Gale Warning 483, NWS Anchorage, AK

194 
FZAK51 PAFC 152233 RRA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...RETRANSMITTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 
408 AM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-160130-
408 AM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE GULF THROUGH EARLY SAT
MORNING. A WEATHER FRONT ENTERS THE WESTERN GULF FRI NIGHT AND
REACHES THE GULF COAST SAT MORNING THROUGH SAT NIGHT. A 1001 MB
LOW FORMS SAT NIGHT 100 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. 

$$

PKZ119-160130-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
408 AM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. NORTH 
OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ120-160130-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
408 AM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ121-160130-
RESURRECTION BAY-
408 AM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS 
S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-160130-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
408 AM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-160130-
PORT VALDEZ-
408 AM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-160130-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
408 AM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-160130-
VALDEZ ARM-
408 AM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E WIND 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-160130-
PASSAGE CANAL-
408 AM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-160130-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
408 AM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-160130-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
408 AM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ132-160130-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
408 AM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ136-160130-
CHINIAK BAY-
408 AM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-160130-
MARMOT BAY-
408 AM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-160130-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
408 AM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO NE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-160130-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
408 AM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-160130-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
408 AM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 1 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-160130-
KACHEMAK BAY-
408 AM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

305 
FZAK51 PAFC 152258
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
258 PM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-161200-
258 PM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE GULF THROUGH EARLY SAT
MORNING. A WEATHER FRONT ENTERS THE WESTERN GULF FRI NIGHT AND
REACHES THE GULF COAST SAT MORNING THROUGH SAT NIGHT. A 1002 MB
LOW WILL MOVE NORTHEAST TO AROUND 290 NM SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT SATURDAY
NIGHT. THIS LOW WILL THEN MOVE ONSHORE ABOUT 80 NM NORTHEAST OF
MIDDLETON ISLAND SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-161200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
258 PM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. NEAR THE COAST...SE WIND 35 KT
DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ120-161200-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
258 PM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ121-161200-
RESURRECTION BAY-
258 PM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-161200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
258 PM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT
BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-161200-
PORT VALDEZ-
258 PM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-161200-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
258 PM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-161200-
VALDEZ ARM-
258 PM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-161200-
PASSAGE CANAL-
258 PM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-161200-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
258 PM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT BUILDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-161200-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
258 PM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14
FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ132-161200-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
258 PM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 BUILDING TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ136-161200-
CHINIAK BAY-
258 PM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-161200-
MARMOT BAY-
258 PM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT
BUILDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-161200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
258 PM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-161200-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
258 PM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-161200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
258 PM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-161200-
KACHEMAK BAY-
258 PM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
144 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA IS BRINGING
RAIN TO AREAS ALL OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF MAINLAND ALASKA DUE
TO THE SOUTHERLY FLOW OFF THE NORTH PACIFIC. FURTHER TO THE WEST
ANOTHER LOW IS MOVING EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS BRINGING
RAIN TO THOSE AREAS AS IT CONTINUES TO TRACK ALONG THE CHAIN.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
FOR THE MOST PART THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE SHORT
AND MID TERMS. THERE ARE SOME MINOR DISCREPANCIES WITH THE BROAD
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND WITH A WAVE
MOVING NORTH THROUGH THE EASTERN GULF TONIGHT...BUT NOTHING
OVERLY INCONSISTENT. ALTHOUGH THE 00Z NAM WAS STRUGGLING TO TRACK THE
LOW ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS BUT THE 12Z NAM HAS MOVED IN LINE WITH
THE OTHER MODELS. THE 00Z NAM HAD KEPT THE LOW SOUTH OF THE ALASKA
PENINSULA SATURDAY WHILE THE OTHER MODELS PUSHED IT INTO BRISTOL
BAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...
MULTIPLE LOWS MOVING THROUGH THE BERING AND WESTERN PART OF THE
STATE WILL KEEP MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE SOUTHCENTRAL THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. AS THE VARIOUS TROUGHS MOVE THROUGH THE AREA RAIN
WILL BE STRONGER BUT THERE WILL BE GAPS OF INTERMITTENT LIGHT
RAIN IN BETWEEN. THE BIGGEST UNCERTAINTY FOR THE SOUTHCENTRAL IS
WITH AN AREA OF DRIER AIR PUSHING IN BEHIND THE FRONT THAT IS
MOVING THROUGH THE AREA TODAY. IF THE DRIER AIR CAN MAKE IT
FURTHER INLAND TO AREAS AROUND THE TALKEETNA MOUNTAINS BEFORE
FILLING BACK IN...THEN THERE WILL BE AN OPPORTUNITY FOR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE TALKEETNA MOUNTAINS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

ADDITIONALLY...THE HIGHER AMOUNTS OF RAIN SEEN OVER THE KENAI
PENINSULA OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS HAVE RISEN THE WATER
LEVELS OF THE KENAI AND KASILOF RIVERS. THIS HAS LED TO WATER
LEVELS AT PLACES ALONG THESE RIVERS TO BE NEAR FLOOD STAGE.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
THE SOUTHWEST WILL SEE WET CONDITIONS THROUGH THE WEEKEND DUE TO
THE MULTIPLE LOWS MOVING THROUGH THE BERING. IN THE MORNINGS THE
RAIN WILL BE LIGHTER AND MORE INTERMITTENT...HOWEVER WITH THE
UNSTABLE CONDITIONS AND HEATING IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP TODAY AND FRIDAY. THESE WILL BE MOST
LIKELY OVER INLAND LOCATIONS.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
THE MAIN LOW OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS IS BRINGING RAIN TO THE
AREA AND WILL BE OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
FROM THERE IT WILL TRACK INTO BRISTOL BAY BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON
BRINGING RAIN TO THE AREAS AROUND IT AS IT PASSES. BEHIND THE LOW
MUCH OF THE RAIN WILL CLEAR UP BUT THERE WILL BE LINGERING
ISOLATED SHOWERS.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
A RAINY WEEKEND WILL GIVE WAY TO IMPROVING CONDITIONS BY EARLY NEXT
WEEK AS THE LAST IN A SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS AFFECTING
MAINLAND ALASKA WEAKENS AND DEPARTS TO THE NORTHEAST. THIS WILL
BE REPLACED BY A RELATIVELY WEAK FLOW PATTERN ALOFT...WITH A
LONGWAVE TROUGH REMAINING OVER THE BERING AND AN UPPER RIDGE
BEGINNING TO BUILD OVER THE EASTERN GULF AND ALCAN BORDER REGION
BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL YIELD GENERALLY PLEASANT
CONDITIONS CHARACTERIZED BY DIURNAL SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN MAINLAND...WITH SHOWERS ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE
BERING BENEATH THE UPPER TROUGH.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...FLOOD ADVISORY...121.
MARINE...GALE WARNING...119 130 131 175 176.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

AUG 14