Gale Warning 591, NWS Anchorage, AK

319 
FZAK51 PAFC 011525
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
725 AM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-020315-
725 AM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 993 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL STRENGTHEN TO 974 MB 150 NM SOUTH
OF MIDDLETON ISLAND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.


$$

PKZ119-020315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
725 AM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-020315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
725 AM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS
3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-020315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
725 AM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-020315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
725 AM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-020315-
PORT VALDEZ-
725 AM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-020315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
725 AM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-020315-
VALDEZ ARM-
725 AM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-020315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
725 AM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-020315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
725 AM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-020315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
725 AM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-020315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
725 AM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS BUILDING
TO 17 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ136-020315-
CHINIAK BAY-
725 AM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-020315-
MARMOT BAY-
725 AM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-020315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
725 AM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-020315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
725 AM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-020315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
725 AM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-020315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
725 AM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

650 
FZAK51 PAFC 012323
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
323 PM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-021200-
323 PM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 987 MB LOW 400 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WED NIGHT WILL MOVE
TO 185 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK THU AFTERNOON AND THEN MOVE 100
NM EAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 983 MB FRI AFTERNOON.


$$

PKZ119-021200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
323 PM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-021200-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
323 PM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-021200-
RESURRECTION BAY-
323 PM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-021200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
323 PM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-021200-
PORT VALDEZ-
323 PM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-021200-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
323 PM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-021200-
VALDEZ ARM-
323 PM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-021200-
PASSAGE CANAL-
323 PM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-021200-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
323 PM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-021200-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
323 PM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO NE 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 12 FT
BUILDING TO 17 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ132-021200-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
323 PM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. S OF DANGEROUS CAPE...E WIND 30 KT
INCREASING TO NE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 21 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ136-021200-
CHINIAK BAY-
323 PM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-021200-
MARMOT BAY-
323 PM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-021200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
323 PM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-021200-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
323 PM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-021200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
323 PM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-021200-
KACHEMAK BAY-
323 PM AKDT WED OCT 1 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

897 
FZAK51 PAFC 021146
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
346 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-030115-
346 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 987 MB LOW 340 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK WILL RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN TO 971
MB THIS AFTERNOON 230 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK...THEN TRACK TO 80 NM
NORTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 987 MB FRIDAY EVENING BEFORE
MOVING INLAND. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL THEN REMAIN OVER THE
NORTHWEST GULF COAST THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-030115-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
346 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 20 FT DURING THE
EVENING. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-030115-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
346 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14
FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-030115-
RESURRECTION BAY-
346 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-030115-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
346 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-030115-
PORT VALDEZ-
346 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT DURING THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-030115-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
346 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-030115-
VALDEZ ARM-
346 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-030115-
PASSAGE CANAL-
346 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-030115-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
346 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-030115-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
346 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 16
FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ132-030115-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
346 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 21 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 22 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 15 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ136-030115-
CHINIAK BAY-
346 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-030115-
MARMOT BAY-
346 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-030115-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
346 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-030115-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
346 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-030115-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
346 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-030115-
KACHEMAK BAY-
346 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

904 
FZAK51 PAFC 021426 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
626 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

UPDATED ZONE 132 137

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-030315-
626 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 987 MB LOW 340 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK WILL RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN TO 971
MB THIS AFTERNOON 230 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK...THEN TRACK TO 80 NM
NORTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 987 MB FRIDAY EVENING BEFORE
MOVING INLAND. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL THEN REMAIN OVER THE
NORTHWEST GULF COAST THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-030315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
626 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 20 FT DURING THE
EVENING. RAIN. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-030315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
626 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-030315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
626 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-030315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
626 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-030315-
PORT VALDEZ-
626 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT DURING THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-030315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
626 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-030315-
VALDEZ ARM-
626 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-030315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
626 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-030315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
626 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-030315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
626 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 14 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ132-030315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
626 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

UPDATED

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 21 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 15 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ136-030315-
CHINIAK BAY-
626 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-030315-
MARMOT BAY-
626 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-030315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
626 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-030315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
626 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-030315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
626 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-030315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
626 AM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
151 PM AKDT TUE SEP 30 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

SNOW SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER WAVE WERE EVIDENT ALONG THE
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE. LOW VFR CONDITIONS WITH STRATUS ASSOCIATED
WITH SUBSIDENCE WAS EVIDENT OVER THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA. THE
REMAINDER OF THE MAINLAND WAS UNDER FAIR SKIES WITH RELATIVELY
COOL AND DRY NORTHERLY FLOW. OUTFLOW WINDS ACROSS
SOUTHCENTRAL...ESPECIALLY THE GULF...PEAKED OVERNIGHT AND ARE ON
THE DECLINE. THE PINCH IN PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE EASTERN
BERING RIDGE AND THE LOW COMPLEX OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC CONTINUED BRISK
EASTERLY WINDS ACROSS THE AK PEN...EAST ALEUTIANS/EASTERN BERING
SEA.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
ALOFT...MODELS HAVE SIMILAR PHASING OF THE TROUGH OVER THE
MAINLAND AND THE CUT-OFF LOW OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC. THIS SOLUTION
SEEMS REASONABLE AS COLD AIR SHOULD DIVE SOUTH ALONG THE FORWARD
SIDE OF AN AMPLIFYING UPPER RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA AND
SHARPEN THE MAINLAND TROUGH. THIS EFFECTIVELY PINCHES OFF THE
BERING SEA RIDGE ON THU AND CREATES A WEAKNESS IN THE HEIGHT
FIELDS WHICH ALLOWS THE NORTH PACIFIC CUT-OFF LOW TO PROGRESS
NORTH.

SURFACE FEATURES HOWEVER ARE MORE PROBLEMATIC WITH RESPECT TO
TIMING...INTENSITY...AND POSITION. OVERALL...THERE SHOULD BE A
FAIRLY STRONG TRIPLE POINT FEATURE SPAWNING OFF THE THE BAROCLINIC
ZONE ASSOCIATED WITH THE CUT-OFF OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC. ALL
MODELS SHOW A FAIRLY GOOD LEFT EXIT JET POSITION OVER THE DEVELOPING
TRIPLE POINT WHICH HEADS INTO THE NORTHERN GULF THU NIGHT/FRI
MORNING. THE 00Z NAM IS THE FASTEST IN MOVING THIS FEATURE NORTH
WITH THE GLOBAL MODELS SOMEWHAT SLOWER. THERE IS A GENERAL
CONSENSUS FOR A FAIRLY STRONG LOW OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF FRI.
FOR NOW WILL CONTINUE WITH OFFICIAL GRIDS WITH BLEND OF THE GEM
GLOBAL/GFS IN THE GULF KEEPING GALES WITH THIS FEATURE FOR NOW.
OUT WEST...MODELS HAVE SIMILAR HANDING OF FEATURES...SO IN GENERAL
WILL LEAN TOWARD THE GFS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...
COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS WITH DIMINISHING WINDS ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. STRONG EASTERLY
WINDS AND INCREASED CLOUD COVER IN ADVANCE OF APPROACHING TRIPLE
POINT WILL START PUSHING TOWARD THE SOUTHERN GULF ON THU. GALES
WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTH WITH THE TRIPLE POINT ON THU NIGHT
AND LOCAL GAP FLOWS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND WITH
INCREASING PRESSURE AND TEMP GRADIENTS. MOISTURE SHOULD SPREAD
INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN COPPER RIVER BASIN AND GULF COAST THU NIGHT
THEN SPREAD WEST ON FRI.  THE WESTWARD EXTENT OF THE MOISTURE
PUSH AND CHARACTER OF PRECIPITATION INLAND ON FRI IS STILL
UNCERTAIN WITH CURRENT MODELS DIFFERENCES. HOWEVER AT THIS
TIME...IT APPEARS THAT THE COAST WILL BE MAINLY RAIN AND THE
COPPER RIVER BASIN LIKELY WILL HAVE SNOW OR A MIX.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...WHAT LITTLE STRATUS MOVED IN OVER THE DELTA
THIS MORNING SHOULD MOVE SOUTH AS THE NORTHERLY OFFSHORE
STRENGTHEN. EXPECT RELATIVELY DRY AND COOL CONDITIONS TO LAST
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH RIDGING OVER THE MAINLAND AND
LOW PRESSURE IN THE GULF. ALSO EXPECT WINDS CONDITIONS TO PERSIST
AND EVEN STRENGTHEN SOME OVER THE AK PEN THROUGH THU. WILL ALSO
SEE SOME LOCALLY BRISK WINDS OVER BRISTOL BAY.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...RAIN AND WIND WILL CONTINUE TO JUST BARELY
BRUSH THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS AS THE LOW CONTINUES TO SLOWLY TRACK
TO THE EAST. OTHERWISE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE CENTRAL
BERING SEA AND CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN THROUGH MID
WEEK...CONTINUING THE SPLIT-FLOW BLOCKING PATTERN AND PROVIDING
VERY QUIET CONDITIONS FOR MOST OF THE REGION.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (SAT OCT 4 - TUE OCT 7)...

BEGINNING THE EXTENDED PERIOD SATURDAY...A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED
PATTERN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION...WITH A BLOCKING RIDGE
EXTENDING FROM THE BERING NORTHWARD INTO SIBERIA...AND A LONGWAVE
TROUGH OVER THE STATE OF ALASKA. EVENTUALLY THE TROUGH WILL
DEVELOP INTO A CLOSED VORTEX ALOFT OVER SOUTHERN ALASKA AND WILL
REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH TUESDAY. WHILE THERE WILL NOT BE A
SUBTROPICAL CONNECTION...WEAK DISTURBANCES ROTATING AROUND THE
PERIPHERY OF THE LOW WILL SUPPORT RAIN AND SNOW CHANCES ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ALASKA MAINLY EAST OF THE ALASKA AND ALEUTIAN
RANGES. THE BEST CHANCES FOR RAIN...THEN SNOW...WILL BE ACROSS THE
COPPER BASIN. ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER INTO SOUTHERN
ALASKA THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH GRADUALLY COOLING TEMPERATURES.
RIGHT NOW...THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ON MONDAY
AND TUESDAY AS THE UPPER VORTEX SLOWLY TRANSLATES EAST AND COLDER
AIR AND CLEARER SKIES FORM ACROSS THE STATE.

- AHSENMACHER

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...150 155 172 174.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

RMC/AHSENMACHER SEP 14