Gale Warning 528, NWS Anchorage, AK

Issued

Sep 13, 2014, 3:10 PM AKDT (23:10 UTC)

Expired

Sep 14, 2014, 3:45 AM AKDT

In force

13 hr

Issued by

NWS Anchorage, AK

056 
FZAK51 PAFC 132310
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
310 PM AKDT SAT SEP 13 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-141145-
310 PM AKDT SAT SEP 13 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE INLAND
AND DISSIPATE INTO THIS EVENING. ANOTHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE
WESTERN GULF SUN MORNING AND INTO THE NORTHERN GULF MON MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-141145-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
310 PM AKDT SAT SEP 13 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT SE 35 KT NEAR THE COAST. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT EXCEPT SE 30 KT NEAR THE COAST. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT...EXCEPT SE 25 KT IN THE EVENING NEAR THE
COAST. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ120-141145-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
310 PM AKDT SAT SEP 13 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ121-141145-
RESURRECTION BAY-
310 PM AKDT SAT SEP 13 2014

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-141145-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
310 PM AKDT SAT SEP 13 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT EARLY DIMINISHING TO 
10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-141145-
PORT VALDEZ-
310 PM AKDT SAT SEP 13 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-141145-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
310 PM AKDT SAT SEP 13 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-141145-
VALDEZ ARM-
310 PM AKDT SAT SEP 13 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT EARLY BECOMING SW WIND
15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-141145-
PASSAGE CANAL-
310 PM AKDT SAT SEP 13 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON THROUGH THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-141145-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
310 PM AKDT SAT SEP 13 2014

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT EARLY INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-141145-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
310 PM AKDT SAT SEP 13 2014

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT SE 35 KT NEAR THE BARREN ISLANDS. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT EARLY DIMINISHING TO 20 KT TOWARD
MORNING. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ132-141145-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
310 PM AKDT SAT SEP 13 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ136-141145-
CHINIAK BAY-
310 PM AKDT SAT SEP 13 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-141145-
MARMOT BAY-
310 PM AKDT SAT SEP 13 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-141145-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
310 PM AKDT SAT SEP 13 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-141145-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
310 PM AKDT SAT SEP 13 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-141145-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
310 PM AKDT SAT SEP 13 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-141145-
KACHEMAK BAY-
310 PM AKDT SAT SEP 13 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Sep 13, 2:03 PM AKDT, 1 hour 7 minutes earlier.

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
203 PM AKDT SAT SEP 13 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
SATELLITE ANALYSIS CONTINUES TO SHOW A VERY VISUALLY IMPRESSIVE
LOW THAT IS WOUND UP ALONG THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS THIS AFTERNOON.
ACCOMPANIED WITH THIS LOW ARE SOME INTERESTING FEATURES. FIRST IS
THE REMNANTS OF AN OCCLUDED FRONT STRETCH FROM WEST OF GAMBELL...
NORTH THROUGH NORTON SOUND. THE OCCLUDED FRONT HAS DISSIPATED TO
JUST A WEAK SURFACE REFLECTION ACROSS THE LAND... WHILE THE
REMAINING PORTION OF THE FRONT CONTINUES TO SWEEP EAST ACROSS THE
GULF THIS MORNING AND HAS A VAST STRETCH OF WARMTH AND MOISTURE TO
ACCOMPANY. TUCKED BEHIND THIS FRONT IS A DRY SLOT THAT CLEARED OUT
AREAS ALONG THE KENAI PENINSULA AND MAY WORK INTO THE ANCHORAGE
AREA INTO THIS AFTERNOON...ALLOWING A FEW POKES OF SUNSHINE. WEST
OF THIS LOW ARE WHERE STRONG WINDS REMAIN. THE HIGH WIND WARNING
FOR THE ALEUTIANS WAS ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS PEAK GUSTS ACROSS THE
AREA DROP WELL BELOW 75 MPH THIS AFTERNOON...THIS DUE TO THE
WEAKENING OF THE SURFACE LOW AND THE MOVEMENT AWAY FROM THE
ALEUTIANS.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE CONTINUED
EVOLUTION OF THE STACKED LOW THAT IS WORKING ACROSS THE EASTERN
BERING / ALEUTIAN CHAIN. ALL MODELS HAVE SIMILARITIES WITH THIS
UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVING EAST AND EVENTUALLY RETROGRADING TO THE
NORTHWEST AND NEAR GAMBELL/SAVOONGA INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE
BIGGEST DIFFERENCE IS WITH THE GFS...AS IT ATTEMPTS TO LIFT THE
LOW NORTH AND ACROSS CAPE NEWENHAM...WHILE ALL OF THE OTHER MAJOR
MODELS /NAM,ECMWF,CANADIAN/ CONTINUE TO MOVE THE ACROSS DILLINGHAM
AND EVENTUALLY NORTHWEST. FOR THOSE REASONS...THE GFS WAS NOT
UTILIZED. ALL OF THE MODELS HAVE A DECENT HANDLE ON MERGING A WEAK
SURFACE LOW THAT WILL DROP SOUTH FROM THE BERING STRAIT AND
ANOTHER LOW THAT WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS...BY THE
BEGINNING OF THE NEXT WORK WEEK. THIS LOW WILL EVENTUALLY WEAKEN
ALONG THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AS ANOTHER AND STRONGER LOW MOVES IN
FROM THE PACIFIC AND TAKES AIM FOR THE GULF. THE OVERALL TREND IS
THERE...BUT ALL MODELS OFFER VARYING DEGREES OF STRENGTH AND
TIMING OPTIONS. THE EXTENDED FORECAST STUCK CLOSER TO GEFS AND EC
ENSEMBLE MEANS TO KEEP SOME CONSISTENCY AND AGREEMENT IN PLACE FOR
THE LONG RANGE FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...THE BULK OF PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE EAST WITH THE FRONT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE
EVENING HOURS. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN
ALLOWING WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA TO DIMINISH. THERE MAY BE
LINGERING GUSTS OF 15 OR SO MPH ALONG THE HILLSIDE THIS
EVENING...WITH NOTHING HIGHER ANTICIPATED. OVERALL SKY CONDITIONS
WILL REMAIN PRETTY CLOUDY THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH DAYTIME HIGHS
LINGERING IN THE UPPER 50S AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
CLIMATOLOGICAL SPEAKING...THAT IS CLOSE TO ON PAR FOR THE MIDDLE
OF SEPTEMBER...WHERE HIGHS SHOULD BE AROUND 57 AND OVERNIGHT LOWS
SHOULD BE AROUND 43 DEGREES. HYDROGRAPH READINGS AT THE
RESURRECTION RIVER BRIDGE PEAKED THIS MORNING JUST UNDER 18 FEET
FOR A BRIEF PERIOD...BUT WITH RAIN SHIFTING EAST NOW...LEVELS HAVE
DROPPED TO ACTION STAGE AND ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DROP. THE
ADVISORY IS CURRENT OUT THROUGH 5 PM TODAY...AND WILL LIKELY BE
ALLOWED TO BE DROPPED WITH NO INCREASE EXPECTED AS OF NOW.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...SUNSHINE WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES AND GUSTY
WINDS WILL SEE THE DAY CLOSE OUT. AS THE STACKED LOW ACROSS THE
EASTERN ALEUTIAN CHAINS MOVES CLOSER...CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL
INCREASE INTO THE LATE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND INTO THE AFTERNOON
HOURS SUNDAY. DAYTIME HIGHS AND LOWS WONT WAVE MUCH BEYOND WHAT
HAS BEEN HAPPENING /UPPER 50S AND UPPER 40S/ ALREADY. THE GUSTY
WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH LATE INTO THE DAY TOMORROW AND
GRADUALLY TURN ONSHORE AND FROM THE SOUTHWEST AS THE SURFACE LOW
MOVES INLAND AND TOWARDS DILLINGHAM.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
STRONG STORM FORCE WINDS OUT OF THE NORTHWEST WILL ABATE OVERNIGHT
AS THE LOW IN THE EASTERN BERING WEAKENS AND SLIDES INTO WESTERN
ALASKA. TYPICAL STRATUS/FOG WILL BE PRESENT ALONG A WEAK RIDGE IN
THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS AS IT SLOWLY SLIDES TO THE EAST AND SOUTH.
CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL INCREASE AGAIN TOMORROW NIGHT AS A WEAK LOW
WILL DEVELOP SOUTH OF SHEMYA AND MOVE EAST ACROSS THE ALEUTIAN
CHAIN.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 119 155 160 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 180
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

SSS - SEP 14

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2014Every gale warning in 2014

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.