Gale Warning 409, NWS Anchorage, AK

819 
FZAK52 PAFC 082252
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
252 PM AKDT THU MAY 8 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-091145-
252 PM AKDT THU MAY 8 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE EASTERN BERING SEA THROUGH FRI
NIGHT. A 1002 MB LOW 125 NM NORTHWEST OF ATTU WILL MOVE TO 400 NM
NORTH OF ATTU AND DISSIPATE FRI NIGHT. A LOW NEAR KAMCHATKA FRI NIGHT
WILL MOVE TO 275 NM NORTHWEST OF ATTU AT 1001 MB SAT AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-091145-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
252 PM AKDT THU MAY 8 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES
IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ155-091145-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
252 PM AKDT THU MAY 8 2014

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES
MAINLY IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ160-091145-
BRISTOL BAY-
252 PM AKDT THU MAY 8 2014

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ165-091145-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
252 PM AKDT THU MAY 8 2014

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ170-091145-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
252 PM AKDT THU MAY 8 2014

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ171-091145-
UNALASKA BAY-
252 PM AKDT THU MAY 8 2014

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
.FRI THROUGH SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2
FT OR LESS.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-091145-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
252 PM AKDT THU MAY 8 2014

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ173-091145-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
252 PM AKDT THU MAY 8 2014

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ174-091145-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
252 PM AKDT THU MAY 8 2014

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ175-091145-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
252 PM AKDT THU MAY 8 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ176-091145-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
252 PM AKDT THU MAY 8 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ177-091145-
ADAK TO KISKA-
252 PM AKDT THU MAY 8 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ178-091145-
KISKA TO ATTU-
252 PM AKDT THU MAY 8 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ179-091145-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
252 PM AKDT THU MAY 8 2014

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ180-091145-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
252 PM AKDT THU MAY 8 2014

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT....EXCEPT NW 10 KT FROM CAPE NEWENHAM S AND E. SEAS 3
FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ181-091145-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
252 PM AKDT THU MAY 8 2014

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ185-091145-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
252 PM AKDT THU MAY 8 2014

...SMALL CRAFT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS
6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
507 AM AKDT THU MAY 8 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS BUILDING NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN ALASKA
THIS MORNING AS THE LOW OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA MOVES OFF TO THE
EAST. THERE IS A LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN BERING AND FAR
EAST RUSSIA THAT WILL MAKE VERY LITTLE PROGRESS EASTWARD OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THERE IS AN AREA OF RAIN MOVING WESTWARD ON THE
NORTH SIDE OF THE LOW...MAINLY AFFECTING THE PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
AREA.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE SHORT TERM AGAIN THIS
MORNING. THE NAM HAS A PARTICULARLY GOOD HANDLE ON THE WAVE IN THE
GULF PER ASCAT SCATTEROMETER WINDS. MODEL DIFFERENCES BEGIN TO
SHOW UP AS A LOW MOVES NORTHWARD TOWARD THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THEREFORE...THE NAM IS THE PREFERRED MODEL
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...WITH HPC GUIDANCE BEING USED FOR THE
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...
THE LOW IN THE GULF WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM SOUTHCENTRAL
ALASKA TODAY...BRINGING THE CLOUDS AND RAIN WITH IT. SOME PATCHY
FOG IS POSSIBLE IN THE COOK INLET AREA...NAMELY THE KENAI AREA.
THERE WILL BE A GENERAL CLEARING TREND OVER THE AREA AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS. IT IS NOW LOOKING LIKE SOME MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE RECORDS
COULD BE IN JEOPARDY...FOR EXAMPLE SOME RECORD HIGHS ARE STILL IN
THE MID 60S FOR ANCHORAGE THROUGH THE NEXT WEEK OR SO. RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL ALSO DROP OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...SO WE WILL HAVE
TO WATCH FOR FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
SOME LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY OVER
THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS...ALASKA PENINSULA...AND THE KUSKOKWIM
DELTA. SOME LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE OVER THE
KUSKOKWIM DELTA. OTHERWISE...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES CAN BE EXPECTED
OVER THE REST OF THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
IN. THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WILL SEE RAIN AT TIMES
THROUGH THE SHORT TERM AS THE LOW OFF THE COAST OF RUSSIA REMAINS
NEARBY. AREAS OF FOG CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE ALASKA PENINSULA
AND BRISTOL BAY AREA TOMORROW MORNING WITH ONSHORE FLOW AND A
MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
SUNNY SKIES WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK ACROSS MOST OF SOUTHERN
ALASKA AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE MAINLAND PART OF THE
STATE. THIS WILL BRING BACK THE ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO MOST
OF MAINLAND ALASKA.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.
&&

SCHRECK