LOWS ASSOCIATED WITH A POWERFUL NORTH PACIFIC JET
STREAM SLOWLY ERODE THE BLOCKING PATTERN OVER THE BERING AND TRACK
EAST.

-AHSENMACHER

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 119 120 130 131 132 138 150 155 172 174.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

OCT 14