Gale Warning 481, NWS Anchorage, AK

171 
FZAK52 PAFC 150722
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1122 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

UPDATED ZONE 181 

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST
ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN
ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-152015-
1122 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN BERING DISSIPATES
THIS EVENING. A 990 MB LOW 80 NM SOUTH OF ADAK WILL MOVE TO 50 NM
SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR FRI AFTERNOON AT 983 MB THEN TO 60 NM
SOUTHWEST OF KING SALMON SAT AFTERNOON AT 994 MB.

$$

PKZ150-152015-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
1122 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW WIND 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ155-152015-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
1122 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 5 FT
BUILDING TO 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ160-152015-
BRISTOL BAY-
1122 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ165-152015-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
1122 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
PORT MOLLER E...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ170-152015-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
1122 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ171-152015-
UNALASKA BAY-
1122 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.

$$

PKZ172-152015-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
1122 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ173-152015-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
1122 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ174-152015-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
1122 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS
7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ175-152015-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
1122 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ176-152015-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
1122 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ177-152015-
ADAK TO KISKA-
1122 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ178-152015-
KISKA TO ATTU-
1122 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. FROM SHEMYA W...NW WIND 15 KT 
BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ179-152015-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
1122 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ180-152015-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
1122 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ181-152015-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
1122 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. DENSE FOG.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. DENSE FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ185-152015-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
1122 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

756 
FZAK52 PAFC 151153
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
353 AM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-160030-
353 AM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...A 984 MB LOW 90 NM
SOUTHEAST OF SEGUAM ISLAND WEAKENS TO 994 MB SAT AFTERNOON 25 NM
NORTHWEST OF PILOT POINT AND IS THEN ABSORBED INTO A BROAD AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE OVER WESTERN AK.

$$

PKZ150-160030-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
353 AM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING SE 25 KT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ155-160030-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
353 AM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING SE 30 KT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ160-160030-
BRISTOL BAY-
353 AM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ165-160030-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
353 AM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT
BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ170-160030-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
353 AM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT. AREAS
OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ171-160030-
UNALASKA BAY-
353 AM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-160030-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
353 AM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT.
AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING W 25 KT. SEAS 10
FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ173-160030-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
353 AM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ174-160030-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
353 AM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ175-160030-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
353 AM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ176-160030-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
353 AM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ177-160030-
ADAK TO KISKA-
353 AM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ178-160030-
KISKA TO ATTU-
353 AM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ179-160030-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
353 AM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 10KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
AREAS OF FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ180-160030-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
353 AM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT...STRONGEST S OF CAPE NEWENHAM. SEAS 7
FT...HIGHEST S OF CAPE NEWENHAM. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ181-160030-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
353 AM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. DENSE FOG.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ185-160030-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
353 AM AKDT FRI AUG 15 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
144 PM AKDT THU AUG 14 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA IS BRINGING
RAIN TO AREAS ALL OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF MAINLAND ALASKA DUE
TO THE SOUTHERLY FLOW OFF THE NORTH PACIFIC. FURTHER TO THE WEST
ANOTHER LOW IS MOVING EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS BRINGING
RAIN TO THOSE AREAS AS IT CONTINUES TO TRACK ALONG THE CHAIN.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
FOR THE MOST PART THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE SHORT
AND MID TERMS. THERE ARE SOME MINOR DISCREPANCIES WITH THE BROAD
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND WITH A WAVE
MOVING NORTH THROUGH THE EASTERN GULF TONIGHT...BUT NOTHING
OVERLY INCONSISTENT. ALTHOUGH THE 00Z NAM WAS STRUGGLING TO TRACK THE
LOW ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS BUT THE 12Z NAM HAS MOVED IN LINE WITH
THE OTHER MODELS. THE 00Z NAM HAD KEPT THE LOW SOUTH OF THE ALASKA
PENINSULA SATURDAY WHILE THE OTHER MODELS PUSHED IT INTO BRISTOL
BAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...
MULTIPLE LOWS MOVING THROUGH THE BERING AND WESTERN PART OF THE
STATE WILL KEEP MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE SOUTHCENTRAL THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. AS THE VARIOUS TROUGHS MOVE THROUGH THE AREA RAIN
WILL BE STRONGER BUT THERE WILL BE GAPS OF INTERMITTENT LIGHT
RAIN IN BETWEEN. THE BIGGEST UNCERTAINTY FOR THE SOUTHCENTRAL IS
WITH AN AREA OF DRIER AIR PUSHING IN BEHIND THE FRONT THAT IS
MOVING THROUGH THE AREA TODAY. IF THE DRIER AIR CAN MAKE IT
FURTHER INLAND TO AREAS AROUND THE TALKEETNA MOUNTAINS BEFORE
FILLING BACK IN...THEN THERE WILL BE AN OPPORTUNITY FOR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE TALKEETNA MOUNTAINS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

ADDITIONALLY...THE HIGHER AMOUNTS OF RAIN SEEN OVER THE KENAI
PENINSULA OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS HAVE RISEN THE WATER
LEVELS OF THE KENAI AND KASILOF RIVERS. THIS HAS LED TO WATER
LEVELS AT PLACES ALONG THESE RIVERS TO BE NEAR FLOOD STAGE.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
THE SOUTHWEST WILL SEE WET CONDITIONS THROUGH THE WEEKEND DUE TO
THE MULTIPLE LOWS MOVING THROUGH THE BERING. IN THE MORNINGS THE
RAIN WILL BE LIGHTER AND MORE INTERMITTENT...HOWEVER WITH THE
UNSTABLE CONDITIONS AND HEATING IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP TODAY AND FRIDAY. THESE WILL BE MOST
LIKELY OVER INLAND LOCATIONS.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
THE MAIN LOW OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS IS BRINGING RAIN TO THE
AREA AND WILL BE OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
FROM THERE IT WILL TRACK INTO BRISTOL BAY BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON
BRINGING RAIN TO THE AREAS AROUND IT AS IT PASSES. BEHIND THE LOW
MUCH OF THE RAIN WILL CLEAR UP BUT THERE WILL BE LINGERING
ISOLATED SHOWERS.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
A RAINY WEEKEND WILL GIVE WAY TO IMPROVING CONDITIONS BY EARLY NEXT
WEEK AS THE LAST IN A SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS AFFECTING
MAINLAND ALASKA WEAKENS AND DEPARTS TO THE NORTHEAST. THIS WILL
BE REPLACED BY A RELATIVELY WEAK FLOW PATTERN ALOFT...WITH A
LONGWAVE TROUGH REMAINING OVER THE BERING AND AN UPPER RIDGE
BEGINNING TO BUILD OVER THE EASTERN GULF AND ALCAN BORDER REGION
BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL YIELD GENERALLY PLEASANT
CONDITIONS CHARACTERIZED BY DIURNAL SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN MAINLAND...WITH SHOWERS ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE
BERING BENEATH THE UPPER TROUGH.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...FLOOD ADVISORY...121.
MARINE...GALE WARNING...119 130 131 175 176.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

AUG 14