Gale Warning 482, NWS Anchorage, AK

Issued

Aug 14, 2014, 3:06 PM AKDT (23:06 UTC)

Expired

Aug 15, 2014, 4:00 AM AKDT

In force

13 hr

Issued by

NWS Anchorage, AK

743 
FZAK51 PAFC 142306 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
306 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-151200-
306 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 999 MB LOW 90 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHIGNIK MOVES INLAND AND
DISSIPATES THIS EVENING. A WEATHER FRONT MOVES INTO THE WESTERN
GULF FRI NIGHT AND THEN TO THE NORTH GULF COAST SAT AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-151200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
306 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NORTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND
IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ120-151200-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
306 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ121-151200-
RESURRECTION BAY-
306 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-151200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
306 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-151200-
PORT VALDEZ-
306 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-151200-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
306 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-151200-
VALDEZ ARM-
306 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-151200-
PASSAGE CANAL-
306 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT DIMINISHING TO 2 FT BY MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-151200-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
306 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-151200-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
306 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ132-151200-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
306 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ136-151200-
CHINIAK BAY-
306 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-151200-
MARMOT BAY-
306 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-151200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
306 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-151200-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
306 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10
KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-151200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
306 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-151200-
KACHEMAK BAY-
306 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Aug 14, 1:44 PM AKDT, 1 hour 22 minutes earlier.

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
144 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA IS BRINGING
RAIN TO AREAS ALL OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF MAINLAND ALASKA DUE
TO THE SOUTHERLY FLOW OFF THE NORTH PACIFIC. FURTHER TO THE WEST
ANOTHER LOW IS MOVING EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS BRINGING
RAIN TO THOSE AREAS AS IT CONTINUES TO TRACK ALONG THE CHAIN.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
FOR THE MOST PART THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE SHORT
AND MID TERMS. THERE ARE SOME MINOR DISCREPANCIES WITH THE BROAD
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND WITH A WAVE
MOVING NORTH THROUGH THE EASTERN GULF TONIGHT...BUT NOTHING
OVERLY INCONSISTENT. ALTHOUGH THE 00Z NAM WAS STRUGGLING TO TRACK THE
LOW ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS BUT THE 12Z NAM HAS MOVED IN LINE WITH
THE OTHER MODELS. THE 00Z NAM HAD KEPT THE LOW SOUTH OF THE ALASKA
PENINSULA SATURDAY WHILE THE OTHER MODELS PUSHED IT INTO BRISTOL
BAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...
MULTIPLE LOWS MOVING THROUGH THE BERING AND WESTERN PART OF THE
STATE WILL KEEP MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE SOUTHCENTRAL THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. AS THE VARIOUS TROUGHS MOVE THROUGH THE AREA RAIN
WILL BE STRONGER BUT THERE WILL BE GAPS OF INTERMITTENT LIGHT
RAIN IN BETWEEN. THE BIGGEST UNCERTAINTY FOR THE SOUTHCENTRAL IS
WITH AN AREA OF DRIER AIR PUSHING IN BEHIND THE FRONT THAT IS
MOVING THROUGH THE AREA TODAY. IF THE DRIER AIR CAN MAKE IT
FURTHER INLAND TO AREAS AROUND THE TALKEETNA MOUNTAINS BEFORE
FILLING BACK IN...THEN THERE WILL BE AN OPPORTUNITY FOR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE TALKEETNA MOUNTAINS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

ADDITIONALLY...THE HIGHER AMOUNTS OF RAIN SEEN OVER THE KENAI
PENINSULA OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS HAVE RISEN THE WATER
LEVELS OF THE KENAI AND KASILOF RIVERS. THIS HAS LED TO WATER
LEVELS AT PLACES ALONG THESE RIVERS TO BE NEAR FLOOD STAGE.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
THE SOUTHWEST WILL SEE WET CONDITIONS THROUGH THE WEEKEND DUE TO
THE MULTIPLE LOWS MOVING THROUGH THE BERING. IN THE MORNINGS THE
RAIN WILL BE LIGHTER AND MORE INTERMITTENT...HOWEVER WITH THE
UNSTABLE CONDITIONS AND HEATING IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP TODAY AND FRIDAY. THESE WILL BE MOST
LIKELY OVER INLAND LOCATIONS.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
THE MAIN LOW OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS IS BRINGING RAIN TO THE
AREA AND WILL BE OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
FROM THERE IT WILL TRACK INTO BRISTOL BAY BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON
BRINGING RAIN TO THE AREAS AROUND IT AS IT PASSES. BEHIND THE LOW
MUCH OF THE RAIN WILL CLEAR UP BUT THERE WILL BE LINGERING
ISOLATED SHOWERS.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
A RAINY WEEKEND WILL GIVE WAY TO IMPROVING CONDITIONS BY EARLY NEXT
WEEK AS THE LAST IN A SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS AFFECTING
MAINLAND ALASKA WEAKENS AND DEPARTS TO THE NORTHEAST. THIS WILL
BE REPLACED BY A RELATIVELY WEAK FLOW PATTERN ALOFT...WITH A
LONGWAVE TROUGH REMAINING OVER THE BERING AND AN UPPER RIDGE
BEGINNING TO BUILD OVER THE EASTERN GULF AND ALCAN BORDER REGION
BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL YIELD GENERALLY PLEASANT
CONDITIONS CHARACTERIZED BY DIURNAL SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN MAINLAND...WITH SHOWERS ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE
BERING BENEATH THE UPPER TROUGH.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...FLOOD ADVISORY...121.
MARINE...GALE WARNING...119 130 131 175 176.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

AUG 14

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2014Every gale warning in 2014

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.